Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

Election night guide – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 11,917
edited July 7 in General
imageElection night guide – politicalbetting.com

As we all await the bong at 10:00 PM, I’ve prepped up a few spreadsheets that will try and sort the wheat from the chaff.

Read the full story here

«134567

Comments

  • Options
    mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,449
    That's great! Thanks.
  • Options
    BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 5,451
    The avalanche election is upon us

    Who won't fall?

    Slalom Sir Keir seems ever so aptly named to ride it all the way to Number Ten
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,072
    edited July 4
    Anyway off to RHS Wisley. Beautiful morning for it.

    I voted Labour by post down in Newton Abbot last week.

    p.s. @Farooq lol. I feel a bit queasy about trying to badger someone, especially a friend, over how to vote. End of the day each person needs to make up their own mind. So you won’t find me saying VOTE LABOUR Oh ...
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 20,296
    Thank you Pulpstar and to everyone betting today good luck and I hope its profitable.

    My nerves normally can't handle betting on the night.

    A very memorable day today either way.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,280
    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707

    To our American posters.

    Happy Treason Day you bunch of ungrateful colonials.

    What dio you expect with a bunch of Stuarts and Hanoverians? No wonder.
  • Options
    TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,228
    Telegraph outdoing itself today with both Your wealth is about to be surrendered to socialist Starmer and Revealed: all the ways Labour could tax your family home.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,399
    Andy_JS said:

    Nigelb said:

    Heathener said:

    maxh said:

    J.
    Also notable that noone asked me for ID.

    Wow!! Really?

    I’m heartened to hear that.
    The lady at the door asked us if we had ID, but no one asked to see it.
    I was second in the queue at 6.55; as I left at 6.02 there were around seven or eight waiting.

    I doubt the numbers voting first thing mean a lot. It's how many still queuing in the evening.
    Well, it's supposed to be compulsory that you do show ID, so I'm not sure what was going on there.
    The election staff have decided to throw off their fascist overlords?
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,399

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Any blend from Lidl :s
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 20,296
    Andy_JS said:

    Thanks Pulpstar.

    Incidentally, I have a prediction spreadsheet which I might post later on if people are interested. The more the merrier I suppose when it comes to election night spreadsheets!

    There is nobody here from 2016 who will ever say no to one of your spreadsheets Andy!
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    If it's not a single malt, then Famous Grouse perhaps.
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 9,946
    August 22nd is the first big hurdle for PM Starmer, he sneaks past Mary Elizabeth as shortest serving PM
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246
    This is a bit scary from the Reform candidate in Liz Truss's seat.

    "To be honest it isn’t about me but about ‘YOU.’"

    https://www.reformparty.uk/south-west-norfolk-constituency
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Any blend from Lidl :s
    They do occasionally come up with the real goods. But I've not been keeping tabs (still have some of my late dad's Scottish Malt Whisky collection so no need).
  • Options
    MisterBedfordshireMisterBedfordshire Posts: 1,762

    Telegraph outdoing itself today with both Your wealth is about to be surrendered to socialist Starmer and Revealed: all the ways Labour could tax your family home.

    It and the mail read like a Private Eye pdrody of them.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 51,731

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    If it’s your last hurrah then go to Waitrose and buy a bottle of the proper stuff.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 16,372
    Great work @Pulpstar
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Can you get Talisker in supermarkets? That's one of the best ones.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707

    Telegraph outdoing itself today with both Your wealth is about to be surrendered to socialist Starmer and Revealed: all the ways Labour could tax your family home.

    Oh? How much is the Foreskin Tax going to be, that we've been warned about for weeks now by our Tories?
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707

    I forgot to tell PB that yesterday I was offered and accepted a Newly Qualified solicitor job at my current firm, starting in September. Career change (which some of you might remember) very nearly complete. :)

    Excellent.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 34,982

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Surely the only drink tonight is Kir Royale
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,194

    To our American posters.

    Happy Treason Day you bunch of ungrateful colonials.

    The way things have turned out, we were wise to let them go.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 26,553

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    I will have a dram of either Johnnie Walker Blue or Double Black.

    But I may open the Filey Bay single malt
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 26,763

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Any blend from Lidl :s
    At eighteen quid for a malt you can't go wrong. Not a drinker these days but the Islay is smoother.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 65,900

    Andy_JS said:

    Nigelb said:

    Heathener said:

    maxh said:

    J.
    Also notable that noone asked me for ID.

    Wow!! Really?

    I’m heartened to hear that.
    The lady at the door asked us if we had ID, but no one asked to see it.
    I was second in the queue at 6.55; as I left at 6.02 there were around seven or eight waiting.

    I doubt the numbers voting first thing mean a lot. It's how many still queuing in the evening.
    Well, it's supposed to be compulsory that you do show ID, so I'm not sure what was going on there.
    The election staff have decided to throw off their fascist overlords?
    They clearly trusted our assurances that we did indeed carry ID.
    Who would not ?
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,770
    Brilliant. Thanks Pulp.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,770

    I forgot to tell PB that yesterday I was offered and accepted a Newly Qualified solicitor job at my current firm, starting in September. Career change (which some of you might remember) very nearly complete. :)

    Congrats sir. Good to see all that hard work paying off.
  • Options
    LloydBanksLloydBanks Posts: 44

    Thank you Pulpstar and to everyone betting today good luck and I hope its profitable.

    My nerves normally can't handle betting on the night.

    A very memorable day today either way.

    Same - I will let all mine ride out from now on. Best of luck to all PoliticalBettors!
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860

    To our American posters.

    Happy Treason Day you bunch of ungrateful colonials.

    Ah but it is traditional to celebrate the bashing of the Tories today, no?
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 20,296
    I think I might be the only non-teetotaller on this site who doesn't actually like whisky.

    I'll probably be drinking Kraken which is my go to normally, but I might go for a different rum.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    Nigelb said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Nigelb said:

    Heathener said:

    maxh said:

    J.
    Also notable that noone asked me for ID.

    Wow!! Really?

    I’m heartened to hear that.
    The lady at the door asked us if we had ID, but no one asked to see it.
    I was second in the queue at 6.55; as I left at 6.02 there were around seven or eight waiting.

    I doubt the numbers voting first thing mean a lot. It's how many still queuing in the evening.
    Well, it's supposed to be compulsory that you do show ID, so I'm not sure what was going on there.
    The election staff have decided to throw off their fascist overlords?
    They clearly trusted our assurances that we did indeed carry ID.
    Who would not ?
    The Freudian brought their id. Chaos ensued.
  • Options
    TimSTimS Posts: 11,410
    Good morning all. I wake with a sense of regret that I miss out on todays ritual because I already sent off a postal vote; a deep fatigue after being woken by the police ringing the doorbell at 4.30 asking if we knew a small child that had been found wandering the neighbouring street; and with a deep sense of trepidation and fear of the worst that I always get on general election nights.

    The header should come with a trigger warning. That picture of Clegg with 10 seats takes me back to a thoroughly depressing night of hat eating.

    What’s my biggest fear today? Probably not a huge Tory recovery to be largest party, I think that’s probably now beyond them, but a stronger than expected showing by Reform and seats in parliament, and a sense that perhaps, like in 2016, we are heading slowly towards what France is now experiencing.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 65,900

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Whatever single malt they have the best offer on. They usually have at least a couple with mega discounts if you have a loyalty card, and just about any malt is a lot nicer than the generic blends.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246
    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 34,982
    TimS said:

    What’s my biggest fear today? Probably not a huge Tory recovery to be largest party, I think that’s probably now beyond them, but a stronger than expected showing by Reform and seats in parliament, and a sense that perhaps, like in 2016, we are heading slowly towards what France is now experiencing.

    Iain Martin has penned a column in The Times today.

    He was cheerleader for Brexit, BoZo, and all the madness that ensued.

    His column today? "The Tories must not embrace Faragism..."

    Better late than never?
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 26,763
    ...
    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    Thanks Andy, I'll bear all that in mind when I vote
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 65,900
    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    The Telegraph will overnight become an irrelevance (or rather, more so than it already is).
    And the ones obsessing over woke appear to be their comment section.
  • Options
    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,714
    Haven`t seen any pensioners at the polling station. Only working age mumsy types.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033
    SMukesh said:

    Haven`t seen any pensioners at the polling station. Only working age mumsy types.

    The demographic code for those is MILFs.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 65,900

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    Even if you ate your ballot paper in protest ?
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 11,588

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What about it I eat a dog at a polling station?
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 9,946
    edited July 4
    So I posted my prediction yesterday, but my general thinking at the moment is that overall swing will be 12 to 13% with swing locally up to 20%. I think the MRPs are overdoing proportional swing as is baxter so seat count will be a little higher for the Tories than modelled. 150 seats on a 38 25 final score (e.g.) would not be an unreasonable expectation I think so towards that figure. Nearer 150 than 100, if they GOTV then 1997 or very slightly above.
    But I will hold to my official prediction anyway
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,194
    Nigelb said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    The Telegraph will overnight become an irrelevance (or rather, more so than it already is).
    And the ones obsessing over woke appear to be their comment section.
    However much time passes, you're never old enough to read the Telegraph.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 26,763
    SMukesh said:

    Haven`t seen any pensioners at the polling station. Only working age mumsy types.

    All the mums getting in early to vote out VAT on private schools.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,280

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What if I am eating the Tories for dinner?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What if I am eating the Tories for dinner?
    Excluded.
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 20,296
    algarkirk said:

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What about it I eat a dog at a polling station?
    So long as its not a hot dog that should be quite interesting to see.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 51,731

    I forgot to tell PB that yesterday I was offered and accepted a Newly Qualified solicitor job at my current firm, starting in September. Career change (which some of you might remember) very nearly complete. :)

    Well in that case definitely buy a bottle of the proper stuff!! Congratulations.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 33,915
    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state

    Er, Lab = 1, LDs = 2...

    Oxymoronic from Heath.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033
    algarkirk said:

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What about it I eat a dog at a polling station?
    IanB2 would be on your case.
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 9,946
    I revealed to sister woolie the MRPs. She's in Broadland and Fakenham and slightly excited her vote might actually make a difference for once!
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246
    edited July 4
    Young people today.

    "Emma Raducanu says she did not know general election vote was on Thursday

    At a press conference, Raducanu was asked if she would vote before practising on Thursday, and if she would keep an eye on the general election in the evening. “No,” she replied, smiling. “I think I’ll have a lie-in, then I’ll come to practise.

    “I didn’t even know it was tomorrow, to be honest! Thanks for letting me know.”"

    https://www.theguardian.com/sport/article/2024/jul/03/emma-raducanu-claims-ignorance-of-general-election-and-says-she-will-lie-in
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 65,900
    Good morning Big_G.
    Have you voted yet ?
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 26,553
    edited July 4
    Nigelb said:

    I’m going to treat myself to a little bottle of supermarket whisky for tonights celebrations before Keith taxes my income into oblivion. Any suggestions?

    Whatever single malt they have the best offer on. They usually have at least a couple with mega discounts if you have a loyalty card, and just about any malt is a lot nicer than the generic blends.
    Don't go for the best offer all the time - Talisker Skye is on offer at Tesco for a reason (it's awful).

    I'm tempted to try Aber Fells simply because of this review (on Sainsburys)

    A complete imposter
    This is not whisky, it is more like an unidentifiable fruit flavoured fortified beverage. I am of the opinion that the distiller/blender should stick to singing or rugby.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033

    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state

    Er, Lab = 1, LDs = 2...

    Oxymoronic from Heath.
    The Lib Dems that went into coalition with the Tories?

    Those Lib Dems Alistair?
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,399
    .

    I forgot to tell PB that yesterday I was offered and accepted a Newly Qualified solicitor job at my current firm, starting in September. Career change (which some of you might remember) very nearly complete. :)

    FANTASTIC NEWS! Congratulations!!!
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 9,946

    I forgot to tell PB that yesterday I was offered and accepted a Newly Qualified solicitor job at my current firm, starting in September. Career change (which some of you might remember) very nearly complete. :)

    Splendid., congrats!!
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 46,743

    I think I might be the only non-teetotaller on this site who doesn't actually like whisky.

    I'll probably be drinking Kraken which is my go to normally, but I might go for a different rum.

    Dark Matter is rather good.

    I have a bottle of Woods 100 for emergencies.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 33,915

    I think I might be the only non-teetotaller on this site who doesn't actually like whisky.

    I'll probably be drinking Kraken which is my go to normally, but I might go for a different rum.

    I won't stay awake if I drink tonight, saving myself fo a (hopefully) celebratory dinner tomorrow night: bottle of English fizz and I have a nice Amarone lined up too.
  • Options
    TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,228

    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state

    Er, Lab = 1, LDs = 2...

    Oxymoronic from Heath.
    Not necessarily. Labour can probably afford to lend LD enough "defectors" to bring them up to second largest party, and run a sock puppet opposition.
  • Options
    Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 627
    I think Labour will get rid of the ability to avoid IHT by passing the house on to your children.
  • Options
    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,701

    algarkirk said:

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What about it I eat a dog at a polling station?
    So long as its not a hot dog that should be quite interesting to see.
    Bringing back memories of Michelle Bachmann and the Iowa State Fair Corn Dog incident. Google Michelle Bachmann Corn Dog if you haven’t seen it b4.
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 20,296
    Foxy said:

    I think I might be the only non-teetotaller on this site who doesn't actually like whisky.

    I'll probably be drinking Kraken which is my go to normally, but I might go for a different rum.

    Dark Matter is rather good.

    I have a bottle of Woods 100 for emergencies.
    Not tried either of those yet, thanks for the tip.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 33,915
    Farooq said:

    I don't think I understand the spreadsheet linked to in the header. It doesn't seem to have all the constituencies on there. E.g. I can't see ANME.

    Sheet one is only the early declarations I believe.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 61,210
    Nigelb said:

    Good morning Big_G.
    Have you voted yet ?

    10 days ago in our postal votes
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246
    "Prisca Thevenot, Macronist spokeswoman, has been attacked in her seat in Hauts de Seine 8eme. She got away unscathed but one of her team has been hospitalised with a broken jaw."

    https://www.politico.eu/article/french-government-spokesperson-attacked-while-campaigning/
  • Options
    TimSTimS Posts: 11,410
    Andy_JS said:

    Young people today.

    "Emma Raducanu says she did not know general election vote was on Thursday

    At a press conference, Raducanu was asked if she would vote before practising on Thursday, and if she would keep an eye on the general election in the evening. “No,” she replied, smiling. “I think I’ll have a lie-in, then I’ll come to practise.

    “I didn’t even know it was tomorrow, to be honest! Thanks for letting me know.”"

    https://www.theguardian.com/sport/article/2024/jul/03/emma-raducanu-claims-ignorance-of-general-election-and-says-she-will-lie-in

    Shame, because she’d obviously be a Lib Dem.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707
    Andy_JS said:

    Cheery headlines in the Telegraph.

    "Labour’s plan for Britain should terrify us all
    I understand some may be tempted to back Reform, but doing so would help put Starmer into No 10
    PRITI PATEL"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/labours-plan-for-britain-should-terrify-us-all/

    "The UK is about to enter a nightmare much darker than anyone yet realises
    A Labour landslide with the Lib Dems as the official opposition will turn us into a Left-wing one party state
    ALLISTER HEATH"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/03/uk-to-enter-nightmare-much-darker-than-anyone-realises/

    "Britain is in danger of becoming a global irrelevance
    A Starmer government will obsess over woke priorities abroad while jeopardising our alliance with the US
    CON COUGHLIN"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/04/britain-is-in-danger-of-becoming-a-global-irrelevance/

    That last one in particular is a good joke, after the last decade.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,399
    Farooq said:

    I don't think I understand the spreadsheet linked to in the header. It doesn't seem to have all the constituencies on there. E.g. I can't see ANME.

    Row 528 on the final sheet
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,639
    Not a great night's sleep last night. Makes tonight more of a challenge. But I will do my best.

    For those voting today, don't forget your ID.
  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 51,186
    Congrats to everyone for anything!!

    Hurrah for democracy!

    I’m going back to sleep
  • Options
    mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,449

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What about photos of Michael Fabricant captioned "Cometh the hour?"
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246
    JamesF said:

    50,000 of these have been hand delivered in Bristol Central this morning.



    I did St Paul's which was festooned with green stake-boards and posters. It's difficult to stay grounded and remember that you can't tell what's going to happen from within a campaign: it feels SO much like a Green win.

    Then back across the border to vote Labour in North Somerset.

    Shattered already and there's nearly 24 hours to go.

    Compliments to all of you who are fighting for your beliefs today. Bravo.

    I suspect it'll be less than 1,000 votes either way, and there'll be a recount to establish the winner.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033
    Damn this abscess as I am denied the opportunity to knock up the voters today.
  • Options
    TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,228
    Nunu5 said:

    I think Labour will get rid of the ability to avoid IHT by passing the house on to your children.

    No chance. This is the number one issue for millions of Tory all their life, first time labour voters. He would lose them like con have lost the red wall. Lifetime transfers will go first
  • Options
    mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,449
    Farooq said:

    I don't think I understand the spreadsheet linked to in the header. It doesn't seem to have all the constituencies on there. E.g. I can't see ANME.

    Only the 3rd one has all constituencies, but it struggles a bit.

    The first 2 are for earlier in the evening when fewer are in play.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033
    mwadams said:

    Site notice.

    For today and tomorrow I am lifting the one photo a day limit but on the following conditions.

    1) Only one photo per post

    2) The extra photo allowance must be election related. So no photos of what you had for lunch.

    What about photos of Michael Fabricant captioned "Cometh the hour?"
    Yes.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 30,246
    Farooq said:

    I don't think I understand the spreadsheet linked to in the header. It doesn't seem to have all the constituencies on there. E.g. I can't see ANME.

    Scheduled to be declared around 4:45am, number 526 out of 650.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 34,982
    @rafaelbehr

    I was looking back at last polling night and I don't even remember writing this piece, published 01:49am, although I do vaguely remember that I had to write something. Anyway, turns out for a frantic first take it hasn't aged too badly!

    https://x.com/rafaelbehr/status/1808758089534906785
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,399
    Foxy said:

    I think I might be the only non-teetotaller on this site who doesn't actually like whisky.

    I'll probably be drinking Kraken which is my go to normally, but I might go for a different rum.

    Dark Matter is rather good.

    I have a bottle of Woods 100 for emergencies.
    Dark Matter? Better than "rather good". And rather apt for today's events if you are a Tory

    "Crushed like a rose
    In the river flow
    I am, I know"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UlYwBdo_e8
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 41,707

    Damn this abscess as I am denied the opportunity to knock up the voters today.

    Did you ever tell us *where* it was? Asking out of a spirit of scientific curiosity. No need to tell us if you haven't, though if it is a pilonidal one they are apparently real bastards.
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,146
    I’ve made the sensible decision to only watch the first few results tonight as I’m heading away for the weekend tomorrow morning. . Hoping Broxbourne doesn’t end up in recount territory and declares by 1:30 ish as I used to be highly involved down there and would like to know how it goes.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 117,033

    I forgot to tell PB that yesterday I was offered and accepted a Newly Qualified solicitor job at my current firm, starting in September. Career change (which some of you might remember) very nearly complete. :)

    I've got a lawyer themed thread coming up this afternoon.

    You should read it, it may inspire you to make another career move.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,639
    SMukesh said:

    Haven`t seen any pensioners at the polling station. Only working age mumsy types.

    Vote early, letch often!
This discussion has been closed.