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SystemSystem Posts: 12,587
edited May 2015 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early results suggest it really is Ajockalypse Now for Labour

Paisley and Renfrewshire South result:
SNP – 50.9% (+32.9)
LAB – 38.6% (-21.0)
CON – 7.6% (-2.3)
LDEM – 2.2% (-7.3)

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    34% swing!!!
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    I'm guessing Labour gave up on Dunbartonshire West.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,107
    Politics is brutal.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Tsk.

    Scotterdammerung.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    a Double Portillo!!!!!!!
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Incredible swings - absolutely gobsmacking
  • CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Where's Ed? Has he said anything yet?
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    We are in unknown waters with regards the union
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    antifrank said:

    Tsk.

    Scotterdammerung.

    Very good!
  • dmc82dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP gain DUNDEE WEST
  • macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    Duggie bows out with dignity, fair play to him.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    if only Gordon brown had stood again
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 66,253
    Jonathan said:

    Politics is brutal.

    It is tonight and how
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,909
    This is starting to make 1992 election look uneventful.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,955
    Nicks lost. I really wish the BBC would stop wittering and start reporting.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    Well Scotland voted against the Tories, the rest of the country voted against the SNP.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,838
    Leader ratings
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,265
    Labour are getting pounded harder than someone who works by the docks in Scot.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    CON hold Broxtowe
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Dundee West for SNP
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    CopperSulphate said:

    Where's Ed? Has he said anything yet?

    We won't see anything from him until his declaration
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Darlington - tiny swing to Con according to Sky.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    It really could be Night Night for Balls in a couple of hours...
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    What what???
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,754
    Speedy said:

    Well Scotland voted against the Tories, the rest of the country voted against the SNP.

    I think that's absolutely spot on. The SNP surge won it for the Conservatives.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    CopperSulphate said:

    Where's Ed? Has he said anything yet?

    Apparently he is busy reassessing his obelisk
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 66,945
    Earthquake.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,754
    Slackbladder said:

    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    What what???
    Sorry Nick
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,955
    Glad I did not waste my vote on Labour in Dundee West.
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 805
    SNP GAIN North Sentinel Island
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 66,945
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    prediction? or inside information?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    After 35 results Labour's vote is down 2%:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,874
    Are people getting Broxbourne confused with Broxtowe?
  • KingaKinga Posts: 59
    It remains to be seen whether SNP MPs will indeed represent the whole of Scotland and not just the nationalist constituency. I have my doubts.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Absolute and total rejection of ScotLab. 30 per cent swings???? Thrasher thinks wipeout possible. Labour cannot recover from this, ever. Or for several generations, anyway. Maybe LibDem cannot, either. My word.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    How can labour come back from this?
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    These swings are even bigger than by-election comedy swings.

    Astonishing
  • CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    if only Gordon brown had stood again

    Yes that would have been absolutely delicious.

    He probably would have decided he was no longer standing 10 seconds before the count was read out.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    But only last week Soubry had given up! Tic toc tic toc.
  • dmc82dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP gain Glenrothes
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Falkirk
    SNP 34832
    Labour 15530
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Slackbladder said:

    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    What what???
    Broxbourne is what I saw on screen
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,754
    RobD said:

    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?

    Yes
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,314
    Labour down four seats.
    Conservatives level.

    This wasn't in the script.

    Falkirk casts a long shadow.
  • dmc82dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP Gain Falkirk
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    FPT, BenM, and other Labour supporters who have taken this magnanimously, fair play to you for fronting up, unlike the gobshites, who have gone underground. It reflects well on you.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    FALKIRK goes to SNP
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,909
    That moving van the Mirror booked for Cameron and Osborne, at least it can be put to good use shifting Ed's obelisk.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    SNP currently second largest party.. .Lab first... titter.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 66,945
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Are people getting Broxbourne confused with Broxtowe?

    Broxtowe not due until 4am.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,729
    This is what you get for taking a group of voters for granted for generation after generation.

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 60,754
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Are people getting Broxbourne confused with Broxtowe?

    I suspect so...
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 46,314
    R5L 02.30 news biased towards the SNP.

    It's not good enough. Scrap the licence fee now !!!!
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,809
    Con hold Broxbourne, not Broxtowe
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    I hope Labour see sense after this result and adopt PR.
    It may be the only way to preserve the Union.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    FPT:

    Anecdote alert, my Mum (from the Rhondda) voted Tory for the first time in her life at 78. Reason being that she didn't like the idea of a Labour/SNP coalition.

    Given that she STILL refers to the blessed Margaret as 'Thatcher the Snatcher', you may colour me surprised. Of course, she lives in an unimportant seat, but I'd hazard a guess she's not alone.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    These people OWNED Scotland. This is amazing to watch.
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    I'm still digesting 'ajocalypse now'
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    DavidL said:

    Glad I did not waste my vote on Labour in Dundee West.

    Should have voted SNP and been on the winning side. They'll bring more public money to your purse.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 55,495
    Nick was supposedly a win under the exit poll.....
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Mhairi Black supposedly the youngest MP since 1667.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?

    Yes
    :D:D:D:D
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    One thing that the SNP will have to deal with is the fact that a good number of these candidates were selected with very little expectation of actually winning. There are going to be some very 'interesting' new people who never expected to be MPs...
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Ochil
    SNP win.

    Turnouts are all over 75% or so.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    Andrew said:

    Mhairi Black supposedly the youngest MP since 1667.

    Good on her!
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Yes it's Broxbourne
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    Well Scotland voted against the Tories, the rest of the country voted against the SNP.

    I think that's absolutely spot on. The SNP surge won it for the Conservatives.
    As long as the SNP is strong in Scotland the Tories will be in power just to keep them out.
    Until either Labour promises English Devolution or UKIP replace Labour (because the SNP hates UKIP).
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,838
    Dair said:

    Falkirk
    SNP 34832
    Labour 15530

    Only 14% swing
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,714
    Our own Nick P is still an ex-MP, according to the Beeb ticker........
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    CopperSulphate said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    if only Gordon brown had stood again

    Yes that would have been absolutely delicious.

    He probably would have decided he was no longer standing 10 seconds before the count was read out.
    Water laughed over keyboard.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,487
    LOL 14% swing is small in SNP standards

    Labour's best so far has been 5.5% hasn't it?
  • CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    The BBC graphics can't cope with the swing from Labour to the SNP. Just a big yellow pendulum.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    0.1% swing to the Tories in Darlington:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000658
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    The SNP will win everything....
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,909
    Here is West Ham's, I mean Aston Villa's biggest fan...
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?

    Yes
    You're doing a very good job.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Calling Gordon Brown. Calling Mister Gordon Brown. Were you up for Wee Dougie?
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Can't believe that the BBC forecast hasn't changed at all
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    Kinga said:

    It remains to be seen whether SNP MPs will indeed represent the whole of Scotland and not just the nationalist constituency. I have my doubts.

    Me too. 50+ fervent nationalists. Can't see that as a recipe for harmony.
  • StickytrollStickytroll Posts: 30
    When will the riots start? Lefties never take well to losing.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Glenrothes swing 37%
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Glenrothes
    SNP 26k
    Labour 14k
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,060
    Sky saying Con Hold Broxbourne.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 66,945
    Rumour on twitter from Broxtowe people who are at count is that a) high turnout (still vertifying) and b) Con ahead on all counting tables.
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    Can't be true , Soubry had given up, tic toc.
  • GravitationGravitation Posts: 287
    Conservative vote in Scotland seems to be holding steady or even increasing slightly, despite SNP constant rhetoric of evil Tories.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 129,033
    Ochil 14% swing, some unionist tactical voting there there was lower
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Ajockalypse now - and CaTaffStrophe in years to come...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    Chris_A said:

    Can't believe that the BBC forecast hasn't changed at all

    They've yet to update it.. It was C316, L239.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Kellner says Scottish turnout up 9%
  • DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    CON holds Broxbourne
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Cameron looking chipper
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,625
    Cameron must be DELIGHTED with this.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Castle point...
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    Soubry hadn't given up after all - what a surprise tic tock tic tock
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Swing in Falkirk a measly 26%
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,265
    edited May 2015
    RobD said:

    Chris_A said:

    Can't believe that the BBC forecast hasn't changed at all

    They've yet to update it.. It was C316, L239.
    Seeing as in E&W there is little to no swing it should update to a majority of 6 or so.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,487
    saddened said:

    FPT, BenM, and other Labour supporters who have taken this magnanimously, fair play to you for fronting up, unlike the gobshites, who have gone underground. It reflects well on you.

    No point in StuartTruth-ing it
  • KingaKinga Posts: 59
    LibDems could be losing over £250,000 in deposits as well as most of their MPs. Ouch.
This discussion has been closed.

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