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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ukip gets its first MP – Douglas Carswell defects from the

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  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,689
    Just logged onto Facebook. Two of my Conservative "friends" aren't very complimentary about this development. One status reads: "Treacherous b*s*tard Carswell..."
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Here's an FT column that's bound to be widely agreed with.....or not:

    Mr Salmond’s argument for taking Scotland out of Britain is as flawed as Mr Farage’s demand for Britain to leave Europe.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b4e98426-2d35-11e4-aca0-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=uk#axzz3BhEk1zBd
  • Speedy said:

    PP gives Carswell 5/6 odds to win both the by election and in 2015.

    Thanks Speedy. I've maxed on that one.

    They're related contingencies. If he wins the first, the second is very likely to follow.

    It's a typical PP stunt. They won't lose a lot and they get the kind of publicity they like.

    Help yourselves, PBers!
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    Patrick said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Popcorn time for Lab.

    Bet the next meeting of the PLP will be p*ssing themselves with laughter, LOL.

    I doubt the PLP want to see UKIP win a by-election either.
    Of course they do.

    If it means they can breeze back into government (and maybe stay there for a decade)

    "The Right" is unfit for government. Labour looks solid and credible while the right slug it out like ferrets in a sack.

    This is Christmas come early for Ed Milliband.
    Unless UKIP are a bigger threat to Labour than the Conservatives.

    http://youtu.be/e3L-aBgNL1w

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/may/16/ukip-divided-left-right-cut-labour-support
    Carswell joining UKIP is not going to make them Labour friendly. Its going to mark them out as 'right wing'.
    Fundamentally disagree. Carswell is not a right winger he's a libertarian. Not at all a 'hanger and flogger' sort.
    Libertarian? Should fit in well with UKIP then.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Carswell is deeply deeply misguided and makes no sense.

    He decries government and then tells us how much better Britain is now than it was then (magic? Happenstance?); he tells us how it is the same sofa but a different clique but then says how everyone has access to the same information, at once implying that the public has power and that they have made the wrong choices, while surely "angry nativism" and "Kipper" are synonyms.

    Oh but then he lauds the contribution that immigrants make, as you note with that Holehouse tweet, presumably also in Clacton, and Dagenham and Bourne. And lauds feminism and attitudes towards the disabled. Well done. But then he goes off course: shouldn't have joined the euro? We didn't. Want real change? Cam has promised it (ok you don't believe he will do something in two years' time but no one can prove now he won't). Cons only did the right thing because they were forced to by their own side? But I thought this was sofa politics at No.10 and now all of a sudden there is intra-party democracy. Not serious about Europe? Who cares we get a referendum.

    So, yet another solipsistic (ex-)Tory backbench w&nker but a slick one and probably sincere within his limited understanding of the world so fair play to him; one thing is for sure, as @Alanbrooke‌ has pointed out, he won't be satisfied muddling along as a backbench MP in UKIP and he already sounds more leader-ish than Farage.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724

    Plato said:

    Speedy said:

    The other Tory MP's whose constituency is partly in Tendring is one Bernard Jenkin. Has he yet commented on his neighbour's defection?

    Another good one, will Jenkin follow him?
    If yes, now or after his victory?
    IIRC he said No, along with Peter Bone.
    Anyway Miss P

    what have you been up to of late ?

    good to see you back posting.
    Nerding over the plot holes of TV shows, and the psychology of ensemble drama characters... It gets very heated at times, particularly if you say something critical of another poster's favourites. Clearly being rude or badly informed isn't restricted to political forums! :^)
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    Plato said:

    Plato said:

    Speedy said:

    The other Tory MP's whose constituency is partly in Tendring is one Bernard Jenkin. Has he yet commented on his neighbour's defection?

    Another good one, will Jenkin follow him?
    If yes, now or after his victory?
    IIRC he said No, along with Peter Bone.
    Anyway Miss P

    what have you been up to of late ?

    good to see you back posting.
    Nerding over the plot holes of TV shows, and the psychology of ensemble drama characters... It gets very heated at times, particularly if you say something critical of another poster's favourites. Clearly being rude or badly informed isn't restricted to political forums! :^)
    Have just started Scandal.

    NO SPOILERS PLEASE.

    But it's rather good - one you like?
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Here's an FT column that's bound to be widely agreed with.....or not:

    Mr Salmond’s argument for taking Scotland out of Britain is as flawed as Mr Farage’s demand for Britain to leave Europe.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b4e98426-2d35-11e4-aca0-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=uk#axzz3BhEk1zBd

    Says the paper that supported the Euro.
  • hucks67hucks67 Posts: 758
    Rumours of another UKIP press conference tomorrow ! If true wonder who is next ?
    Could it be a Labour MP ? Would be a good strategy from UKIP to show that they have people from Tories and Labour who are moving to them.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Stating you want out of the EU, yet publicly supporting one of the most pro-EU MPs in the last parliament who will do nothing to further that aim

    Oh come on. He was somewhat duty bound to publicly support Cameron while he was still a Tory MP.


  • I'll give you three:

    Stating you hate waste in the public sector, yet wanting a pointless referendum on the Lisbon treaty after it had been ratified;

    Stating you want out of the EU, yet publicly supporting one of the most pro-EU MPs in the last parliament who will do nothing to further that aim;

    Stating two 'principles' on when we should intervene in conflicts, yet ignoring that those two 'principles' would have stopped us intervening in the Falklands, and indeed WWII and about every other conflict we have ever been involved with.

    There you go. But I'll take something back~; they are not elastic. "Your principles are hideously broken" fits better. In fact, I think you make them up as you go along.

    Utter garbage and you know it. It actually made me laugh seeing you write that.

    1. As I have stated many times before a post ratification referendum would in no way have been pointless as it would have made a clear statement of intent on the part of a new British government that they wanted a fundamental change in our relationship with the Eu and that that was backed by the will of the people.

    2. I assume you are talking about my support for Nick Palmer. That support - which is entirely theoretical given that he is not my MP - is based on friendship which I consider more important than almost anything else. Unlike you apparently I do not so easily abandon my friends for the sake of something as sordid as politics.

    3. Your comprehension of history is clearly so utterly flawed that you are incapable of understanding the differences between the various conflicts you mention. I have stated very clearly in the past those differences and how they affect my view of the modern military adventures you support. That you are unable to understand that shows either a shocking lack of intelligence or utterly unprincipled opportunism. I am guessing the second but am willing to contemplate the first.



  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    TOPPING said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Carswell is deeply deeply misguided and makes no sense.

    He decries government and then tells us how much better Britain is now than it was then (magic? Happenstance?); he tells us how it is the same sofa but a different clique but then says how everyone has access to the same information, at once implying that the public has power and that they have made the wrong choices, while surely "angry nativism" and "Kipper" are synonyms.

    Oh but then he lauds the contribution that immigrants make, as you note with that Holehouse tweet, presumably also in Clacton, and Dagenham and Bourne. And lauds feminism and attitudes towards the disabled. Well done. But then he goes off course: shouldn't have joined the euro? We didn't. Want real change? Cam has promised it (ok you don't believe he will do something in two years' time but no one can prove now he won't). Cons only did the right thing because they were forced to by their own side? But I thought this was sofa politics at No.10 and now all of a sudden there is intra-party democracy. Not serious about Europe? Who cares we get a referendum.

    So, yet another solipsistic (ex-)Tory backbench w&nker but a slick one and probably sincere within his limited understanding of the world so fair play to him; one thing is for sure, as @Alanbrooke‌ has pointed out, he won't be satisfied muddling along as a backbench MP in UKIP and he already sounds more leader-ish than Farage.
    Lord Ashcroft @LordAshcroft · 4h
    Do we now get the anonymous smearing of @DouglasCarswell after his defection to @UKIP #dontbesurprised
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Sky: Rotherham Police Constable charged with sexual offences against a 15-year old girl...
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,144
    edited August 2014
    Oliver_PB said:

    Apologies for bringing up the S-word again, as I'm completely sick of it too.

    But for those asking about the timing of this announcement relative to the Scottish Independence referendum, have you considered that Douglas Carswell doesn't care for Scotland remaining in the union? It seems wrong to assume that everyone English wants Scotland to remain part of the UK.

    http://tinyurl.com/pt5se5x
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited August 2014
    Rotherham related news? :

    Sky News Newsdesk ‏@SkyNewsBreak 4m
    S Yorkshire Police Officer Daniel Cookson, previously based in Rotherham, charged with causing 15-year-old girl to engage in sexual activity
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    edited August 2014
    Tories here are flailing all over their place in their bid to have a negative line on Carswell:

    "Too soon after Rotherham! Discourteous to not tell Cameron! Too close to IndyRef! He would have opposed the Falklands War!"

    It's hilarious.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,682
    edited August 2014



    Libertarian? Should fit in well with UKIP then.

    There is a Libertarian strand of UKIP he would fit in with very well. It has unfortunately been on the wane in recent years but I would hope that more senior members like Carswell would see that reversed.

    Still not utterly convinced by him though given that he did vote against Gay marriage - for reasons which are still a complete mystery to me even after trying very hard to find any real justification he might have put forward.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited August 2014
    RodCrosby said:

    Sky: Rotherham Police Constable charged with sexual offences against a 15-year old girl...

    You have got to be f*cking joking. EDIT: For some reason I saw "chief constable" there. Still pretty unbelievable, but less jaw-dropping.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    From the party which put the rot into Rotherham.

    Look people boob jokes. Straight form the Austin Powers film.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-28967053
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Anorak said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Sky: Rotherham Police Constable charged with sexual offences against a 15-year old girl...

    You have got to be f*cking joking.
    That might potencially explain why the police was so relaxed with it.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Nothing of any importance then, like reforming education, welfare, local government, pensions, health.
    No support for difficult decisions on the economy - a miserable economy inherited from labour and which he is now determined to hand back to them. What a pathetic blinkered obsessive fool.

    His remark about modernising parliament are bazaar.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Speedy said:

    Rotherham related news? :

    Sky News Newsdesk ‏@SkyNewsBreak 4m
    S Yorkshire Police Officer Daniel Cookson, previously based in Rotherham, charged with causing 15-year-old girl to engage in sexual activity

    Does that mean that someone has realised that age of consent means something?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,534
    RodCrosby said:

    Sky: Rotherham Police Constable charged with sexual offences against a 15-year old girl...

    Political correctness, and/or misogyny may not be the only potential reasons for non-action by the authorities in Rotherham. Financial corruption, or involvement in unlawful sexual activity may also be issues.

  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Sky News- David Cameron says Carswell defection to UKIP is deeply regrettable and self-defeating.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    Oliver_PB said:

    Apologies for bringing up the S-word again, as I'm completely sick of it too.

    But for those asking about the timing of this announcement relative to the Scottish Independence referendum, have you considered that Douglas Carswell doesn't care for Scotland remaining in the union? It seems wrong to assume that everyone English wants Scotland to remain part of the UK.

    http://tinyurl.com/pt5se5x
    First, independence. You won't be as well governed if you are ruled over by men and women who do not live amongst you.
  • AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Nothing of any importance then, like reforming education, welfare, local government, pensions, health.
    No support for difficult decisions on the economy - a miserable economy inherited from labour and which he is now determined to hand back to them. What a pathetic blinkered obsessive fool.

    His remark about modernising parliament are bazaar.
    Actually if you bothered to watch his speech instead of relying upon tweets then you would know he did mention many other topics including health and reform of government.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Socrates said:

    Tories here are flailing all over their place in their bid to have a negative line on Carswell:

    "Too soon after Rotherham! Discourteous to not tell Cameron! Too close to IndyRef! He would have opposed the Falklands War!"

    It's hilarious.

    The discourtesy point - as with Warsi - does matter.

    It never costs anything to be polite.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    Speedy said:

    TOPPING said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Carswell is deeply deeply misguided and makes no sense.

    He decries government and then tells us how much better Britain is now than it was then (magic? Happenstance?); he tells us how it is the same sofa but a different clique but then says how everyone has access to the same information, at once implying that the public has power and that they have made the wrong choices, while surely "angry nativism" and "Kipper" are synonyms.

    Oh but then he lauds the contribution that immigrants make, as you note with that Holehouse tweet, presumably also in Clacton, and Dagenham and Bourne. And lauds feminism and attitudes towards the disabled. Well done. But then he goes off course: shouldn't have joined the euro? We didn't. Want real change? Cam has promised it (ok you don't believe he will do something in two years' time but no one can prove now he won't). Cons only did the right thing because they were forced to by their own side? But I thought this was sofa politics at No.10 and now all of a sudden there is intra-party democracy. Not serious about Europe? Who cares we get a referendum.

    So, yet another solipsistic (ex-)Tory backbench w&nker but a slick one and probably sincere within his limited understanding of the world so fair play to him; one thing is for sure, as @Alanbrooke‌ has pointed out, he won't be satisfied muddling along as a backbench MP in UKIP and he already sounds more leader-ish than Farage.
    Lord Ashcroft @LordAshcroft · 4h
    Do we now get the anonymous smearing of @DouglasCarswell after his defection to @UKIP #dontbesurprised
    That's straight out of the Campbell / Labour playbook.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,534

    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Nothing of any importance then, like reforming education, welfare, local government, pensions, health.
    No support for difficult decisions on the economy - a miserable economy inherited from labour and which he is now determined to hand back to them. What a pathetic blinkered obsessive fool.

    His remark about modernising parliament are bazaar.
    I love the smell of sour grapes in the morning.

  • corporeal said:

    Patrick said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Popcorn time for Lab.

    Bet the next meeting of the PLP will be p*ssing themselves with laughter, LOL.

    I doubt the PLP want to see UKIP win a by-election either.
    Of course they do.

    If it means they can breeze back into government (and maybe stay there for a decade)

    "The Right" is unfit for government. Labour looks solid and credible while the right slug it out like ferrets in a sack.

    This is Christmas come early for Ed Milliband.
    Unless UKIP are a bigger threat to Labour than the Conservatives.

    http://youtu.be/e3L-aBgNL1w

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/may/16/ukip-divided-left-right-cut-labour-support
    Carswell joining UKIP is not going to make them Labour friendly. Its going to mark them out as 'right wing'.
    Fundamentally disagree. Carswell is not a right winger he's a libertarian. Not at all a 'hanger and flogger' sort.
    Right wing's a variable (and oft complained about) term.
    Too true. There was a time when perhaps someone's attitutdes to spending, law and order, homosexuality, civil liberties, defence, and any number of issues could be guessed correctly from knowing their position on just one. But now most people have a bewildering array of views across multiple issues.

    For me the key driver is: Big state/spendy/collectivist (LEFT) vs small state/sound money/individual rights (RIGHT). But this says nothing on your views of gay marriage or Gaza or anything else.

    For the BBC/Guardian the determinant is: Anything ethnic/progressive/PC/'kind' (LEFT) vs anything 'nasty' whatever it's nature or origin (RIGHT).

    Left/right is a useless and deliberately misleading term.

    In France the Front National take some pretty harsh views on immigration but are very very statist/collectivist/protectionist/spendy. I'd categorise them as deeply distasteful hard left. There's nothing right wing about them as per my definition above.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    edited August 2014
    Douglas - have a quick look at Betfair and the movements in the most seats market for next year's GE. That might give you a clue.

    [self moderated]
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    More problems...
    "South Yorkshire Police crime recording criticised in new report"
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-28971528
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited August 2014
    I have just found the perfect parody reaction of David Cameron to Carswell:

    "David Cameron says he is extremely concerned by mounting evidence UKIP troops have made large-scale incursions into south eastern England"
  • Just logged onto Facebook. Two of my Conservative "friends" aren't very complimentary about this development. One status reads: "Treacherous b*s*tard Carswell..."


    Did Carswell leave the Conservatives or did the Conservatives leave Carswell?
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    TOPPING said:

    Plato said:

    Plato said:

    Speedy said:

    The other Tory MP's whose constituency is partly in Tendring is one Bernard Jenkin. Has he yet commented on his neighbour's defection?

    Another good one, will Jenkin follow him?
    If yes, now or after his victory?
    IIRC he said No, along with Peter Bone.
    Anyway Miss P

    what have you been up to of late ?

    good to see you back posting.
    Nerding over the plot holes of TV shows, and the psychology of ensemble drama characters... It gets very heated at times, particularly if you say something critical of another poster's favourites. Clearly being rude or badly informed isn't restricted to political forums! :^)
    Have just started Scandal.

    NO SPOILERS PLEASE.

    But it's rather good - one you like?
    There are some clever twists and unexpected events. Reminds me of The West Wing in terms of rapid fire dialogue, I found it entertaining if highly implausible. I like Revenge - that's like Dynasty for 2014.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Sean_F said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Sky: Rotherham Police Constable charged with sexual offences against a 15-year old girl...

    Political correctness, and/or misogyny may not be the only potential reasons for non-action by the authorities in Rotherham. Financial corruption, or involvement in unlawful sexual activity may also be issues.

    Oh dear, I hope that isn't in any way linked to the other horrors in Rotherham.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    Speedy said:

    TOPPING said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Carswell is deeply deeply misguided and makes no sense.



    So, yet another solipsistic (ex-)Tory backbench w&nker but a slick one and probably sincere within his limited understanding of the world so fair play to him; one thing is for sure, as @Alanbrooke‌ has pointed out, he won't be satisfied muddling along as a backbench MP in UKIP and he already sounds more leader-ish than Farage.
    Lord Ashcroft @LordAshcroft · 4h
    Do we now get the anonymous smearing of @DouglasCarswell after his defection to @UKIP #dontbesurprised
    My position on Tory rebels has been consistent throughout if you are interested in looking back over my previous posts on the subject; you may find it fascinating and enlightening but probably not.

    My point being that Carswell's speech if anything was as good an advert for the status quo as anything. He disagrees on Europe. He disagrees to the point whereby he wants to help bring down the Conservative Party because of all the things he thinks it has done well, it has not done the one thing that he identifies as most important.

    Now that would be fine, were it not for the fact that the only party offering any realistic say in the matter is...the Tories.

    And he is saying more than that: he is saying that lo and behold the Tories promised all these things and in government (in a coalition government) they have not delivered. Well hang me up and call me Mabel. Of course they haven't, it is a coalition government and lord help what would have been the outcome in 2015 if they had cut harder and faster, as he wished they had (what is the UKIP position on the deficit, by the way - will the famous abandoning of 0.7% of GDP on aid become their multi-committed bankers bonus bonanza?).

    So it is Europe that he worries about; Europe that he is sulking about and Europe the reason that he has defected. Which makes him an idiot.

    That, or he really is surprised that coalition (not to say democratic) politics works in the way it does, In which case there is a worse word for him.

    Smear? Nope. Damned by his own words? Yep.

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514
    Charles said:

    Socrates said:

    Tories here are flailing all over their place in their bid to have a negative line on Carswell:

    "Too soon after Rotherham! Discourteous to not tell Cameron! Too close to IndyRef! He would have opposed the Falklands War!"

    It's hilarious.

    The discourtesy point - as with Warsi - does matter.

    It never costs anything to be polite.
    Cameron isn't that polite, he gets what he gives.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Spot the scapegoat, how convenient, what timing. What about the larger fish?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander told how the independence referendum has divided Scotland - after he was branded a liar on a radio phone in.

    Mr Alexander said one of the challenges would be to “bring Scotland together” in three weeks’ time following the historic vote.

    The leading Labour politician said he had been called “scum”, a “quisling” and “Judas” after speaking out in favour of the Union earlier this week.

    And a caller on BBC Radio Scotland’s Morning Call programme today also attacked him for “scaremongering” over independence, before accusing the Paisley and Renfrewshire South MP of being a “f****** liar”.


  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited August 2014
    Radio 2 News on Carswell - funny how they choose to play a quote from Labour's Dugher, rather than a Tory or Kipper.
  • TOPPING said:

    Speedy said:

    TOPPING said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Interestingly, Carwell's defection speech hailed feminism, disabled rights and immigration, and failure of Cameron to modernise Parliament."

    twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/504950831956123650

    Carswell is deeply deeply misguided and makes no sense.



    So, yet another solipsistic (ex-)Tory backbench w&nker but a slick one and probably sincere within his limited understanding of the world so fair play to him; one thing is for sure, as @Alanbrooke‌ has pointed out, he won't be satisfied muddling along as a backbench MP in UKIP and he already sounds more leader-ish than Farage.
    Lord Ashcroft @LordAshcroft · 4h
    Do we now get the anonymous smearing of @DouglasCarswell after his defection to @UKIP #dontbesurprised
    My position on Tory rebels has been consistent throughout if you are interested in looking back over my previous posts on the subject; you may find it fascinating and enlightening but probably not.

    My point being that Carswell's speech if anything was as good an advert for the status quo as anything. He disagrees on Europe. He disagrees to the point whereby he wants to help bring down the Conservative Party because of all the things he thinks it has done well, it has not done the one thing that he identifies as most important.

    Now that would be fine, were it not for the fact that the only party offering any realistic say in the matter is...the Tories.

    And he is saying more than that: he is saying that lo and behold the Tories promised all these things and in government (in a coalition government) they have not delivered. Well hang me up and call me Mabel. Of course they haven't, it is a coalition government and lord help what would have been the outcome in 2015 if they had cut harder and faster, as he wished they had (what is the UKIP position on the deficit, by the way - will the famous abandoning of 0.7% of GDP on aid become their multi-committed bankers bonus bonanza?).

    So it is Europe that he worries about; Europe that he is sulking about and Europe the reason that he has defected. Which makes him an idiot.

    That, or he really is surprised that coalition (not to say democratic) politics works in the way it does, In which case there is a worse word for him.

    Smear? Nope. Damned by his own words? Yep.

    Sorry but that doesn't work. Much of what he has complained about not having been enacted was supported by both parties in the Coalition. Indeed both Open Primaries and MP recall were in the official Coalition Agreement.

    To try and claim that the Tories could not do this stuff because of the coalition is just pathetic.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I really couldn't agree more. And I quite liked Mr Carswell and read his/Mr Hannan's book. Lots of good ideas - however I feel Mr Carswell has lost his centre of gravity.

    I understand that he's a passionate believer in what he says, however as you note - it's all over the place. It's like confusing reality with porn.

    Mr Carswell wants satisfaction through political porn, because reality isn't sexy enough. Unfortunately for him, porn isn't real-life for 99.999% of us or you're a past Lib Dem PPC.
    TOPPING said:

    Speedy said:

    TOPPING said:

    AndyJS said:

    "Matthew Holehouse ‏@mattholehouse

    Carswell is deeply deeply misguided and makes no sense.

    My position on Tory rebels has been consistent throughout if you are interested in looking back over my previous posts on the subject; you may find it fascinating and enlightening but probably not.

    My point being that Carswell's speech if anything was as good an advert for the status quo as anything. He disagrees on Europe. He disagrees to the point whereby he wants to help bring down the Conservative Party because of all the things he thinks it has done well, it has not done the one thing that he identifies as most important.

    Now that would be fine, were it not for the fact that the only party offering any realistic say in the matter is...the Tories.

    And he is saying more than that: he is saying that lo and behold the Tories promised all these things and in government (in a coalition government) they have not delivered. Well hang me up and call me Mabel. Of course they haven't, it is a coalition government and lord help what would have been the outcome in 2015 if they had cut harder and faster, as he wished they had (what is the UKIP position on the deficit, by the way - will the famous abandoning of 0.7% of GDP on aid become their multi-committed bankers bonus bonanza?).

    So it is Europe that he worries about; Europe that he is sulking about and Europe the reason that he has defected. Which makes him an idiot.

    That, or he really is surprised that coalition (not to say democratic) politics works in the way it does, In which case there is a worse word for him.

    Smear? Nope. Damned by his own words? Yep.

  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    What about the larger fish?

    250 Pakistani rapists to choose from and they go for.....
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Did Carswell say that others were about to follow him? [Sky report]
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    BenM said:

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/blog/live/2014/aug/28/markets-poised-for-german-inflation-and-unemployment-data-business-live#block-53ff20b7e4b06f5272fb4181

    While austerity wracked Germany starts to shed jobs and stagnate, austerity-eschewing US powers ahead and remains the fastest growing economy in the G7.

    Added to a complete government revolt in France over austerity (Hollande is an albatross for the Tories, not Labour).

    Things are looking up for Miliband if he wants to describe the path away from Osborne's disastrous handling of the economy. Look to the US.

    Hilarious. Its salutary that you remind us just what sort of idiots those who want to vote UKIP are going to deliver to us. You talk preposterous rubbish. Holland has driven the French economy in to the ground by following the spending policies Balls was shouting about.

    America has been cutting spending and raising taxes.
    ''Austerity in 2013
    Several tax increases took effect in January 2013: new Obamacare taxes, the expiration of the payroll tax, and “fiscal cliff” tax increases. During the fiscal year (which ended on September 30), those together increased taxes by $188 billion.''
    ''The spending cuts (i.e., sequestration) took effect in March 2013. Sequestration reduced fiscal year (FY) 2013 budget authority by $85 billion, but only $42 billion of the cuts took effect during FY 2013''
    http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/11/america-s-austerity-tax-increases-and-deficit-reduction

    Its clear that from listening to you we can put our heads between our legs and kiss goodbye to debt and deficit reduction under labour
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514

    Shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander told how the independence referendum has divided Scotland - after he was branded a liar on a radio phone in.

    Mr Alexander said one of the challenges would be to “bring Scotland together” in three weeks’ time following the historic vote.

    The leading Labour politician said he had been called “scum”, a “quisling” and “Judas” after speaking out in favour of the Union earlier this week.

    And a caller on BBC Radio Scotland’s Morning Call programme today also attacked him for “scaremongering” over independence, before accusing the Paisley and Renfrewshire South MP of being a “f****** liar”.


    I can understand why the SNP worry about the Scottish NHS, there will be a lot a very angry middle-aged men on 19th September. Apoplexy Central.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Socrates said:


    Tories on here are getting really desperate today. It was your fault the Right got split, because you comprehensively failed to do anything about conservative concerns on civil liberties, on the EU, on immigration. Rather than be spiteful to the party actually representing those concerns, perhaps you could try addressing them...

    Err, the Conservatives are doing something abut the EU. A referendum in 2017.

    On civil liberties, to claim UKIP are 'addressing concerns' is just a joke. Only a few days ago Farage was advocating citizens being stripped of their citizenshp by executive fiat.

    On immigration, the government is reducing non-EU immigration (as much as it can within the constraints of coalition with a pro-immigration party). That is all it can do until we've sorted out the EU aspect.

    But go ahead, put the two Eds into Nos 10 and 11 Downing Street. I'm sure that will address your concerns.
    I do not want the 2 Ed's anywhere near power.

    But, how the hell do you think we can sort out EU immigration whilst remaining within the EU?

    I just can't square that circle and neither I suspect can a lot of UKIP leaners.

    BTW bravo mr Carswell for giving the voters a say on your move.

  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    edited August 2014
    Charles said:

    Socrates said:

    Tories here are flailing all over their place in their bid to have a negative line on Carswell:

    "Too soon after Rotherham! Discourteous to not tell Cameron! Too close to IndyRef! He would have opposed the Falklands War!"

    It's hilarious.

    The discourtesy point - as with Warsi - does matter.

    It never costs anything to be polite.
    Because the first thing Cameron did wouldn't be to call up his mates in the press to spin it the way the Tory leader wanted it in a pre-agreed line?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    RodCrosby said:

    Did Carswell say that others were about to follow him? [Sky report]

    He did hint that this morning.
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    I'm due to appear on 5Live after 5pm talking about Carswell
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,534
    Floater said:

    Socrates said:


    Tories on here are getting really desperate today. It was your fault the Right got split, because you comprehensively failed to do anything about conservative concerns on civil liberties, on the EU, on immigration. Rather than be spiteful to the party actually representing those concerns, perhaps you could try addressing them...

    Err, the Conservatives are doing something abut the EU. A referendum in 2017.

    On civil liberties, to claim UKIP are 'addressing concerns' is just a joke. Only a few days ago Farage was advocating citizens being stripped of their citizenshp by executive fiat.

    On immigration, the government is reducing non-EU immigration (as much as it can within the constraints of coalition with a pro-immigration party). That is all it can do until we've sorted out the EU aspect.

    But go ahead, put the two Eds into Nos 10 and 11 Downing Street. I'm sure that will address your concerns.
    I do not want the 2 Ed's anywhere near power.

    But, how the hell do you think we can sort out EU immigration whilst remaining within the EU?

    I just can't square that circle and neither I suspect can a lot of UKIP leaners.

    BTW bravo mr Carswell for giving the voters a say on your move.

    The key point for me is Cameron saying that he will only seek the "bare minimum" in terms of renegotiating our membership of the EU.

  • Oliver_PBOliver_PB Posts: 397

    Oliver_PB said:

    Apologies for bringing up the S-word again, as I'm completely sick of it too.

    But for those asking about the timing of this announcement relative to the Scottish Independence referendum, have you considered that Douglas Carswell doesn't care for Scotland remaining in the union? It seems wrong to assume that everyone English wants Scotland to remain part of the UK.

    http://tinyurl.com/pt5se5x
    I also found this: Telegraph: Douglas Carswell - If I were a Scot, I'm not sure how I would vote this year

    So I get the sense he doesn't feel particularly strongly about Scotland remaining in the UK.
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    Patrick said:

    corporeal said:

    Patrick said:

    GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Popcorn time for Lab.

    Bet the next meeting of the PLP will be p*ssing themselves with laughter, LOL.

    I doubt the PLP want to see UKIP win a by-election either.
    Unless UKIP are a bigger threat to Labour than the Conservatives.

    http://youtu.be/e3L-aBgNL1w

    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/may/16/ukip-divided-left-right-cut-labour-support
    .
    .
    Too true. There was a time when perhaps someone's attitutdes to spending, law and order, homosexuality, civil liberties, defence, and any number of issues could be guessed correctly from knowing their position on just one. But now most people have a bewildering array of views across multiple issues.

    For me the key driver is: Big state/spendy/collectivist (LEFT) vs small state/sound money/individual rights (RIGHT). But this says nothing on your views of gay marriage or Gaza or anything else.

    For the BBC/Guardian the determinant is: Anything ethnic/progressive/PC/'kind' (LEFT) vs anything 'nasty' whatever it's nature or origin (RIGHT).

    Left/right is a useless and deliberately misleading term.

    In France the Front National take some pretty harsh views on immigration but are very very statist/collectivist/protectionist/spendy. I'd categorise them as deeply distasteful hard left. There's nothing right wing about them as per my definition above.
    Iirc how issues have been traditionally bundled up varies from country to country.

    And of course you can view issues in different lights etc, and the difference can be down to reasoning as much as actual policy position (I think your right-ish opinions come strongly out in your definitions).

    The BNP are notably economically left wing but socially right wing, and since no-one pays attention to BNP economic policy they get referred to in short hand as right-wing.

    It's well known as a broken terminology, and around the internet are definition scales using everything from 2 (political compass being fairly well known) to 20 dimensions. Thing is left and right are so widespread and still hang together somewhat, that people still use them.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Buzzfeed exclusive Ukip candidate will not make way for Carswell.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/ukips-clacton-candidate-says-he-wont-stand-down-for-douglas
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,366
    What's the collective name for a group of black swans?
  • It looks as if the writ will be moved in the September mini-session
    Tom Newton Dunn @tnewtondunn · 9m
    Clacton by-election date news: I'm told the Tories are not going to hang around. Expect it on the 9th or 16th October.
    More
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    "Douglas Carswell's defection is not just a blow to David Cameron - it shows the Tory party is too divided to stand up for hard-working families."

    Could Miliband have issued a more cliched line?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    hucks67 said:

    Rumours of another UKIP press conference tomorrow ! If true wonder who is next ?
    Could it be a Labour MP ? Would be a good strategy from UKIP to show that they have people from Tories and Labour who are moving to them.

    Where did you hear that rumour?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    TOPPING said:

    (what is the UKIP position on the deficit, by the way - will the famous abandoning of 0.7% of GDP on aid become their multi-committed bankers bonus bonanza?).

    That's the curious thing. UKIP has recently morphed into a deficit-denial party. They want to:

    - Retain the spare-room subsidy
    - 'Protect your benefits'
    - Big reductions in income tax
    - A new Veterans' Department
    - An end to hospital parking charges

    All to be paid for by (yes, you were right) 'looking at' overseas aid, and some unspecified savings from the Department for Energy & Climate Change (which doesn't spend much) and Business, Innovation and Skills.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Sean_F said:
    British public believe in meritocracy shock?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Sean_F said:

    The key point for me is Cameron saying that he will only seek the "bare minimum" in terms of renegotiating our membership of the EU.

    Citation needed.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014

    Buzzfeed exclusive Ukip candidate will not make way for Carswell.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/ukips-clacton-candidate-says-he-wont-stand-down-for-douglas

    That is just hilarious. No doubt Farage will put aside any question of local democracy and insist but it is still funny. Time to get on the tories?
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited August 2014

    Buzzfeed exclusive Ukip candidate will not make way for Carswell.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/ukips-clacton-candidate-says-he-wont-stand-down-for-douglas

    Purple on Purple.

    '“As far as I’m concerned I’m carrying on,” said Roger Lord, 57, UKIP’s existing candidate for the Clacton, who has been left in limbo as a result of this morning’s announcement. “If Mr Carswell wants to join us then he can get in the queue and hand out leaflets with the rest of us. Now that I’ve announced my campaign team, which now includes many members of his campaign team, his vote looks to be sinking quite quickly.”'

    Day 1 and they're already fighting.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''The key point for me is Cameron saying that he will only seek the "bare minimum" in terms of renegotiating our membership of the EU.''

    No wonder Carswell's leaving.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited August 2014

    Buzzfeed exclusive Ukip candidate will not make way for Carswell.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/ukips-clacton-candidate-says-he-wont-stand-down-for-douglas

    Might as well stand in the way of a steamroller.

    Ha! My day is officially made. The guy is a GENUINE retired colonel!! No, really. From the article:

    “I’ve been through dangerous situations in Pakistan and South America and you negotiate them: I’ve had a sixteen-year-old shove a machine gun up my nose in Nicaragua. I’ve faced bigger threats from real killers and if they think they can walk up to me and push me then I’ll push back. I’ve never run away from anything.”

    He gave the fuzzy-wuzzies what for, I'm sure. What?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    680 comments on this thread, the most for a long time.
  • HughHugh Posts: 955

    TOPPING said:

    (what is the UKIP position on the deficit, by the way - will the famous abandoning of 0.7% of GDP on aid become their multi-committed bankers bonus bonanza?).

    That's the curious thing. UKIP has recently morphed into a deficit-denial party. They want to:

    - Retain the spare-room subsidy
    - 'Protect your benefits'
    - Big reductions in income tax
    - A new Veterans' Department
    - An end to hospital parking charges

    All to be paid for by (yes, you were right) 'looking at' overseas aid, and some unspecified savings from the Department for Energy & Climate Change (which doesn't spend much) and Business, Innovation and Skills.
    You know what motivates Kippers. It isn't economics. It's not even Europe particularly.

    David Cameron should have shown some leadership and taken on the fruitcake tendency in his party. Instead the jelly-spined idiot tried to triangulate his way out trouble by throwing them some morsels. Predictably enough, it just made the situation worse. The man is pathetic.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I remember watching a BBC programme in the late 1990s about social breakdown in Rotherham. It would be interesting to see it again in the light of current developments.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Buzzfeed exclusive Ukip candidate will not make way for Carswell.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/ukips-clacton-candidate-says-he-wont-stand-down-for-douglas

    Purple on Purple?

    '“As far as I’m concerned I’m carrying on,” said Roger Lord, 57, UKIP’s existing candidate for the Clacton, who has been left in limbo as a result of this morning’s announcement. “If Mr Carswell wants to join us then he can get in the queue and hand out leaflets with the rest of us. Now that I’ve announced my campaign team, which now includes many members of his campaign team, his vote looks to be sinking quite quickly.”'

    Day 1 and they're already fighting.
    Well it was sudden, but it wont change the result, Carswell is the candidate now and odds are he wins the seat.
    http://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2014/08/carswell-defects-to-ukip.html

    "Afraid of leaks and presumably remembering the messy was-he-sacked-did-he-defect row over Bob Spink, UKIP’s first MP, only two people – Farage and the man himself – knew what was coming: Douglas Carswell’s defection to UKIP."
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Is Cameron going to come out and deny the "bare minimum" claim?
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited August 2014
    CD13 said:

    What's the collective name for a group of black swans?

    Not sure, I'm more worried about them stealing the jobs from the indigenous white swans. Vote UKIP!
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Socrates said:

    Because the first thing Cameron did wouldn't be to call up his mates in the press to spin it the way the Tory leader wanted it in a pre-agreed line?

    Don't be daft. Carswell could and should have let him know, just before the public announcement.

    I'm very surprised at his discourtesy. I imagine it was an oversight, because I've always regarded him as a very decent and honourable man.

    I wonder how soon he'll fall out with Farage. Carswell is in many ways an über-Cameroon; a lot of his complaints seem to be that there hasn't been enough of the type of reform he and Cameron were pushing for in the early days
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,507
    edited August 2014
    The police force at the centre of the Rotherham child abuse scandal is still failing to record crimes against children properly, a report has said.

    South Yorkshire Police's public protection unit spent a "great deal of time" trying to "disprove" allegations, said HM Inspectorate of Constabulary.

    It said the force's public protection unit showed "a disregard for victims".

    The new investigation, which saw HMIC inspectors visit South Yorkshire Police in FEBRUARY, threatened to put more pressure on police and crime commissioner Shaun Wright.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-28971528

    But don't worry nobody is going to lose their job, lessons have been learned*, everybody is doing a fantastic job given all the CUTTTTTTTTTTTS...

    * I think there just be a new law, any person in a position of power that utters that nonsense should automatically be disciplined !
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited August 2014
    Socrates said:

    Is Cameron going to come out and deny the "bare minimum" claim?

    No, because everyone knows it for years, they just pretend to not know it (Richard_Nabavi I'm looking at you) "for the good of the tory party, not let Labour in ect ect".
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    edited August 2014
    CD13 said:

    What's the collective name for a group of black swans?


    The collective noun for swans depends if they are up in the air or on the ground. It really writes itself doesn't it?

    Edit and when they are in the air it is a wedge (presumably of EU money).
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I don't have anyone down as UKIP candidate for Clacton, and I have had some help from a UKIP member with the official list of candidates.
  • Under the new rules enacted by the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013, the earliest date for the by-election is Thursday 2 October, if the writ is moved early next week.
  • If the Clacton by-election result is a foregone conclusion as UKIP's 2/9 odds suggest, please will Ladbrokes or another bookie sex things up a little by, for example, offering odds on the percentage of the vote the Kippers achieve?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    AndyJS said:

    I don't have anyone down as UKIP candidate for Clacton, and I have had some help from a UKIP member with the official list of candidates.

    So they haven't selected anyone yet before Carswell?
    So is the Buzzfeed story inaccurate?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Carswell is the sort of politician we need more of, on both left and right. Decent, honest, hardworking, and independently minded. I may not agree with everything he says, but I like his honesty, especially his decision to put his job on the line.
    I hope he gets back in.

    Seconded
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    Shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander told how the independence referendum has divided Scotland - after he was branded a liar on a radio phone in.

    Mr Alexander said one of the challenges would be to “bring Scotland together” in three weeks’ time following the historic vote.

    The leading Labour politician said he had been called “scum”, a “quisling” and “Judas” after speaking out in favour of the Union earlier this week.

    And a caller on BBC Radio Scotland’s Morning Call programme today also attacked him for “scaremongering” over independence, before accusing the Paisley and Renfrewshire South MP of being a “f****** liar”.


    I can understand why the SNP worry about the Scottish NHS, there will be a lot a very angry middle-aged men on 19th September. Apoplexy Central.
    Only one of Scotland's 14 health boards is consistently meeting accident and emergency waiting time targets.

    http://news.stv.tv/tayside/289719-nhs-tayside-is-only-health-board-to-meet-ae-waiting-targets/

    I blame Westminster Toreeeees!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,452


    Utter garbage and you know it. It actually made me laugh seeing you write that.

    1. As I have stated many times before a post ratification referendum would in no way have been pointless as it would have made a clear statement of intent on the part of a new British government that they wanted a fundamental change in our relationship with the Eu and that that was backed by the will of the people.

    2. I assume you are talking about my support for Nick Palmer. That support - which is entirely theoretical given that he is not my MP - is based on friendship which I consider more important than almost anything else. Unlike you apparently I do not so easily abandon my friends for the sake of something as sordid as politics.

    3. Your comprehension of history is clearly so utterly flawed that you are incapable of understanding the differences between the various conflicts you mention. I have stated very clearly in the past those differences and how they affect my view of the modern military adventures you support. That you are unable to understand that shows either a shocking lack of intelligence or utterly unprincipled opportunism. I am guessing the second but am willing to contemplate the first.

    1) You wanted to spend around £100 to 200 million on a referendum on a treaty that had already been signed, in order to make a 'clear statement'. The AV and Scottish Independence referendums have shown us how difficult it is to get a 'yes' even when the headline consequences of a result are fixed and known. Your referendum would have been laughed down, and a meaningful EU vote put back for a generation.

    2) 'Unlike you apparently'. It is because I value my family and friends that I find UKIP and many - although far from all - of its supporters anathema. You pretend to be a Libertarian and against the EU - I'm quite amazed how you can marry that with political support for Nick Palmer. Whilst Nick might be a thoroughly good egg in private, he's not exactly an exemplar of those two traits politically. There is a difference between having someone as a friend and supporting them politically, which you have done on here passim.

    3) My comprehension of history is as good and/or flawed as anyone else's. This is the funniest of your rebuttals: you were floundering so invented two 'principles' which magically only apply to the Syrian intervention. I did not want an intervention last year from any gung-ho militaristic fervour (as you claimed before as part of a series of slurs); I supported it reluctantly because I could see we were on the cusp of something much worse, and because the use of chemical weapons should be punished. I was proved right.

    I see you try to insult me three times in your screed above. Perhaps you should leave off such pathetic attacks and examine your own principles instead.
  • If the Clacton by-election result is a foregone conclusion as UKIP's 2/9 odds suggest, please will Ladbrokes or another bookie sex things up a little by, for example, offering odds on the percentage of the vote the Kippers achieve?

    As a life long West Ham supporter I always expect the worst results from my team and never believe they will actually win something until after the contest is finished.

    I have transferred that attitude to my UKIP support as well.

    Much as I would love it to happen I will believe UKIP can win Clacton the day after they actually achieve it.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited August 2014
    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    I don't have anyone down as UKIP candidate for Clacton, and I have had some help from a UKIP member with the official list of candidates.

    So they haven't selected anyone yet before Carswell?
    So is the Buzzfeed story inaccurate?
    http://www.gazette-news.co.uk/news/local/clacton/11373441.UKIP__We_re_coming_for_your_seat_Mr_Carswell_/

    http://www.ukipessex.org/?p=371

    But of course the little man will be swept aside by the big guns from head office.

    Almost like a grown-up party.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,564



    His remark about modernising parliament are bazaar.

    As in Harper's?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    I don't have anyone down as UKIP candidate for Clacton, and I have had some help from a UKIP member with the official list of candidates.

    So they haven't selected anyone yet before Carswell?
    So is the Buzzfeed story inaccurate?
    http://www.gazette-news.co.uk/news/local/clacton/11373441.UKIP__We_re_coming_for_your_seat_Mr_Carswell_/
    AndyJs says they didn't select one.
    However:
    "Ukip’s Clacton party secretary Anne Poonian said they had asked Eurosceptic Mr Carswell to defect from the Tories and join them."
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    Socrates said:

    Because the first thing Cameron did wouldn't be to call up his mates in the press to spin it the way the Tory leader wanted it in a pre-agreed line?

    At least he is doing the honourable thing and seeking re-election. I wonder what drove the timing of the announcement?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014

    Shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander told how the independence referendum has divided Scotland - after he was branded a liar on a radio phone in.

    Mr Alexander said one of the challenges would be to “bring Scotland together” in three weeks’ time following the historic vote.

    The leading Labour politician said he had been called “scum”, a “quisling” and “Judas” after speaking out in favour of the Union earlier this week.

    And a caller on BBC Radio Scotland’s Morning Call programme today also attacked him for “scaremongering” over independence, before accusing the Paisley and Renfrewshire South MP of being a “f****** liar”.


    I can understand why the SNP worry about the Scottish NHS, there will be a lot a very angry middle-aged men on 19th September. Apoplexy Central.
    Only one of Scotland's 14 health boards is consistently meeting accident and emergency waiting time targets.

    http://news.stv.tv/tayside/289719-nhs-tayside-is-only-health-board-to-meet-ae-waiting-targets/

    I blame Westminster Toreeeees!

    Maybe, just maybe, if they had followed the English under both parties and looked for efficiencies and the reduction of bureaucracy by, where appropriate, having support services provided more efficiently from independent contractors or reducing the numbers of managers, the Scottish NHS would not be struggling in the way it is.

    The Scottish NHS is still positioned for the years of plenty and almost nothing has been done to prepare it for years of frozen budgets. God knows what would happen to it after independence when the money gets seriously tight.
  • manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    AndyJS said:

    I don't have anyone down as UKIP candidate for Clacton, and I have had some help from a UKIP member with the official list of candidates.

    Roger Lord was appointed earlier this month.

    http://www.ukipessex.org/?p=371

  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    edited August 2014
    Cameron wades in.

    Margaret Davis ‏@MargaretDavisPA 1m
    PA snap: Prime Minister David Cameron has called on South Yorkshire PCC Shaun Wright to quit in the wake of the Rotherham abuse report.

    Must be a look squirrel moment for him for some reason.

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,452
    Floater said:

    Carswell is the sort of politician we need more of, on both left and right. Decent, honest, hardworking, and independently minded. I may not agree with everything he says, but I like his honesty, especially his decision to put his job on the line.
    I hope he gets back in.

    Seconded
    Thirded. I think he's made a mistake, but I've applauded him in the past, and I'll applaud him for following his conscience. Most remarkably of all, he's called a by-election. I think he'll win, but at least he'll give the voters a choice.

    If it's true he did not tell Cameron in advance, then that's a little off. But as afar as I'm aware that's just a rumour.

    (On a side note, I find myself slightly contradictory on this. I've always said 'vote for a candidate rather than a party', yet have always thought that a sitting MP changing parties should resign for a by-election. I'm not sure how I can thoroughly combine those two positions).
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262

    Socrates said:

    Because the first thing Cameron did wouldn't be to call up his mates in the press to spin it the way the Tory leader wanted it in a pre-agreed line?

    At least he is doing the honourable thing and seeking re-election. I wonder what drove the timing of the announcement?
    The threat from UKIP?


  • His remark about modernising parliament are bazaar.

    As in Harper's?
    LOL!
  • <

    1) You wanted to spend around £100 to 200 million on a referendum on a treaty that had already been signed, in order to make a 'clear statement'. The AV and Scottish Independence referendums have shown us how difficult it is to get a 'yes' even when the headline consequences of a result are fixed and known. Your referendum would have been laughed down, and a meaningful EU vote put back for a generation.

    2) 'Unlike you apparently'. It is because I value my family and friends that I find UKIP and many - although far from all - of its supporters anathema. You pretend to be a Libertarian and against the EU - I'm quite amazed how you can marry that with political support for Nick Palmer. Whilst Nick might be a thoroughly good egg in private, he's not exactly an exemplar of those two traits politically. There is a difference between having someone as a friend and supporting them politically, which you have done on here passim.

    3) My comprehension of history is as good and/or flawed as anyone else's. This is the funniest of your rebuttals: you were floundering so invented two 'principles' which magically only apply to the Syrian intervention. I did not want an intervention last year from any gung-ho militaristic fervour (as you claimed before as part of a series of slurs); I supported it reluctantly because I could see we were on the cusp of something much worse, and because the use of chemical weapons should be punished. I was proved right.

    I see you try to insult me three times in your screed above. Perhaps you should leave off such pathetic attacks and examine your own principles instead.

    Interesting that your reply did nothing to deny the consistency of my position - which was of course your original smear. All you have said is that you disagree with my views - which of course you are entitled to do.

    Given your performance over the last few months and your ability to twist the truth I am not surprised that you have found yourself unable to support your rather stupid allegations.

    Clearly your inability to understand the concept of a principled position is what attracts you to Cameron.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited August 2014
    Speedy said:

    AndyJS said:

    I don't have anyone down as UKIP candidate for Clacton, and I have had some help from a UKIP member with the official list of candidates.

    So they haven't selected anyone yet before Carswell?
    So is the Buzzfeed story inaccurate?
    Not necessarily. It's possible the local UKIP branch selected a candidate without informing national party headquarters.

    This would seem to be supported by the fact that Farage didn't make any comment about there already being a candidate in Clacton whom he would like to kindly ask to step aside. I'm sure he would have said something like that if he knew there was already a candidate in place.
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012



    His remark about modernising parliament are bazaar.

    As in Harper's?
    ho ho ho
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    Under the new rules enacted by the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013, the earliest date for the by-election is Thursday 2 October, if the writ is moved early next week.

    That's the day after Tory conference ends.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited August 2014
    dr_spyn said:

    Cameron wades in.

    Margaret Davis ‏@MargaretDavisPA 1m
    PA snap: Prime Minister David Cameron has called on South Yorkshire PCC Shaun Wright to quit in the wake of the Rotherham abuse report.

    Must be a look squirrel moment for him for some reason.

    It's like a comedy sketch:
    "Prime Minister, Douglas Carswell has defected to UKIP, what should we do?"
    "I'll call for Shaun Wright to resign"
This discussion has been closed.