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edited May 2015 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The early results suggest it really is Ajockalypse Now for Labour

Paisley and Renfrewshire South result:
SNP – 50.9% (+32.9)
LAB – 38.6% (-21.0)
CON – 7.6% (-2.3)
LDEM – 2.2% (-7.3)

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    34% swing!!!
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    I'm guessing Labour gave up on Dunbartonshire West.
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107
    Politics is brutal.
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Tsk.

    Scotterdammerung.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    a Double Portillo!!!!!!!
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Incredible swings - absolutely gobsmacking
  • CopperSulphate
    CopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Where's Ed? Has he said anything yet?
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    We are in unknown waters with regards the union
  • GeoffM
    GeoffM Posts: 6,071
    antifrank said:

    Tsk.

    Scotterdammerung.

    Very good!
  • dmc82
    dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP gain DUNDEE WEST
  • macisback
    macisback Posts: 382
    Duggie bows out with dignity, fair play to him.
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    if only Gordon brown had stood again
  • Big_G_NorthWales
    Big_G_NorthWales Posts: 66,238
    Jonathan said:

    Politics is brutal.

    It is tonight and how
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,724
    This is starting to make 1992 election look uneventful.
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Nicks lost. I really wish the BBC would stop wittering and start reporting.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    Well Scotland voted against the Tories, the rest of the country voted against the SNP.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Leader ratings
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Labour are getting pounded harder than someone who works by the docks in Scot.
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    CON hold Broxtowe
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Dundee West for SNP
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    CopperSulphate said:

    Where's Ed? Has he said anything yet?

    We won't see anything from him until his declaration
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Darlington - tiny swing to Con according to Sky.
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    It really could be Night Night for Balls in a couple of hours...
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    What what???
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Speedy said:

    Well Scotland voted against the Tories, the rest of the country voted against the SNP.

    I think that's absolutely spot on. The SNP surge won it for the Conservatives.
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    CopperSulphate said:

    Where's Ed? Has he said anything yet?

    Apparently he is busy reassessing his obelisk
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,860
    Earthquake.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Slackbladder said:

    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    What what???
    Sorry Nick
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Glad I did not waste my vote on Labour in Dundee West.
  • Monkeys
    Monkeys Posts: 798
    SNP GAIN North Sentinel Island
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,860
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    prediction? or inside information?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    After 35 results Labour's vote is down 2%:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806
    Are people getting Broxbourne confused with Broxtowe?
  • Kinga
    Kinga Posts: 59
    It remains to be seen whether SNP MPs will indeed represent the whole of Scotland and not just the nationalist constituency. I have my doubts.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Absolute and total rejection of ScotLab. 30 per cent swings???? Thrasher thinks wipeout possible. Labour cannot recover from this, ever. Or for several generations, anyway. Maybe LibDem cannot, either. My word.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    How can labour come back from this?
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    These swings are even bigger than by-election comedy swings.

    Astonishing
  • CopperSulphate
    CopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    if only Gordon brown had stood again

    Yes that would have been absolutely delicious.

    He probably would have decided he was no longer standing 10 seconds before the count was read out.
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    But only last week Soubry had given up! Tic toc tic toc.
  • dmc82
    dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP gain Glenrothes
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Falkirk
    SNP 34832
    Labour 15530
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Slackbladder said:

    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    What what???
    Broxbourne is what I saw on screen
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    RobD said:

    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?

    Yes
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    Labour down four seats.
    Conservatives level.

    This wasn't in the script.

    Falkirk casts a long shadow.
  • dmc82
    dmc82 Posts: 27
    SNP Gain Falkirk
  • saddened
    saddened Posts: 2,245
    FPT, BenM, and other Labour supporters who have taken this magnanimously, fair play to you for fronting up, unlike the gobshites, who have gone underground. It reflects well on you.
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    FALKIRK goes to SNP
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,724
    That moving van the Mirror booked for Cameron and Osborne, at least it can be put to good use shifting Ed's obelisk.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    SNP currently second largest party.. .Lab first... titter.
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,860
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Are people getting Broxbourne confused with Broxtowe?

    Broxtowe not due until 4am.
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,728
    This is what you get for taking a group of voters for granted for generation after generation.

  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Are people getting Broxbourne confused with Broxtowe?

    I suspect so...
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    R5L 02.30 news biased towards the SNP.

    It's not good enough. Scrap the licence fee now !!!!
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Con hold Broxbourne, not Broxtowe
  • Monty
    Monty Posts: 346
    I hope Labour see sense after this result and adopt PR.
    It may be the only way to preserve the Union.
  • John_M
    John_M Posts: 7,503
    FPT:

    Anecdote alert, my Mum (from the Rhondda) voted Tory for the first time in her life at 78. Reason being that she didn't like the idea of a Labour/SNP coalition.

    Given that she STILL refers to the blessed Margaret as 'Thatcher the Snatcher', you may colour me surprised. Of course, she lives in an unimportant seat, but I'd hazard a guess she's not alone.
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    These people OWNED Scotland. This is amazing to watch.
  • corporeal
    corporeal Posts: 2,549
    I'm still digesting 'ajocalypse now'
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    DavidL said:

    Glad I did not waste my vote on Labour in Dundee West.

    Should have voted SNP and been on the winning side. They'll bring more public money to your purse.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,458
    Nick was supposedly a win under the exit poll.....
  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900
    Mhairi Black supposedly the youngest MP since 1667.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?

    Yes
    :D:D:D:D
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    One thing that the SNP will have to deal with is the fact that a good number of these candidates were selected with very little expectation of actually winning. There are going to be some very 'interesting' new people who never expected to be MPs...
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Ochil
    SNP win.

    Turnouts are all over 75% or so.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Andrew said:

    Mhairi Black supposedly the youngest MP since 1667.

    Good on her!
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Yes it's Broxbourne
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    Well Scotland voted against the Tories, the rest of the country voted against the SNP.

    I think that's absolutely spot on. The SNP surge won it for the Conservatives.
    As long as the SNP is strong in Scotland the Tories will be in power just to keep them out.
    Until either Labour promises English Devolution or UKIP replace Labour (because the SNP hates UKIP).
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Dair said:

    Falkirk
    SNP 34832
    Labour 15530

    Only 14% swing
  • Cyclefree
    Cyclefree Posts: 25,709
    Our own Nick P is still an ex-MP, according to the Beeb ticker........
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    CopperSulphate said:

    Scrapheap_as_was said:

    if only Gordon brown had stood again

    Yes that would have been absolutely delicious.

    He probably would have decided he was no longer standing 10 seconds before the count was read out.
    Water laughed over keyboard.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    LOL 14% swing is small in SNP standards

    Labour's best so far has been 5.5% hasn't it?
  • CopperSulphate
    CopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    The BBC graphics can't cope with the swing from Labour to the SNP. Just a big yellow pendulum.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    0.1% swing to the Tories in Darlington:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000658
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    The SNP will win everything....
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,724
    Here is West Ham's, I mean Aston Villa's biggest fan...
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Will PB get a million views before the night is over?

    Yes
    You're doing a very good job.
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Calling Gordon Brown. Calling Mister Gordon Brown. Were you up for Wee Dougie?
  • Chris_A
    Chris_A Posts: 1,237
    Can't believe that the BBC forecast hasn't changed at all
  • Monty
    Monty Posts: 346
    Kinga said:

    It remains to be seen whether SNP MPs will indeed represent the whole of Scotland and not just the nationalist constituency. I have my doubts.

    Me too. 50+ fervent nationalists. Can't see that as a recipe for harmony.
  • Stickytroll
    Stickytroll Posts: 30
    When will the riots start? Lefties never take well to losing.
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Glenrothes swing 37%
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Glenrothes
    SNP 26k
    Labour 14k
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Sky saying Con Hold Broxbourne.
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,860
    Rumour on twitter from Broxtowe people who are at count is that a) high turnout (still vertifying) and b) Con ahead on all counting tables.
  • saddened
    saddened Posts: 2,245
    not_on_fire said:

    CON hold Broxtowe

    Can't be true , Soubry had given up, tic toc.
  • Gravitation
    Gravitation Posts: 287
    Conservative vote in Scotland seems to be holding steady or even increasing slightly, despite SNP constant rhetoric of evil Tories.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Ochil 14% swing, some unionist tactical voting there there was lower
  • RobinWiggs
    RobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Ajockalypse now - and CaTaffStrophe in years to come...
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Chris_A said:

    Can't believe that the BBC forecast hasn't changed at all

    They've yet to update it.. It was C316, L239.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Kellner says Scottish turnout up 9%
  • Dixie
    Dixie Posts: 1,221
    CON holds Broxbourne
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Cameron looking chipper
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Cameron must be DELIGHTED with this.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Castle point...
  • kingbongo
    kingbongo Posts: 393
    Soubry hadn't given up after all - what a surprise tic tock tic tock
  • Eh_ehm_a_eh
    Eh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Swing in Falkirk a measly 26%
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    edited May 2015
    RobD said:

    Chris_A said:

    Can't believe that the BBC forecast hasn't changed at all

    They've yet to update it.. It was C316, L239.
    Seeing as in E&W there is little to no swing it should update to a majority of 6 or so.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    saddened said:

    FPT, BenM, and other Labour supporters who have taken this magnanimously, fair play to you for fronting up, unlike the gobshites, who have gone underground. It reflects well on you.

    No point in StuartTruth-ing it
  • Kinga
    Kinga Posts: 59
    LibDems could be losing over £250,000 in deposits as well as most of their MPs. Ouch.
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