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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is turning into a truly terrible night for the Lib Dem

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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    Ooh, increased majority for Anna..
    Sorry Nick P
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,997
    Anna takes Broxtowe
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    JazJaz Posts: 21
    Nick Palmer has lost!!
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    NPXXMP
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    SOUBRY hangs on.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,101
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Bloody plastic Scousers, turfing out Esther McVey

    I was hoping she would hold on - but her loss was very narrow - unlike most of the Lib Dems going down.....
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Broxtowe:

    Con 24,---
    Lab 19,876
    UKIP 5,674
    LD 2,120
    Greens 1,544
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Mortimer said:

    Brom said:

    Fair play to the Tories on this site, had a mixed night with UKIP but happy some of you are enjoying yourselves. Onwards and upwards

    Very kind of you Brom. Best news is still that the Baggies remain in the top flight this season, no?
    Haha fan of Pulis but I'm a Bromley FC fan and we're looking forward to our first ever season in the conference. Guess I can't win at both politics and football! At least my SNP bets are coming in.

    Hope you're enjoying tonight, incredible night for the Tories. Makes me wonder why I spend months worrying about the polls!
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Retread fail - Ching !
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    JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    NPxMP still - he was clearly delusional in his postings on here then

    but he was clearly not the only one. Maybe he could get a job at YouGov?
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    SthLondonNickSthLondonNick Posts: 26
    NP still XMP
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    dmc82 said:

    CON HOLD BROXTOWE

    WOW! Brilliant!

    Sorry for Nick personally, but business is business...

    But didn't he tell us he was a shoo-in?
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,101
    Comfortable hold for Soubry.....
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Dudley North
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Awwww, and he was so sure before, thinking that Soubry had given up.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Marr is basically in tears on the BBC.
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    kle4 said:

    Dair said:

    Boris saying Federal solution

    What other hope could there be? Without being too much more of a bore I don't think it has any hope of working given the results, but it's the only option that can be tried. We are essentially no longer a unitary state, except legally.

    the tories can try and hold on. And lose. Lets face it, independence is coming
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    MP_SE said:

    NeilVW said:

    McVey gone.

    I feel sorry for her as it was a dirty sexist campaign against her.
    I can't understand why she and Charlotte Leslie got targeted by scum.

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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @jimwaterson: Labour and the team around Ed Miliband really thought they were in with a chance.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Natalie Bennett's seat now declaring on Sky.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Scott_P said:

    @jimwaterson: Labour and the team around Ed Miliband really thought they were in with a chance.

    It's all about the ground war.... titters
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    Brom said:

    Mortimer said:

    Brom said:

    Fair play to the Tories on this site, had a mixed night with UKIP but happy some of you are enjoying yourselves. Onwards and upwards

    Very kind of you Brom. Best news is still that the Baggies remain in the top flight this season, no?
    Haha fan of Pulis but I'm a Bromley FC fan and we're looking forward to our first ever season in the conference. Guess I can't win at both politics and football! At least my SNP bets are coming in.

    Hope you're enjoying tonight, incredible night for the Tories. Makes me wonder why I spend months worrying about the polls!
    Woops! My mistake. Pulis is just what WBA need. In fact, just what any team that have talent but no confidence need.

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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    AndyJS said:

    Wirral West is first Lab gain from Con outside London. Maybe the only one.

    And the result of the most dirty campaign possible.
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    dmc82 said:

    CON HOLD BROXTOWE

    WOW! Brilliant!

    Sorry for Nick personally, but business is business...

    But didn't he tell us he was a shoo-in?
    Well-beaten, too. Is this incumency?
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Wow - twice the LD vote
    AndyJS said:

    Natalie Bennett's seat now declaring on Sky.

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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @hopisen: Some people will get this reference: I'll not doubt jackw of the parish of @MSmithsonPB for a while.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,074
    JackW should have taken that bet with Nick Palmer on a Con win.
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    macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    KentRising said:

    SOUBRY hangs on.

    Deserved she is quality, shame about Mac typical scousers. Williamson to lose Derby North will cap the night totally
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    MyBurningEars said:

    Richard_Nabavi said:

    dmc82 said:

    CON HOLD BROXTOWE

    WOW! Brilliant!

    Sorry for Nick personally, but business is business...

    But didn't he tell us he was a shoo-in?
    Well-beaten, too. Is this incumency?
    £30 done on Nick oh well
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Natalie Bennett did GREAT in Holborn
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Dudley North

    lab 42
    con 30.9
    ukip 24.1
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,802
    Another tight marginal with Nick and Tories increase majority.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Keir Starmer wins Holborn & St Pancras for LAB
    Bennett comes third
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Watford:

    Con 24400
    Lab 14606
    LD 10152
    UKIP 5481
    Green 1332
    TUSC 178

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14001021
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,833
    Why are the BBC doing news updates???
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    currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Arrogance and complacency get you nowhere
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Mortimer said:

    Brom said:

    Mortimer said:

    Brom said:

    Fair play to the Tories on this site, had a mixed night with UKIP but happy some of you are enjoying yourselves. Onwards and upwards

    Very kind of you Brom. Best news is still that the Baggies remain in the top flight this season, no?
    Haha fan of Pulis but I'm a Bromley FC fan and we're looking forward to our first ever season in the conference. Guess I can't win at both politics and football! At least my SNP bets are coming in.

    Hope you're enjoying tonight, incredible night for the Tories. Makes me wonder why I spend months worrying about the polls!
    Woops! My mistake. Pulis is just what WBA need. In fact, just what any team that have talent but no confidence need.

    Agreed he's a fantastic manager, so good that you could put a red rosette on him in Glasgow and he'd manage to hold his seat! If Balls loses that'll cheer me up no end
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    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Well it's a testament to Nick P that his result temporarily causes the site to go into meltdown.
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,364
    Presumably so the presenters can have a break
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,802
    edited May 2015
    Well theres a shock Starmer wins....Not sure the sort of person who will the WWC back for Labour.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Anyone for Scottish labour MP Panda jokes?
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    MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    Lol at Nick "tick tock" Palmer
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    GravitationGravitation Posts: 281
    oxfordsimon said:

    Why are the BBC doing news updates???

    Loo break for Dimbers?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @iainmartin1: Paging @davidaxelrod …
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Slackbladder said:

    Anyone for Scottish labour MP Panda jokes?

    If the Blues win Berwickshire..... :D:D:D:D:D:D
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    AndyJS said:

    Watford:

    Con 24400
    Lab 14606
    LD 10152
    UKIP 5481
    Green 1332
    TUSC 178

    Another wow!
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    BBC says Con set to gain Bolton West form Labour
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    A pity about Broxtowe.
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    macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:

    @jimwaterson: Labour and the team around Ed Miliband really thought they were in with a chance.

    It's all about the ground war.... titters
    Quality not quantity that counts, proven in the East Midlands.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/596527118944739328
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    Come on the blues in Sherwood
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,358
    I've not even heard of some of the few LD holds. High national profile clearly not a help tonight.

    Commiserations to NickPalmer.
    Dair said:

    kle4 said:

    Dair said:

    Boris saying Federal solution

    What other hope could there be? Without being too much more of a bore I don't think it has any hope of working given the results, but it's the only option that can be tried. We are essentially no longer a unitary state, except legally.

    the tories can try and hold on. And lose. Lets face it, independence is coming
    Will you at least hold another referendum to confirm it at least? After the anguish of the last one, only fair we go through the motions and confirm it the same way it was shot down less than a year ago.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    https://twitter.com/zoeconway1/status/596526714118873088
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    SthLondonNickSthLondonNick Posts: 26
    Cannock Chase - Con HOLD
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Gower. Wow.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Gower Con gain
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    trubluetrublue Posts: 103
    Ed Balls is apparently safe.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    So, Cons have more seats in Scotland than Lab currently...
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Lab got Brentford but only by 465:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000593
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @philipjcowley: So far we've had more than half of the Tories 20 most marginal seats. So far Labour have taken *none of them*.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    GOWER!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,157
    Dct held by tories
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,358
    Scott_P said:

    @iainmartin1: Paging @davidaxelrod …

    He'll blame the British press I'm sure. More powerful than Fox News apparently.
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,886
    Labour 11% behind in Cannock Chase.
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Gower! Fantastic.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Cannock Chase held, no thanks to Aidan.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    trublue said:

    Ed Balls is apparently safe.

    :(
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,802
    Crickey Cannock Chase still Tory....can't say because of a good local MP !!!!
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/zoeconway1/status/596526714118873088

    Shame. I like Julia...
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    More bad news from Nick Palmer .... he's ruined my clean sweep of the "JackW Dozen" ....

    Bugger .... :smile:
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Surely with the number of gains form Lab pretty much balancing Lab gains from Con we must be projecting Con majority by now?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ChrisMasonBBC: Tories look set to take Bolton West from Labour. It was the party's number one target in the NW of England, reports @ArifBBC
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Cannock Chase Tory hold
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SNP gain Edinb W
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,886
    Maybe only one Green seat then?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,358
    JackW said:

    More bad news from Nick Palmer .... he's ruined my clean sweep of the "JackW Dozen" ....

    Bugger .... :smile:

    The man's human after all, folks.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,386
    I thought the LDs were meant to have a chance in Watford?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Labour gain Norwich S edging out the Greens
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Lab gain Norwich S
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbclaurak: Labour holds off Greens in Norwich South
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    NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 729
    FPT - Balls would be the cream on the cherry on the cake.

    How many more LD gains by Con are possible? I assume my patch, Cornwall, will be a clean sweep?
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    Sky showing 61 UKIP second places so far, with half the seats declared.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Con gain Gower
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    SNP win Edin East
    SNP win Dumfries and Galloway
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Guardian saying Lab sources sating Balls out but in fact maybe not so.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Really looking forward to a writeup on how the polling was so wrong. An incredible result for the Tories and a shocking result for the Lib Dems, UKIP and Labour.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Con hold Hornchurch AND Bury North
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Looks like a slim Tory majority so far.

    Greens and UKIP with one seat only, but Boston is still out.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    RobinWiggs said:

    Surely with the number of gains form Lab pretty much balancing Lab gains from Con we must be projecting Con majority by now?

    323 or 326?

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The London and Merseyside theory is holding up pretty well: Labour only doing well against the Tories in those two areas.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited May 2015
    JackW said:

    More bad news from Nick Palmer .... he's ruined my clean sweep of the "JackW Dozen" ....

    Bugger .... :smile:

    ... and Watford wasn't exactly TCTC, was it?

    I wasn't expecting the LibDems to come third, though.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    So, were the polls always wrong, or did voters change their minds in the polling booth?
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    JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Con hold Bury North
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Liam Byrne....every tory's favourite labourite.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Finchley and Stourbridge Tory holds
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    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Sandpit said:

    Sky showing 61 UKIP second places so far, with half the seats declared.

    I'm looking forward to 2020 already! Good mix of lab and con seats too
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,802
    Hodge Hill....are the audience properly segregated?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Thurrock Con hold
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,060
    Tynemouth Labour hold
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    "Tickets please" Conway spewing on Sky - titters.

    Broxtowe looks like being my longest odds seat win.
This discussion has been closed.