Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Kemi Badenoch remains the favourite to succeed Sunak – politicalbetting.com

1235789

Comments

  • BREAKING: The European Union has issued a formal letter to Elon Musk, demanding that he censor Donald Trump in their upcoming interview.

    The EU warns of "legal obligations" if Musk does not take action to prevent the spread of "disinformation."


    https://x.com/allenanalysis/status/1823057692409409961
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Leon said:

    However, Blair was not facing boats, which are hard to stop
    We could reform the home guard....who would come if they knew they had to face private frasier
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 982

    So this seems to be the explanation/excuse for the reduction in gold medals:

    UK Sport chair Katherine Grainger says Great Britain's success in Paris is "extraordinary", but Team GB have moved past the era of "winning at all costs".

    The five-time Olympic medal winner says creating a positive environment for the athletes is just as important as finishing on the podium.

    "It is about winning well, not winning at any cost," Grainger, who leads the body responsible for allocating funding to sports for each Olympic cycle.


    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/olympics/articles/c15gzzx1q5zo

    Oh bloody hell. More woke shite
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    Disappointed we've not had any visitors from Moscow to explain the liberation of Kursk.

    Perhaps Kursk was where they had their shill bot centre
  • Nunu5 said:

    President (Wisconsin)

    Harris (D) 49%
    Trump (R) 40%
    Kennedy (I) 3%
    West (I) 1%
    Stein (G) 1%

    8/8-8/11 by The Bullfinch Group
    500 RV

    Woof! Can I have a treat?

    Source:
    independentcenter.org
    Exclusive Poll: Election 2024 Survey of the Playground States - Independent Center

    Put a fork in him, he's done.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    edited August 2024
    Foxy said:

    Each was offered the Tories and Reform respectively, and were rejected at the ballot box by the British voters, including yourself if we believe your claim that you voted for Starmer.
    And fair enough, let's see how Labour deal with it (SPOILER: badly)

    However I cannot be accused of "not having solutions" because I offer two
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole

    NEW: Kamala Harris is now the favourite to win the Presidency on the
    @BetfairExchange



    We had this on the last thread. Do keep up MSM!!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    Nunu5 said:

    Oh bloody hell. More woke shite
    I partly agree; but given that abuse of athletes that has occurred in many UK sports over the years, neither do I want a 'winning at any cost' environment.
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,962

    Yes it is insane.

    How much do European countries that can process applications within weeks not years pay on hotels, so that we can make an accurate comparison between the two systems?
    In the good old days, if I remember correctly, our immigration system worked quite well.

    Then the Home Secretary of the day, a certain Michael Howard, decided that there were too many civil servants, so he cut the numbers.

    Nowadays there are not enough to cope with the work.

    Conservative lack of foresight goes back a long way.
  • Leon said:

    And fair enough, let's see how Labour deal with it

    However I cannot be accused of "not having solutions" because I offer two
    So do others, even if you dislike them.
  • Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole

    NEW: Kamala Harris is now the favourite to win the Presidency on the
    @BetfairExchange



    We had this on the last thread. Do keep up MSM!!

    It happened last week.

    https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2024/08/08/crossover-happened-over-night/
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    Foxy said:

    Applying for asylum is not illegal, much as you may wish it so.
    The legal parameters of what qualifies as asylum are drawn so broadly that the position is politically unsustainable.

    That's why it needs to change.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,529

    So this seems to be the explanation/excuse for the reduction in gold medals:

    UK Sport chair Katherine Grainger says Great Britain's success in Paris is "extraordinary", but Team GB have moved past the era of "winning at all costs".

    The five-time Olympic medal winner says creating a positive environment for the athletes is just as important as finishing on the podium.

    "It is about winning well, not winning at any cost," Grainger, who leads the body responsible for allocating funding to sports for each Olympic cycle.


    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/olympics/articles/c15gzzx1q5zo

    Sadly, no other countries have signed up to "winning well"...the bastards.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,612

    Yes, I've heard the same.

    It's utterly horrid.
    I worked in a tube depot for a couple of years and it certainly is the case and, as your figures show these are really underreported. Over 4 a day.

    The effect on people can be dramatic.

    These people,have to live with this for the rest of their lives.

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    OTD in 2000 the Kursk submarine sank. I am still losing submarines and I am still losing Kursks.

    I remain a master strategist.


    https://x.com/DarthPutinKGB/status/1822929188107571490
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    Leon said:

    After 14 years of rightly critiquing the Tory party and its horrendous failures on migration and asylum, the remarkable thing is that the Left hasn't actually thought about the subject at all. The comment above yours is an example. The logic of a 13 year old, unable to extrapolate events

    This is what I suspected before the election, yet I hoped I was wrong, I hoped they really had developed some clever answers

    They haven't. This is why I believe this subject - migration/asylum - will shred this government to pieces in short order. They are clueless, and all their instincts tell them to make the problem WORSE
    Even worse, amongst their natural supporter base - who are out in force on here this evening - you see exactly the same phenomena, if not more so.

    If they are representative, and both form their social and professional circles and supply the votes to put them in office, it explains why it makes it even harder for them to think yet alone put into force effective policy.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    So do others, even if you dislike them.
    The advantage of my solutions is that, if they work, they would stop the boats

    The disadvantage of your solution, "process them quickly and let them work!" - is that it would not only fail, it would actually make the problem even worse, as it would be a massive invitation to even more people to try and get to Britain, where you are given the de facto rights of a citizen in a few weeks (work, free healthcare, etc)

    You need to eat more brain-friendly nutrients, perhaps the entirely meat diet is not good for cognition
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,612

    Sadly, no other countries have signed up to "winning well"...the bastards.
    So we want to be gallant losers rather than competing winners 👍
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    I see the increasingly misnamed "Stop the war" have made an ass of themselves yet again...
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    #New General Election Poll

    Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +12
    Michigan - 🔵 Harris +5
    Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +4

    Bullfinch (No Rank) - 1500 LV - 8/11


    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823061951179583880

    Humiliating defeat followed by imprisonment. This is what awaits you in your final years, Donald.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,469
    £2.5 billion a year on providing hotels for asylum seekers.

    It's not a huge amount in Government terms - Newham alone spends £40 million a year on the provision of temporary accommodation for homeless British people.

    I've yet to hear a coherent answer to the primary question of how you "stop the boats". The toughest of Tory Home Secretaries failed miserably and with Rwanda (or similar) seemingly off the table what is or should be the solution?

    I'm sure plenty have draconian solutions and the real immigration question is the level of legal immigration about which we can do something (if Starmer so wished).

    There is clearly a need for a much more rapid processing of asylum applications which seemed to atrophy in the last months of the previous Government (Rwanda?).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    Even worse, amongst their natural supporter base - who are out in force on here this evening - you see exactly the same phenomena, if not more so.

    If they are representative, and both form their social and professional circles and supply the votes to put them in office, it explains why it makes it even harder for them to think yet alone put into force effective policy.
    And remember, Britain's taxes, already at an historic high, are going UP to pay for all this lunacy

    YOU will pay for their crazy incompetence. YOU will pay all those massive hotel bills and social housing costs for asylum seekers
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    ydoethur said:

    OTD in 2000 the Kursk submarine sank. I am still losing submarines and I am still losing Kursks.

    I remain a master strategist.


    https://x.com/DarthPutinKGB/status/1822929188107571490

    There was a sad story this morning that a young an whose father died on the Kursk, has just been killed in the Ukraine war - perhaps in Kursk.

    Two generations of a family killed by Russia - and Putin's - madness.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507

    Humiliating defeat followed by imprisonment. This is what awaits you in your final years, Donald.
    I'm willing to bet that he won't be imprisoned, on the orders of the Supreme Court, who will find grounds that it would breach the Eighth Amendment.

    And I might actually agree with them.

    Nobody should be forced to share a prison with Donald Trump.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505

    It happened last week.

    https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2024/08/08/crossover-happened-over-night/
    Sorry - yes - I was confused with the NC poll numbers.

    It is the heat.

    Or the gin.

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    stodge said:

    £2.5 billion a year on providing hotels for asylum seekers.

    It's not a huge amount in Government terms - Newham alone spends £40 million a year on the provision of temporary accommodation for homeless British people.

    I've yet to hear a coherent answer to the primary question of how you "stop the boats". The toughest of Tory Home Secretaries failed miserably and with Rwanda (or similar) seemingly off the table what is or should be the solution?

    I'm sure plenty have draconian solutions and the real immigration question is the level of legal immigration about which we can do something (if Starmer so wished).

    There is clearly a need for a much more rapid processing of asylum applications which seemed to atrophy in the last months of the previous Government (Rwanda?).

    At least you, @stodge , at least recognise there is a question that needs answering.

    Many others haven't even begun that journey.
  • Leon said:

    The advantage of my solutions is that, if they work, they would stop the boats

    The disadvantage of your solution, "process them quickly and let them work!" - is that it would not only fail, it would actually make the problem even worse, as it would be a massive invitation to even more people to try and get to Britain, where you are given the de facto rights of a citizen in a few weeks (work, free healthcare, etc)

    You need to eat more brain-friendly nutrients, perhaps the entirely meat diet is not good for cognition
    You keep saying "it would actually make the problem even worse", without specifying which problem you are referring to.

    If the £4 billion in hotel etc costs becomes instead £400 million as people are only held without right to work for weeks rather than months, then the problem of the £4 billion would have got better wouldn't it?

    Or is the problem you refer to the people? As that's not the argument you were making, though it seems to be your actual bugbear.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    stodge said:

    £2.5 billion a year on providing hotels for asylum seekers.

    It's not a huge amount in Government terms - Newham alone spends £40 million a year on the provision of temporary accommodation for homeless British people.

    I've yet to hear a coherent answer to the primary question of how you "stop the boats". The toughest of Tory Home Secretaries failed miserably and with Rwanda (or similar) seemingly off the table what is or should be the solution?

    I'm sure plenty have draconian solutions and the real immigration question is the level of legal immigration about which we can do something (if Starmer so wished).

    There is clearly a need for a much more rapid processing of asylum applications which seemed to atrophy in the last months of the previous Government (Rwanda?).

    I’m not sure Rwanda wouldn’t have worked. Had all new irregular arrivals been guaranteed a trip there, it would have made the whole endeavour far less appealing. It was never truly tested as a deterrent because the policy was stuck in the courts.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,205
    Nunu5 said:

    President (Wisconsin)

    Harris (D) 49%
    Trump (R) 40%
    Kennedy (I) 3%
    West (I) 1%
    Stein (G) 1%

    8/8-8/11 by The Bullfinch Group
    500 RV

    Woof! Can I have a treat?

    Source:
    independentcenter.org
    Exclusive Poll: Election 2024 Survey of the Playground States - Independent Center

    500 polled? What's the MOE on that!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,529

    #New General Election Poll

    Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +12
    Michigan - 🔵 Harris +5
    Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +4

    Bullfinch (No Rank) - 1500 LV - 8/11


    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823061951179583880

    Imagine the post-Convention bump numbers.

  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    Disappointed we've not had any visitors from Moscow to explain the liberation of Kursk.

    They’ve been called up to help defend the motherland?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505

    Anton Gerashchenko
    @Gerashchenko_en
    ·
    4h
    Donald Trump's interview with Elon Musk will take place tonight at 8p.m. ET



    What could possibly go wrong!!!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    I'm at a boutique family hotel and the number of hot yummy mummies is off the scale. They all have kids called Alfie and Oscar and call the evening meal "supper" - you get the picture.

    Yes, I'm happily married but boy oh boy are they hot. They take care of themselves and know how to dress - such that one can easily mentally undress.

    Not sure they're as hot as my wife though.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    Foxy said:

    500 polled? What's the MOE on that!
    Probably around 4%.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    On cross-channel migration:

    Look at this chart. Why did the numbers crossing the Channel suddenly jump from 2019? And it's not a small change.

    It's not a change in government policy here in the UK. There are push and pull factors, so what's changed with the push factors? Syria and the Arab Spring happened thirteen years ago. So why the sudden uptick?

    https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/people-crossing-the-english-channel-in-small-boats/
  • ClippP said:

    In the good old days, if I remember correctly, our immigration system worked quite well.

    Then the Home Secretary of the day, a certain Michael Howard, decided that there were too many civil servants, so he cut the numbers.

    Nowadays there are not enough to cope with the work.

    Conservative lack of foresight goes back a long way.
    Nope. The asylum system worked well long after Howard was Home Secretary. The highest number of asylum seekers post millennium in any one year was in 2002. That was higher than anything we have experienced since. And yet the system coped well back then. It is only since the tail end of the Coalition (or even just after) that it started to go badly wrong.

    According to the refugee council, in 2014 the number of cases processed within 6 months of arrival was 87%. By 2020 that was down to 20%. It is now slightly improved to 32% but that is still miles away from where it was. And they can't blame pressure on the system from more applicants. In 2022 and 2023 there were significantly fewer applicants than in 2002.

    So right direction of blame, but wrong set of Tories.

  • Anton Gerashchenko
    @Gerashchenko_en
    ·
    4h
    Donald Trump's interview with Elon Musk will take place tonight at 8p.m. ET



    What could possibly go wrong!!!

    They each end up so far up the other's colon that we need Rescue Sub Guy to get them out?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,757
    FF43 said:

    Exactly. It's probably not a huge premium on the agricultural value of the land but it does exist and the premium would continue to exist if the speculator sold the land on
    because there is always a possibility of
    development on green belt land.
    No you are taking the option value from the owner.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    You keep saying "it would actually make the problem even worse", without specifying which problem you are referring to.

    If the £4 billion in hotel etc costs becomes instead £400 million as people are only held without right to work for weeks rather than months, then the problem of the £4 billion would have got better wouldn't it?

    Or is the problem you refer to the people? As that's not the argument you were making, though it seems to be your actual bugbear.
    The problem is people coming on boats. We all know there are various pull and push factors. Both are crucial

    The pull factors are: Britain's relative attractiveness as a destination, things like free instant healthcare, no ID cards, the English language, plus BAME communities in situ into which you can melt, and so on

    If you add to that "they process you quickly so you can go straight into work" you are basically giving them the rights of a British citizen, in weeks. That is a massive new pull factor, and would likely lead to an explosion in numbers coming

    So while your plan would work in the instant short term, emptying the hotels, in the medium and long term it would make everything much worse, as more people come, and even more, and you let them all work, and then even more come and then you've got 300,000 crossing the Channel in a year, all wanting and expecting to work, and all illegal

    Ya see?
  • I'm at a boutique family hotel and the number of hot yummy mummies is off the scale. They all have kids called Alfie and Oscar and call the evening meal "supper" - you get the picture.

    Yes, I'm happily married but boy oh boy are they hot. They take care of themselves and know how to dress - such that one can easily mentally undress.

    Not sure they're as hot as my wife though.

    Become a Mormon.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    On cross-channel migration:

    Look at this chart. Why did the numbers crossing the Channel suddenly jump from 2019? And it's not a small change.

    It's not a change in government policy here in the UK. There are push and pull factors, so what's changed with the push factors? Syria and the Arab Spring happened thirteen years ago. So why the sudden uptick?

    https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/people-crossing-the-english-channel-in-small-boats/

    One theory is that we successfully closed off the land crossing - ie the lorries in the Chunnel

    So then one bright spark thought: Hold on, why don't we simply cross in a boat, and they did, and it was easy, and no one could stop them as it risked drowning them. And, the French were probably quite happy to see them go. And then everyone copied those pioneers

    Literally that simple. No one had tried it before
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
    Bill Kristol
    @BillKristol
    ·
    6h
    We've all offered advice to Harris-Walz on how to defend themselves on this or lay out an agenda on that. But I dunno, they're doing fine. Maybe they should just keep on being cheerful and upbeat? Spend this week celebrating our Olympics team, then a patriotic Dem convention?

    https://x.com/BillKristol/status/1822970564161442086

    ===

    Yeh!!! This is a Hope vs Fear election now imho and they need to do fun, joy, bright future, hope etc etc.

    Next four years not whether 2020 was stolen.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295

    #New General Election Poll

    Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +12
    Michigan - 🔵 Harris +5
    Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +4

    Bullfinch (No Rank) - 1500 LV - 8/11


    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823061951179583880

    Fake news? "That post has been deleted"


  • Anton Gerashchenko
    @Gerashchenko_en
    ·
    4h
    Donald Trump's interview with Elon Musk will take place tonight at 8p.m. ET



    What could possibly go wrong!!!

    Iran and proxies choose tonight to launch attack on Israel. Everyone hops onto live channels watching real time events.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,205

    On cross-channel migration:

    Look at this chart. Why did the numbers crossing the Channel suddenly jump from 2019? And it's not a small change.

    It's not a change in government policy here in the UK. There are push and pull factors, so what's changed with the push factors? Syria and the Arab Spring happened thirteen years ago. So why the sudden uptick?

    https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/people-crossing-the-english-channel-in-small-boats/

    Prior to 2019 similar numbers came, but in the back of lorries.

  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    Leon said:

    One theory is that we successfully closed off the land crossing - ie the lorries in the Chunnel

    So then one bright spark thought: Hold on, why don't we simply cross in a boat, and they did, and it was easy, and no one could stop them as it risked drowning them. And, the French were probably quite happy to see them go. And then everyone copied those pioneers

    Literally that simple. No one had tried it before
    It's fucking BREXIT you stupid fool!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273

    Become a Mormon.
    I sometimes wonder if I have a problem.

    Either lots of men are the same, and just keep it quiet, or I need a lot of cold showers.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,812

    It's fucking BREXIT you stupid fool!
    Making the UK more attractive, you mean?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,612
  • Foxy said:

    Prior to 2019 similar numbers came, but in the back of lorries.

    Indeed. The overall numbers didn't change, just how they got here.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    I sometimes wonder if I have a problem.

    Either lots of men are the same, and just keep it quiet, or I need a lot of cold showers.
    Er, I think most men are the same. The male libido is excessive, and designed to send you a bit mad, like putting a 3000CC engine in a Hillman Imp

    As Kingsley Amis memorably said, "I know why I like large breasts, I just don't understand why I like them so MUCH"
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,011

    The reunification of Ukraine with Russia is proceeding according to plan.
    Kyivan Rus with Muscovy a satrapy

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    It also helps that they are slim, posh, with shapely legs, well manicured feet and shimmering hair - and have mainly today been wearing tasteful crop tops and skirts. Some bikinis.

    Phwoar.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181

    It also offers potentially an alternative route to liberate Ukrainian land via bypassing Russia's minefields.

    Also it turns the battlefield to one that plays on Ukraine's strengths - when it comes to mobile warfare rather than frozen warfare, Ukraine has the technological edge.
    Capturing huge areas of land for little loss is an interesting type of “not winning”.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    BREAKING: The European Union has issued a formal letter to Elon Musk, demanding that he censor Donald Trump in their upcoming interview.

    The EU warns of "legal obligations" if Musk does not take action to prevent the spread of "disinformation."


    https://x.com/allenanalysis/status/1823057692409409961

    The EU is now trying to interfere in the US election?
  • Making the UK more attractive, you mean?
    So why is the year with the highest number of asylum seekers reaching the UK in the last quarter century not any of the years since Brexit but 2002 - when, as I seem to recall, we were still firmly within the EU?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,612

    Bill Kristol
    @BillKristol
    ·
    6h
    We've all offered advice to Harris-Walz on how to defend themselves on this or lay out an agenda on that. But I dunno, they're doing fine. Maybe they should just keep on being cheerful and upbeat? Spend this week celebrating our Olympics team, then a patriotic Dem convention?

    https://x.com/BillKristol/status/1822970564161442086

    ===

    Yeh!!! This is a Hope vs Fear election now imho and they need to do fun, joy, bright future, hope etc etc.

    Next four years not whether 2020 was stolen.

    The real test will come with her policy platforms. Trumps crazy protectionist policies will help no one. Hopefully she will see his policies as an open goal.
  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 439
    edited August 2024

    No you are taking the option value from the owner.

    I don’t see how the situation of the land speculators is any different to stock market speculators, buying shares on anticipation of a takeover bid.

    100% speculation. A high risk, high reward gamble.

    I’m amazed this issue has any traction at all with supposed free market capitalists.

    I assume anyone making this argument has skin in the game.

    Do you?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,254

    I'm at a boutique family hotel and the number of hot yummy mummies is off the scale. They all have kids called Alfie and Oscar and call the evening meal "supper" - you get the picture.

    Yes, I'm happily married but boy oh boy are they hot. They take care of themselves and know how to dress - such that one can easily mentally undress.

    Not sure they're as hot as my wife though.

    Epic last-minute pullback, sir: chapeau
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
    Leon said:

    Er, I think most men are the same. The male libido is excessive, and designed to send you a bit mad, like putting a 3000CC engine in a Hillman Imp

    As Kingsley Amis memorably said, "I know why I like large breasts, I just don't understand why I like them so MUCH"
    Read Tim O'Brien - Tomcat in Love.

    Classic text on this kind of thing.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    Read Tim O'Brien - Tomcat in Love.

    Classic text on this kind of thing.
    Portnoy's Complaint is excellent
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    viewcode said:

    Epic last-minute pullback, sir: chapeau
    You can never be sure who is reading PB.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,469

    At least you, @stodge , at least recognise there is a question that needs answering.

    Many others haven't even begun that journey.
    Thank you for the kind word.

    It's not one question - it's a whole overflowing dinghy worth of questions sinking halfway across the Channel in truth.

    Just as a start, and it's no more than that - what is it that we really want? We've traditionally used cheap labour to grow the economy (that's how the Industrial Revolution got started and the post-war economic boom). If we don't want cheap labour, are we prepared to accept the consequences in terms of relative economic decline?

    Immigrants often do the work the British won't do - cleaning the streets and offices, looking after the sick and elderly. In essence, if we don't import people to wipe our bottoms when we can't, who will wipe our bottoms?

    That's the economic dilemma - then there's the cultural dilemma of bringing into the country people who aren't like us, who have different cultures and customs. Go back 60-70 years and see how well Caribbean immigrants were treated in some parts of London. Inter racial tension is nothing new. Intra communal tension is.

    Yet we don't have enough housing for the people already here (nor prisons for those already here who commit crimes for which they should be incarcerated) so councils spend millions on temporary accommodation for families who "should" have decent places to live but can't afford to rent let alone buy at the exorbitant prices the housing market demands.

    Millions, however, are reliant on the rising value of their property, their only significant asset, to fund a later lifestyle to which they aspire. Selling the family home and downsizing pays for the cruises and the nice lunches where they spend money and are often served by cheap migrant labour employed by organisations to keep costs down.

    It's all inter-connected, immigration, housing, health, economic and social policy, the very capitalist model under which we currently operate. The problem is too often they are compartmentalised whereas a holistic approach is needed.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    Leon said:

    Er, I think most men are the same. The male libido is excessive, and designed to send you a bit mad, like putting a 3000CC engine in a Hillman Imp

    As Kingsley Amis memorably said, "I know why I like large breasts, I just don't understand why I like them so MUCH"
    The tits here are fucking fantastic. Fantastic.

    I'm sorry, 21stC and all that.

    But, millions of years of evolution and that and.. FANTASTIC.
  • It also helps that they are slim, posh, with shapely legs, well manicured feet and shimmering hair - and have mainly today been wearing tasteful crop tops and skirts. Some bikinis.

    Phwoar.

    Has @Leon hijacked your account or summat??
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    viewcode said:

    Epic last-minute pullback, sir: chapeau
    I am a master of my craft.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    edited August 2024

    Making the UK more attractive, you mean?
    Ahaha nice try. So by your logic, before Brexit it was:

    "I've risked my life to escape the Taliban, left my family behind, blown my life savings on getting to Europe, but OMG I'm not going to the UK where they are under the yoke of the EU. Oh no, I'd rather stay here in France, in the, er, EU"

    I can see why you struggle with a lot of this if that's your thought process.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited August 2024

    Become a Mormon.
    Just rereading O'Brian's HMS Surprise. Reminded that Dr Maturin recommended the radical ablation of the peccant member and its accessories. Also worked wonders for the temperament.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505

    I am a master of my craft.
    Although you have left some element of doubt in there.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505

    The tits here are fucking fantastic. Fantastic.

    I'm sorry, 21stC and all that.

    But, millions of years of evolution and that and.. FANTASTIC.
    Well, I have to say it makes a change from debating AI.
  • Leon said:

    The problem is people coming on boats. We all know there are various pull and push factors. Both are crucial

    The pull factors are: Britain's relative attractiveness as a destination, things like free instant healthcare, no ID cards, the English language, plus BAME communities in situ into which you can melt, and so on

    If you add to that "they process you quickly so you can go straight into work" you are basically giving them the rights of a British citizen, in weeks. That is a massive new pull factor, and would likely lead to an explosion in numbers coming

    So while your plan would work in the instant short term, emptying the hotels, in the medium and long term it would make everything much worse, as more people come, and even more, and you let them all work, and then even more come and then you've got 300,000 crossing the Channel in a year, all wanting and expecting to work, and all illegal

    Ya see?
    You say "illegal", but your real worry is they're not illegal, which is the problem for you.

    I say if they're illegal they should be deported.
    If they're legal they should be allowed to work.

    Telling people they can stay in the country, but can't work, so need to live off taxpayers is the worst of all worlds.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    Foxy said:

    Prior to 2019 similar numbers came, but in the back of lorries.
    Evidence for that?

    But *if* it is true; that's a sign that the government made it harder for people to cross by their preferred method, so they moved to another method.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
    Taz said:

    The real test will come with her policy platforms. Trumps crazy protectionist policies will help no one. Hopefully she will see his policies as an open goal.
    He wants to put the price of goods in WalMart up 50% should do it.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273

    Well, I have to say it makes a change from debating AI.
    Not sure AI can do this.

    Ahem.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    You say "illegal", but your real worry is they're not illegal, which is the problem for you.

    I say if they're illegal they should be deported.
    If they're legal they should be allowed to work.

    Telling people they can stay in the country, but can't work, so need to live off taxpayers is the worst of all worlds.
    As @williamglenn rightly says, you are basically arguing for open borders, yet trying not to admit it, thereby tying yourself in knots. I honestly have no idea why you take this position, given that you are - I believe - a hardworking UK taxpayer and its your honest money that will fund this insanity. But, if this is what you want, this is what you will get
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,812

    Ahaha nice try. So by your logic, before Brexit it was:

    "I've risked my life to escape the Taliban, left my family behind, blown my life savings on getting to Europe, but OMG I'm not going to the UK where they are under the yoke of the EU. Oh no, I'd rather stay here in France, in the, er, EU"

    I can see why you struggle with a lot of this if that's your thought process.
    And what’s your logic for Brexit being to blame?
  • I don’t see how the situation of the land speculators is any different to stock market speculators, buying shares on anticipation of a takeover bid.

    100% speculation. A high risk, high reward gamble.

    I’m amazed this issue has any traction at all with supposed free market capitalists.

    I assume anyone making this argument has skin in the game.

    Do you?
    Sorry, mainly directed at @davidL
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,410
    edited August 2024
    Leon said:

    As @williamglenn rightly says, you are basically arguing for open borders, yet trying not to admit it, thereby tying yourself in knots. I honestly have no idea why you take this position, given that you are - I believe - a hardworking UK taxpayer and its your honest money that will fund this insanity. But, if this is what you want, this is what you will get
    I'm saying our taxes should not fund insanity - but its the current failure of a system that is insane.

    The insanity is telling people that they can stay in the country, for years, but can't work legally so end up living off the taxpayer. And since they're here, they inevitably are free not just to be taking taxes but working in the black economy so are making money from being here.

    Saying either be deported or get a job is not insane.

    If they're here legally, they should be allowed to work.
    If they're here illegally, they should be able to be deported.

    What's wrong with that?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    TITS
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,612
    Some rather disturbing polling here on refugees and asylum seekers.

    https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/1823073108439228805?s=61
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    Taz said:

    Some rather disturbing polling here on refugees and asylum seekers.

    https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/1823073108439228805?s=61

    Wow.
  • You say "illegal", but your real worry is they're not illegal, which is the problem for you.

    I say if they're illegal they should be deported.
    If they're legal they should be allowed to work.

    Telling people they can stay in the country, but can't work, so need to live off taxpayers is the worst of all worlds.
    It's not so much telling people that they can stay, as the physical reality that they are here and we can't send them anywhere. (And given that the asylum backlog is currently of the order of 100 000 people, sending them to Rwanda in batches of 200 until they disperse of their own accord looks opitmistic.)

    It's all very well to have the political power to say that something should happen, but if you can't actually make it happen, it's all a bit hollow.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,273
    ydoethur said:

    You're just milking it for attention now.
    Are you not staying abreast of my approach?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295

    And what’s your logic for Brexit being to blame?
    My logic is simple. Total lack of incentive on the part of the French to help prevent any boats. Quite the opposite in fact. We told them we were leaving because we didn't like them; they said well fuck-you then. We'd have done the same if the roles were reversed.

    It's blindingly obvious and entirely predictable.
  • Fake news? "That post has been deleted"

    Had a typo.

    #New General Election Poll

    Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +9
    Michigan - 🔵 Harris +5
    Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +4

    Bullfinch (No Rank) - 1500 LV - 8/11

    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823062435810378154
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,254
    Carnyx said:

    Just rereading O'Brian's HMS Surprise. Reminded that Dr Maturin recommended the radical ablation of the peccant member and its accessories. Also worked wonders for the temperament.
    ‘Do you follow me, Dr Maturin?’

    ‘I do indeed, sir, and am much obliged to you for your candor in telling me this: it confirms what was in my mind and I shall do all I can to make him conscious of the delicacy of his position. Though upon my word,’ he added with a sigh, ‘there are times when it seems to me that nothing short of a radical ablation of the membrum virile would answer, in this case.’

    ‘That is very generally the peccant part,’ said Mr Florey.
  • I sometimes wonder if I have a problem.

    Either lots of men are the same, and just keep it quiet, or I need a lot of cold showers.
    Not just you.

    I met the love of my life and I still couldn't keep the snake inside the pet store.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,315
    Carnyx said:

    Just rereading O'Brian's HMS Surprise. Reminded that Dr Maturin recommended the radical ablation of the peccant member and its accessories. Also worked wonders for the temperament.
    I can't remember, was that before or after he met and fell in love with Diana Villiers? It would certainly have saved him a deal of pain and trouble, but deprived readers of a lot of engagement with the books.
  • Or let people work and pay for themselves.

    We can't tow people back to France without France's consent - France is a sovereign country.
    I see a third possibility... :wink:

    Will avenge 958 years of humiliation as well.
  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 439
    edited August 2024
    Taz said:

    Some rather disturbing polling here on refugees and asylum seekers.

    https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/1823073108439228805?s=61

    Fieldwork 7-8 August. Still terrifying, but those figures are surely the absolute peak.

    A repoll when everyone has calmed down would surely show very different results.

    Like, asking a victims family straight after sentencing for an awful crime, whether we should introduce the death penalty vs a few months later.
  • Not just you.

    I met the love of my life and I still couldn't keep the snake inside the pet store.
    What do women and swimming pools have in common?

    They both cost a lot of money to maintain for the amount of time you spend inside them.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295

    Had a typo.

    #New General Election Poll

    Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +9
    Michigan - 🔵 Harris +5
    Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +4

    Bullfinch (No Rank) - 1500 LV - 8/11

    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823062435810378154
    Thanks, that's pretty dramatic.
  • ydoethur said:

    You're just milking it for attention now.
    Are you suggesting we should nip all this sort of thing in the bud?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,612
    edited August 2024
    IDF spokesman to,give a press conference at 20.30 amid growing rumours of a significant Iranian response.

    https://x.com/manniefabian/status/1823031128208412884?s=61

    The Supreme leader has been visiting today

    https://x.com/aliostad/status/1823036467590897683?s=61
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    Wow.
    Jesus Fucking Christ
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    a

    I see a third possibility... :wink:

    Will avenge 958 years of humiliation as well.
    It’s simple

    1) Conditions for refugees are intolerable in the camps around Calais
    2) This makes France a failed state
    3) Various treaties give us a legal claim to France.
    4) France has oil
This discussion has been closed.