politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is turning into a truly terrible night for the Lib Dem
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EIMP !0
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Con gain Bolton west0
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Awwww bless0
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Have we had a result from Hendon? The BBC page is blank:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E140007410 -
Con gain Hazel Grove and Bolton W. Maj surely there now? WIll add about 10 more gains in SW? LDs must be toast there:
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Surely the penny will finally drop in Labour here?KentRising said:
Another 2nd place for UKIP - in Miliband's seat.
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Tories 7 points ahead. This isn't happening. HAHA
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Lab leadership election. Liz Kendal, Dan Jarvis, Yvette, Alan... the list goes on.TheScreamingEagles said:
Seriously David, what the eff are we going to write about over the weekend?david_herdson said:
There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.TGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
Whiney, entitled shrews will not win future elections for Labour.williamglenn said:
Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.
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Lib dems are going to be wiped out in SW0
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Is there a list of gains somewhere?0
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Will Tebbit and others apologise to Cameron for all the bile they've thrown at him I wonder? Or is it not enough because he won't have won the way they would like?
One reason I wanted a Con-LD coalition in the first place in 2010 was I wanted a more liberal Cameron led government, and people think that is actually more his inclination that pandering to his more rowdy backbenchers. I hope that is true, as if he can actually manage a majority from this, Cameron's leadership will be stronger than it has ever been, and he needs to get them in line with his version of conservatism while he is at his peak, rather than be beholden to those same rowdy backbenchers.0 -
A second seat for the Ulster Unionists! They don't have a pact with the Conservatives like last time, do they?0
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Horrible result for Labour in Tamworth, their vote dropping to 26.1%, Tories on 50.0%:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E140009860 -
Ed is crap, and looks crap...0
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Interesting UUP gain in Fermanagh which means we might need one more seat!0
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UUP gain F&ST0
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Ooh, Doncaster North - was it SO and Isam who had a bet on which side of 50% Ed would get? Looks like JUST over 50%. Well done to whoever deemed that an evens bet!0
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Laws out in Yeovil.0
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Be Jesus, UKIP got 9000 votes in Doncaster North.0
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Delighted at the Scottish results and disappointed at the English ones.0
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Concession speech!0
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AV?TheScreamingEagles said:
Seriously David, what the eff are we going to write about over the weekend?david_herdson said:
There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.TGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
Is Ed conceding? Admonishing 'the next govt' sounds like it.0
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Ed conceding
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Phone polls were better for the Tories in recent weekscurrystar said:
ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogueTGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.
https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/5964358721212784640 -
Worse than that, they may be replaced as the anti-Tory vote by Labour or UKIP, which not only will hinder a parliamentary recovery, it will even hinder council strength in the region. I'm in Wiltshire, and people just don't vote Labour outside of Swindon. But now plenty are, more than LD. Remarkable.Slackbladder said:Lib dems are going to be wiped out in SW
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Tim Montgomerie:
Huge congrats to David Cameron (and Lynton Crosby). Despite austerity & the split on the right he's achieved a truly remarkable re-election.
Gritted teeth, no doubt.....0 -
Bye Bye Ed.....0
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Yeah, Lindsay (UKIP) didn't make enough of it. Generic national leaflets about the EU when one - 'I'd fight for a grammar school, my kids go to state schools unlike those of Fallon, who's failed to deliver" - would have cut-through.LucyJones said:
I'm in Sevenoaks and that doesn't surprise me at all. The Ukip guy is the only one I've seen out campaigning. I think Fallon's failure to deliver a Grammar School for the town can't have helped him either.KentRising said:UKIP move from 4th to 2nd v Fallon in Sevenoaks, up 14%.
This is what UKIP are doing: piling up 2nd places. Must be 100+ now.
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Looks like the whole fear factor, SNP holding balance of power, they'll tax your mansion/small semi etc etc really did work on shy tories.0
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Don't the UUP caucus with the Tories? Or if not, I think their support is a givenAve_it said:Interesting UUP gain in Fermanagh which means we might need one more seat!
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Norman Lamb face like thunder in North Norfolk. Looks to be close. Taxi for Farron!0
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@tnewtondunn: Labour now need to admit the Miliband experiment has been a disaster, and start moving on fast #GE20150
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SNP on 54 out of 59 with two seats to decide. Danny's and Michaels.0
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Might have to be a minibunnco said:Norman Lamb face like thunder in North Norfolk. Looks to be close. Taxi for Farron!
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Does sound like Balls has gone0
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Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!0
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Close to concession speech by Ed Miliband, anyway off for some brief rest0
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Tory cabinet positions?TheScreamingEagles said:
Seriously David, what the eff are we going to write about over the weekend?david_herdson said:
There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.TGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.
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@lucymanning: Ed Miliband talks about responsibility of next Government.. Effectively conceding election.0
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@tnewtondunn: Labour now need to admit the Miliband experiment has been a disaster, and start moving on fast #GE2015
"Experiment" ouch.0 -
Sorry for your loss, Nick!NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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Michael has already conceded defeat.Dair said:SNP on 54 out of 59 with two seats to decide. Danny's and Michaels.
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True story, at the count I was at tonight, just before it began, I was able to see the exit poll and mentioned it to a colleague, who then blamed David Miliband, but meaning Ed. Even now people still mix them up. Maybe that was more significant than I imagined.0
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This sounds quite important and interesting. Why are the media not talking about it?numbertwelve said:
Don't the UUP caucus with the Tories? Or if not, I think their support is a givenAve_it said:Interesting UUP gain in Fermanagh which means we might need one more seat!
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Tories hold Ashford0
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Well done JackW - undoubtedly others too.0
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I was looking forward to Peter Bone demanding Cameron's resignation. Looks like it won't happen now.0
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Sorry for you personally, but not politically!!!NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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Con hold Norfolk Mid0
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Good luck with whatever you do next, Nick.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
You were a good MP and the House is the poorer without you.0 -
Boulton saying effectively Ed concession
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England & Wales:
5 Con gains from Lab
5 Lab gains from Con0 -
Oh, Charles Kennedy is gone to..!0
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@StigAbell: The search for the EdStone begins...0
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60-90 mins to Balls0
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Ian Dunt: Actually feeling quite sorry for Miliband. Principled, decent man. Might not have made best leader, but fought the more honourable campaign.
It was certainly the most laden with hubris. I hope he dumps that bloody Edstone on the car of whoever suggested it.0 -
Con gain Plymouth Moor View. Bye bye Alison Seabeck0
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All about the Plymouth Moor View!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!0
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After a long and boozy evening, what an extraordinary set of results!0
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Kellner pointing out that 24 hours ago Labour were predicting 35 net gains from Con - currently its net zero (5 gains, 5 losses).....0
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Con Gain Plymouth Moor view - from Lab??0
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Con GAIN Plymouth Moor from LAB0
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Con gain Plymouth Moor View from Lab!
By the end of the night there will be more Con gains from Lab than Lab gains from Con0 -
What another hour....we have people waiting on having a shit here....oxfordsimon said:60-90 mins to Balls
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Con gain Plymouth Moor View from Lab.
Majority inching ever closer...0 -
Bad luck, Nick. You put in a hell of a lot of work.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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More CON gainsGravitation said:Con gain Plymouth Moor View. Bye bye Alison Seabeck
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Yes! The Gower by 27! Win for the BattleBus.....0
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Plymouth Moor View - Con GAIN0
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Mili pretty much conceding there0
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That post is a credit to you Nick.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
Good luck with the animal welfare and whatever you decide to do now.0 -
Who had a bet on the smallest margin of victory? I'm sure someone tipped it but I can't remember what the margin was.0
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How the heck have we gained Plymouth Moor View?0
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Doncaster North won't be seeing much more of EdM. It can't be long before he joins his brother in the U.S.0
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What a gent.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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Con gain Plymouth Moor View
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Tories increased their majority in Hendon from 106 to 3,724:
https://www.barnet.gov.uk/citizen-home/council-and-democracy/democracy-and-elections/elections-in-barnet/election-results-in-barnet.html
Labour had another retread standing here.0 -
Oh and PS. Well done me a little bit too. Twickenham was always my favourite bet. Just pulled my punches a bit more than I'd have liked in hindsight.0
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John Hemming next LD out. Shame, he was a good egg.0
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It has to be a dreamTheScreamingEagles said:How the heck have we gained Plymouth Moor View?
LOL 0 -
Cricket?TheScreamingEagles said:
Seriously David, what the eff are we going to write about over the weekend?david_herdson said:
There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.TGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
They never did see much of him....Once every 5 years.MonikerDiCanio said:Doncaster North won't be seeing much more of EdM. It can't be long before he joins his brother in the U.S.
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Has Neil Kinnock suggested grinding it into dust yet?Scott_P said:@StigAbell: The search for the EdStone begins...
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I suppose at times like these one can quote Kipling about treating disaster and triumph as equal imposters Nick. More time for Diplomacy anyway :-)Peter_the_Punter said:
Good luck with whatever you do next, Nick.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
You were a good MP and the House is the poorer without you.0 -
Very gracious of you Nick -all the best with your animal welfareNickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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O yes, completely forgot about the upcoming referendum. There is literally too much to take in tonight.Artist said:
The Tory backbenchers will be running the country for the next five years.MP_SE said:I was looking forward to Peter Bone demanding Cameron's resignation. Looks like it won't happen now.
Looks like the backbenchers will be getting their referendum. Now we can look forward to what Dave is going to demand in terms of concessions.
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I'm glad I'm a Tory, if I was a Lib Dem or Lab, I'd be crying like a disgraced televangelist right now0
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Unlucky, Nick! Please keep posting here! And look after the cats!NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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Bad luck, Nick. I'm really sorry. You certainly did all you could.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
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Respect Nick.NickPalmer said:Handsome Tory win in Broxtowe - yes, I probably did overegg the optimistic reports, eh? Never mind - thanks for the friendly comments. Back to animal welfare!
I despise your party, your leader and your policies, but you're a good egg.0 -
Mr Super Injection Breaker is out....0
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Really??? woah.TheScreamingEagles said:How the heck have we gained Plymouth Moor View?
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