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Trump’s going to struggle if he thinks he can take on Murdoch – politicalbetting.com
Trump’s going to struggle if he thinks he can take on Murdoch – politicalbetting.com
How the Murdoch-owned New York Post is covering Trump's announcement of his plan to run for the White House – (see bottom of front page) pic.twitter.com/e2LGBHUWCV
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He's also a tyrannical bully who cannot face failure or rejection (at least Boris just about managed to read the room and withdrew from the last leadership election). I wouldn't be surprised at all if he ditched the GOP and ran as a third MAGA candidate.
So about 22 people for the Black subsample.
Still laughing at the idea the R candidate was going to win the 18-24 year old demographic.
Trump will attack Murdoch as virulently as he attacks everyone else. Remember that if you a Trumper there is an elitist conspiracy against YOU, so a load of attack articles against the Donald will just be framed as part of that.
https://www.kentonline.co.uk/folkestone/news/my-links-to-fascists-were-made-in-spirit-of-education-277255/
Very likely those odds will move in a profitable direction over the next few months.
If not, I expect to be able to trade out for a small loss.
Value bet, imo.
The Tory party ain’t a happy party and the autumn statement could well be the trigger.
Fuck the Fucking Fuckers.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/nov/17/lidl-profits-quadruple-as-cash-strapped-shoppers-look-for-bargains
(Or will Ronald BackDonald?)
I'm mildly insulted that he didn't bother.
"FIFA world cup awarding committee, what was it that first attracted you to the billionaire Qataris?"
Let me make this very clear: the Conservative Party have a majority in the House of Commons and the royal perogative to dissolve it sits with the PM, a Conservative, and only him.
There will not be any early election under virtually any circumstances. Those circumstances are (a) the Conservatives have a clear lead in the polls or (b) the whole party splinters into dust, so a combination of MPs from across the House can appoint another PM who requests one.
Vanishing unlikely.
Not being on twitter makes him weaker, but by how much? And will he be back on twitter soon?
I would price him around 2.3 for nomination and 7.5 for the presidency. However if he does win the nomination he will trade sub 3, maybe sub 2.5, and even if he loses the election he might still trade sub 5.7 once the results are known.......
This is excellent news. It is not right to keep dumping these vulnerable people in a handful of areas.
Every part of the nation needs to do its bit.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/travel/news/asylum-seekers-to-be-sent-to-rural-areas-for-fairer-distribution-of-migrants/ar-AA14cNsv?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=25d075e11a9346289a19256cd1e9f0c5
Basically this is a poll commissioned by a 3rd party (The DAily Wire in this case). It is a curious feature of Trafalgar polls that most of them don't have cross tabs nor are they commissioned by anyone. They are just done by Trafalgar out of the goodness of their heart. However the occasional poll that is commissioned by a third party does come with cross-tabs. And they are almost always as shite as the ones I shared.
Oh, and I went back over the poll numbers. They do giev a breakdown of respondents by Ethnicity. Black is... 0.5%. Six people! Six.
Absolute lols. No, I'm back to you. Fully made up. Not even enough effort to lie properly.
Keeping powder dry for now.
The circumstances in which Trump won - and nearly derailed democracy as a consequence - won't be repeated. Those who thought him a clown but worth the risk to shake things up in DC won't repeat. You can only get away with the Shell Game as long as people don't know how it is done. After four years of Trump, it is obvious how the trick works.
That Murdoch can take the risk of four years of Trump gnawing on his ass is a pretty good indicator that Murdoch knows the risk of Trump regaining power is nil.
But the Mail website probably does have more readers over there.
Whilst sending asylum seekers to all parts of the country makes sense, it will not be an easy time for the poor sods being sent to places who already view outsiders with suspicion. And by "outsiders" I mean people "who weren't born here and will never understand here". A direct quote from the Mayor of Thornaby-on-Tees as an example of the parochial bigotry which blights this country.
Holy mother of God, the *actual Post* story is brutal. It has to be seen in the context of the paper to be properly appreciated as the "whatever, boring" NYC brushoff it is. "Post Staff Report" as a byline is the touch designed to personally enrage Trump.
https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/1592900337006149633/photo/1
There used to be a whole network of asylum centres and accommodation across England but, certainly in my area, a lot of it seems to have been shut down and replaced by hiring hotels. I am not sure why this was allowed to happen although there may have been good reasons.
https://twitter.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1593158987800641536
Here's an informed analysis of his driving skills.
https://www.racefans.net/2022/11/17/how-class-act-hulkenbergs-reserve-outings-showed-his-readiness-for-an-f1-return/
Would have been interesting to see what he might have done with an extended run in a top team.
Gullis may not be too articulate but his point is not unreasonable. There needs to be a fairer sharing out. Other areas need to do their bit.
The North East has proportionally more Migrants than other parts of the UK
However if you look they tend to be concentrated in places like Gateshead and Middlesbrough. Not too many in Northumberland.
Neither party will do that as they are more motivated by the next 12 months than the next couple of decades.
https://twitter.com/NoContextBrits/status/1593008003300855808/photo/1
Are you saying that its ok for people to be petty bigots and we just accept it? The good news is that the younger and more educated people are, the less prone they are to such attitudes.
I don’t want to stir up the wrath of muesli here, but to some degree voters think the Tory party are to blame not the international situation because Sunak, Hunt and other top Tories told the public that.
Twitter's recommendation AI has some suggestions for me after I followed Elon Musk.
It really shows how he's gone off the deep end:
-Matt Gaetz
-Marge Greene
-Ron DeSanctimonious
-Donald Trump Jr.
-Kyle Rittenhouse
-A Fox contributor
-Miscellaneous crypto accounts
-Tesla
https://twitter.com/mattsheffield/status/1590546910016045058
If the Tories get positive headlines from this budget it can propel them to mid 30s in polling, right back in the mix to defend their majority. boosting popularity of Sunaks’ Government. As Hunt explained last weekend, not all in his budget will be bad news, with much support for the NHS and for social care; with promised help for the poorest too, these announcements can only be popular. What can produce further good headlines is where economists will praise government for avoiding pitfalls, and voters will see building towards a more prosperous future. And voters could fear a change of government tbtranpling the green shoots of recovery.
the “rabbit from the hat” today is don’t be surprised if Sunak and Hunt shoot Labours fox with a Property/Wealth Tax to meet rising bills due to ageing population - Jeremy Hunt has been at the forefront designing such a plan for many years.
Still, even they are anti-Trump, presumably?
The US has taken a similarly tough stance towards Chinese tech, with rather more significance. Though notably Biden is also making recent efforts to keep communication friendly with them, despite having taken the most draconian measures against their chip industry of any administration in the last several decades.
Trump's support is instead focused on rural areas of the South and the bluecollar rustbelt Midwest.
He can also self fund as a billionaire, remember in 2016 Jeb Bush raised more than Trump did
I get it. When the world was small its easy to fear outsiders as the "other". So many people didn't leave the place they lived and worked - the start of mass holidays at the seaside was a revolution for people in my old home town.
But it is 2022. The world is large and it is very easy to both travel to places as exotic as the next town or country or country. And the internet lets the further away places come to us. There is no need for League of Gentlemen attitudes to be anything other than parody, yet it is still advocated by wankers for votes. I find that depressing.
Borrowing to invest in green industries to encourage growth is completely different. It might not work, but it's definitely different to Truss, and borrowing to invest is pretty standard way that businesses grow, so hardly controversial.
Your aka would put just about anything except cuts into the Trussonomics box.
I'm also sceptical of DeSantis on the national stage (witness his stumping failures in the midterms, all but 2 candidates lost) but he's no Scott Walker and the press is absolutely begging to be completely compliant for him as they are desperate to write the "GOP free of Trump" story no matter what.
Engaging with the voters rather than abusing them or assuming they all think or act alike is probably a better course of action.
Not sure about anyone else, but I'm bored of stable(ish) government. I yearn for the excitement of the Truss days
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AEMWYOa7nJg
https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1593170337549946880
(There is one difference of course: it's easy to reverse a tax cut, like Hunt did, but once you've used debt to invest in capital that doesn't deliver a cash flow, you are permanently leveraged.)
Conservative chair of the Treasury Committee, Harriett Baldwin: "It clearly was a disastrous mini-budget. I don't think we want to dwell too long on who was to blame for it."
https://twitter.com/BestForBritain/status/1593177170989682689
I think Martin Lewis is pretty rubbish. If he cared about the vulnerable why doesn’t he now get behind these struggling people targeting policy points instead
1 moratorium on court action to collect energy debts
2 a winter ban on energy companies forcibly switching customers to prepayment meters including smart prepay.
3 Support for low income households which takes into account their actual energy bills due to their family size and need, regardless of receipt of means tested benefits.
4 Increase Local Housing Allowance.
5 An obviously up-rate benefits to reflect the inflation rate, but food inflation is 16% where low income households struggle across essentials. can government look at subsidies and interventions to help poorer families have better access to milk and eggs this winter? those key items food banks are now struggling to provide?
I know PB laughs at “for everyone a free owl” but “for everyone a free egg” would be amazing right now. That’s my policy position.
Israel gave NATO members, including UK, permission to deliver to Ukraine weapons systems, including fire-control and electro-optic, that include Israeli components.
It also agreed to purchase 'strategic materials' for Ukraine's armed forces
https://twitter.com/avischarf/status/1593156810214703104
The benefit/cost ratio of that would be very high.