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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is turning into a truly terrible night for the Lib Dem

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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Sheffield Hallam incoming
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Wonder how many LD Councillors are left now. Time to dissolve the party, they've served their purpose.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Hallam declares!
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    edited May 2015
    Not Clegg, surely?
    He's safe, 6LDs so far.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    squeaky bum time in Sheffield Hallam.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    The writing is definitely on the wall :smile:
    Balthasarsfeast said:

    9 out of every 10 polls overestimated Labour against actual votes this parliament. As was mentioned. But we still had all this Labour's firewall and then E&W swing guff.

    It's the economy, stupid ;)

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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    When oh WHEN are BBC going to update their forecast?
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited May 2015
    Nick Clegg 22,115 Lab 19,862 (if I heard right)
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,061
    Dover Con hold
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Libdem #5 is Clegg
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Clegg hangs on...
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,061
    Clegg holds on in Sheffield Hallam
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    SKY: "Quite possible [LDs] most number of Lost Deposits ever"

    Natural Law party?

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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Nick wins
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Clegg stays. Delicious irony.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Clegg looks crushed .... hardly surprising.

    He put the nation first and the nation said thanks but piss off.
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    Well done Nick.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    Clegg holds on by 2400 votes
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    SthLondonNickSthLondonNick Posts: 26
    Clegg Holds seat
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    macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    Recount in Derby North
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,203
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Nick wins

    He probably wishes he lost
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Clegg's held Sheffield Hallam.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Con holds Halesowen and Dover
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    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,062
    Balls has lost apparently - yes"""
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    Gravitation said:

    Anybody heard from IOS and the gang since 10pm?

    Nemesis inevitably follows hubris.

    Something must be wrong with the ground game.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,804
    Tories for Clegg did it for him....
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Nick Clegg becomes the 6th LD MP.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited May 2015
    Clegg safe - chuffed to rocks with that. :lol:
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Tory tacticals save Clegg
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    Tony_MTony_M Posts: 70
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Nick wins

    Good. Might need his help.

    Oh!, wait...
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    tactical voting by the tories to save nick?
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    ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Clegg hold, maj down from 15k to 2k
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Thank your Tory friends, Nick...
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Massive Conservative tactical voting saves Clegg
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    I've never seen someone so unhappy to hold their seat.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,083
    SandyRentool said:

    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Nick wins

    He probably wishes he lost
    Survivor's guilt.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    Walker took one for the team there.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,180
    SandyRentool said:

    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Nick wins

    He probably wishes he lost
    The LibDems in that room are going to be really narked off if he now retires from politics and they lose it in a by-election.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Tory vote looks low - assume a lot of tactical Tories there for Clegg
    JackW said:

    Clegg looks crushed .... hardly surprising.

    He put the nation first and the nation said thanks but piss off.

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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    OMG Ed balls....please please please
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,126
    He won't but he should thank the Tories for this.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,359
    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2015
    Fenster said:

    Well done Nick.

    Congratulations to Nick Clegg. No good deed goes unpunished.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Gower is recounting again

    I guess Gisela could hold on...Dromey increased his majority, the swing to Con in Northfield wasn't big

    Itchen.....Bolton West....Derby North...Halifax.....Gedling...Nottingham South...Morley...Wakefield....Hampestead.....how many will fall?
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    He should make a 'gesture' to scotland, and also sort out england as well...
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Clegg - the honourable man who put his country before his party, and in the process saw his party wiped out.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    In the same way that SNP were gloating about setting English laws. The SNP got in bed with Labour, they can sink with that ship.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    How the hell did the Tories win Telford?
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Nick Clegg is a philosopher from East Prussia.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Lab gain Brentford
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    The woman who can't recall any labour pledges gain Brentford for Labour
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,359
    I feel sure the LDs will be happy Clegg has managed to survive. Not.
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,364
    Not sure it's been mentioned but Labour have won a seat in Edinburgh...
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,472
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    Give them independence on Monday morning.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    JackW said:

    Clegg looks crushed .... hardly surprising.

    He put the nation first and the nation said thanks but piss off.

    Poor Nick. And a poor show that people see fit to boo the result - a bit of dignity and respect never goes amiss.
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    JonnyJimmyJonnyJimmy Posts: 2,548
    kle4 said:

    I'm wondering if it is possible to delete old posts I might have made ridiculing the idea Labour would not win this election? About 6000 of them?

    Just so long as it doesn't include any in which you bet on the Tories sub 300!
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    I reckon Nick is going!!!!!
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited May 2015
    Clegg strongly hinting he'll resign from the leadership
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Clegg standing down later.
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    RealAleDrinkerRealAleDrinker Posts: 30
    have there been any updated projections?
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,481
    Just stuck in a tweet about Ed Balls. *Innocent Face*
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    LibDems 4th in Chesterfield
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    CarolaCarola Posts: 1,805
    Balls has lost acc to Mark Ferguson.
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,203
    Clegg to resign in private
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    recount at Bolton W
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    Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    edited May 2015
    booo Resign Sturgeon
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @GerriPeev: That's a non-resignation resignation. Clegg is quitting as leader later today.
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Not pleased with London at the moment!
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    Clegg strongly hinting he'll resign from the leadership

    That wasn't a hint. It was practically a declaration.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @iainmartin1: Ed Balls
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Morning all. Cambridge yet to declare....
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    Balls deep in trouble
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    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,062
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Just stuck in a tweet about Ed Balls. *Innocent Face*

    If ever there was the night to use that little one, we've waited a long long time for it. Would be George's ultimate genius proven if took out his 2 2010 rival chancellors?
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour hold Hampstead
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    RealAleDrinker said:

    have there been any updated projections?

    No, the networks must think the original exit poll was pretty much correct.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    I expect a May2015 article on Miliband's path to power shortly.
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    The Conservatives are already up 8. We still have all the remaining south west LD seats.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,335
    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    Clearly, some accommodation will have to be reached with Scotland.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,804
    Clegg definitely stepping down...Rock Paper Scissors Lizard Spock for the leadership?
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    JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Northampton North possibly worst LD result of the night?

    28% last time...3.6% this time
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Mundell held on
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Gloria is smiling at Ashfield count. It seems she has won
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,061
    Brentford and Isleworth Labour gain

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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Rowenna lost Itchen.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,386
    edited May 2015
    Huge Con incumbency bonus.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,010
    alex. said:

    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    SKY: "Quite possible [LDs] most number of Lost Deposits ever"

    Natural Law party?

    IIRC 310 lost deposits in 1992
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Hurry up with Morely and Outwood, I really need a poo but can't risk missing the result
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    CON HOLD DUMFRESHIRE
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    So Clegg, Miliband, Farage all gonners?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,061
    Dumfriesshire Tory hold
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,359
    RobinWiggs said:

    Clegg - the honourable man who put his country before his party, and in the process saw his party wiped out.

    One day the history books might say that. Tomorrow, the remaining LDs will surely want to rip him to shreds (notwithstanding they backed him), but can't risk literally doing so as they need that seat.

    Clegg's looked and sounded great in this campaign - I thought he was either mad or a really great actor. I still don't know which it was, but I doubt he'll look so good for a long time.
    Slackbladder said:

    kle4 said:

    Serious question, how does Cameron make any decision that affect Scotland now? They already didn't like it.

    He should make a 'gesture' to scotland, and also sort out england as well...
    They will spit that gesture back in his face, they have no incentive to play ball with him.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited May 2015
    AndyJS said:

    RealAleDrinker said:

    have there been any updated projections?

    No, the networks must think the original exit poll was pretty much correct.
    It does look to have been pretty damn good.

    Massive credit to curtice, fisher et al.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    YES! Is that Lab=Con=LD in Scotland?
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Have any of the channels started speculating about a majority yet?
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,294
    Clegg to discuss position in the morning. Sky ticker.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold the Scottish seat
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    SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Mundell holds on in DCT
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    GravitationGravitation Posts: 281
    Mundell holds on. Yessss
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    PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    So we have a Tory Scots MP too. That's great news: a toe across the border was really important constitutionally.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,210
    HYUFD said:

    Dumfriesshire Tory hold

    YES!!!!!!!!!
This discussion has been closed.