Oooh BBC say big turnout, 70% and a lot of previous DNVs in South Basildon and E Thurrock voting Kipper and the reporter has seen the UKIP votes with her own eyes!
Come on I need a 20/1 winner!
The East London seats could be very telling. If the UKIP vote has increased i
Am I the only person here who feels sorry for losing candidates - or, at least, those who might have had a reasonable expectation of being in contention? (I make an exception for Galloway here).
Malcolm Bruce is STILL talking about Independence saying it's surprising that the SNP are beating the Libs. It's because the SNP will work for Scotland you stupid man. Jesus, do they STILL not get it.
May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
Bugger. I've tried twice to get to sleep, but both times I've had to get up to listen to the radio (and come on PB, obviously). I had a meeting this afternoon and am knackered. I've had a large glass of whisky to try to still my mind, but all it's done is accelerate it.
I can see myself staying up all night. But I have a toddler to look after tomorrow.
Can Zombies do childcare?
Of course they can. It is par for the course. Just don't eat the little rugrats!
Such a course of action would rather reduce conjugal rights.
... although staying up all night might have the same effect. ;-)
Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).
Tim Shipman @ShippersUnbound 2 mins2 minutes ago There are Labour seats in Scotland with 5 figure majorities, I am told by reliable sources, that will become 5 figure SNP majorities tonight
What's the record for a swing in a UK constituency?
Oh dear, what a shame, if it's true. And after all the weeks of hard work posting tic tocs, Soubry's given up, winning here hubris on these pages. Pride comes before a fall, and all that.
Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).
That's just barmy. How many other constituencies do that?
May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
Ed is a nasty, unprincipled tax dodging backstabber. He richly, richly deserves this.
Who did you vote for? (You're under no obligation to tell me)
[sigh] In the expectation that a Lab surge would follow on from the Locals last year, I voted Lab. I didn't really decide until I arrived at the polling station.
Incidentally, the reason I'm posting here is that the Broxtowe count doesn't start till 2. They're currently separating GE and local government votes and verifying each (why they don't have separate boxes, who knows?).
Tim Shipman @ShippersUnbound 2 mins2 minutes ago There are Labour seats in Scotland with 5 figure majorities, I am told by reliable sources, that will become 5 figure SNP majorities tonight
What's the record for a swing in a UK constituency?
Since Labour didn't make the slightest attempt in five years to reach out to southern England, it is hardly surprising to see swings away from them in southern marginals. Some of us pointed this out when Labour sat out by-elections in Eastleigh and Rochester & Strood and were pooh-poohed. This is the result.
316 will be a good result for the Conservatives, but the reality is they face a John Major-style adminsitration with huge divisions over Europe.
I don't think so.
Agreed. Major faced backbenchers used to Thatcher's majorities and a united anti-Tory opposition.
Cameron has increased the Tory MPs if this is correct rather than lose them and faces a divided opposition.
I find it quite strange that many Tories here think a Conservative minority administration will be stable. Arguably, this situation gives the Right of the Tories far more power than they ever had in the last five years. LD MPs acted as a buffer zone to the Tory Right; and Cameron could afford to not have all his MPs vote for laws in the Commons'. Now, he'll need practically all of them to do it. I think Fenster is right; this will prove to be a very pyrrhic victory for David Cameron.
Adrian Masters @adrianmasters84 · 8 min 8 minuti fa Labour source tells me 'Tory target of Vale of Clwyd looking okay for us. Looks like UKIP will beat Plaid into 3rd in Neath.'
Oh dear, what a shame, if it's true. And after all the weeks of hard work posting tic tocs, Soubry's given up, winning here hubris on these pages. Pride comes before a fall, and all that.
May? He's pretty much gone, if as I think - this poll is right. He has no base within the Labour party - the unions voted for him, not the parliamentary party. It's sad the Miliband family has been torn a part for nothing, essentially.
If the exit poll is right, Ed won fewer seats than Gordon Brown.
Am I the only person here who feels sorry for losing candidates - or, at least, those who might have had a reasonable expectation of being in contention? (I make an exception for Galloway here).
I do, if they put the work in. People parachuted into ultra-safe seats don't count.
And that goes for candidates from all parties, even no-hopers. I'd never consider standing for parliament, and quite admire those who do. Even being a candidate shines a light on your life.
Oooh BBC say big turnout, 70% and a lot of previous DNVs in South Basildon and E Thurrock voting Kipper and the reporter has seen the UKIP votes with her own eyes!
Come on I need a 20/1 winner!
The East London seats could be very telling. If the UKIP vote has increased i
If I were a Labour supporter in Grimsby, Austin Mitchell's prediction of a 2,000 majority wouldn't fill me with confidence.
I think Lab will be OK here. UKIP have a dreadful candidate. will inflict massive damage on the eardrums of the Commons if she is elected.
I was in Dagenham most of the day, and UKIP were polling big numbers.. I also spoke to the Barking candidate who is Head of UKIP London and he was campaigning in Dagenham as that was where he thought they could win
If what he says about the canvass returns is true, they HAVE won!
There were signs of swings to the Tories in the South even with Lord Ashcroft.
There was nothing of the sort of this, in none of the 170 constituency polls that LordA ever conducted, even in his latest Swindon poll. LordA is rubbish in his polls, utter trash.
Oh dear, what a shame, if it's true. And after all the weeks of hard work posting tic tocs, Soubry's given up, winning here hubris on these pages. Pride comes before a fall, and all that.
While Nick was concluding he'd won it and wasting his time at futile hustings, Soubry was presumably out there making sure she won it.
Comments
Cameron has increased the Tory MPs if this is correct rather than lose them and faces a divided opposition.
Just a shame their technical side is so rubbish
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iE8RU4rVmDmtRhjo1Ws3Om3IjrmgUVSbcW-tO7cY-RE/edit#gid=0
... although staying up all night might have the same effect. ;-)
If you want to ever be Con leader - support David Cameron 1000%.
Con 26,000
Lab 14,905
2010 result was:
Con 22,408
Lab 15,348
There are Labour seats in Scotland with 5 figure majorities, I am told by reliable sources, that will become 5 figure SNP majorities tonight
What's the record for a swing in a UK constituency?
Swindon North constituency result:
CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)
4.2% swing TO CON
Swindon North constituency result:
CON - 50.3% (+5.7)
LAB - 27.8% (-2.7)
UKIP - 15.4% (+11.7)
LDEM - 3.3% (-14.0)
GRN - 3.3% (+2.3)
A swing of 4% to the Tories.
We don't need Nuneaton anymore, the Exit Poll is correct.
Peak Kipper has passed
Yee Gads
Will those putting the boot into Lynton Crosby now speak up?
I really don't think this is a case of BBC bias. If it is, it looks as though they'll need lots of faulty microphones. :-)
Miliband out from 7 to 9.
Did you vote for the Yellows?
So far he is the worst pollster in world history.
Con 26,295
Lab 14,509
UKIP 8,011
Green 1,723
LD 1,704
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/may/07/live-uk-election-results-in-full#c=E14000851
Changes:
Con +5.7%
Lab -2.7%
Swing, Lab to Con: 4.2%
Labour source tells me 'Tory target of Vale of Clwyd looking okay for us. Looks like UKIP will beat Plaid into 3rd in Neath.'
Lammy now stating that if more people vote for labour they can run the country
Edited extra bit: Lammy on the verge of having a hissyfit.
Shocking result for LAB in Swindon N - 1987 scenario possible 229 seats
Equivalent to a national 15% Con lead if applied acrosss the country.
And that goes for candidates from all parties, even no-hopers. I'd never consider standing for parliament, and quite admire those who do. Even being a candidate shines a light on your life.
If what he says about the canvass returns is true, they HAVE won!
LordA is rubbish in his polls, utter trash.
If that is the prognostications are true.
BBC and other networks completely failing to report on the significance of the Swindon North result.