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At least that powertool Boris is finished0
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Nah quite like Danny. Behaved sensibly in government unlike that twat Cable.Eh_ehm_a_eh said:0 -
I meant Con 37, Lab 30, UKIP 16, LD 6 (with LD incumbency support very firmly turned off in the forecasting!)0
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Bradford Telegraph woman
Claire Wilde @ClaireW_TandA 2 min2 minuti fa Visualizza traduzione
Labour party officials looking confident while watching the Bradford West count. Lib Dems looking nervous over on the Bradford East tables.0 -
I know what you mean. I think the election came 12 months too late for the Tories and the expenses scandal appeared to cost them more than Labour (they had more to lose by 2009, after all).fitalass said:Lets remember where that last Conservative Opposition had their base camp compared to Tony Blair in 1997, they were still under 200 seats after the previous three elections. Can we please keep it real about just what an achievement coming from that base to damn near a majority was in one GE?
tlg86 said:
I think the problem is where the Tories started from. They should have cleaned up last time.fitalass said:Really?! Incumbent Conservative Government in a Coalition in difficult economic times looks to be on course to improve their previous position after that shock Exit poll, and totally against the tide of recent polling. And you are bitching about their campaign not being effective enough?!
FrancisUrquhart said:How well would the Tories had done if they had actually a decent campaign with some clear policies?
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Big winner of the night....Russell Brand...he just got another 5 years of income.0
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Bad imoCasino_Royale said:How does Broxtowe look?
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Not sure if IOS has been able to report whether his fired up Labourites turned out where he or she was today?0
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Some Northern Ireland seats to declare soon?0
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First negative comments Ive heard about SNP from Kirsty Wark in Edinburgh saying Labour think they can hold Edib South and Edin North and Leith.
The second one sounds completely ridiculous. But it's Kirsty "I was on the committee which screwed up the Scottish Parliament then made the documentary that said it wasn't Labour's fault because I love Labour" Wark.0 -
Laurie Penny appears to have travelled back in time 1800 years. Those Romans were so heartless.TOPPING said:
You'd have to have a heart of stone...TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Even if you "split the difference", it's 300 Con MPs, beyond the upper limit of forecasts in recents days.0
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OK, so we'll have to put #Priti4Leader on ice for a few years but she must be guaranteed a seat in cabinet?0
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Casino_Royale said:
How does Broxtowe look?
Rogerdamus tipped the Cons most seats in the pub on Tuesday. He may be a secret ARSE admirer...JackW said:
Roger you didn't think so, which ensured my ARSE would continue to be the gold standard.Roger said:Who'd have thought ARSE would be the new Gold Standard!
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holly watt @holly_watt 33 secs33 seconds ago
One of the Tory team at the Nuneaton count says they are now "quietly confident" of holding seat
Exxxxceeelllennnt... (in a Mr Burns voice)0 -
Alan Roden of Telegraph says LiB dems already conceding Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey.0
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Please please please say Cable has gone as well. The country doesn't need another 5 years of him....one of the most useless Coalition Ministers of the past 5 years.0
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Apart from the glorious ARSE (guaranteed BRAN free).KentRising said:Even if you "split the difference", it's 300 Con MPs, beyond the upper limit of forecasts in recents days.
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50% for SNP in Rutherglen0
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Any Labour retainer in scotland would be a nail to an Exit Poll coffin.Dair said:First negative comments Ive heard about SNP from Kirsty Wark in Edinburgh saying Labour think they can hold Edib South and Edin North and Leith.
The second one sounds completely ridiculous. But it's Kirsty "I was on the committee which screwed up the Scottish Parliament then made the documentary that said it wasn't Labour's fault because I love Labour" Wark.
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Danny Alexander expected to lose seat say LDs0
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Sarah (John's daughter) Smith saying the same thingDair said:First negative comments Ive heard about SNP from Kirsty Wark in Edinburgh saying Labour think they can hold Edib South and Edin North and Leith.
The second one sounds completely ridiculous. But it's Kirsty "I was on the committee which screwed up the Scottish Parliament then made the documentary that said it wasn't Labour's fault because I love Labour" Wark.0 -
For all the talk of the "old 2-party system" 1970 was the last time a working majority for one party became a working majority for the other. By 1979 Labour, and by 1992 Tories had lost their majorities through by-election losses.fitalass said:Lets remember where that last Conservative Opposition had their base camp compared to Tony Blair in 1997, they were still under 200 seats after the previous three elections. Can we please keep it real about just what an achievement coming from that base to damn near a majority was in one GE?
tlg86 said:
I think the problem is where the Tories started from. They should have cleaned up last time.fitalass said:Really?! Incumbent Conservative Government in a Coalition in difficult economic times looks to be on course to improve their previous position after that shock Exit poll, and totally against the tide of recent polling. And you are bitching about their campaign not being effective enough?!
FrancisUrquhart said:How well would the Tories had done if they had actually a decent campaign with some clear policies?
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So will George Galloway be sending legal letters to everyone that didn't vote for him in Bradford?0
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Of all there is to despise about Labour I think the narcissism is worst.Prodicus said:
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BBC Scotland say East Lanarkshire is "Catastrophic" for Scottish Labour.0
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RobD said:
Apart from the glorious ARSE (guaranteed BRAN free).KentRising said:Even if you "split the difference", it's 300 Con MPs, beyond the upper limit of forecasts in recents days.
And me.RobD said:
Apart from the glorious ARSE (guaranteed BRAN free).KentRising said:Even if you "split the difference", it's 300 Con MPs, beyond the upper limit of forecasts in recents days.
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Yes, I would totally agree with you on that really important point.tlg86 said:
I know what you mean. I think the election came 12 months too late for the Tories and the expenses scandal appeared to cost them more than Labour (they had more to lose by 2009, after all).fitalass said:Lets remember where that last Conservative Opposition had their base camp compared to Tony Blair in 1997, they were still under 200 seats after the previous three elections. Can we please keep it real about just what an achievement coming from that base to damn near a majority was in one GE?
tlg86 said:
I think the problem is where the Tories started from. They should have cleaned up last time.fitalass said:Really?! Incumbent Conservative Government in a Coalition in difficult economic times looks to be on course to improve their previous position after that shock Exit poll, and totally against the tide of recent polling. And you are bitching about their campaign not being effective enough?!
FrancisUrquhart said:How well would the Tories had done if they had actually a decent campaign with some clear policies?
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There were many of us whose mouths watered as we gazed upon Jack's ARSE.foxinsoxuk said:Casino_Royale said:How does Broxtowe look?
Rogerdamus tipped the Cons most seats in the pub on Tuesday. He may be a secret ARSE admirer...JackW said:
Roger you didn't think so, which ensured my ARSE would continue to be the gold standard.Roger said:Who'd have thought ARSE would be the new Gold Standard!
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It's coming home...Eh_ehm_a_eh said:50% for SNP in Rutherglen
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@paulwaugh: Poignant moment on BBC as the excellent Sarah Smith explains SNP surge with reference to Labour’s record after death of her late father John0
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What was it the Tories' internal polls were saying? 303? 305? We all mocked it here, but it's looking pretty accurate now. So, how come they can conduct an opinion poll properly and nobody else can? (other than Jack's mighty ARSE, of course).0
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My apologies (can't move for the number of ARSEs we've seen in recent weeks, so easy to miss others!)nigel4england said:RobD said:
Apart from the glorious ARSE (guaranteed BRAN free).KentRising said:Even if you "split the difference", it's 300 Con MPs, beyond the upper limit of forecasts in recents days.
And me.RobD said:
Apart from the glorious ARSE (guaranteed BRAN free).KentRising said:Even if you "split the difference", it's 300 Con MPs, beyond the upper limit of forecasts in recents days.
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Farage sounding quite angry on Sky News0
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Farage seems very very grumpy0
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Nats filling up the opposition benches nicely.Dair said:
It's coming home...Eh_ehm_a_eh said:50% for SNP in Rutherglen
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No-one who was a Labour minister in the last Labour government should stand for the leadership. They are yesterday's news. Let Chukka, Liz and Dan battle it out. It's time for a new start.0
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BBC Scotland - Gordon is comfortable for Alex Salnond.0
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He owes me -20TheScreamingEagles said:So will George Galloway be sending legal letters to everyone that didn't vote for him in Bradford?
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Wow Farage is really really pissed off. No smiley smiley lets have a pint.0
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I don't know how he was so confident. I've been nervy for the last couple of days, although I thought the Tories would be on 290, at most.Concanvasser said:Not sure if IOS has been able to report whether his fired up Labourites turned out where he or she was today?
LOL at Dinsmore thinking a minority adminstration will be 'stable'.
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Sad but true.Pulpstar said:
Bad imoCasino_Royale said:How does Broxtowe look?
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So who will be next Labour leader? Perhaps someone who can occasionally do deals with Tories to get certain legislation (that could also be considered One Nation Toryism) passed? Obvs. not a Scot. Stella?0
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Is Dan that handsome army bloke who comes across well on telly?SouthamObserver said:No-one who was a Labour minister in the last Labour government should stand for the leadership. They are yesterday's news. Let Chukka, Liz and Dan battle it out. It's time for a new start.
If so, I agree - good choice.
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Labour may be sub-30% if the exit poll is right.0
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Really? I think if anything the opposite. One of the main problems imo with Ed is he didn't have ENOUGH experience on the political frontline. He had no idea how to communicate because he simply didn't have enough experience of canvassing and persuading real people.SouthamObserver said:No-one who was a Labour minister in the last Labour government should stand for the leadership. They are yesterday's news. Let Chukka, Liz and Dan battle it out. It's time for a new start.
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Labour doing badly in East Lanarkshire where Labour MP Tom Clarke has a 50% majority.0
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Wark is BBC London now so doesn't need the party backing for a BBC Scotland job.Speedy said:
Any Labour retainer in scotland would be a nail to an Exit Poll coffin.Dair said:First negative comments Ive heard about SNP from Kirsty Wark in Edinburgh saying Labour think they can hold Edib South and Edin North and Leith.
The second one sounds completely ridiculous. But it's Kirsty "I was on the committee which screwed up the Scottish Parliament then made the documentary that said it wasn't Labour's fault because I love Labour" Wark.
Might cost Clement/Wark some commissions if Scotland gets to control BBC Scotland though.0 -
Peston is a cock.0
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Mr. 1000, why d'you say that?0
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Can I just say Southam that my favourite post here on Thursday was one of yours.SouthamObserver said:No-one who was a Labour minister in the last Labour government should stand for the leadership. They are yesterday's news. Let Chukka, Liz and Dan battle it out. It's time for a new start.
It was the one where you wrote movingly of the way people went out and cheerily voted, all mucking in together to make it work, and how this made you feel what a great country this was.
And you then voted for change.0 -
Some observations/expectations/thoughts:
1. Hahahaha!
2. The exit poll won't be exactly right. The figure which I think is most likely to be wrong by a fair margin is the LibDem one. I expect them to do better than 10, simply on personal vote in various constituencies.
3. Blimey, Labour figures including Harman and Balls trying to spin these figures as leaving room for them to sneak into No 10 on the back of the SNP, Plaid, Uncle Tom Cobbley and all? Are they completely mad?
4. If the exit poll is right, then I think I will be vindicated in my post earlier today that it's about differential turnout and differential enthusiasm. Who can be enthusiastic about Ed Miliband?
5. UKIP might yet snaffle a Labour seat or two. The Sunderland figures were quite good for them.
6. I did point out that it was very significant that the Tories were putting so much effort into LD-held seats.0 -
"you must have lied to my thug surrounded by 20 other thugs, you are guilty of lying and I want to sue" ???TheScreamingEagles said:So will George Galloway be sending legal letters to everyone that didn't vote for him in Bradford?
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They just replayed the Farage quick chat..seems even worse the second time around0
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Farage making a prick of himself. Body language says he's lost.0
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My mistake.Gravitation said:0 -
Have we had a vote share and turnout projection yet?
Edit - Yes just seen Lord A.0 -
Nats will like this.
Effie Deans
@Effiedeans
To be clear my involvement with #SNPout has always been peripheral. I just help with tweets. The team deserves the credit #GE2015ill like this
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First time I've seen Peston - he looks like a refugee from a Harry Potter film. If only he'd run into a pillar at Kings Cross at full speed.0
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The overall percentages could still be roughly as per the opinion polls. It is just that the Blue vote might just be much more efficient than before with Labour piling up votes in seats they already hold whilst UKIP will take votes from the Tories in alot of places where it does make a difference.0
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He is surely right that tomorrow will be a good day for the UK markets (which is good, as we're very overweight the UK).Morris_Dancer said:Mr. 1000, why d'you say that?
But Peston is still a cock.0 -
Tim Montgomerie ن @montie 2 mins2 minutes ago
On LBC, @LordAshcroft says his poll of 12,000 voters - Con 34%, Lab 31% - is inconsistent with the exit poll0 -
Ive mentioned over and over on here, that the hyper con held labour marginal seats im involved in, one of them directly, one indirectly have shown *no* swing against conservatives in these north west seats.
One seat under a thousand, and one seat under five hundred.
Both seats are so narrow that we could still see them as losses, but what we were seeing in the polls was not reflected on the ground.
No swing against the conservatives!0 -
WOW
Farage has lost. HIs ITV interview reaction and body language and language. He's GONE.0 -
IMO, that could well be consistent with the exit polls' individual seat projections (Lab up in safe seats, down in marginals, Tories down a bit).TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
No, this is a final defeat for the Labour old guard. They are finished. Labour needs to start again.Danny565 said:
Really? I think if anything the opposite. One of the main problems imo with Ed is he didn't have ENOUGH experience on the political frontline. He had no idea how to communicate because he simply didn't have enough experience of canvassing and persuading real people.SouthamObserver said:No-one who was a Labour minister in the last Labour government should stand for the leadership. They are yesterday's news. Let Chukka, Liz and Dan battle it out. It's time for a new start.
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How is his project to destroy the Tory party going?Slackbladder said:Farage seems very very grumpy
lol....0 -
Carswell: UKIP and Greens could get 5 million votes yet have 2-3 seats put together. Time for voting reform.0
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Cambs Evening News exit poll has Greens third in Cambs - over Cons. Suggests tactical voting for Huppert for the blues.0
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ames Chapman (Mail) @jameschappers 1 min1 minute ago
Tory sources in Kingston & Surbiton believe Ed Davey is in 'real trouble' #GE20150 -
Yep, Dan Jarvis. The man with the perfect back story.Fenster said:
Is Dan that handsome army bloke who comes across well on telly?SouthamObserver said:No-one who was a Labour minister in the last Labour government should stand for the leadership. They are yesterday's news. Let Chukka, Liz and Dan battle it out. It's time for a new start.
If so, I agree - good choice.
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Maybe not. Scratch my last comment!Slackbladder said:Tim Montgomerie ن @montie 2 mins2 minutes ago
On LBC, @LordAshcroft says his poll of 12,000 voters - Con 34%, Lab 31% - is inconsistent with the exit poll0 -
@RealMattLucas: News coming in - not yet confirmed but VERY likely - that George Galloway is a dick.0
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Marvellous news. I'm on this as well as Twickers as a long shot.Slackbladder said:ames Chapman (Mail) @jameschappers 1 min1 minute ago
Tory sources in Kingston & Surbiton believe Ed Davey is in 'real trouble' #GE2015
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Andrew Comres, Opinium all had the Tories ahead, 1 ICM had the Tories on 39%, too many hedging their bets though0
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Southam, one of the key lessons from this is that Labour must not rely on inexperienced politicians to lead them. There is no doubting Labour's intentions - it is their competence that is in question. You don't solve that by accelerating the promotion of political juveniles. The Miliband brothers could have been contenders, but it looks as though both are burnt out of British politics in their early 40s. The fundamentals favoured the Tories here, and they will again if Labour turn to another lightweight.0
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Absurd that PC could have twice the number of seats as UKIP on 20x the vote0
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Fantastic if trueDair said:WOW
Farage has lost. HIs ITV interview reaction and body language and language. He's GONE.
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You mean the John Smith? Didn;t know that !Scott_P said:
Sarah (John's daughter) Smith saying the same thingDair said:First negative comments Ive heard about SNP from Kirsty Wark in Edinburgh saying Labour think they can hold Edib South and Edin North and Leith.
The second one sounds completely ridiculous. But it's Kirsty "I was on the committee which screwed up the Scottish Parliament then made the documentary that said it wasn't Labour's fault because I love Labour" Wark.0 -
Hearing Bustow in S&C is toast and Brake is in a dogfight...Huge UKIP votes being taken from LibDems in working class wards.0
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Carswell on Sky talking about turning UKIP into an alternative to Labour in seats the Conservatives stand no chance [north of England, basically].0
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Badly.MarqueeMark said:
How is his project to destroy the Tory party going?Slackbladder said:Farage seems very very grumpy
lol....
But his project to destroy the Labour Party is going very well.0 -
If the Exit Poll is correct LordA has to resign from the polling industry, all of his constituency polls would have been massively wrong apart from Scotland.Slackbladder said:Tim Montgomerie ن @montie 2 mins2 minutes ago
On LBC, @LordAshcroft says his poll of 12,000 voters - Con 34%, Lab 31% - is inconsistent with the exit poll0