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  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    They're saying 80%+ turnout in East Ren for Murphy's to be given his Jotters.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    isam said:

    Oooh BBC say big turnout, 70% and a lot of previous DNVs in South Basildon and E Thurrock voting Kipper and the reporter has seen the UKIP votes with her own eyes!

    Come on I need a 20/1 winner!

    The East London seats could be very telling. If the UKIP vote has increased i
    AndyJS said:

    If I were a Labour supporter in Grimsby, Austin Mitchell's prediction of a 2,000 majority wouldn't fill me with confidence.

    I think Lab will be OK here. UKIP have a dreadful candidate. will inflict massive damage on the eardrums of the Commons if she is elected.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    God, Swindon not exactly selling themselves here. Crap camera position and crap audio.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    Artist said:


    I'm struggling to think who the 10 survivors are.

    Minibus driven by Martin Day...
  • dyedwoolie
    dyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Yeah, Chloe is safe I think. Whoops
  • LucyJones
    LucyJones Posts: 651
    Am I the only person here who feels sorry for losing candidates - or, at least, those who might have had a reasonable expectation of being in contention? (I make an exception for Galloway here).
  • OblitusSumMe
    OblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Where the eff is this 1 non SNP seat coming from?

    Berwickshire - last redoubt of the Union...
  • Philip_Thompson
    Philip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Casino_Royale said:

    not_on_fire said:

    316 will be a good result for the Conservatives, but the reality is they face a John Major-style adminsitration with huge divisions over Europe.

    I don't think so.
    Agreed. Major faced backbenchers used to Thatcher's majorities and a united anti-Tory opposition.

    Cameron has increased the Tory MPs if this is correct rather than lose them and faces a divided opposition.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    HYUFD said:

    Tories hold Swindon North

    The swing?
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Malcolm Bruce is STILL talking about Independence saying it's surprising that the SNP are beating the Libs. It's because the SNP will work for Scotland you stupid man. Jesus, do they STILL not get it.
  • Richard_Tyndall
    Richard_Tyndall Posts: 33,463
    Ave_it said:

    BBC sort the coverage out!!!!!!!!

    Trouble is that the BBC format with informed discussion is miles better than Sky jumping from one reporter to another all the time.

    Just a shame their technical side is so rubbish
  • alex.
    alex. Posts: 4,658
    Channel 129 - Sky arts probably the best viewing at the moment
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    I think its to CON sort it out BBC!
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Speedy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Tories hold Swindon North

    The swing?
    I think it was to the Tories.. at least based on AndyJS' post.... titter.
  • saddened
    saddened Posts: 2,245
    What's the chances of any paper ever funding a daily online poll again? I'd say none to zero.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,290
    The_Apocalypse said:

    Scott_P said:

    @TelePolitics: Ed Miliband may have to resign if exit polls are right http://t.co/XilcM7bUG7

    May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
    Will Labour ask for an International Rescue?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    Swindon North is the first seat to light up on my target list. It was Labour target no. 104:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iE8RU4rVmDmtRhjo1Ws3Om3IjrmgUVSbcW-tO7cY-RE/edit#gid=0
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Al Murray is a bit of a dick really..
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    SNP smiling in Stirling.
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Looks like Eck won't be writing the budget after all.
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Did Swindon happen or are the BBC trying to pretend it didn't?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    AndyJS said:

    Swindon North is the first seat to light up on my target list. It was Labour target no. 104:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iE8RU4rVmDmtRhjo1Ws3Om3IjrmgUVSbcW-tO7cY-RE/edit#gid=0

    Got it open on one of my monitors now. Thanks :D
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    saddened said:

    What's the chances of any paper ever funding a daily online poll again? I'd say none to zero.

    Phone polls converged on a tie, too.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    foxinsoxuk said:

    JosiasJessop said:

    Bugger. I've tried twice to get to sleep, but both times I've had to get up to listen to the radio (and come on PB, obviously). I had a meeting this afternoon and am knackered. I've had a large glass of whisky to try to still my mind, but all it's done is accelerate it.

    I can see myself staying up all night. But I have a toddler to look after tomorrow.

    Can Zombies do childcare?

    Of course they can. It is par for the course. Just don't eat the little rugrats!
    Such a course of action would rather reduce conjugal rights.

    ... although staying up all night might have the same effect. ;-)
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Theresa May praising David Cameron.

    If you want to ever be Con leader - support David Cameron 1000%.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    SeanT said:

    AndyJS said:

    Con hold Swindon North.

    Tory vote up 4,000.

    UP???

    lol!

    *opens second bottle of Cava*
    I know, right??? What the hell is going on.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    OblitusSumMe said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Where the eff is this 1 non SNP seat coming from?

    Berwickshire - last redoubt of the Union...
    To be gained by Cons, LDs in third?
  • JohnLilburne
    JohnLilburne Posts: 6,879
    NickPalmer said:

    Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).

    We do in Hampshire :-)

  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Swindon North:

    Con 26,000
    Lab 14,905

    2010 result was:

    Con 22,408
    Lab 15,348
    SeanT said:

    AndyJS said:

    Con hold Swindon North.

    Tory vote up 4,000.

    UP???

    lol!

    *opens second bottle of Cava*
  • Theuniondivvie
    Theuniondivvie Posts: 44,327
    Tim Shipman ‏@ShippersUnbound 2 mins2 minutes ago
    There are Labour seats in Scotland with 5 figure majorities, I am told by reliable sources, that will become 5 figure SNP majorities tonight

    What's the record for a swing in a UK constituency?
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    @schofieldkevin: Labour source suggests they have lost every seat they held in Scotland. Extraordinary. #GE2015
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 16s16 seconds ago

    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    4.2% swing TO CON
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    I think Swindon N is swing +5% but not sure!
  • OblitusSumMe
    OblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    I think Labour lost votes in Swindon North.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Ave_it said:

    I think Swindon N is swing +5% but not sure!

    *faints*
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/PennyRed/status/596439417742581761

    Sobs.... with laughter
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 29s30 seconds ago
    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    A swing of 4% to the Tories.

    We don't need Nuneaton anymore, the Exit Poll is correct.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Swindon North looks spectacular.
  • isam
    isam Posts: 42,205
    Tissue_Price said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 16s16 seconds ago

    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    4.2% swing TO CON

    19/19/19/15

    Peak Kipper has passed
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    TGOHF said:

    Looks like Eck won't be writing the budget after all.

    Nope, he'll be writing the Tory Budget or there will be a Second Referendum.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Tissue_Price said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 16s16 seconds ago

    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    4.2% swing TO CON

    What on earth?
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    bigjohnowls said:

    Nick has lost according to BBC

    Oh dear, what a shame, if it's true. And after all the weeks of hard work posting tic tocs, Soubry's given up, winning here hubris on these pages. Pride comes before a fall, and all that.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Is that a swing 'to' the tories?

    Yee Gads
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    These worried Labour MPs do make me wonder if it is not just from the LDs that the Tories will be winning.

    Will those putting the boot into Lynton Crosby now speak up?
  • MyBurningEars
    MyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    NickPalmer said:

    Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).

    That's just barmy. How many other constituencies do that?
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    May must be in dreamland on the Beeb. She probably thought she'd be firefighting: instead she's being asked about Tory minority government...
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    KentRising said:

    Did Swindon happen or are the BBC trying to pretend it didn't?

    From the radio (R5L), it sounded as if the mic didn't work.

    I really don't think this is a case of BBC bias. If it is, it looks as though they'll need lots of faulty microphones. :-)
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Slackbladder said:

    Is that a swing 'to' the tories?

    Yee Gads

    BBC have yet to mention it. LOL
  • Bond_James_Bond
    Bond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    The_Apocalypse said:

    Scott_P said:

    @TelePolitics: Ed Miliband may have to resign if exit polls are right http://t.co/XilcM7bUG7

    May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
    Ed is a nasty, unprincipled tax dodging backstabber. He richly, richly deserves this.
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    LOL all over CON MAJ possible
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Swindon North has moved the PM market.

    Miliband out from 7 to 9.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,077
    edited May 2015
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/596454563395280896

    I decided today...
    Who did you vote for? (You're under no obligation to tell me)
    [sigh] In the expectation that a Lab surge would follow on from the Locals last year, I voted Lab. I didn't really decide until I arrived at the polling station.

    Did you vote for the Yellows?
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    Stop talking to Theresa May and analyse the result you just got in BBC
  • steve_garner
    steve_garner Posts: 1,019
    Now Lammy insulting our intelligence.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    Ave_it said:

    LOL all over CON MAJ possible

    LordA needs to be banished from polling for the rest of his life.
    So far he is the worst pollster in world history.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    NickPalmer said:

    Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).

    Best of luck Nick. You would have had my vote.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Theuniondivvie said:

    Tim Shipman ‏@ShippersUnbound 2 mins2 minutes ago
    There are Labour seats in Scotland with 5 figure majorities, I am told by reliable sources, that will become 5 figure SNP majorities tonight

    What's the record for a swing in a UK constituency?

    Martin Bell, probably.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Swindon North:

    Con 26,295
    Lab 14,509
    UKIP 8,011
    Green 1,723
    LD 1,704

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/may/07/live-uk-election-results-in-full#c=E14000851

    Changes:

    Con +5.7%
    Lab -2.7%

    Swing, Lab to Con: 4.2%
  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Looks like Eck won't be writing the budget after all.

    Nope, he'll be writing the Tory Budget or there will be a Second Referendum.
    Not a chance - he'll be languishing on the oppo benches.
  • OblitusSumMe
    OblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    rcs1000 said:

    OblitusSumMe said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Where the eff is this 1 non SNP seat coming from?

    Berwickshire - last redoubt of the Union...
    To be gained by Cons, LDs in third?
    Reckon so. BBC give Berwick on the other side of the border as a Tory gain from the Lib Dems.
  • bazzer
    bazzer Posts: 44
    what sort of swing to Tories needed for an overall maj? Is this out of question now? Might 4.2% be enough?
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Since Labour didn't make the slightest attempt in five years to reach out to southern England, it is hardly surprising to see swings away from them in southern marginals. Some of us pointed this out when Labour sat out by-elections in Eastleigh and Rochester & Strood and were pooh-poohed. This is the result.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    You can still get great value on a tory majority
  • Ishmael_X
    Ishmael_X Posts: 3,664
    What a shame IOS' internet connection is down on this night of all nights.
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Philip_Thompson said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    not_on_fire said:

    316 will be a good result for the Conservatives, but the reality is they face a John Major-style adminsitration with huge divisions over Europe.

    I don't think so.
    Agreed. Major faced backbenchers used to Thatcher's majorities and a united anti-Tory opposition.

    Cameron has increased the Tory MPs if this is correct rather than lose them and faces a divided opposition.
    I find it quite strange that many Tories here think a Conservative minority administration will be stable. Arguably, this situation gives the Right of the Tories far more power than they ever had in the last five years. LD MPs acted as a buffer zone to the Tory Right; and Cameron could afford to not have all his MPs vote for laws in the Commons'. Now, he'll need practically all of them to do it. I think Fenster is right; this will prove to be a very pyrrhic victory for David Cameron.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Adrian Masters @adrianmasters84 · 8 min 8 minuti fa
    Labour source tells me 'Tory target of Vale of Clwyd looking okay for us. Looks like UKIP will beat Plaid into 3rd in Neath.'
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    Is tonight really happening or am I dreaming?
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Lammy like a drowning man.
  • marke09
    marke09 Posts: 926
    JosiasJessop said:

    KentRising said:

    Did Swindon happen or are the BBC trying to pretend it didn't?

    From the radio (R5L), it sounded as if the mic didn't work.

    I really don't think this is a case of BBC bias. If it is, it looks as though they'll need lots of faulty microphones. :-)
    BBC 1 Wales showed it
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    There were signs of swings to the Tories in the South even with Lord Ashcroft.
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited May 2015
    Freggles said:

    Tissue_Price said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 16s16 seconds ago

    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    4.2% swing TO CON

    What on earth?
    England is tearing itself apart... Northern/Southern nationalism
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    HELLO BBC. SWING TO THE TORIES.
    Ishmael_X said:

    What a shame IOS' internet connection is down on this night of all nights.

    Naughty :p
  • macisback
    macisback Posts: 382
    watford30 said:

    bigjohnowls said:

    Nick has lost according to BBC

    Oh dear, what a shame, if it's true. And after all the weeks of hard work posting tic tocs, Soubry's given up, winning here hubris on these pages. Pride comes before a fall, and all that.
    Looking that way and Erewash and Amber Valley.
  • Moses_
    Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    David Lammy on Sky. What an utter dick that man is. He's still saying that Ed could form a government.

    Lammy now stating that if more people vote for labour they can run the country
  • EDW20000
    EDW20000 Posts: 138
    It's a post-KIP world, no doubt
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,077
    BBC didn't show the Swindon numbers?
  • JohnLilburne
    JohnLilburne Posts: 6,879
    No Swindon North on Sky for some reason. Lammy talking bollocks about a majority for the progressive cause and getting annoyed
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Bob__Sykes said:

    Is tonight really happening or am I dreaming?

    Ye of little faith Mr Sykes ;)
  • DoubleCarpet
    DoubleCarpet Posts: 968
    5% swing in Swindon to Con?

  • Morris_Dancer
    Morris_Dancer Posts: 62,742
    edited May 2015
    Lammy and Cooper must've taken the same lesson on how to maximise bullshitting.

    Edited extra bit: Lammy on the verge of having a hissyfit.
  • Hertsmere_Pubgoer
    Hertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476
    Scott_P said:

    Artist said:


    I'm struggling to think who the 10 survivors are.

    Minibus driven by Martin Day...
    It's a real shame that Martin doesn't still post on here.


  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Long time since @JimForScotland tweeted anything. Bye, bye Jim.
  • Flightpathl
    Flightpathl Posts: 1,243
    HYUFD said:

    FU It was Brand wot lost it?

    I hope so - but maybe his supporters were not registered.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,077
    numbertwelve said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    Scott_P said:

    @TelePolitics: Ed Miliband may have to resign if exit polls are right http://t.co/XilcM7bUG7

    May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
    If the exit poll is right, Ed won fewer seats than Gordon Brown.

    Fewer seats than Gordon, he'd be doomed.
    But not as few as Hague or Howard (or Major '97)?
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Speedy said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 29s30 seconds ago
    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    A swing of 4% to the Tories.

    We don't need Nuneaton anymore, the Exit Poll is correct.

    That's barmy. +5.7?!
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    bazzer said:

    what sort of swing to Tories needed for an overall maj? Is this out of question now? Might 4.2% be enough?

    1% is enough if in the right seats. Assuming LD collapse which we know has happened.

    Shocking result for LAB in Swindon N - 1987 scenario possible 229 seats
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Swindon North swing is breathtaking.

    Equivalent to a national 15% Con lead if applied acrosss the country.
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,728
    If this exit poll is right, I am going to go back and record all these people pouring scorn over it to keep for when in eed a good laugh.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    TGOHF said:

    Dair said:

    TGOHF said:

    Looks like Eck won't be writing the budget after all.

    Nope, he'll be writing the Tory Budget or there will be a Second Referendum.
    Not a chance - he'll be languishing on the oppo benches.
    That's fine. As Matthew Parris says BOTH parties need to talk to the SNP. Refuse? Well that's grounds for Independence.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,077
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    BBC didn't show the Swindon numbers?

    Oh they are now
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    LucyJones said:

    Am I the only person here who feels sorry for losing candidates - or, at least, those who might have had a reasonable expectation of being in contention? (I make an exception for Galloway here).

    I do, if they put the work in. People parachuted into ultra-safe seats don't count.

    And that goes for candidates from all parties, even no-hopers. I'd never consider standing for parliament, and quite admire those who do. Even being a candidate shines a light on your life.
  • isam
    isam Posts: 42,205
    edited May 2015
    foxinsoxuk said:

    isam said:

    Oooh BBC say big turnout, 70% and a lot of previous DNVs in South Basildon and E Thurrock voting Kipper and the reporter has seen the UKIP votes with her own eyes!

    Come on I need a 20/1 winner!

    The East London seats could be very telling. If the UKIP vote has increased i
    AndyJS said:

    If I were a Labour supporter in Grimsby, Austin Mitchell's prediction of a 2,000 majority wouldn't fill me with confidence.

    I think Lab will be OK here. UKIP have a dreadful candidate. will inflict massive damage on the eardrums of the Commons if she is elected.
    I was in Dagenham most of the day, and UKIP were polling big numbers.. I also spoke to the Barking candidate who is Head of UKIP London and he was campaigning in Dagenham as that was where he thought they could win

    If what he says about the canvass returns is true, they HAVE won!
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,077
    SWing 4.5% Lab To Con! in Swing-don!
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    AndyJS said:

    Swindon North:

    Con 26,295
    Lab 14,509
    UKIP 8,011
    Green 1,723
    LD 1,704

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/may/07/live-uk-election-results-in-full#c=E14000851

    Changes:

    Con +5.7%
    Lab -2.7%

    Swing, Lab to Con: 4.2%

    that looks like con majority in reach to me.
  • LordWakefield
    LordWakefield Posts: 144
    isam said:

    Tissue_Price said:

    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 16s16 seconds ago

    Swindon North constituency result:
    CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
    LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
    UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
    LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
    GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)

    4.2% swing TO CON

    19/19/19/15

    Peak Kipper has passed
    UKIP currently polling 70% higher than the exits. I don't see a much downside in buying seats @ 3.6 even taking S Thanet and Thurrock as no gain.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Artist said:

    There were signs of swings to the Tories in the South even with Lord Ashcroft.

    There was nothing of the sort of this, in none of the 170 constituency polls that LordA ever conducted, even in his latest Swindon poll.
    LordA is rubbish in his polls, utter trash.
  • Bond_James_Bond
    Bond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    watford30 said:

    bigjohnowls said:

    Nick has lost according to BBC

    Oh dear, what a shame, if it's true. And after all the weeks of hard work posting tic tocs, Soubry's given up, winning here hubris on these pages. Pride comes before a fall, and all that.
    While Nick was concluding he'd won it and wasting his time at futile hustings, Soubry was presumably out there making sure she won it.

    If that is the prognostications are true.
  • BroxtoweLurker
    BroxtoweLurker Posts: 1
    Thought: Scottish IndyRef in 2016 results in a Conservative Majority government for 3 and a half years under the Fixed Term Parliament Act.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    Swindon North — 4.3% swing from Lab to Con.

    BBC and other networks completely failing to report on the significance of the Swindon North result.
  • The_Apocalypse
    The_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Yep, as I thought the exit poll is correct. Labour have some serious thinking to do.
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