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A quarrel in a far away country, between people of whom we know nothing – politicalbetting.com
A quarrel in a far away country, between people of whom we know nothing – politicalbetting.com
Labour voters tend to think that Keir Starmer has badly handled the party's response to Israel/PalestineWell: 25%Badly: 42%https://t.co/DYftHk3rMp pic.twitter.com/S90UDoRL7B
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Hence to win the election he is targeting the latter assuming the former have nowhere else to go but a protest vote for the Greens or SNP in safe Labour or SNP seats
Sir K has an impossible task, though slightly easier because he has no power. His essential coalition of voters includes millions of Tory voters, and any hint of Corbynism, the friend of Hamas, will lose them in numbers. The votes he needs are split into: Don't know, don't care, Israel preferred, plague on both, support both equally, Palestinians preferred, Hamas preferred.
Even without this multiple dilemma no policy is coherent or sustainable; with that fact in play he can only engage in damage limitation. Good luck.
It is, however, a big warning sign of what's going to happen when Labour get into government... Not just this but over so many things such as strikes, Brexit, net zero, probably house building... Labour is very likely to get into power and rapidly disintegrate.
One term Lab government, IMO.
I think the failure is with Israel which hasn't clearly set out what it is trying to do. Lots of calls for a ceasefire but what then? Hamas will simply take the chance to rearm and get ready again. What is to be done about the supply of weapons from Iran?
Also I'd like to see some polling on antisemitism.
About the only people who I’ve seen manage the terrain well are Barack Obama and that clip of Baroness Warsi.
In the circs, Keir is doing OK-to-well.
And if the top category is ignored, then the responses to Starmer are pretty evenly spread, while Sunak has pleased former Tory supporters and alienated former Labour supporters. But isn't that what one would expect to happen anyway?
It may be causing Starmer internal problems in his party, but I don't see anything in those figures to suggest a significant effect on public support.
Having said that UK Labour needs to look at NZ Labour for what happens when you over promise and badly fail to deliver.
But Starmer is no Ardern.
His top team is reasonably impressive and I expect his Cabinet to be more so (Benn etc).
It only has Dutch golden age art, really. Which js amazing but rather limiting…
It is one of the finest SMALL museums in the world
They must have more money than sense. Or the books aren’t doing as well as we thought!
Making crude, unevidenced assumptions about which Labour supporters are potentially unhappy, how many of them live in likely battleground seats for 2024/5?
Anyhoo....
1. As we prepare to plunge ourselves into winter darkness that is the end of BST, the continued Labour lead means the Conservatives have been in the dark for a long while now.
🔴 Lab 46% (-2)
🔵 Con 26% (-1)
🟠 LD 10% (NC)
⚪ Ref 7% (NC)
🟢 Green 6% (+2)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
https://twitter.com/wethinkpolling/status/1717905443115151685
Not sure how I’d feel about it if I paid him megabucks for an exclusive column…
Slight movement down by the Conseratives - reaction to the by-elections?
This week also saw the return of PeoplePolling, last seen on 31 March. Still consistently showing the Conservatives at 5% lower than the average.
QTWTAIN?
So it's a few percent between the Greens and SNP.
Labour are on maximum vote for our current structure of politics.
It’s vast - too vast - but it lacks the statist pomposity of both the Louvre and the National Gallery.
Thing is this is not 1997. In 1997 Labour had a good economy and plenty of money to spend. This time Labour will be governing without any money to spend - That will fundamentally be their problem.
Add to that the party is still well to the left of SKS (as we see over the complaints of Starmers handling of the Israel/Palestine crisis) plus all the other issues like Rejoiners expecting a reversal of Brexit (which isn't going to happen) the Unions having a taste for strikes (that will be compounded by Lab governing without any money) Net Zero, etc etc.
I think a scenario like 1974-1979 is very plausible for the 2024-2029 Parliament. More likely than the Parliament proceeding like 1997-2001 anyway...
I may be biased by my love of the Dutch Golden Age, of course.
Better than it’s two credible rivals, the Tate Modern and MoMA.
I have travelled a lot in Europe post-Brexit. Sometimes it’s been quicker to be non-EU (holiday destinations with e-gates), usually it’s the same, very occasionally it’s been slower. Overall? No change.
I’d put it alongside the National Gallery in Washington DC - which is similar in its smaller size plus high quality
But then I think of the Prado, and the Kunsthistoriche and the Hermitage. Which are hardly lacking….
What are the best *small* art galleries in the world?
The requirement being that you can see all the exhibits in an hour.
I would nominate the Hammer in Los Angeles, with an honourable mention for the Santa Barbara Museum of Art.
But I don’t doubt that Boris will be reasonably entertaining. Comic bollocks is actually his metier, he’s a better “performer” than writer for sure.
Quite a small art section, but what they have, and its range, is amazing.
Contrast with the Munch museum we were at in Oslo on Wednesday. That's very interesting but I's struggle to live with any of his paintings. Maybe one or two landscapes at a push.
Boris is for rent to the highest bidder
That's what Boris is for
The Kunst is a bit of an also-ran.
I’ve not been to the Hermitage, and the way the world is going maybe I never will…
I wonder what they are paying him and how they afford it, though. They can't be exactly wealthy given how insignificant they are.
The point of GB News is not to make money.
In Catania airport the Italians have introduced a special lane for Brits (plus Americans, Japanese, Koreans, the usual). They’ve put in scanners and after the scanner a man stamps your passport in half a second
The EU queue and “approved nations” queue were the exact same size and moved at the exact same pace
Honestly, stop whining about passport queues. The problems are being ironed out and pretty soon technology will render all passport queues and eventually all passports a thing of the past
The Israeli Defense Force has released an Infographic showing the Hamas Headquarters and Terrorist Complex beneath the Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1717909792851677399?s=20
Confine yourself to the paintings, and you could do that.
And that his turn, such as it is, wears very thin very fast.
Anyway, a discussion on the finest art galleries in the world has to beat best and worst* carbs surely?
(*Grits, definitely.)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-67217993
source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/10/26/ford-uaw-contract-strike/
The article has fewer details than I would like, but it appears that the new contract will treat new employees more fairly. (For some years the Big Three have had a two-tier pay systems, in which new employees were paid significantly less.)
The ones in DC this spring were the last on my list
So I feel quite confident of my opinion here
The Hermitage is mindblowingly good. Easily makes the top 5. Also a peerless location
What’s more, you kind of expect it to have phenomenal art from 13th-19th century. Collected by the tsars. But it ALSO has a fabulous modern art collection up to about 1930 (iirc). Where did they get that?!
Presumably it was seized from aristos fleeing the revolution and afterwards. Unexpected
I mean, the audience exists, the channel actually exists, the channel managing to reach the audience doesn't actually defy the laws of physics.....
The Courtauld beats all of those
The former president's daughter was initially a defendant in the civil fraud case, until succeeding in dismissing the counts against her on appeal
https://themessenger.com/politics/ivanka-trump-must-testify-fraud-judge-engoron