no chance on nottingham s, or derby ne...sorry bbc
Why not? Huge council estate in Clifton, surrounded by owner occupiers in Wilford? Probably just needs the Con vote to stand still and enough Lab ->UKIP switchers.
Its not been tory for years, so not likely.
Kipper splitting the lab vote or libdem tactically voting tory might be decisive tho
Anna Burnside @MsABurnside 11 mins11 minutes ago Lib Dem candidate Graeme Cowie tells me that he has heard from a Tory that the SNP has beaten @Jim4Scotland by 10% #GE2015
Anna Burnside @MsABurnside 11 mins11 minutes ago Lib Dem candidate Graeme Cowie tells me that he has heard from a Tory that the SNP has beaten @Jim4Scotland by 10% #GE2015
WOOOO HOOOOO
Kudos to the SNP for the total wipeout of SLAB. Certainly helped things along for us Tories Maybe FFA will be a thank you present?
Anna Burnside @MsABurnside 11 mins11 minutes ago Lib Dem candidate Graeme Cowie tells me that he has heard from a Tory that the SNP has beaten @Jim4Scotland by 10% #GE2015
Christ almighty, it's looking like my dream outcome may eventuate - both UKIP and Labour utterly routed.
People's army my arse.
Farage has received the Roderick Spode treatment at the hands of Bertie Wooster:
The trouble with you, Spode, is that just because you have succeeded in inducing a handful of half-wits to disfigure the London scene by going about in black shorts, you think you're someone. You hear them shouting "Heil, Spode!" and you imagine it is the Voice of the People. That is where you make your bloomer. What the Voice of the People is saying is: "Look at that frightful ass Spode swanking about in footer bags! Did you ever in your puff see such a perfect perisher?"
Bugger. I've tried twice to get to sleep, but both times I've had to get up to listen to the radio (and come on PB, obviously). I had a meeting this afternoon and am knackered. I've had a large glass of whisky to try to still my mind, but all it's done is accelerate it.
I can see myself staying up all night. But I have a toddler to look after tomorrow.
Can Zombies do childcare?
Of course they can. It is par for the course. Just don't eat the little rugrats!
I was telling tonight in a conservative safe seat Fareham - and I felt the ghost of 1992 - i.e. people coming out of the poll and almost apologising for the fact they voted conservative
God the media are still obsessed by twitter and Labour winning the twitter war.....it is clear that it is just a massive echo chamber and the silent majority aren't spending their whole life looking at politics on twitter.
If twitter was even a tiny bit representative, Labour would be on 50% of the vote share.
Key things I pointed out yesterday was that private sector employees were +10 for Tories and homeowners + 10. That is a hell of a lot of voters. And they probably don't use Twitter, and lots will have better things to do than polling.
Christ almighty, it's looking like my dream outcome may eventuate - both UKIP and Labour utterly routed.
People's army my arse.
Farage has received the Roderick Spode treatment at the hands of Bertie Wooster:
The trouble with you, Spode, is that just because you have succeeded in inducing a handful of half-wits to disfigure the London scene by going about in black shorts, you think you're someone. You hear them shouting "Heil, Spode!" and you imagine it is the Voice of the People. That is where you make your bloomer. What the Voice of the People is saying is: "Look at that frightful ass Spode swanking about in footer bags! Did you ever in your puff see such a perfect perisher?"
*applause*
Spode is Oswald Mosley
Oswald...? Who? Oh, wait... the almost leader of the Labour party? That Oswald Mosley?
Nabbers, my triumphant friend! There were signs this week on the ground that old hands knew it was gone, but the reaction to the exit poll was not faked - they thought they were close enough. As we have seen from the various shadow cabinet ministers who have appeared tonight, Labour did not have a script for a 75 seat defeat. A good night for us - so far. Some reasons for caution - I don't believe we have won Broxtowe or Eastleigh...
no chance on nottingham s, or derby ne...sorry bbc
Why not? Huge council estate in Clifton, surrounded by owner occupiers in Wilford? Probably just needs the Con vote to stand still and enough Lab ->UKIP switchers.
Its not been tory for years, so not likely.
Kipper splitting the lab vote or libdem tactically voting tory might be decisive tho
Thrasher: exit poll showing only a slight swing to Labour in London.
Plus he didn't think it would look good for NickP.
Nicks comment earlier made me wonder how it had gone for him.
Yes, SquareRoot's bet for Lupus looking good - though I note the BBC say it's very tight and may change. Would be entertaining (sort of) if the majority was 389 again.
Incidentally, my longstanding prediction that Cambridge would go Labour looks poised to come true.
May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
no chance on nottingham s, or derby ne...sorry bbc
Derby North very big chance and it was always on, local issues and a very left-wing union stooge mp, doesn't fit the seat. Nottingham South I would be more surprised.
Why are people saying two UKIP seats are Thurrock and Castle Point? Surely Clacton is one of them?
Yes, Clacton is nailed on. UKIP could have three: Clacton, Thurrock and Castle Point.
I think we need to hold fire on Reckless and Farage too, it's rumours at the moment. Hard to see how Farage could be called accurately yet if they're not announcing until 6am.
BRS is very close Tory/SNP also there are 2/3 seats in Edinburgh which are apparently very close. Hard to imagine that Orkney & Shetland is a done deal either. Calum's tip of 0-5 Labour seats in Scotland looks like one of the best of the year though
Q1 Will Lib Dems have any MPs in London? Q2 Will there be any female LD MPs? Q3. Will there be any LD MPs in Wales? Q4. Will there be any LD MPs in Scotland?
Another factor of the rash of polls in the last week was their ELBOW score 9.0% for the LibDems. That's the highest they've ever been (since ELBOW started in August)!
Thrasher: exit poll showing only a slight swing to Labour in London.
Plus he didn't think it would look good for NickP.
Nicks comment earlier made me wonder how it had gone for him.
Yes, SquareRoot's bet for Lupus looking good - though I note the BBC say it's very tight and may change. Would be entertaining (sort of) if the majority was 389 again.
Incidentally, my longstanding prediction that Cambridge would go Labour looks poised to come true.
All the best Nick. I wouldn't have voted for you but you fought a solid and fair campaign and you did everything you could from what I hear.
May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
If the exit poll is right, Ed won fewer seats than Gordon Brown.
Hodges' modesty severely threatened. Paddy's going to eat his hat. Now Bad Al's threatening to eat his bagpipes. Thank God for YouTube. Wanna see them all. Over and over again.
Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).
Comments
Kipper splitting the lab vote or libdem tactically voting tory might be decisive tho
@LadPolitics: @AaronBell80 sub-optimal
Kristofer Keane @KristoferKeane 26m26 minutes ago
Labour sources: Jim Murphy "likely" to lose East Renfrewshire.
LOL!
I do hope several people on here have not lost an awful lot of money.
I fear they have if they've bet as they suggested they did.
Feeling delighted
Incidentally, my longstanding prediction that Cambridge would go Labour looks poised to come true.
Ed was crap it seems.....
4-5 UKIP my guess. 12-14 LDs.
I think we need to hold fire on Reckless and Farage too, it's rumours at the moment. Hard to see how Farage could be called accurately yet if they're not announcing until 6am.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z9t5AJNF0so
Calum's tip of 0-5 Labour seats in Scotland looks like one of the best of the year though
Farron v Lamb to be the leader election?
Will Cameron see off Miliband, Clegg, Farage in one sweep, will they all go as leaders (Clegg/Farage both to lose?)
Has the UK ever had 2 straight hung parls before?
AND if Con dip to say 310 - could Ed M yet be PM....?! as Con + DUP + UKIP not enough? - would need LDs?
I genuinely mean that.
These are all the places that Labour supporters are planning to move if the Tories win http://www.buzzfeed.com/hannahjewell/everyone-wants-to-move-to-scotland-now#.owvW70YVbe …
Awww bless
Fewer seats than Gordon, he'd be doomed.
http://www.itv.com/news/central/update/2015-05-08/snapshot-gisele-stuart-and-john-hemming-concerned-for-their-seats/
Hopefully it becomes clear by 4am an I can go to sleep
@stephentall according to lib dem activists at counts, cable, featherstone and Hughes out
I'm struggling to think who the 10 survivors are.
Dunno about Broxtowe, but I note with satisfaction that Nick's tune has changed
Tory vote up 4,000.
Owen Jones a total cock, M Parris not far behind. Blunkett, a decent, respectable man. One of Labour's best politicians.
And congrats to Dan Hodges btw. I don't like him, but he called it right.