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Jenrick remains the favourite to succeed Sunak – politicalbetting.com
Jenrick remains the favourite to succeed Sunak – politicalbetting.com
Another day, another senior Tory being Islamophobic. Allahu Akbar means God is great – the Muslim equivalent of Hallelujah. Jenrick's confidence in going on national TV to say people should be arrested for saying Allahu Akbar exposes his deep-seated prejudice against Muslims. pic.twitter.com/2OtruSaTvG
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I suspect Jenrick will still have enough to get through the MPs, and his proposals will delight the membership. They love nothing more than completely unrealistic policy proposals that nonetheless make them feel good.
Although electing him will confirm to many people that the Tory party are the nasty party.
Maybe Honest and Farage could merge their respective parties.
Where do one nation Tories go?
My hope is that he campaigns in culture wars poetry and leads in centrist prose.
He was a centrist until Brexit/immigration radicalised him.
They blame this all on losing their dads to the MAGA movement, but if you listen to them, it’s clear that to a large extent they are the ones who have been radicalised and their dads have the same views they always had.
That will be the foundation of the second Starmer Government.
No chance of his getting my vote but I fear he'll win. What then after almost 50 years party membership?
Next week it's drinkkies with Mel.
The gentleman, former 1980s/90s MP Mr Alan Amos, is aiui the entire Conservative Group on Worcester City Council.
Here pedestrians, wheelers and cyclists (WWC) have been diverted down the shared footway on the A449 because a bridge on their preferred alternative route has collapsed, and cones then temporary bollards to protect WWCs are being installed, plus a temporary 30mph limit.
Councillor Amos' complaint is that said cones and bollards are a safety risk for lorries. He has a reputation as a bit of a wedge-driving politician where cycling in particular is concerned.
If there was a useful safety related argument that addressed all the relevant questions to be made here, one could understand it. As it is, I just don't understand where they find them.
https://www.worcesternews.co.uk/news/24488133.a449-malvern-road-cycle-path-cones-cyclists-dismount/
Let’s face it, none of the candidates is Augustus Caesar, they all have grave flaws. Badenoch is flimsy, Patel is widely disliked, Tugendhat is Who?
This guy probably has the fewest flaws. He’s young, articulate, not posh - self made. He looks vaguely prime ministerial and he’s quite right wing without being Suella, voters may like that
Also, it will drive the Corbynite anti-Semites mad if both the PM and the LOTO have “Zio” wives. So it’s worth doing for that alone
He (or someone in the government) thought of a wizard wheeze. They would ban the saying of certain words as evil, offensive and racist. Chief among them was the "N" word to describe people of an African origin.
This ran straight into the problem that (aside from requiring the banning of every Quentin Tarantino film and much of hip hop) a large number of young gentlemen of African origin and affecting a certain cultural milieu, use this word. What to do? How to define who is allowed to say the dread word?
I was out, half drunk, with some friends, in Westminster. We fell into conversation with some junior lawyers who had been tasked with finding a solution to this problem by their seniors - apparently their firm had ties to the government and they'd been asked to help out.
Smelling suckers, I offered myself assistance. And suggested that the number of grandparents was the A1 solution.
They loved the idea and thought it was great. Fortunately, my friends managed to talk them out of it.
They misremember a "better" country / world that never quite existed which they wish to return to.
In fact I think we should all do it, as a protest against the riots (by all sides)
At 5pm sharp every able-bodied PB-er should gather at his/her window and throw water-filled jimmy hats at bemused bypassers, then after a few minutes we should stop, and return to our normal lives, without offering any explanation for our behaviour
An evening with Mel Stride would seem to be a far more composed event.
Educate yourself.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catholic_emancipation
It's remarkable what you can get people to agree with, presented right.
Will the rump Conservative membership really swallow this stuff?
Physicists Pinpoint the Quantum Origin of the Greenhouse Effect
https://www.quantamagazine.org/physicists-pinpoint-the-quantum-origin-of-the-greenhouse-effect-20240807/
(Though Fermi resonance, as its name implies, has been known about for rather longer.)
Battle of Kursk 2 on the cards
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/08/07/ukraine-launches-biggest-cross-border-raid-into-russia/
But they perhaps don’t need to be. They need a period of rebuilding and shoring up their right flank.
In all actuality a lot of this will depend on how Labour are perceived by mid term as to whether there is then a push for power of if it’s just a case of putting in a credible performance at the next GE.
Don't know how I held a straight face as she performed micro-surgery on said fruit.
Also persuaded the Wife that horseradish was named after the "whore's radish", as ladies of the night used to slice it and use it as a barrier contraceptive.
And don't get me started on how the hua-hua is still the currency of Hawaii...sold to a gullible banker.
It's not a 'gotcha'; it's objecting to this piece of stupidity
I think my inspiration has always been...
Has it ever struck you, Dick, that ecclesiastical language has a most sinister sound? I knew some of the words, though not their meaning, but I knew that my audience would be just as ignorant. So I had a magnificent peroration. ‘Will you men of Kilclavers,’ I asked, ‘endure to see a chasuble set up in your marketplace? Will you have your daughters sold into simony? Will you have celibacy practised in the public streets?’ Gad, I had them all on their feet bellowing ‘Never!’ ”
EDIT: Sometimes I regret talking the MP *out* of the peanuts-for-biofuel scheme.
https://x.com/BBCr4today/status/1821133803923939803?t=JWVFloTzqNLkZFMdwCbKJQ&s=19
So he probably will do well in the contest despite or even because of his remarks.
On the other hand since the boys in Belfast have decide to do joint rioting, could I interest you in a bowler hat \ balaclava combo ?
What makes Harris and Walz so difficult for him is that they are not tainted by it and in many ways do project an image of the more self-confident America of the 1990s.
Comically cruel (painting over kids murals), open to a bit of sleaze (the Richard Desmond affair), happy to help himself to the perks of office (hundred grand in expenses for his _third_ house) and thinks he's above the law (lockdown breaking).
I can only assume he's being touted as Tory leader because either a) the demented fools who are still card-carrying Conservative members think The New Statesman was a documentary or b) he's a ringer for BoJo, who plans to come back in a by election in a couple of years time and take over the party.
As I've said before, if Jenrick is the answer, really, what is the question?
I draw the line at wearing sandals, that is a red line for me.
No one ever though Hillary was fun; this lot can be.
He's still trying to work out how to respond.
If Jenrick is the answer, then wtf is the question?
Tories heading for sub 100 if they make this xenophobe their leader. The Tories as a Reform tribute act will end in tears! It’s obvious that some of the right wing fruit loops on here can’t see this!
Chasing Farage is a mug's game. The threat from the LibDems hoovering up the remaining Home Counties seats (backbone of the Tory party since Lord Salisbury) is far more existential.
I am against anyone being told they can't say something on the street. I don’t think it is quite as simple as saying hallelujah. That is usually a prelude to nothing more sinister than a sermon.
Tugendhat > Badenoch > Cleverly > Stride > Jenrick > Patel
To clarify I base this on nothing other than gut instinct. But I say this as a member of no party and swing voter (between Lib Dem and Tory). Frankly all of them have made mistakes, some more recently than others.
- Tugendhat I think is likely to have the most appeal beyond usual Tory voters and has an 'unimpeachable' sort of vibe (equivalent to Starmer's but without Starmer's somewhat grating sanctimony) that would help to turn the page on the old regime.
- Badenoch would appear to be the one Labour fears the most (hence they have unleashed upon her their deadliest servant, Pippa Crerar). She is more interesting than both her fans and detractors would perhaps admit; a so-called 'right wing culture warrior' who defends the Equality Act in its current form, and then clearly articulates why; and a Eurosceptic who is willing to confront ERG hardliners. But she gets into so many arguments that she presents a potential risk. Also was a prominent player in the old regime.
- Cleverly has the vibes of an emollient Ken Clarke type and a self-effacing sense of humour. This has a certain appeal but his jokes have got him in trouble in the past.
- Stride is, to most of us who are not insiders, a completely unkown quantity. Could go either way but I suspect the reaction would be a general 'meh'.
- Jenrick has narrowed his appeal with barmy statements and proposals such as this one. A former Cameroon with all the zealoutry of a new convert.
- The public has already made their mind up about Patel and she appears to be the most disliked of the bunch. The fact that Crerar devotes no time to the rather more substantial allegations surrounding her time in office tells you all you need to know about how little Labour fears Patel as an opponent.
Robert Service"
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/britains-rioters-have-acted-like-bolsheviks/
In reality we aren’t going to have a Tory winning machine for a couple of cycles as too much needs to be fixed so rather than deserting the field and leaving it to the right right stay and be ready to drag it back to sanity.
Once Reform has been vanquished and the Conservatives have become the only credible party of the right, then they can tack back again towards the centre.
But what does he expect exactly? He sounded like a reasonable man, so surely doesn't agree with mobs of thugs trying to unleash a pogrom on muslims and ethnic minorities. So what exactly does he object to about Starmer saying the full force of the law should be brought down on the rioters? Should it not? Should Starmer say "I feel your pain" and endorse them?
Presumably he wants the government to reduce immigration. They have a policy on immigration and asylum, we've just gone through an election where it was there in their manifesto. Current immigration levels are a result of Tory policy. What more does he want? Again, he seemed a reasonable man, so presumably is not in favour of repatriation.
All these conversations take place as if the people at the centre of this - migrants and people with different skin colour or religion - don't exist as people. That we should "take account of concerns" that essentially say to a large group of our own citizens that they are not welcome. I wish the BBC in particular would bring a bit more to the forefront the lives and experiences of the people caught up in the middle of this, particularly refugees stuck in those hotels and reception centres who must find the whole thing pretty frightening.
Hopefully that will not be the choice - not that I hav a vote anyway.
There is more to the allegations that he is greedy and the like, but then he's a Tory, greed is to Tories as canting hypocrisy is to Labour. Also, crucially, his greed has made him a rich man, through his own hard work. He is NOT an Old Etonian, he is NOT Rishi the Billionaire
Also, and finally, the Tories need to be thinking about how to fight the next war, not the last one. They really DO need those Reform voters to return, who is likely to do that, without alienating the centre right?
It will HAVE to be someone firm on immigration, because - sadly - this pivotal issue is going to dominate from now on, along with the economy
The Tories have no great choices, Jenrick seems the least bad. Tories should ignore lefties advising them to become like the Lib Dems, that advice is either disingenuous or clueless
What's more, Labour are gonna gift the Tories the opportunity to do all this in one term, by being mega-woke, shite on the economy, probably even worse on the boats, probably as bad on migration, and generally very annoying and whiny
Starmer only got 24% on a 60% turnout. He is not popular, and he will grow much less popular as all this emerges. Amazingly, the Tories will have a real chance in 2028. But first - as you correctly identify - they have to strangle the Reform viper
And that might be the next point of controversy for two tier Keir. The rioters are being sent down while the Swiftie-killer is still on remand. And what of airport head-stamp man, both the copper and the two who attacked the police? It's all on video so why is no-one in court?
If its not Jenrick, it should be Badenoch. I quite like Patel but she is obviously not liked by trillions of my fellow Brits, so it's pointless
My fear is that Badenoch is a kind of featherweight ideologue. She's a thinker, she's not a politician. She's brittle and intellectual and a bit globalist. A kind of Davos woman of the right. She's an addition to the party, but leader? No
However she'd be my second choice. if the Tories go for Cleverly or Tugendhat they are admitting defeat in the next election, too, and also risking destruction by Reform
You need a leader like Pierre Poilievre in Canada who is a grumpy sod but ruthlessly attacks Trudeau's policy - Trudeau of course has been in Government a lot longer then Starmer.
As an aside, he rarely mentions what he would do were he to be Canada's next Prime Minister but that worked well for Starmer in all fairness.
@christinafinn8
Taoiseach Simon Harris says the era of self regulation by social media companies is over
He’s prepared to meet Elon Musk and other social media company execs to discuss Irish government plans for financial sanctions and personal liabilities for failing to remove harmful content
https://x.com/christinafinn8/status/1821149335028990404
Brisk justice is all very bracing, but again, is it two tier, Sir Kier?
Very pleased my wife and my diamond wedding celebrations were in May though our daughter in law is visiting us in October on her way home from an international tourism conference in Portugal