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  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Recount in BRS. Need it for the Panda tie. And to keep SNP < 56
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    First Birmingham result. This is important.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    LDs come fourth in Camborne & Redruth:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000616
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    I heard a lot voters down here mentioning the SNP and Labour being crap at the economy...
    Sean_F said:

    So, were the polls always wrong, or did voters change their minds in the polling booth?

  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    edited May 2015
    61 second places for Ukip so far, according to Sky.

    So close, and yet so far.
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Jim Murphy constituency turnout 81%!
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Labour piling up votes where they don't need to
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    I can't believe I am still up and awake. What a great night!
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Sean_F said:

    So, were the polls always wrong, or did voters change their minds in the polling booth?

    Perhaps the wrong demographics.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @britainelects: David LAWS OUT.
  • Pong
    Pong Posts: 4,693
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Gower majority of 27, first time it hasn't been Labour since 1918!
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Gower has been Labour since 1906.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    Disappointed that Liam Byrne has held on for Labour.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Dair Latest Yougov has No 53 Yes 47 in rerun referendum
  • RochdalePioneers
    RochdalePioneers Posts: 30,611
    Morning all! We got routed in Stockton South: Tories went from 332 majority to 5,046. Ironically we look to have won a lot of votes for the council elections which start formally counting at 11am
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JournoStephen: Meanwhile in Wales... the Conservatives are set for their best general election result since 1983 http://t.co/X7YYmoMNli
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    I really want Dorset seats to declare. It is dawn in Dorset and I want to be able to proclaim a Blue dawn in Dorset! Fingers crossed!
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    It's the third. Labour held Northfields (small swing to Con) and Erdington (small swing to Lab) earlier

    First Birmingham result. This is important.

  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Pong said:
    Much obliged! 2/6 of the Wales long-shots I identified came in.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113

    I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.

    Stayed at home? UKIP?
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Sean_F said:

    So, were the polls always wrong, or did voters change their minds in the polling booth?

    The polls were always wrong, probably for years.
    Lord A was particularly rubbish.

    The LD never collapsed in favour of Labour and UKIP never took votes from the Tories.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453

    I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.

    *cough*Labour firewall*cough*
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    Any news on T. Hunt yet?
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab hold Blackpool South

    Given how the night is developing they could have been in danger there
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,735
    Scott_P said:

    @JournoStephen: Meanwhile in Wales... the Conservatives are set for their best general election result since 1983 http://t.co/X7YYmoMNli

    I wonder how Labour's excellent running of the NHS in Wales have effected them?
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Here's Ed...
  • Danny565
    Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Surely a majority is now a certainty? I can't see how not if net changes between Tories and Labour seem to be 0, while they get masses of gains from the Lib Dems.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,290
    Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Off to bed for a few hours I think, Berwickshire declaring at 7am post recount
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    Do I remember rightly: didn't some pensioner bet £50K on a labour majority this week?
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787

    JackW said:

    More bad news from Nick Palmer .... he's ruined my clean sweep of the "JackW Dozen" ....

    Bugger .... :smile:

    ... and Watford wasn't exactly TCTC, was it?

    I wasn't expecting the LibDems to come third, though.
    Absolutely astonishing Nabbers.

    The local Tories were genuinely concerned. Voters makes fools of all of us. :smile:

    Bury North comes in for the "JackW Dozen"

  • Blue_rog
    Blue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Cooper making a play for the leadership
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @itvnews: CON Gain Hazel Grove #GE2015
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Cooper pitching for the big job. Boring.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    UKIP move from 4th to 2nd v Fallon in Sevenoaks, up 14%.

    This is what UKIP are doing: piling up 2nd places. Must be 100+ now.
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,728
    Con gain Gower.

    I think it's highly likely, unless SW Lib Dems are very limpet-like, that they won't get to the de facto 323 now
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Bye bye Kennedy
  • david_herdson
    david_herdson Posts: 18,357
    Scott_P said:

    I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.

    *cough*Labour firewall*cough*
    "crutch", I think was the word.

    Actually, we don't know that they didn't. It could be that Labour's former core failed to turn out or defected to UKIP in sizable numbers.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    With her maj up a bit - it can't hurt her at all

    Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.

  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    One of the architects of the coalition gets his reward.
    Ashdown should be covered with tar and chicken feathers.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Kennedy's declaration on BBC...
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Charlie Kennedy declaration on Sky
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Prodicus said:

    I can't believe I am still up and awake. What a great night!

    For those of us old enough to remember 1992......the party starts well, then turns ugly....lets hope the UKIP 'failure' keeps the Turnip Taliban in their places.....
  • JonnyJimmy
    JonnyJimmy Posts: 2,548

    I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.

    All voting in twickenham?
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Charlie Kennedy gone.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    SCOTLAND WINS in Skyee Lochaber and Ross
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Charles Kennedy loses
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Kennedy's gone too!!!
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    Charles Kennedy loses
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    Kennedy gone too
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609

    Charlie Kennedy gone.

    Let's hope he sorts his life out.. poor guy.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Charles Kennedy - gawwwwn.
  • currystar
    currystar Posts: 1,171
    TGOHF said:

    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.

    ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogue
  • NeilVW
    NeilVW Posts: 749
    Cooper-Balls re-elected. Single-earner household?
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    ED!
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Ted's declaration now
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Wouldn't it be funny if.... well,OK.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Charles Kennedy gone just before head off!
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Con hold Eddisbury - where is that??
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    currystar said:

    TGOHF said:

    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.

    ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogue
    I'm pretty sure EICIPM... surely???
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    Charles Kennedy out - Hopefully he will be able to get his life back on track.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Bradshaw holds Exeter with a 4% swing in his favour:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000698
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    I didn't even know the Tories were targeting Bolton West.
  • CarlottaVance
    CarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Kennedy out!
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    currystar said:

    TGOHF said:

    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.

    ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogue
    They overstated Labour by 3-4%
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,735
    edited May 2015
    Here's Team Tw@t,,,making his 5 yearly visit.
  • david_herdson
    david_herdson Posts: 18,357
    TGOHF said:

    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.

    There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @NicoHines: Greens rubbing it in: say they have beaten the Lib Dems in 67 seats
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    When does Caithness declare. My last winnable bet.
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Plato said:

    Con hold Eddisbury - where is that??

    Cheshire
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    JackW said:

    Charles Kennedy out - Hopefully he will be able to get his life back on track.

    As he's often as drunk as a lord they'll probably make him one.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Draw back the curtains peeps, it's daylight out.
  • old_labour
    old_labour Posts: 3,238
    Whiney, entitled shrews will not win future elections for Labour.

    Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.

  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015

    Scott_P said:

    I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.

    *cough*Labour firewall*cough*
    "crutch", I think was the word.

    Actually, we don't know that they didn't. It could be that Labour's former core failed to turn out or defected to UKIP in sizable numbers.
    I think it was past weighting of D/K that destroyed the UK polling industry, plus some other factors that we might found from the exit poll internals.
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    SNP win Doncaster North
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Ed wins!!!

    His seat
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Well at least he won his own seat....
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609

    Ed wins!!!

    His seat

    EICIMP?
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651

    UKIP move from 4th to 2nd v Fallon in Sevenoaks, up 14%.

    This is what UKIP are doing: piling up 2nd places. Must be 100+ now.

    I'm in Sevenoaks and that doesn't surprise me at all. The Ukip guy is the only one I've seen out campaigning. I think Fallon's failure to deliver a Grammar School for the town can't have helped him either.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    Ed is safe ... till lunchtime?
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Hazel Grove Con gain
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Two key gains flash through!!!!
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Bolton W Con gain
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    RobD said:

    currystar said:

    TGOHF said:

    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.

    ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogue
    I'm pretty sure EICIPM... surely???
    Er, no. just EIC. Someone said earlier they could hear David M's laughter from New York.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Another 2nd place for UKIP - in Miliband's seat.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Ed M holds Doncaster N
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Prodicus said:

    I can't believe I am still up and awake. What a great night!

    For those of us old enough to remember 1992......the party starts well, then turns ugly....lets hope the UKIP 'failure' keeps the Turnip Taliban in their places.....
    Defecting to UKIP does not look a smart move anymore.
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806

    TGOHF said:

    @bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority

    Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.

    There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.
    Seriously David, what the eff are we going to write about over the weekend?
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525

    When does Caithness declare. My last winnable bet.

    SNP won it about an hour ago
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Bolton West Con gain from Lab
  • SimonStClare
    SimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    RobD said:

    Ed wins!!!

    His seat

    EICIMP?
    Arf - shame BJO is missing all the fun.
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    EICIMP
  • NeilVW
    NeilVW Posts: 749
    I almost feel sorry for the guy. What a crazy 24 hours.
This discussion has been closed.