politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is turning into a truly terrible night for the Lib Dem
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Recount in BRS. Need it for the Panda tie. And to keep SNP < 560
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First Birmingham result. This is important.0
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61 second places for Ukip so far, according to Sky.
So close, and yet so far.0 -
Jim Murphy constituency turnout 81%!0
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Labour piling up votes where they don't need to0
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I can't believe I am still up and awake. What a great night!0
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@britainelects: David LAWS OUT.0
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Fair play to @Tissue_Price - he'd tipped that for a while.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Gower majority of 27, first time it hasn't been Labour since 1918!0
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Gower has been Labour since 1906.0
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I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.0
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Disappointed that Liam Byrne has held on for Labour.0
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Dair Latest Yougov has No 53 Yes 47 in rerun referendum0
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Morning all! We got routed in Stockton South: Tories went from 332 majority to 5,046. Ironically we look to have won a lot of votes for the council elections which start formally counting at 11am0
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@JournoStephen: Meanwhile in Wales... the Conservatives are set for their best general election result since 1983 http://t.co/X7YYmoMNli0
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I really want Dorset seats to declare. It is dawn in Dorset and I want to be able to proclaim a Blue dawn in Dorset! Fingers crossed!0
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It's the third. Labour held Northfields (small swing to Con) and Erdington (small swing to Lab) earlierPurseybear said:
First Birmingham result. This is important.
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Much obliged! 2/6 of the Wales long-shots I identified came in.Pong said:0 -
Stayed at home? UKIP?rottenborough said:I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.
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*cough*Labour firewall*cough*rottenborough said:I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.
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Any news on T. Hunt yet?0
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Lab hold Blackpool South
Given how the night is developing they could have been in danger there0 -
I wonder how Labour's excellent running of the NHS in Wales have effected them?Scott_P said:@JournoStephen: Meanwhile in Wales... the Conservatives are set for their best general election result since 1983 http://t.co/X7YYmoMNli
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Here's Ed...0
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Surely a majority is now a certainty? I can't see how not if net changes between Tories and Labour seem to be 0, while they get masses of gains from the Lib Dems.0
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Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.0
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Off to bed for a few hours I think, Berwickshire declaring at 7am post recount0
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Do I remember rightly: didn't some pensioner bet £50K on a labour majority this week?0
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Absolutely astonishing Nabbers.Richard_Nabavi said:
... and Watford wasn't exactly TCTC, was it?JackW said:More bad news from Nick Palmer .... he's ruined my clean sweep of the "JackW Dozen" ....
Bugger ....
I wasn't expecting the LibDems to come third, though.
The local Tories were genuinely concerned. Voters makes fools of all of us.
Bury North comes in for the "JackW Dozen"
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Cooper making a play for the leadership0
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Cooper pitching for the big job. Boring.0
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UKIP move from 4th to 2nd v Fallon in Sevenoaks, up 14%.
This is what UKIP are doing: piling up 2nd places. Must be 100+ now.0 -
Con gain Gower.
I think it's highly likely, unless SW Lib Dems are very limpet-like, that they won't get to the de facto 323 now0 -
Bye bye Kennedy0
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"crutch", I think was the word.Scott_P said:
*cough*Labour firewall*cough*rottenborough said:I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.
Actually, we don't know that they didn't. It could be that Labour's former core failed to turn out or defected to UKIP in sizable numbers.0 -
With her maj up a bit - it can't hurt her at allwilliamglenn said:
Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.
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One of the architects of the coalition gets his reward.TheScreamingEagles said:
Ashdown should be covered with tar and chicken feathers.0 -
Kennedy's declaration on BBC...0
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Charlie Kennedy declaration on Sky0
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@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
For those of us old enough to remember 1992......the party starts well, then turns ugly....lets hope the UKIP 'failure' keeps the Turnip Taliban in their places.....Prodicus said:I can't believe I am still up and awake. What a great night!
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All voting in twickenham?rottenborough said:I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.
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Charlie Kennedy gone.0
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SCOTLAND WINS in Skyee Lochaber and Ross0
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Charles Kennedy loses0
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Kennedy's gone too!!!0
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Charles Kennedy loses0
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Kennedy gone too0
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Let's hope he sorts his life out.. poor guy.Eh_ehm_a_eh said:Charlie Kennedy gone.
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Charles Kennedy - gawwwwn.0
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ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogueTGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
Cooper-Balls re-elected. Single-earner household?0
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ED!0
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Ted's declaration now0
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Wouldn't it be funny if.... well,OK.0
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Charles Kennedy gone just before head off!0
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Con hold Eddisbury - where is that??0
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I'm pretty sure EICIPM... surely???currystar said:
ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogueTGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
Charles Kennedy out - Hopefully he will be able to get his life back on track.0
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Bradshaw holds Exeter with a 4% swing in his favour:
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I didn't even know the Tories were targeting Bolton West.0
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Kennedy out!0
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They overstated Labour by 3-4%currystar said:
ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogueTGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
Here's Team Tw@t,,,making his 5 yearly visit.0
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There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.TGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
@NicoHines: Greens rubbing it in: say they have beaten the Lib Dems in 67 seats0
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When does Caithness declare. My last winnable bet.0
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CheshirePlato said:Con hold Eddisbury - where is that??
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Draw back the curtains peeps, it's daylight out.0
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Whiney, entitled shrews will not win future elections for Labour.williamglenn said:
Yvette Cooper making her leadership pitch.
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I think it was past weighting of D/K that destroyed the UK polling industry, plus some other factors that we might found from the exit poll internals.david_herdson said:
"crutch", I think was the word.Scott_P said:
*cough*Labour firewall*cough*rottenborough said:I hold my hand up. I have lost massively on this election. What I don't understand is where have the LibDem 2010 voters gone? Not Lab in the midlands marginals thats for sure.
Actually, we don't know that they didn't. It could be that Labour's former core failed to turn out or defected to UKIP in sizable numbers.0 -
SNP win Doncaster North0
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Ed wins!!!
His seat0 -
Well at least he won his own seat....0
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EICIMP?Slackbladder said:Ed wins!!!
His seat0 -
I'm in Sevenoaks and that doesn't surprise me at all. The Ukip guy is the only one I've seen out campaigning. I think Fallon's failure to deliver a Grammar School for the town can't have helped him either.KentRising said:UKIP move from 4th to 2nd v Fallon in Sevenoaks, up 14%.
This is what UKIP are doing: piling up 2nd places. Must be 100+ now.
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Ed is safe ... till lunchtime?0
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Hazel Grove Con gain0
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Two key gains flash through!!!!0
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Bolton W Con gain0
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Er, no. just EIC. Someone said earlier they could hear David M's laughter from New York.RobD said:
I'm pretty sure EICIPM... surely???currystar said:
ICM had 39-33 two weeks ago. Apparently is was a rogueTGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
Another 2nd place for UKIP - in Miliband's seat.0
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Ed M holds Doncaster N0
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Defecting to UKIP does not look a smart move anymore.CarlottaVance said:
For those of us old enough to remember 1992......the party starts well, then turns ugly....lets hope the UKIP 'failure' keeps the Turnip Taliban in their places.....Prodicus said:I can't believe I am still up and awake. What a great night!
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Seriously David, what the eff are we going to write about over the weekend?david_herdson said:
There were a few 5 or 6pt Con leads in April, though none of seven.TGOHF said:@bbclaurak: Prof Curtice says now with more than half the results, Tories look 7pts ahead in popular vote, and still possible to get an overall majority
Massive fail from pollsters - bar ICM In January.0 -
SNP won it about an hour agorottenborough said:When does Caithness declare. My last winnable bet.
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Bolton West Con gain from Lab0
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Arf - shame BJO is missing all the fun.RobD said:
EICIMP?Slackbladder said:Ed wins!!!
His seat0 -
EICIMP0
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I almost feel sorry for the guy. What a crazy 24 hours.0