Election night guide – politicalbetting.com
Election night guide – politicalbetting.com
As we all await the bong at 10:00 PM, I’ve prepped up a few spreadsheets that will try and sort the wheat from the chaff.
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Happy Treason Day you bunch of ungrateful colonials.
Who won't fall?
Slalom Sir Keir seems ever so aptly named to ride it all the way to Number Ten
I voted Labour by post down in Newton Abbot last week.
p.s. @Farooq lol. I feel a bit queasy about trying to badger someone, especially a friend, over how to vote. End of the day each person needs to make up their own mind. So you won’t find me saying VOTE LABOUR Oh ...
Democracy in action, and the UK should be proud of it.
My nerves normally can't handle betting on the night.
A very memorable day today either way.
Incidentally, I have a prediction spreadsheet which I might post later on if people are interested. The more the merrier I suppose when it comes to election night spreadsheets!
"To be honest it isn’t about me but about ‘YOU.’"
https://www.reformparty.uk/south-west-norfolk-constituency
Vote Count Binface - because that hand dryer really does need to be relocated.
But I may open the Filey Bay single malt
Who would not ?
I'll probably be drinking Kraken which is my go to normally, but I might go for a different rum.
The header should come with a trigger warning. That picture of Clegg with 10 seats takes me back to a thoroughly depressing night of hat eating.
What’s my biggest fear today? Probably not a huge Tory recovery to be largest party, I think that’s probably now beyond them, but a stronger than expected showing by Reform and seats in parliament, and a sense that perhaps, like in 2016, we are heading slowly towards what France is now experiencing.
"Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
PRITI PATEL"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/
"The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
ALLISTER HEATH"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/
"Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
CON COUGHLIN"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/
- Labour to clean up in Scotland
- Tories to overperform on seats (100+, if that counts as overperforming)
- Reform vote not to materialise
- Lib Dems to punish Tories in any seat containing a Gail's and/or a Jojo Maman Bebe
He was cheerleader for Brexit, BoZo, and all the madness that ensued.
His column today? "The Tories must not embrace Faragism..."
Better late than never?
Bowling pavilion I think is 7/10 on the whimsical-polling-place-o-meter. I’m sure someone here can easily beat that.
And the ones obsessing over woke appear to be their comment section.
For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.
1) Only one photo per post
2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.
Tactical vote for the LDs. Mrs. P. says she did the same. If North Dorset falls, the Tories are toast and we'll have played our part.
Happy election day everyone!
But I will hold to my official prediction anyway
A historic day awaits Keir Starmer, labour and their supporters as they achieve an astonishing landslide win after just 5 years since an 80 seat conservative victory
I am certain all those associated with labour will have a wonderful feeling later tonight and tomorrow and as many say it does not come round for Labour too often
I wish Starmer good luck as he enters no 10, and to the conservatives you have let everyone down with your tribal internal wars, behaviour, and idiotic membership, and I hope that one day we will have a one nation conservative party again
I note that Starmer has said the UK will not rejoin the EU within his lifetime, much to the anger of some and even suggestions once he is in office he will change his mind
On this I think Starmer has it right, not least because there isn't a mechanism to rejoin without a manifesto promise and good majority as per this years GE or another referendum, but then on what terms and would a confirmation vote be required to accept those terms
The other unknown is just where the UK and EU will be in the next few years and have other opportunities arisen like Macron's outer EU group which I believe is meeting in London shortly with Starmer as host
It would be interesting, at some time post the election, if someone more attune to this subject could write a thread for a good discussion on the future of the UK both outside and inside the EU
Anyway, I will catch the exit poll tonight and then have a good night's sleep before enjoying breakfast and surveying the new interesting political landscape
Er, Lab = 1, LDs = 2...
Oxymoronic from Heath.
"Emma Raducanu says she did not know general election vote was on Thursday
At a press conference, Raducanu was asked if she would vote before practising on Thursday, and if she would keep an eye on the general election in the evening. “No,” she replied, smiling. “I think I’ll have a lie-in, then I’ll come to practise.
“I didn’t even know it was tomorrow, to be honest! Thanks for letting me know.”"
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/article/2024/jul/03/emma-raducanu-claims-ignorance-of-general-election-and-says-she-will-lie-in
Have you voted yet ?
I'm tempted to try Aber Fells simply because of this review (on Sainsburys)
A complete imposter
This is not whisky, it is more like an unidentifiable fruit flavoured fortified beverage. I am of the opinion that the distiller/blender should stick to singing or rugby.
Those Lib Dems Alistair?
I did St Paul's which was festooned with green stake-boards and posters. It's difficult to stay grounded and remember that you can't tell what's going to happen from within a campaign: it feels SO much like a Green win.
Then back across the border to vote Labour in North Somerset.
Shattered already and there's nearly 24 hours to go.
Compliments to all of you who are fighting for your beliefs today. Bravo.
I have a bottle of Woods 100 for emergencies.
Win or lose you are supporting democracy.
*Except Reform, you Putin shills can fuck right off.
Edit Also applies to Galloway's mob.
https://www.politico.eu/article/french-government-spokesperson-attacked-while-campaigning/
For those voting today, don't forget your ID.
Hurrah for democracy!
I’m going back to sleep
The first 2 are for earlier in the evening when fewer are in play.
I was looking back at last polling night and I don't even remember writing this piece, published 01:49am, although I do vaguely remember that I had to write something. Anyway, turns out for a frantic first take it hasn't aged too badly!
https://x.com/rafaelbehr/status/1808758089534906785
"Crushed like a rose
In the river flow
I am, I know"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UlYwBdo_e8
You should read it, it may inspire you to make another career move.