politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early results suggest it really is Ajockalypse Now for

Options
12467

Comments

  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Slackbladder said:

    Lucy Powell alert!!!

    numbertwelve said:

    Lucy Powell alert!!

    Boom!
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    Lucy Powell...what could possibly go wrong...
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Ave_it said:

    Er we haven't gained a seat yet!

    BRECON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    *ahem* I tipped Brecon just a couple of times ;-)
  • FattyBolger
    FattyBolger Posts: 299
    lucy powell on BBC1 now
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    edited May 2015
    SNP win EKOK

    Greatrix gone.

    This must be the record swing.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    How is she going to muck this one up?
  • fitalass
    fitalass Posts: 4,444
    Yep, she was one of the really good local MP's who really didn't deserve to lose her seat.
    DavidL said:

    Not a bad effort by Jo Swinson considering what else is going on in Scotland but another one bites the dust. Tactical voting by tories unsuccessful.

  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    SNP Gain Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath #GE2015
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Kirkcaldy gooooonnne
  • CopperSulphate
    CopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Labour list:

    "It’s really not clear whether Ed Balls will hold on to his seat Morley and Outwood – sources says ‘it’s too close to call’ "

    Looks like there may well be a large ruddy faced cheery on top of the cake tonight.
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    FattyBolger said:

    lucy powell on BBC1 now

    She is one of Cameron's greatest assets
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab gain Burnley
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,728
    Lucy Powell presenting a face of optimism only Comical Ali could match
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Conservatives have won Brecon and Radnorshire from the Lib Dems.

    Another of the Tory Battlebus targets. Looks like CCHQ knew what they're doing.

    The Gower next?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    BTW, I head there would be multiple swingometers inside a simulated Big Ben. Where are they???
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?

    It can be printed off by 3D printers.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    Hurrah!!

    @rowenamason: Lucy Powell: it's obviously a v disappointing result for us in Scotland in particular... but we're still in the early stages
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Gordon Brown seat gone!!!!
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    SNP win Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath.

    WOOOT.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Labour need a Northern leadership

    OR just split in two
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    edited May 2015
    Y0kel said:

    SDLP hold South Belfast..and I will have lost a notable amount of money.

    I thought that would be a dead cert Unionist gain due to the lack of Nat pact?
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    2.6 swing Lab->Con in Montgomeryshire. Wow.
  • Gadfly
    Gadfly Posts: 1,205
    https://twitter.com/jameskirkup/status/596490822784167936
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    CopperSulphate said:

    Labour list:

    "It’s really not clear whether Ed Balls will hold on to his seat Morley and Outwood – sources says ‘it’s too close to call’ "

    Looks like there may well be a large ruddy faced cheery on top of the cake tonight.

    We heard this last time and he just held on (unfortunately).
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Brown's seat goes to the SNP.
  • dmc82
    dmc82 Posts: 27
    LAB Gain Burnley
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    I'm about to give up on bbc, missing results in Swindon and Peterborough in England, all Scotland ..., don't they listen to ogh that Scotland isn't so important in seats!!!
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Gordon Brown's old seat - gone!
  • currystar
    currystar Posts: 1,171
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?

    There are lots of threads over the past two weeks that could be studied
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    At last the people of Kirkcaldy have woken up to being treated like idiots for years.
  • SouthamObserver
    SouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    Camden New Journal predicting close result in Hampstead & Kilburn. Could be recount territory. Didn't see that one coming, but makes sense given the other London results so far.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    So Dougie Alexander ran the Labour campaign with Lucy Powell as it's vice chair.
    Wonder where it went wrong????
  • CopperSulphate
    CopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    AndyJS said:

    Brown's seat goes to the SNP.

    Shame he wasn't still sitting on it.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    I'm about to give up on bbc, missing results in Swindon and Peterborough in England, all Scotland ..., don't they listen to ogh that Scotland isn't so important in seats!!!

    It's awful.
  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    Mr. Sulphate, hmm. Was planning on going to bed. I probably will fairly soon, and see how things pan out.
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Dair said:

    SNP win EKOK

    Greatrix gone.

    This must be the record swing.

    It was for 2 minutes.

  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    dmc82 said:

    LAB Gain Burnley

    One of the least surprising results of the evening. I'll call Redcar for Labour as well if you like :-)
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    SNP is really having to think every seat in Scotland is going to be SNP.
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    CopperSulphate said:

    Labour list:

    "It’s really not clear whether Ed Balls will hold on to his seat Morley and Outwood – sources says ‘it’s too close to call’ "

    Looks like there may well be a large ruddy faced cheery on top of the cake tonight.

    What's the record for Shadow Cabinet ministers losing their seats in an election?
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    8% majority for Lab in Burnley
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    To take Browns seat must mean a clean sweep is on for SNP.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Lucy Powell: 'I dont think we got in wrong in Scotland'

    lolwut?
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Pollster Peter Kellner: “Maybe in five hours time I’ll have to say I screwed up. I’ll leave the hat eating to others” pic.twitter.com/O7lLPqLq8B
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?

    It's going on my wall in my office.
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    Con hold Warks North
  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900
    35% swing in Gordon Brown's seat, muahahahahahaa.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    I've got Sky and ITV now. BBC very disappointing.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Con hold Warwickshire North.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Moses_ said:

    To take Browns seat must mean a clean sweep is on for SNP.

    A clean sweep of SLAB seats certainly.
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold North Warwickshire
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    WARWICKS N - STAYS CON

    Lab target #1
  • Flockers_pb
    Flockers_pb Posts: 204
    Tories hold Warwickshire North. Pile in on the majority
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Birtwistle out in Burnley. Good result however.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories hold Labour's top target in Warwickshire North.
  • macisback
    macisback Posts: 382
    Slackbladder said:

    Lucy Powell: 'I dont think we got in wrong in Scotland'

    lolwut?

    Dear me she is bad.
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Spud Murphy up soon.
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    I need the Nats to fail to take at least one seat.

    So I can do a thread headlined

    "Disappointing night for the Nats as they don't take all 59 seats"
  • Stark_Dawning
    Stark_Dawning Posts: 10,202
    dr_spyn said:

    SNP Gain Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath #GE2015

    Well, the mighty Hodges got that one wrong - he thought Labour would just hang on. Still, you can't be right about everything.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Agreed.. BBC need to cut away mid-interview more to catch the declarations.
  • Monty
    Monty Posts: 346
    Fascinating how wrong the polls are/were. I wonder why?
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 14s14 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Burnley #GE2015
  • FattyBolger
    FattyBolger Posts: 299
    lab gain ealing from con
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab gain Ealing Central?
  • OblitusSumMe
    OblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Stewart Jackson swimming against the tide in Peterborough.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Bob__Sykes said:

    WARWICKS N - STAYS CON

    Lab target #1

    Jeez if they coudn't take that.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Midlothian goes SNP.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 10s10 seconds ago
    CON Hold Worcester #GE2015
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Ave_it said:

    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!

    WOW. First on their list.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    edited May 2015
    Ave_it said:

    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!

    WTF....that was suppose to be dead easy for Labour. Makes sense why Ed was dragging his lectern up there a couple of days ago....it is also becoming really clear that Labour List article about why Ed went for the Russell Brand hail mary.
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Right, this must be Conservative majority now.
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    Lab gain Ealing - eeeek!
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Ealing Central *
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Labour gained Ealing - against the tide
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Konnie Huq's sister Rupa gains Ealing Central for Labour.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 17s18 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Ealing Central & Acton #GE2015
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Chameleon said:

    Moses_ said:

    To take Browns seat must mean a clean sweep is on for SNP.

    A clean sweep of SLAB seats certainly.
    34% swing quoted.

    Ealing central labour gain from cons
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Lab gain Ealing C, their first.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    Lucy never disappoints

    @steve_hawkes: Quote of the night by Labour's Lucy Powell: "I don’t think we got it wrong in Scotland."
  • JohnLilburne
    JohnLilburne Posts: 6,879
    34% swing in Kirkcaldy
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    AVE IT - Lab gain Ealing Central!
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Brecon & Radnorshire Con gain from LD.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Burnley LAB gain.
    The only one probably.
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Gordon started this process, and it's killing his party.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Wow. Looking like majority terrority.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Scott_P said:

    Hurrah!!

    @rowenamason: Lucy Powell: it's obviously a v disappointing result for us in Scotland in particular... but we're still in the early stages

    If Labour had any sense, they would tie Lucy to the Ed Stone and drop it in the Irish Sea....
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    Ealing - at last something to make me happy. Scene of my 2010 ignominy.
  • Chris_A
    Chris_A Posts: 1,237
    So if Balls goes, should it be the Warre 99 or the Graham 85?
  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900
    Spreads still nudging up, but none quite prepared for 323 yet: spin and sprx 322.5, ig 322.
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Oh good, Labour won Ealing Central & Acton. That was one I had in my quiver.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    Slackbladder said:

    Lucy Powell: 'I dont think we got in wrong in Scotland'

    lolwut?

    My view is that the Scottish Labour collapse is little to do with the current leadership, but more to do with the diseased structural mess they inherited.

    As seen with Falkirk.

    Have I said Falkirk enough tonight? ;-)
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    1st Labour gain from Conservative: Ealing Central and Acton.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Hodges: Ed to stand down tomorrow.
  • Monty
    Monty Posts: 346
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I need the Nats to fail to take at least one seat.

    So I can do a thread headlined

    "Disappointing night for the Nats as they don't take all 59 seats"

    LOL
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Ave_it said:

    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!

    WTF....that was suppose to be dead easy for Labour. Makes sense why Ed was dragging his lectern up there a couple of days ago....it is also becoming really clear that Labour List article about why Ed went for the Russell Brand hail mary.
    That was their No.1 target.

    But they've gained Ealing Central.
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Streaker to be hodges on Sky
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800

    Al Murray FUKP retweeted
    Mic Wright. ‏@brokenbottleboy 1 min1 minute ago

    Lucy Powell remains convinced that Labour's dog isn't dead, it's just gone to live on a farm in the country #GE2015
  • Monty
    Monty Posts: 346
    antifrank said:

    Right, this must be Conservative majority now.

    Feels like it might be on. Is that actually possible?!!
This discussion has been closed.

Categories