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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early results suggest it really is Ajockalypse Now for

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  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Slackbladder said:

    Lucy Powell alert!!!

    numbertwelve said:

    Lucy Powell alert!!

    Boom!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Lucy Powell...what could possibly go wrong...
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Ave_it said:

    Er we haven't gained a seat yet!

    BRECON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    *ahem* I tipped Brecon just a couple of times ;-)
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    lucy powell on BBC1 now
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited May 2015
    SNP win EKOK

    Greatrix gone.

    This must be the record swing.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    How is she going to muck this one up?
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Yep, she was one of the really good local MP's who really didn't deserve to lose her seat.
    DavidL said:

    Not a bad effort by Jo Swinson considering what else is going on in Scotland but another one bites the dust. Tactical voting by tories unsuccessful.

  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    SNP Gain Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath #GE2015
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Kirkcaldy gooooonnne
  • CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Labour list:

    "It’s really not clear whether Ed Balls will hold on to his seat Morley and Outwood – sources says ‘it’s too close to call’ "

    Looks like there may well be a large ruddy faced cheery on top of the cake tonight.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    FattyBolger said:

    lucy powell on BBC1 now

    She is one of Cameron's greatest assets
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab gain Burnley
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,927
    Lucy Powell presenting a face of optimism only Comical Ali could match
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,952
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    Conservatives have won Brecon and Radnorshire from the Lib Dems.

    Another of the Tory Battlebus targets. Looks like CCHQ knew what they're doing.

    The Gower next?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    BTW, I head there would be multiple swingometers inside a simulated Big Ben. Where are they???
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?

    It can be printed off by 3D printers.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Hurrah!!

    @rowenamason: Lucy Powell: it's obviously a v disappointing result for us in Scotland in particular... but we're still in the early stages
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Gordon Brown seat gone!!!!
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    SNP win Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath.

    WOOOT.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Labour need a Northern leadership

    OR just split in two
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,150
    edited May 2015
    Y0kel said:

    SDLP hold South Belfast..and I will have lost a notable amount of money.

    I thought that would be a dead cert Unionist gain due to the lack of Nat pact?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    2.6 swing Lab->Con in Montgomeryshire. Wow.
  • GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    https://twitter.com/jameskirkup/status/596490822784167936
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    CopperSulphate said:

    Labour list:

    "It’s really not clear whether Ed Balls will hold on to his seat Morley and Outwood – sources says ‘it’s too close to call’ "

    Looks like there may well be a large ruddy faced cheery on top of the cake tonight.

    We heard this last time and he just held on (unfortunately).
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Brown's seat goes to the SNP.
  • dmc82dmc82 Posts: 27
    LAB Gain Burnley
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    I'm about to give up on bbc, missing results in Swindon and Peterborough in England, all Scotland ..., don't they listen to ogh that Scotland isn't so important in seats!!!
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Gordon Brown's old seat - gone!
  • currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?

    There are lots of threads over the past two weeks that could be studied
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    At last the people of Kirkcaldy have woken up to being treated like idiots for years.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    Camden New Journal predicting close result in Hampstead & Kilburn. Could be recount territory. Didn't see that one coming, but makes sense given the other London results so far.
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    So Dougie Alexander ran the Labour campaign with Lucy Powell as it's vice chair.
    Wonder where it went wrong????
  • CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    AndyJS said:

    Brown's seat goes to the SNP.

    Shame he wasn't still sitting on it.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    I'm about to give up on bbc, missing results in Swindon and Peterborough in England, all Scotland ..., don't they listen to ogh that Scotland isn't so important in seats!!!

    It's awful.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,968
    Mr. Sulphate, hmm. Was planning on going to bed. I probably will fairly soon, and see how things pan out.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Dair said:

    SNP win EKOK

    Greatrix gone.

    This must be the record swing.

    It was for 2 minutes.

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,656
    dmc82 said:

    LAB Gain Burnley

    One of the least surprising results of the evening. I'll call Redcar for Labour as well if you like :-)
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    SNP is really having to think every seat in Scotland is going to be SNP.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    CopperSulphate said:

    Labour list:

    "It’s really not clear whether Ed Balls will hold on to his seat Morley and Outwood – sources says ‘it’s too close to call’ "

    Looks like there may well be a large ruddy faced cheery on top of the cake tonight.

    What's the record for Shadow Cabinet ministers losing their seats in an election?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    8% majority for Lab in Burnley
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    To take Browns seat must mean a clean sweep is on for SNP.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Lucy Powell: 'I dont think we got in wrong in Scotland'

    lolwut?
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Pollster Peter Kellner: “Maybe in five hours time I’ll have to say I screwed up. I’ll leave the hat eating to others” pic.twitter.com/O7lLPqLq8B
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Richard_Nabavi said:

    I think the PB thread of earlier today should be preserved for future psephologists and psychologists to study.

    Perhaps we could make a bid for Ed's obelisk and engrave it on on that?

    It's going on my wall in my office.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Con hold Warks North
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    35% swing in Gordon Brown's seat, muahahahahahaa.
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    I've got Sky and ITV now. BBC very disappointing.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Con hold Warwickshire North.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Moses_ said:

    To take Browns seat must mean a clean sweep is on for SNP.

    A clean sweep of SLAB seats certainly.
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold North Warwickshire
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    WARWICKS N - STAYS CON

    Lab target #1
  • Flockers_pbFlockers_pb Posts: 204
    Tories hold Warwickshire North. Pile in on the majority
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Birtwistle out in Burnley. Good result however.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories hold Labour's top target in Warwickshire North.
  • macisbackmacisback Posts: 382
    Slackbladder said:

    Lucy Powell: 'I dont think we got in wrong in Scotland'

    lolwut?

    Dear me she is bad.
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Spud Murphy up soon.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,978
    I need the Nats to fail to take at least one seat.

    So I can do a thread headlined

    "Disappointing night for the Nats as they don't take all 59 seats"
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,714
    dr_spyn said:

    SNP Gain Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath #GE2015

    Well, the mighty Hodges got that one wrong - he thought Labour would just hang on. Still, you can't be right about everything.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Agreed.. BBC need to cut away mid-interview more to catch the declarations.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    Fascinating how wrong the polls are/were. I wonder why?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 14s14 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Burnley #GE2015
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    lab gain ealing from con
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Lab gain Ealing Central?
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Stewart Jackson swimming against the tide in Peterborough.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Bob__Sykes said:

    WARWICKS N - STAYS CON

    Lab target #1

    Jeez if they coudn't take that.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Midlothian goes SNP.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 10s10 seconds ago
    CON Hold Worcester #GE2015
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,045
    Ave_it said:

    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!

    WOW. First on their list.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited May 2015
    Ave_it said:

    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!

    WTF....that was suppose to be dead easy for Labour. Makes sense why Ed was dragging his lectern up there a couple of days ago....it is also becoming really clear that Labour List article about why Ed went for the Russell Brand hail mary.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Right, this must be Conservative majority now.
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    Lab gain Ealing - eeeek!
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Ealing Central *
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    Labour gained Ealing - against the tide
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Konnie Huq's sister Rupa gains Ealing Central for Labour.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 17s18 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Ealing Central & Acton #GE2015
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Chameleon said:

    Moses_ said:

    To take Browns seat must mean a clean sweep is on for SNP.

    A clean sweep of SLAB seats certainly.
    34% swing quoted.

    Ealing central labour gain from cons
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Lab gain Ealing C, their first.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Lucy never disappoints

    @steve_hawkes: Quote of the night by Labour's Lucy Powell: "I don’t think we got it wrong in Scotland."
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,313
    34% swing in Kirkcaldy
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,036
    AVE IT - Lab gain Ealing Central!
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Brecon & Radnorshire Con gain from LD.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Burnley LAB gain.
    The only one probably.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
    Gordon started this process, and it's killing his party.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    Wow. Looking like majority terrority.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,952
    Scott_P said:

    Hurrah!!

    @rowenamason: Lucy Powell: it's obviously a v disappointing result for us in Scotland in particular... but we're still in the early stages

    If Labour had any sense, they would tie Lucy to the Ed Stone and drop it in the Irish Sea....
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,234
    Ealing - at last something to make me happy. Scene of my 2010 ignominy.
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    So if Balls goes, should it be the Warre 99 or the Graham 85?
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Spreads still nudging up, but none quite prepared for 323 yet: spin and sprx 322.5, ig 322.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Oh good, Labour won Ealing Central & Acton. That was one I had in my quiver.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,504
    Slackbladder said:

    Lucy Powell: 'I dont think we got in wrong in Scotland'

    lolwut?

    My view is that the Scottish Labour collapse is little to do with the current leadership, but more to do with the diseased structural mess they inherited.

    As seen with Falkirk.

    Have I said Falkirk enough tonight? ;-)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    1st Labour gain from Conservative: Ealing Central and Acton.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Hodges: Ed to stand down tomorrow.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I need the Nats to fail to take at least one seat.

    So I can do a thread headlined

    "Disappointing night for the Nats as they don't take all 59 seats"

    LOL
  • PurseybearPurseybear Posts: 766
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Ave_it said:

    CON hold Warwickshire North!!!!

    WTF....that was suppose to be dead easy for Labour. Makes sense why Ed was dragging his lectern up there a couple of days ago....it is also becoming really clear that Labour List article about why Ed went for the Russell Brand hail mary.
    That was their No.1 target.

    But they've gained Ealing Central.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Streaker to be hodges on Sky
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780

    Al Murray FUKP retweeted
    Mic Wright. ‏@brokenbottleboy 1 min1 minute ago

    Lucy Powell remains convinced that Labour's dog isn't dead, it's just gone to live on a farm in the country #GE2015
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    antifrank said:

    Right, this must be Conservative majority now.

    Feels like it might be on. Is that actually possible?!!
This discussion has been closed.