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  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    LAB gain Cambs from LDs
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    oxfordsimon said:

    LucyJones said:

    Have we had the Balls result yet? I'm losing track.

    30-60 minutes off yet
    Thanks. I have to be "up" in 30 minutes... starting to feel sleepy now, but I think I've missed my chance,

    This is like 1997 in reverse. I felt gutted then. Much happier overall this time, although disappointed for Ukip and sorry for the LibDems.

  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    Danny Alexander next.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Millsy said:

    Like Cameron's comment about opinion polls - there's only one that matters!

    The only one that will exist from now on.
    I think the British Polling industry will shut down after the colossal fiasco of this election.
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Lab gain Cambridge :(
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,731
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Labour survived in Newcastle under Lyme but it was close

    That should have been easy for Labour.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Millsy said:

    Like Cameron's comment about opinion polls - there's only one that matters!

    What a bloody waste of money all those polls ended up being. At least the good lord can waste as much of his own as he likes.
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited May 2015
    Speedy said:

    Life_ina_market_town said:

    A referendum on the European Union by December 2017 now looks inevitable.

    I think the Tories will self destruct on that.
    The vote needs to get a majority. Will almost certainly need DUP and UKIP support.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Harwich, and Corby
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    edited May 2015
    Danny up next... Is 18k enough? nope!
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    TW1R64 said:

    When did the Twickenham result come in. I must have nodded off.

    4:35ish
  • Balthasarsfeast
    Balthasarsfeast Posts: 16
    Look at this on 20th April. When John the Tip predicted exactly this result he was told to keep taking the meds and banned from this site

    8.52pm on 20th April
    John the Tip said:

    I think we may see something like this. None of know but my guesstimate at this stage is the following:

    Conservative 310 to 340
    Labour 240-ish
    SNP 40+
    LineDem 12
    Ukip 1 to 2. Reckless will lose, Carswell will win. It's just a question of whether Farage will.

    Tyson: 'are you sure you've taken your mess properly this afternoon. You better check with the psychiatric nurse on the ward'
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Sandpit said:

    Danny up next... Is 18k enough?

    nope
  • SimonStClare
    SimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Danny Alexander gone. Another great shame imho.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    Bad night for the Alexanders in Scotland.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    Dadge said:

    BBC projection Con 325 Lab 232

    If we end up with 100 more seats than Labour, I'll be happy :D All that talk about 20 seat gap.. titter.
    I thought Labour would be 20 ahead at least! Gods I'm thick.
    I was thoroughly disheartened this morning.. what with the polls not moving. This has been a spectacular night.
    I will need a nap before totalling up. I have done well in individual seats markets, betting against LDs and UKIP. I have never been very convinced by personal votes. I backed Jacks ARSE early on, backing Lab under 250 seat band, and Con Minority and Majority governments.

    I just got wobbly in the last week with stationary polls so put a significant bet on Lab most seats. I mostly missed out on the Scotterdammerung, the value had mostly gone by the time I wised up. Still in profit on Scotland but nothing like it could have been.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Tories 'hold' Corby.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Laws is out.
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    How does Gisela Stuart keep holding on?
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Con gain Yeovil, bye bye David Laws.
  • MikeK
    MikeK Posts: 9,053
    So no UKIP revolution. How sad is that for Britain. Ah well!
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Yeovil goes blue too - Bye bye David Laws
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    One thing's very clear: unless the voting system changes, there will not be a another coalition government in Britain for decades after this result for the LDs.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    DANNY ALEXANDER has gone
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Artist said:

    Shocked at that Cambridge result.

    If LordA said it was a LD hold then it probably would have ended a LD loss.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    CON GAIN SOLIHULL from LDs
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,731
    kle4 said:

    Millsy said:

    Like Cameron's comment about opinion polls - there's only one that matters!

    What a bloody waste of money all those polls ended up being. At least the good lord can waste as much of his own as he likes.
    I don't envy the poor sod from YouGov who has to go in front of Murdoch and explain what he pissed all his money upon those daily polls on.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Huppert gone too, my word. I guess more LD MPs should have done like Nick and gotten those Tory tactical votes, eh?
    old_labour said:

    Danny Alexander next.

    The longest wait for a sure thing ever perhaps.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Dair said:

    DANNY ALEXANDER has gone

    By 10k.. huge.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    SimonStClare said:

    Danny Alexander gone. Another great shame imho.

    Agree.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    Balthasarsfeast said:

    Look at this on 20th April. When John the Tip predicted exactly this result he was told to keep taking the meds and banned from this site

    8.52pm on 20th April
    John the Tip said:

    I think we may see something like this. None of know but my guesstimate at this stage is the following:

    Conservative 310 to 340
    Labour 240-ish
    SNP 40+
    LineDem 12
    Ukip 1 to 2. Reckless will lose, Carswell will win. It's just a question of whether Farage will.

    Tyson: 'are you sure you've taken your mess properly this afternoon. You better check with the psychiatric nurse on the ward'

    That was pretty close.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories almost won Newcastle-under-Lyme. Lab maj 650:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000834
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Plato said:

    Con hold Harwich, and Corby

    Isn't that a regain Corby after the by-election?
  • Mimus
    Mimus Posts: 56
    Where are the lib dems going to scrape four more seats from? Only 198 seats to go.
  • Blue_rog
    Blue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Plato said:

    About an hour to go

    LucyJones said:

    Have we had the Balls result yet? I'm losing track.

    Sooo glad I had a 'comfort' break when I did :grin:
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SkyeHE: GAIN. RT @skyelections: Conservative hold #Corby #GE2015
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Boulton: "Every Lib Dem who has been a cabinet minister - other than Clegg - has lost their seat."
  • Life_ina_market_town
    Life_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    Laws out.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    MikeK said:

    So no UKIP revolution. How sad is that for Britain. Ah well!

    Well an anti-SNP and anti-LD revolution occurred.
    Counter revolution really.
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Tory Maj nailed on!
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Huppert loses by 600

    Cons on 8k

    Greens on 4k
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Can the Tories gain the last seat in Scotland?
  • Oliver_PB
    Oliver_PB Posts: 397
    At least the Orange Bookers are also getting their just desserts.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Christ.
    KentRising said:

    Boulton: "Every Lib Dem who has been a cabinet minister - other than Clegg - has lost their seat."

  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    oxfordsimon said:

    Plato said:

    Con hold Harwich, and Corby

    Isn't that a regain Corby after the by-election?
    They ignore byelections and only look at the GE result.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    There are no votes left.
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Con gain Yeovil, bye bye David Laws.

  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    With Laws and Huppert losing does that mean Lamb is the only possible other MP for the Libdems?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @jonwalker121: Everyone who has been a Lib Dem cabinet minister except Nick Clegg has now lost their seat, says @adamboultonSKY
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Libdemapocalypse
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Con hold sherwood

    have they held all of their top 10 most marginal seats?!
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Con Hold Sherwood!
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Sherwood
  • macisback
    macisback Posts: 382
    Derby North second recount, victory expected be double figures but Cons think they have it.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    :naughty::smiley:
    old_labour said:

    There are no votes left.

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Con gain Yeovil, bye bye David Laws.

  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Saltire said:

    With Laws and Huppert losing does that mean Lamb is the only possible other MP for the Libdems?

    I think so
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    KentRising said:

    Boulton: "Every Lib Dem who has been a cabinet minister - other than Clegg - has lost their seat."

    Clegg should resign as an MP.
    He doesn't deserve to be in Parliament.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @itvnews: CON Gain St Austell & Newquay #GE2015
  • Brom
    Brom Posts: 3,760
    MikeK said:

    So no UKIP revolution. How sad is that for Britain. Ah well!

    Chin up, vote share looks good, these things take time!
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    BBC predicting 325, ITV 327.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    MikeK said:

    So no UKIP revolution. How sad is that for Britain. Ah well!

    2020, Mike.
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    TGOHF said:

    Huppert loses by 600

    Cons on 8k

    Greens on 4k

    I could be wrong but im pretty sure people were saying Huppert was free money.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    how are the lib dems going to get to 10 seats?
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    Very surprised about Cambridge.

    LibDems below 10 seats - Astonishing.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Con Hold Sherwood!

    Huzzah
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Speedy said:

    KentRising said:

    Boulton: "Every Lib Dem who has been a cabinet minister - other than Clegg - has lost their seat."

    Clegg should resign as an MP.
    He doesn't deserve to be in Parliament.
    Eh?

    He just won his seat. Therefore he deserves to be there.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Romsey & Soton N, and Aylesbury
  • Life_ina_market_town
    Life_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    This is looking eerily accurate.
    http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2010/07/could-the-lib-dem-marginal-meltdown-mean-the-tories-gain-from-a-v/
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Saltire said:

    With Laws and Huppert losing does that mean Lamb is the only possible other MP for the Libdems?

    Only 43 LD so far on the Sky ticker, must be 13 still out there.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    I hope those Lib Dem losers are not parachuted into the House of Lords. It is an obscenity.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Am I right in thinking that the UNS prediction for LD seats ended up being correct?
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    oxfordsimon said:

    Speedy said:

    KentRising said:

    Boulton: "Every Lib Dem who has been a cabinet minister - other than Clegg - has lost their seat."

    Clegg should resign as an MP.
    He doesn't deserve to be in Parliament.
    Eh?

    He just won his seat. Therefore he deserves to be there.
    I wonder if the Tories would have voted for him if they had an idea of their total number of seats.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Are all the LDs in the SW gone now?
    Scott_P said:

    @itvnews: CON Gain St Austell & Newquay #GE2015

  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Looks like we have got the overall majority as we have cleared out the LDs!

    Off to bed now :lol:

    GN all top night!!!

  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    BBC still predicting 2 for UKIP
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    oxfordsimon said:

    Speedy said:

    KentRising said:

    Boulton: "Every Lib Dem who has been a cabinet minister - other than Clegg - has lost their seat."

    Clegg should resign as an MP.
    He doesn't deserve to be in Parliament.
    Eh?

    He just won his seat. Therefore he deserves to be there.
    As the last of the LD after destroying everyone else?
    That's a travesty.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Huppert smoked £50 done :(
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    AndyJS said:

    Tories almost won Newcastle-under-Lyme. Lab maj 650:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000834

    FFS, should have gone to help there rather than Burton (which was obv safe but I know the MP).
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 5s5 seconds ago
    Tories GAIN Corby.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    edited May 2015
    Mercer taking the Plymouth Moor View seat from Labour is huge - and as highlighted by my good self as a real possibility 3 weeks back.
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    Dear God I might lose my Cons 301-325 @11/4.

    But in a good way.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold S Ribble, and Bournemouth W
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    RobD said:

    BBC still predicting 2 for UKIP

    And with a straight face too.
  • ThomasNashe
    ThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    Looks like Paddy has a hat to eat?
  • Pong
    Pong Posts: 4,693
    Poor rcs1000,

    whowuddathunk'd it that the LD's would go into single figures.
  • Philip_Thompson
    Philip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    CON REGAIN Corby!
  • weejonnie
    weejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Tories expected to be short of a majority by one seat. One.

    — Britain Elects (@britainelects) May 8, 2015
    Con - UKIP coalition if Farage wins?
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    Plato said:

    Are all the LDs in the SW gone now?

    Scott_P said:

    @itvnews: CON Gain St Austell & Newquay #GE2015

    Mid Dorset/North Poole still to announce. Fingers crossed!

  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Hmmm BBC now going for 12 Libdems seems rather optimistic.
    Also I noticed that in the graphics that they did not included the UUP in the possible government for the Conservatives
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Pulpstar said:

    Huppert smoked £50 done :(

    How much did you stake on Con gain Twickers following my suggestion?
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    MP_SE said:

    TGOHF said:

    Huppert loses by 600

    Cons on 8k

    Greens on 4k

    I could be wrong but im pretty sure people were saying Huppert was free money.
    Huge increase in the Lab vote from 10k to 18k. He didn't drop much.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    TOPPING said:

    Dear God I might lose my Cons 301-325 @11/4.

    But in a good way.

    LOL. Who'd have thunk it.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    MP_SE said:

    TGOHF said:

    Huppert loses by 600

    Cons on 8k

    Greens on 4k

    I could be wrong but im pretty sure people were saying Huppert was free money.
    No such thing in the betting world.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    What a good man John Curtis is. He just had the humility to say they might not have got it 'quite' right because they said 316 not 326 in the exit poll. Kudos to him. They did really well. There aren't many like that around.
  • Brom
    Brom Posts: 3,760
    Barwell winning Croydon Central. Just.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Purseybear said:

    What a good man John Curtis is. He just had the humility to say they might not have got it 'quite' right because they said 316 not 326 in the exit poll. Kudos to him. They did really well. There aren't many like that around.

    Very high class.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Kellner wants the election to "stop right there"!
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    May holds Maidenhead.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Lab gain Cambridge by 599:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000617
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Redditch
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Didn't a bookie take 30k from someone on Tory majority? If Con fall a few seats short he is going to be kicking himself.
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