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Voting is certainly brisk in this part of Pennsylvania – politicalbetting.com

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  • Weren't MRPs pretty horrible in GE24?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,824
    Andy_JS said:
    Excellent sir! Thank you very much. Both for the results and your labours, both of which are greatly appreciated.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,467
    Luntz: "the famous Selzer Iowa poll is wrong."
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,783

    Went to see Macbeth at the Harold Pinter theatre with my son tonight - he's doing it for GCSE. It is the David Tennant production although he wasn't in it tonight- they seem to have been hit by a wave of illness and injuries and extraordinarily the show went ahead with five understudies in principal roles, including Macbeth and Lady Mabeth. It was still an excellent production with incredible use of sound and the audience gave a standing ovation to the stand-ins.
    Whatever happens to the world we'll always have Shakespeare.

    How much were tickets. I went to see Can't Wait to Leave at the Jack Studio Theatre, Brockley for a fiver. Was excellent, if not yet on the GCSE syllabus. It is a monologue with Zach Hawkins and well worth the trip out South East.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    edited November 5
    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)
  • FossFoss Posts: 996

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    Imagine being a voter who just today found out Joe Biden isn’t running
    https://x.com/ArmandDoma/status/1853895012079280423

    Who is Joe Biden?
    Along those lines.

    HOLD ON. i just found out there is a *separate* guy named jon favreau who is the pod save america guy. this whole time i thought jon favreau the filmmaker was just really involved in pod save america but being lowkey about it..
    https://x.com/oliviastowell/status/1853621476055802245
    Apparently there are two Steve McQueen Hollywood legends.
    Is the second one in addition to or including the British director?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,612
    edited November 5

    Went to see Macbeth at the Harold Pinter theatre with my son tonight - he's doing it for GCSE. It is the David Tennant production although he wasn't in it tonight- they seem to have been hit by a wave of illness and injuries and extraordinarily the show went ahead with five understudies in principal roles, including Macbeth and Lady Mabeth. It was still an excellent production with incredible use of sound and the audience gave a standing ovation to the stand-ins.
    Whatever happens to the world we'll always have Shakespeare.

    Macbeth had no time for exit polls.
    He didn't need them - he had some surprisingly good pollsters who told him the result well ahead of time.

    [Not convinced they used standard methods though]
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,314
    Well, I'm off to bed, safe in the knowledge that I haven't got a clue who's going to win.
    No doubt I'll dream of a Harris victory and have nightmares of a Trump win, only to wake at 7am and find it's still in the balance.
  • Screw it, lets have fun

    269 / 269
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    edited November 5

    Luntz: "the famous Selzer Iowa poll is wrong."

    He’s not got any inside info, he’s just predicting that it will be wrong! He is also predicting that the election won’t be settled tonight: saying it will take days!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937

    Interesting that @Andy_JS @londonpubman snd the Focaldata MRP are all forecasting the same result: Harris 276.

    The Focaldata MRP has Florida 🔴 51.7% 🔵 45.3%, so that's my early benchmark.
    At the other end of the spectrum is NYTimes Siena, who gives Trump a 13 point lead there.

    One of those is likely to be wildly wrong.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,805

    Weren't MRPs pretty horrible in GE24?

    A mixed bag. Certainly Survation was complete bilge. YouGov and MIC a bit better.
  • Interesting that @Andy_JS @londonpubman snd the Focaldata MRP are all forecasting the same result: Harris 276.

    Really that's the most worrying scenario as it could all come down to one very close state (probably Pennsylvania) and drag on for a long time. There's also the possibility of people doing stupid things e.g. faithless electors
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,467
    Stephen Miller

    @StephenM
    ·
    4m
    Get every man you know to the polls.

    https://x.com/StephenM/status/1853936540420026607
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    Indiana numbers coming in!

    Trump leads by 44 percentage points.
  • Interesting that @Andy_JS @londonpubman snd the Focaldata MRP are all forecasting the same result: Harris 276.

    Really that's the most worrying scenario as it could all come down to one very close state (probably Pennsylvania) and drag on for a long time. There's also the possibility of people doing stupid things e.g. faithless electors
    If its that close then we'll have multiple slates of electors in all the GOP states where women voters betrayed their husbands and didn't vote to chain themselves to the bed / kitchen.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    Interesting that @Andy_JS @londonpubman snd the Focaldata MRP are all forecasting the same result: Harris 276.

    Really that's the most worrying scenario as it could all come down to one very close state (probably Pennsylvania) and drag on for a long time. There's also the possibility of people doing stupid things e.g. faithless electors
    No chance of faithless electors deciding the election IMO. @HYUFD explains why not very well.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,065

    Went to see Macbeth at the Harold Pinter theatre with my son tonight - he's doing it for GCSE. It is the David Tennant production although he wasn't in it tonight- they seem to have been hit by a wave of illness and injuries and extraordinarily the show went ahead with five understudies in principal roles, including Macbeth and Lady Mabeth. It was still an excellent production with incredible use of sound and the audience gave a standing ovation to the stand-ins.
    Whatever happens to the world we'll always have Shakespeare.

    The most powerful play I've ever seen was a minimalist production of Macbeth by a tiny touring company. All the women wore long grey skirts & grey tops, all the men wore grey tracksuit bottoms & grey tops. They had a big badge to show who was king. The scenery was just boxes - grey cubes.

    That really allowed the words, the play itself, to speak for itself. So powerful you wouldn't believe. Utterly amazing.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    rcs1000 said:

    Indiana numbers coming in!

    Trump leads by 44 percentage points.

    (Two small counties.)
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,805
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Indiana numbers coming in!

    Trump leads by 44 percentage points.

    (Two small counties.)
    Tease!
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,501
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Indiana numbers coming in!

    Trump leads by 44 percentage points.

    (Two small counties.)
    Subsampler.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,824
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER

    Please
    do not make jokes like that.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,897
    slight creepage on betfair
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 441
    C4 have Stormy Daniels sat next to Boris Johnson ;)
    He's claiming he doesn't know the details of the Trump / Daniels case.
    He's said "if you read about it in my book unleashed" at least evry every minute... Must be selling like hotcakes
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    viewcode said:


    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER

    Please
    do not make jokes like that.
    And currently 50:50 in NH :smiley:
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    edited November 5
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    Repeat Harris currently outperforming Biden in every county in Indiana. (Disclaimer: ridiculously small sample size.)
  • 2% of the votes counted in KY and Trump is winning BY A LANDSLIDE.

    Surely it would be a crime, a steal, a betrayal of democracy to count any more votes in any state?

    STOP THE STEAL
  • VerulamiusVerulamius Posts: 1,540
    Current data from https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/

    You can drill down to county results
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,065
    Long past my bedtime. Have fun, everyone, and good luck!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    edited November 5
    Dopermean said:

    C4 have Stormy Daniels sat next to Boris Johnson ;)
    He's claiming he doesn't know the details of the Trump / Daniels case.
    He's said "if you read about it in my book unleashed" at least evry every minute... Must be selling like hotcakes

    I am sure Boris was paid a load of money to appears on GB News.....he seems to appear on every other news channel but GB News....

    Boris book has sold 65k copies last time I looked.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,065
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    I think that's sufficient evidence to withdraw all my savings and lump it on Harris.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,467
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Indiana numbers coming in!

    Trump leads by 44 percentage points.

    (Two small counties.)
    RFK pulling 1% despite now being Trump 2.0 cult member.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378
    edited November 5
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    Trump's raw vote total is down on 2016 on those numbers (slightly up in Dubois but offset by declines in the rest):

    https://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/indiana/
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,595

    Interesting that @Andy_JS @londonpubman snd the Focaldata MRP are all forecasting the same result: Harris 276.

    Really that's the most worrying scenario as it could all come down to one very close state (probably Pennsylvania) and drag on for a long time. There's also the possibility of people doing stupid things e.g. faithless electors
    No chance of faithless electors deciding the election IMO. @HYUFD explains why not very well.
    Bit harsh, I am sure HY did his best.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,805
    I say this every election, but god, I wish we had John King doing our results in the UK.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    No needle on the NY Times yet. Any alternatives?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    Ratters said:

    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    I think that's sufficient evidence to withdraw all my savings and lump it on Harris.
    It would be consistent with Harris outperforming in very white states. (See also Kansas, Iowa, Wisconsin and New Hampshire.)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    I live in a safe seat, but I find it hard to conceptualise what it must be like to be in such a solidly one sided area.

    Maybe I should move to Liverpool.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,713
    AnneJGP said:

    Went to see Macbeth at the Harold Pinter theatre with my son tonight - he's doing it for GCSE. It is the David Tennant production although he wasn't in it tonight- they seem to have been hit by a wave of illness and injuries and extraordinarily the show went ahead with five understudies in principal roles, including Macbeth and Lady Mabeth. It was still an excellent production with incredible use of sound and the audience gave a standing ovation to the stand-ins.
    Whatever happens to the world we'll always have Shakespeare.

    The most powerful play I've ever seen was a minimalist production of Macbeth by a tiny touring company. All the women wore long grey skirts & grey tops, all the men wore grey tracksuit bottoms & grey tops. They had a big badge to show who was king. The scenery was just boxes - grey cubes.

    That really allowed the words, the play itself, to speak for itself. So powerful you wouldn't believe. Utterly amazing.
    I still remember - after almost 25 years - a production of "Travels With My Aunt" that I saw in the Citizens Theatre in Glasgow. Basically no 'set' at all. Just three actors intertwining, lighting shifts, and (as I remember) some crepe paper leaves falling through green light.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,897
    RobD said:

    No needle on the NY Times yet. Any alternatives?

    I thought that was hit by the strike
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    edited November 5
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    Yes, John King has just been doing a similar analysis on CNN. Big caveats of course as it’s early days with tiny amounts of data.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,087
    edited November 5
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER
    If by that you mean Trump has decided he's been cheated out of the election you are right

    https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113432510587738535

    Avatar
    Donald J. Trump

    @realDonaldTrump

    A lot of talk about massive CHEATING in Philadelphia. Law Enforcement coming!!!

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/11/05/donald-trump-will-accept-election-result-if-it-is-fair/
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,031
    I should be more excited about this.

    But I'm not. Dunno why, as I have decent stakes on.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    Give me those straws to clutch PB!
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,790
    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    Trump vote share down 2, 3, 4 and 6% from an election that he didn’t win - Harris would take that.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,805
    Interesting swing on those early KY counties. But can’t extrapolate yet.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    Scott_xP said:

    RobD said:

    No needle on the NY Times yet. Any alternatives?

    I thought that was hit by the strike
    Yeah, they said they wouldn’t have it unless they were sure it’d work.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,607
    viewcode said:


    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER

    Please
    do not make jokes like that.
    Hey, viewcode, don't worry! Me and my squad of ultimate Kamala fans will protect you! Check it out! Independently targeting particle beam phalanx. WVAP! Fry half a Congressional district with this puppy. We got tactical smart missiles, phased plasma pulse rifles, RPGs, we got sonic electronic ball breakers! We got nukes, we got knives, sharp sticks, leaflets with dodgy bar charts...
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,031

    viewcode said:


    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER

    Please
    do not make jokes like that.
    Hey, viewcode, don't worry! Me and my squad of ultimate Kamala fans will protect you! Check it out! Independently targeting particle beam phalanx. WVAP! Fry half a Congressional district with this puppy. We got tactical smart missiles, phased plasma pulse rifles, RPGs, we got sonic electronic ball breakers! We got nukes, we got knives, sharp sticks, leaflets with dodgy bar charts...
    Knock it off, Sunil.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,824

    viewcode said:


    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Trump currently 63% ahead in KY. ;)

    IT'S ALL OVER

    Please
    do not make jokes like that.
    Hey, viewcode, don't worry! Me and my squad of ultimate Kamala fans will protect you! Check it out! Independently targeting particle beam phalanx. WVAP! Fry half a Congressional district with this puppy. We got tactical smart missiles, phased plasma pulse rifles, RPGs, we got sonic electronic ball breakers! We got nukes, we got knives, sharp sticks, leaflets with dodgy bar charts...
    NOT. HELPING. >:)
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,688
    Kentucky:

    Laurel: Trump 81 vs 83 last time
    Kenton : Trump 58.7 vs 58.5 last time
  • DumbosaurusDumbosaurus Posts: 777
    Ratters said:

    rcs1000 said:

    OK.

    Indiana four counties have reported numbers:



    In 2020, they were Trump +40, +49, +54, +50.

    Which means currently a very small swing to Harris.

    I think that's sufficient evidence to withdraw all my savings and lump it on Harris.
    max out credit cards too you fool
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    AnneJGP said:

    Went to see Macbeth at the Harold Pinter theatre with my son tonight - he's doing it for GCSE. It is the David Tennant production although he wasn't in it tonight- they seem to have been hit by a wave of illness and injuries and extraordinarily the show went ahead with five understudies in principal roles, including Macbeth and Lady Mabeth. It was still an excellent production with incredible use of sound and the audience gave a standing ovation to the stand-ins.
    Whatever happens to the world we'll always have Shakespeare.

    The most powerful play I've ever seen was a minimalist production of Macbeth by a tiny touring company. All the women wore long grey skirts & grey tops, all the men wore grey tracksuit bottoms & grey tops. They had a big badge to show who was king. The scenery was just boxes - grey cubes.

    That really allowed the words, the play itself, to speak for itself. So powerful you wouldn't believe. Utterly amazing.
    A bold move, utterly reliant on brilliant performances alone to carry it. Sounds like it paid off.
  • It will be highly entertaining if after all that Harris actually wins quite comfortably.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,688
    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    I guess issue is whether there is a disproportionate amount of mail in the numbers reported so far.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,595

    I should be more excited about this.

    But I'm not. Dunno why, as I have decent stakes on.

    That and the fact that the fate of Western Democracy rests on the outcome.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,897
    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    How can that be? I am currently seeing GOP talking heads on TV claiming they are delighted with the numbers they are seeing...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,467
    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Went to see Macbeth at the Harold Pinter theatre with my son tonight - he's doing it for GCSE. It is the David Tennant production although he wasn't in it tonight- they seem to have been hit by a wave of illness and injuries and extraordinarily the show went ahead with five understudies in principal roles, including Macbeth and Lady Mabeth. It was still an excellent production with incredible use of sound and the audience gave a standing ovation to the stand-ins.
    Whatever happens to the world we'll always have Shakespeare.

    The most powerful play I've ever seen was a minimalist production of Macbeth by a tiny touring company. All the women wore long grey skirts & grey tops, all the men wore grey tracksuit bottoms & grey tops. They had a big badge to show who was king. The scenery was just boxes - grey cubes.

    That really allowed the words, the play itself, to speak for itself. So powerful you wouldn't believe. Utterly amazing.
    A bold move, utterly reliant on brilliant performances alone to carry it. Sounds like it paid off.
    I saw Ian McKellen do it thirty odd years ago with everyone dressed as WWI generals in great coats etc.

    Not forgotten it even after all this time.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    rcs1000 said:

    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana

    Allen from Trump +11 to Trump +5.

    These are not good numbers for Trump at all.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,467

    It will be highly entertaining if after all that Harris actually wins quite comfortably.

    Is there a Farage Face webcam for this?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    rcs1000 said:

    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana

    Please don't be getting votes in the wrong places. Please don't be getting votes in the wrong places. Please don't ....
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    Trump underperforming 2020 in every Indiana county:


  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    rcs1000 said:

    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana

    How about Allen?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,492
    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    Caution though. Indiana is Mike Pence country so might be more bothered by democracy than the average MAGA voter.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    ….
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,595
    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    Those are just partial results so far though right?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,436

    ….

    Why do you post this a lot?
  • kle4 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana

    Please don't be getting votes in the wrong places. Please don't be getting votes in the wrong places. Please don't ....
    Well indeed, could Trump's vote be more efficient than previously 😬
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    MikeL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    I guess issue is whether there is a disproportionate amount of mail in the numbers reported so far.
    Don't know.
  • rcs1000 said:

    Trump underperforming 2020 in every Indiana county:


    Early days, but if I were Trump seeing those numbers I'd be rather nervous.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana

    Allen from Trump +11 to Trump +5.

    These are not good numbers for Trump at all.
    Yes, I can’t see how these help him, unless people just aren’t bothering here because the state is such a shoo-in. Dunno.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    What's the best site for results? I'm on CNN at the moment.
  • SagandSagand Posts: 38
    edited November 5
    If the votes counted so far are all by one method (early) or from a certain part of the county comparing to the full result of 2020 could still be biased. You need to be waiting until counties get to 90%+
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,622
    rcs1000 said:

    Trump underperforming 2020 in every Indiana county:


    I hesitate to offer what seems a fatuous explanation, but maybe there was a Pence-boost last time around which is now absent?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    RobD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    More in: Stueben has gone from Trump +42 to Trump +36

    Harris is definitely outperforming Trump in rural Indiana

    How about Allen?
    Allen was +11 Trump, now +5.

    Could be the Pence effect, of course.
  • Interesting numbers. Indiana has an abortion ban pending (has been tied up in the courts)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378

    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    Those are just partial results so far though right?
    I completely overlooked the % in column :lol:
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Andy_JS said:

    What's the best site for results? I'm on CNN at the moment.

    Me too. I wish they’d just keep John King on near permanently. (With perhaps a few updates from
    Abi!)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,031
    Andy_JS said:

    What's the best site for results? I'm on CNN at the moment.

    Not on freeview. But the British coverage is so shite I'm not even bothering with it.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,688
    CNN exit very good for Harris.

    Favourable opinion:

    Harris 46
    Trump 42
    Both 2
    Neither 8

    Who is too extreme?

    Harris 36
    Trump 47
    Both 8
    Neither 5
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    ….

    Why do you post this a lot?
    My vanilla just stores old messages so I have to clear it out fairly frequently. Sorry, I know it’s far from ideal.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,436
    John Bolton is on Sky News
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868

    ….

    Why do you post this a lot?
    My vanilla just stores old messages so I have to clear it out fairly frequently. Sorry, I know it’s far from ideal.
    Replace the post with a “.” and click save draft.
  • If this were a 2016 situation, my money would be on Trump.

    But Trump's been show for what he really is. Couldn't beat Biden, I do not think he will be beating Harris either.
  • RobD said:

    ….

    Why do you post this a lot?
    My vanilla just stores old messages so I have to clear it out fairly frequently. Sorry, I know it’s far from ideal.
    Replace the post with a “.” and click save draft.
    Or just delete your old drafts...
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,713
    For reasons that entirely escape me, I'm thinking of the closing scenes of The Cook, The Thief... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MvyIgTVbM7A
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,190
    Cookie said:

    It occurs to me that this is the 6th American presidential election pb.com has done, having been formed, IIRC, to have somewhere to discuss the 2004 election. Congrats again to OGH and team.

    While there's nothing much happening, flashback to November 2004:

    https://web.archive.org/web/20041104024323/http://www.politicalbetting.com/

    NB the betting for 2008, recorded on 3 November. Hilary Clinton favourite at 6-1, Rudy Giuliani 2nd at 7-1.


  • ….

    Why do you post this a lot?
    My vanilla just stores old messages so I have to clear it out fairly frequently. Sorry, I know it’s far from ideal.
    You know you can delete old drafts right
  • MattWMattW Posts: 22,723
    edited November 5
    It's interesting that the Rest is Politics ('Bad Al and Snory Rory') live feed is getting 80k viewers, whilst GB News is getting slightly over 2k.

    Oooops.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    edited November 5

    rcs1000 said:

    More in from Indiana:



    Wells was previously Trump +56
    Knox Trump +47

    So Trump is currently running 3-4 points behind where he was in Indiana across the board.

    Those are just partial results so far though right?
    I completely overlooked the % in column :lol:
    Never give any info coming in more than a glance, it makes every election night a wild ride, trust me.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,805
    First KEY RACE ALERT
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    edited November 5
    I'm tracking Indiana in real time here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fF5u9dkfyVkx4U83N87RKKHtal1VgAQyCq6tMne7PwI/edit?usp=sharing

    Trump is currently behind in every county
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,436

    John Bolton is on Sky News

    He voted for Pence :D
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,031
    Why are we still listening to Luntz? Because he spotted David Cameron was more popular in a focus group than David Davis in 2005?

    Is that it?
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