Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
Vietnam wasnt existential for the americans in the way Ukraine is for Putin.
Is it existential for the Russians who don't want to die there ?
When a critical mass of those is achieved its bye bye to Putin.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
And crucially Germany was fighting on two fronts - east and west.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Bizarre. Surely Nigel knows there are few votes to be won with this topic, let alone his take on it. Is it a pride thing and he just can't let it go until he thinks he's won the argument? Does he not actually want to be elected?
I think he believes it will have limited effect on voting attention, but that he brings up unnecessary points that just flare things up suggests to me it is his true belief and he is angry people do not agree with him.
He is probably correct that reclaiming Crimea will be difficult, I'd even say impossible, but the way he frames it all - blaming the EU for expanding, saying Ukraine should be the one to give up to save lives - makes it very clear his sympathies lie with Putin's ambitions, it is not a case of misplaced realpolitik.
I think it's all part of the far right might is right mindset. They are nationalists who don't believe in international cooperation. For them it's obvious: Russia is the stronger power and therefore Russia will win and consequently also deserves to win.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
To an extent NF leads opinion and does not follow it. His comments will be turning some Fukkers Ukro-skeptical just because it's him that's saying it. Whether his positioning is a net electoral negative remains to be seen. Do voters give a fuck about it compared to Cozzie Livs, Nashie Healths or Immy Grates? I don't recall it polling with high salience on topics that engaged voters.
Dunno, even taking my own view out of it, I think this sort of thing matters to people.
In as much as I can discern a strategy, it's to remain in the headlines, in this pinch period where attention would usually revert to the main two parties. Ed Davey has got twatting about in a pond, Nigel Farage has got scaring the horses on Ukraine.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Do you know that Russia had collapsed before Germany during WW1 ?
Even though the war was extremely existential to Imperial Russia's leadership.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.
I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.
I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.
I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
Yeah. One should have been dropped on the Kremlin at the very start.
Would anyone in Russia actually care? I think most of them would be pretty pleased. None of this is doing much for their living standards.
No more polls tonight presusumably. Anyone know please which we can expect tomorrow?
Good to see you PfP, hope you are keeping well!
What bets do you have for UK 2024?
Thanks Double C ... your kind words are absolutely reciprocated on my part. I'm mainly on the spreads, selling the Blue team down from 160 seats and buying the reds up from 430 seats. Also a variety of fixed odds bets favouring large Labour majorities, etc. We haven't yet booked the Caribbean holiday yet but something rather better than a long weekend in Clacton is definitely in prospect! Where is your betting focused?
Ah thanks PfP great to hear from you
Going to start betting this week hopefully, looking at Con seats >100, also very safe Con seats (eg 60%+ in 2019 vote) where there's a decent return eg 30-40%.
That's my starting point.
For all the other almost 40 or so countries that I follow, the UK election night is probably still genuinely my favourite.
Good luck with your bets!
If the polls currently have it right, then the betting value has ebbed away during the campaign, an example being that Tory seats on the spreads are down from around 160+ to the present level of circa 117 seats mid-spread. Of course there's still time for the Blue Team to have a late surge which has actually been the case in just about every G.E. over the last 30 years.
Good luck with your POTUS betting DC. I'll be looking out for your predictions ... the first presumably whether Biden and/or Trump will actually be their respective parties' candidates?
Slightly problem: are Conservative votes in Montgomeryshire / Bristol NW, Labour votes in Central Suffolk, and RefUK votes in Welwyn Hatfield and Bexhill&Battle going to count towards the overall vote totals and percentages? Because on the ballot papers they still appear as official candidates for those parties, and it could make a difference to the final share of votes used by, for example, betting companies to settle bets.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.
I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
You’re still here then.
You have had a reasonably long tenure because you haven’t gone straight for the antivax or WEF stuff. But you have still gone from posting zero only about 3 days ago to being prolific now, largely on one topic.
So some honesty please. Are you based in the UK? Are you voting in next week’s election? Are you paid to write on here? If so, what’s the going rate? If not, what brought you to this forum?
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
It didn't. It decided a guilty plea and time served was worth more than the cost and hassle of a conviction that though felt was overwhelmingly likely, would've had to go through a lot to get him to stand trial, and then would've presented a circus could do without.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
Then why aren't you on the streets of St Petersburg campaigning for Russian withdrawal?
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
Then why aren't you on the streets of St Petersburg campaigning for Russian withdrawal?
I wish they could come up with some new lines, we did the 'I just feel bad for the poor Ukrainians' lie years ago.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.
I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
Yeah. One should have been dropped on the Kremlin at the very start.
Would anyone in Russia actually care? I think most of them would be pretty pleased. None of this is doing much for their living standards.
I think the attraction to people like Farage for Russia is in some ways its sort of like 1960s britain before multiculturalism. Im sure this informs his views in some ways.
I apologise for being grumpy and ramping rubbish. My mum attacked Wilbur hard with a cushion he flew in the air, and there’s been a big bust up, and I hadn’t calmed down and wasn’t concentrating properly This should make up for how I really see it
@MattSingh_ Because I'm feeling generous I've created a Google Sheet with the PA declaration times, tabulated and matched to ONS codes. (AI was involved for this, so please let me know if you spot any errors)
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
To an extent NF leads opinion and does not follow it. His comments will be turning some Fukkers Ukro-skeptical just because it's him that's saying it. Whether his positioning is a net electoral negative remains to be seen. Do voters give a fuck about it compared to Cozzie Livs, Nashie Healths or Immy Grates? I don't recall it polling with high salience on topics that engaged voters.
Dunno, even taking my own view out of it, I think this sort of thing matters to people.
I always imagine my grandmother for this sort of thing. Damn right it'll matter to her. She'll say it's disgusting.
And then she'll vote reform anyway.
She's fantastic as a barometer for a few different types of voter.
Not being funny, but WTF does "stupid" even mean? As I was saying on X the other day, I reckon they use these long words to make us take the vaxes and agree that Biden won.
This is really stupid story. He bet absolute peanuts way before any decision. Surely nobody is wasting any time worrying about people betting £5-20, and losing.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
I think it was due to him winning the right to appeal against extradition last month. I wonder that made the US think it might just go on indefinitely, or could reflect badly if he won the appeal. After all this time, it's an embarrassment for everyone involved.
At least this way they get it out of the way, and everyone can portray it as some kind of win.
Sometimes you need a bit of luck to win a tournament
👍👍👍
We were not fortunate to win the group. How do you figure that?
Indeed. We were the best team in the group by a mile and deserved to win it. Doesn’t mean we are anywhere near good enough to go far in the tournament, but we can improve. I thought we were much better today although clearly not great.
Get it right and there's serious moneys to be made.
Interesting to see that 4 out of 5 models have John Major's Huntingdon seat going to Labour. That would have been unthinkable until recently. Safest seat in the country back then.
I apologise for being grumpy and ramping rubbish. My mum attacked Wilbur hard with a cushion he flew in the air, and there’s been a big bust up, and I hadn’t calmed down and wasn’t concentrating properly This should make up for how I really see it
Allison Pearson unmoved by Farage's recent controversial comments.
"Reform puts British people first – how is that a wasted vote? It’s time to send a message to the Tories that their disregard for the British people is unacceptable
I apologise for being grumpy and ramping rubbish. My mum attacked Wilbur hard with a cushion he flew in the air, and there’s been a big bust up, and I hadn’t calmed down and wasn’t concentrating properly This should make up for how I really see it
Allison Pearson unmoved by Farage's recent controversial comments.
"Reform puts British people first – how is that a wasted vote? It’s time to send a message to the Tories that their disregard for the British people is unacceptable
I apologise for being grumpy and ramping rubbish. My mum attacked Wilbur hard with a cushion he flew in the air, and there’s been a big bust up, and I hadn’t calmed down and wasn’t concentrating properly This should make up for how I really see it
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.
I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
I do wonder if Ukraine still has some
Why do you think the Russians were obsessed with capturing Ukrainian nuclear power stations.
Each has huge cooling ponds full of spent fuel.
High burn up - so lots of Pu-240. The longer that fuel remains in a reactor, the more undesirable 240 is created, vs the PU-239 you want for a bomb.
Commercial reactors try and use fuel for longer - sometimes creating 20-25% Pu-240. This about getting more power out of the fuel.
It is sometimes claimed that high burn up plutonium (aka commercial plutonium) can’t be used for a bomb. This is not true.
The US detonated a bomb in 1962 using high burn up plutonium. Using plutonium from the U.K.
So the Ukrainians have metric tons of plutonium. Plutonium 240 is nasty - highly radioactive. So much so that a bomb core made from 20% 240 would generate a hundred watts (roughly) of heat, just sitting there. It would require active cooling to stop it damaging the weapon. But what was done in 1962 can be done again.
New York Primary 2024 - polls close in one-half hour.
South Carolina Republican 2024 Runoff for US House 3rd District with 65% reporting (source NYT)
Sheri Biggs 18,959 52.6% Mark Burns 17,102 47.4% Total reported 36,061
SSI - Battle is for open US House seat in heavily-Republican CD3 in upland northwest SC. Biggs is nurse practitioner endorsed by GOP Gov Henry McMasters, while Burns is televagelist and serial past candidate endorsed by Trump.
Currently Biggs is leading in 8 of 11 counties, and looking at county-by-county numbers am thinking that the she's going to win the nomination, and eventual election this fall.
In addition to New York and South Carolina, also party primaries - but NOT for POTUS - in Colorado and Utah.
In CO look for results from US House District 3 Republican primary, where one of the hopefuls is Lauren Boebert, an incumbent in Congress but NOT from this open-seat strongly GOP district on the OTHER side of the Rocky Mountains.
Just outside Parca, we find Irena delivering parcels. She’s originally from Latvia and says she works up to 60 hours a week. I jokingly ask what she would do if she were the next prime minister. “I would close the borders!” she says. It’s not the answer we expected.
Irena arrived here 15 years ago, when the UK was part of the EU, and she’s now a British citizen and planning to vote in the general election.
It becomes clear her issue is illegal immigration. “I don't understand why France doesn't close the borders, why they let people risk their lives and cross the channel. If they say the first safe country is OK, why do you pass several safe countries and then England in the end. Why?”
Does she see any conflict between her own journey and her views now? “I'm working. I'm all the time working,” she says, adding that she never asked the state for anything.
Of all the major sports, football is the most tedious.
Except for cricket.
You've obviously never watched a T20 then.
Or indeed any other form of cricket.
Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
The good thing about cricket is that you can go make a cup of tea, take a crap, wash the car, clear out the spare room, clean the entire house and mend that loose handle that’s been bothering you for months, and when you come back, absolutely nothing will have happened.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
Hopefully they were told, or realised, that they weren’t going to get him, and wanted to save face by getting him to plead guilty to something so that the whole sorry farce doesn’t just look pointless and vinidictive.
And maybe Biden, or someone in his team, just wants to clear the deck of unhelpful loose ends, before the election?
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
Hopefully they were told, or realised, that they weren’t going to get him, and wanted to save face by getting him to plead guilty to something so that the whole sorry farce doesn’t just look pointless and vinidictive.
And maybe Biden, or someone in his team, just wants to clear the deck of unhelpful loose ends, before the election?
Might an impending change of government in the UK have focussed their minds, especially with a prospective lawyerly PM who might be more sympathetic to Assange?
(If SKS is sympathetic to Assange, then that's a black mark against SKS...)
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Part of the deal was that Assange got Willian's to destroy the documents.
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
Of all the major sports, football is the most tedious.
Except for cricket.
You've obviously never watched a T20 then.
Or indeed any other form of cricket.
Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
The good thing about cricket is that you can go make a cup of tea, take a crap, wash the car, clear out the spare room, clean the entire house and mend that loose handle that’s been bothering you for months, and when you come back, absolutely nothing will have happened.
Better still, you can listen to it on the radio at the same time. Cricket just works over radio; football doesn't.
In addition to New York and South Carolina, also party primaries - but NOT for POTUS - in Colorado and Utah.
In CO look for results from US House District 3 Republican primary, where one of the hopefuls is Lauren Boebert, an incumbent in Congress but NOT from this open-seat strongly GOP district on the OTHER side of the Rocky Mountains.
A head full of rocks is on brand in a Rocky Mountain State.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
Hopefully they were told, or realised, that they weren’t going to get him, and wanted to save face by getting him to plead guilty to something so that the whole sorry farce doesn’t just look pointless and vinidictive.
And maybe Biden, or someone in his team, just wants to clear the deck of unhelpful loose ends, before the election?
Might an impending change of government in the UK have focussed their minds, especially with a prospective lawyerly PM who might be more sympathetic to Assange?
(If SKS is sympathetic to Assange, then that's a black mark against SKS...)
Geoffrey Robertson KC, who mentored Sir Keir Starmer when he was a young barrister, told The Telegraph that American prosecutors knew they “couldn’t rely on” a Starmer administration to put Assange on a flight across the Atlantic.
Former home secretary Suella Braverman has told the BBC she still has the 24-hour personal protection she was given while in government because of the threats and harassment she receives.
It appears that Visegrád 24, a Polish-Based Account with over a Million Followers who posts about the War in Ukraine and Israel has been Suspended for an Unknown Reason.
It appears that Visegrád 24, a Polish-Based Account with over a Million Followers who posts about the War in Ukraine and Israel has been Suspended for an Unknown Reason.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Part of the deal was that Assange got Willian's to destroy the documents.
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
I hold no candle for Assange but I can't blame him for hiding away in that embassy.
If he'd been extradited to a US court on all the charges he faced he'd have got something ludicrous like 300 years and spent the rest of his life in a very horrible US prison.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Part of the deal was that Assange got Willian's to destroy the documents.
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
I hold no candle for Assange but I can't blame him for hiding away in that embassy.
If he'd been extradited to a US court on all the charges he faced he'd have got something ludicrous like 300 years and spent the rest of his life in a very horrible US prison.
And had he been a U.S. citizen, it's fairly likely he'd have been able to assert 1st amendment rights as part of his defence, and possibly gig a similar plea deal.
So it's not the worst all round compromise.
I'm not an Assange fan either, but time to forget him and move on.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Part of the deal was that Assange got Willian's to destroy the documents.
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
I hold no candle for Assange but I can't blame him for hiding away in that embassy.
If he'd been extradited to a US court on all the charges he faced he'd have got something ludicrous like 300 years and spent the rest of his life in a very horrible US prison.
And had he been a U.S. citizen, it's fairly likely he'd have been able to assert 1st amendment rights as part of his defence, and possibly gig a similar plea deal.
So it's not the worst all round compromise.
I'm not an Assange fan either, but time to forget him and move on.
A typically grown up and sensible move from the Biden administration. Shame they won't get much credit for it come November..
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
And if Trump wins he will cut the money and arms going to Ukraine. No doubt.
The BBC will keep on about Gamblegate along with the rest of them till and after the election. It might do the reverse and bring out sympathetic Tory voters who will support their party. Anything is possible!
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".
I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace". Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
The Iraqi Army had more soldiers on the ground than the coalition forces. Its all about training and materiel, not to mention morale and leadership. On all those measures you have an explanation for the horrendous Russian casualties. The absolute contempt for their own soldiers and the general contempt for human life is why, ultimately, the Russians need to place their own high command and corrupt political leadership on trial.
Only those bought and sold for Ruusian gold, and we know who they are, are prepared to throw Putin a bone. Your puny propaganda efforts cut no ice here.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
Nigel Farage, the former presenter on Russia Today, is absolutely not a man of principle, Putinbot.
Of all the major sports, football is the most tedious.
Except for cricket.
You've obviously never watched a T20 then.
Or indeed any other form of cricket.
Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
The good thing about cricket is that you can go make a cup of tea, take a crap, wash the car, clear out the spare room, clean the entire house and mend that loose handle that’s been bothering you for months, and when you come back, absolutely nothing will have happened.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Part of the deal was that Assange got Willian's to destroy the documents.
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
I hold no candle for Assange but I can't blame him for hiding away in that embassy.
If he'd been extradited to a US court on all the charges he faced he'd have got something ludicrous like 300 years and spent the rest of his life in a very horrible US prison.
I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
"Suddenly" is an odd term in the context of a plea deal.
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Part of the deal was that Assange got Willian's to destroy the documents.
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
I hold no candle for Assange but I can't blame him for hiding away in that embassy.
If he'd been extradited to a US court on all the charges he faced he'd have got something ludicrous like 300 years and spent the rest of his life in a very horrible US prison.
A reminder that when he jumped bail, he was trying to avoid extradition to Sweden on rape charges. It wasn’t until some time after he’d fled that the US changed its mind and started pursuing him.
Hilariously, had he been extradited to Sweden he would actually have been much safer from the US. Although he would almost certainly have been locked up for those rapes he committed, of course.
Farage is just working where he will get the best job offer from. If not in politics then Ukraine has over 10 Trillion of metals under the ground. He is a former metal trader. He may have contacts in that game. The world is your oyster.
Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.
The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.
Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.
Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.
He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.
Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
That's not the way it works. A hundred years ago, the vast majority of Russia's workforce worked in agriculture; whilst this decreased to 50% in 1940, the sector still provided a vast supply of men for the war and factories. In addition, millions of eastern Europeans fought the nazis - including seven million Ukrainians.
Russia now has a much more western-like economy. Just six percent of people work in agriculture, and all those high-tech stronky weapons Russia brags about need large numbers of highly-skilled people to produce. A T90=M is not a T-34.
Russia may not run out of men; but it will critically damage its economy and further deepen its population crisis in the process. Especially as it only seems to advance by using human meat-wave attacks. And that's another point: if Russia loses six people for every one Ukraine loses, then Russia is shafted.
The Conservatives are fighting a highly-defensive general election campaign, with Rishi Sunak visiting areas his party has won comfortably in the past, BBC analysis shows.
Of all the major sports, football is the most tedious.
Except for cricket.
You've obviously never watched a T20 then.
Or indeed any other form of cricket.
Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
The good thing about cricket is that you can go make a cup of tea, take a crap, wash the car, clear out the spare room, clean the entire house and mend that loose handle that’s been bothering you for months, and when you come back, absolutely nothing will have happened.
You haven't seen my spare room or my house .
The plan is clear out house and garden, but it'll take the year. Making progress, however.
Comments
When a critical mass of those is achieved its bye bye to Putin.
Constant balancing act between the two.
Ukraine isn't.
Spain, Germany, Portugal and France are all on the other side of the draw and England cannot play any of the quartet before the final.
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/c0jjv93e8d3o
England talent should be good enough to get all the way through that....but....
And two years ago.
Even though the war was extremely existential to Imperial Russia's leadership.
And you appear not to have noticed the phrases “little by little”, or “slightly less unbelievable”.
That aside, good observation.
Would anyone in Russia actually care? I think most of them would be pretty pleased. None of this is doing much for their living standards.
Good luck with your POTUS betting DC. I'll be looking out for your predictions ... the first presumably whether Biden and/or Trump will actually be their respective parties' candidates?
You have had a reasonably long tenure because you haven’t gone straight for the antivax or WEF stuff. But you have still gone from posting zero only about 3 days ago to being prolific now, largely on one topic.
So some honesty please. Are you based in the UK? Are you voting in next week’s election? Are you paid to write on here? If so, what’s the going rate? If not, what brought you to this forum?
You need to be absolutely gung-ho about it until the moment the deal is sealed. You cannot say, "well, we think he's guilty of all sorts but may change our mind". You're either all in or all out.
None of this is very surprising. It's all very old news, very expensive, and with some risk of failing to obtain a convictions. This way, they have a conviction, albeit limited, and the costs stop.
Now can direction of travels go in something other than a straight line ?
Yes they can and that's not just good but also necessary in a democracy.
If a policy is believed to be having an overall negative effect its perfectly justifiable to change it.
Its the responsibility and opportunity of those involved to argue for their beliefs.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/religion/article/social-media-is-making-us-stupid-says-church-of-england-m8bjbklvf
Getting the information from here.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_United_Kingdom_general_election#National_poll_results
This should make up for how I really see it
https://news.sky.com/story/scale-of-gambling-scandal-for-tories-is-different-magnitude-to-labours-issue-13158755
I’m now literally going to sleep outside in a sty
And then she'll vote reform anyway.
She's fantastic as a barometer for a few different types of voter.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czkk0d19kgdo
This is really stupid story. He bet absolute peanuts way before any decision. Surely nobody is wasting any time worrying about people betting £5-20, and losing.
At least this way they get it out of the way, and everyone can portray it as some kind of win.
Get it right and there's serious moneys to be made.
"Reform puts British people first – how is that a wasted vote?
It’s time to send a message to the Tories that their disregard for the British people is unacceptable
ALLISON PEARSON"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/columnists/2024/06/25/reform-britain-wasted-vote/
https://archive.org/details/CharlottesWeb
Remarks sows fresh confusion over Labour’s gender stance"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/25/bridget-phillipson-trans-women-female-toilets-labour-gender/
Each has huge cooling ponds full of spent fuel.
High burn up - so lots of Pu-240. The longer that fuel remains in a reactor, the more undesirable 240 is created, vs the PU-239 you want for a bomb.
Commercial reactors try and use fuel for longer - sometimes creating 20-25% Pu-240. This about getting more power out of the fuel.
It is sometimes claimed that high burn up plutonium (aka commercial plutonium) can’t be used for a bomb. This is not true.
The US detonated a bomb in 1962 using high burn up plutonium. Using plutonium from the U.K.
The exact burn up ratio has not been released.
https://npolicy.org/greg-jones-americas-1962-reactor-grade-plutonium-weapons-test-revisited/
So the Ukrainians have metric tons of plutonium. Plutonium 240 is nasty - highly radioactive. So much so that a bomb core made from 20% 240 would generate a hundred watts (roughly) of heat, just sitting there. It would require active cooling to stop it damaging the weapon. But what was done in 1962 can be done again.
South Carolina Republican 2024 Runoff for US House 3rd District
with 65% reporting (source NYT)
Sheri Biggs
18,959 52.6%
Mark Burns
17,102 47.4%
Total reported
36,061
SSI - Battle is for open US House seat in heavily-Republican CD3 in upland northwest SC. Biggs is nurse practitioner endorsed by GOP Gov Henry McMasters, while Burns is televagelist and serial past candidate endorsed by Trump.
Currently Biggs is leading in 8 of 11 counties, and looking at county-by-county numbers am thinking that the she's going to win the nomination, and eventual election this fall.
In CO look for results from US House District 3 Republican primary, where one of the hopefuls is Lauren Boebert, an incumbent in Congress but NOT from this open-seat strongly GOP district on the OTHER side of the Rocky Mountains.
95% reporting (source NYT) - AP calls race for Biggs
Sheri Biggs
27,649 51.1%
Mark Burns
26,474 48.9%
Total reported
54,123
New York Democratic Primary 16th Congressional District
with 27% reporting
George Latimer - Westchester County Executive
13,735 55.8%
Jamaal Bowman - incumbent US Representative
10,887 44.2%
Total reported
24,622
61% reporting (source NYT) - AP has called race for Lauren Boebert
Lauren Boebert
37,455 43.8%
Deborah Flora
12,945 15.1%
Mike Lynch
10,159 11.9%
Jerry Sonnenberg
9,854 11.5%
Richard Holtorf
8,395 9.8%
Peter Yu
6,727 7.9%
Total reported
85,535
Irena arrived here 15 years ago, when the UK was part of the EU, and she’s now a British citizen and planning to vote in the general election.
It becomes clear her issue is illegal immigration. “I don't understand why France doesn't close the borders, why they let people risk their lives and cross the channel. If they say the first safe country is OK, why do you pass several safe countries and then England in the end. Why?”
Does she see any conflict between her own journey and her views now? “I'm working. I'm all the time working,” she says, adding that she never asked the state for anything.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw00yg9z0dgo
Says something about BBC groupthink, all immigration is the same.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Toronto—St._Paul%27s_federal_by-election
The Economist has a seat by seat forecast, but not sure whether you can access the data other than by clicking on the map.
https://www.economist.com/interactive/uk-general-election/forecast
Same with New Statesman. (I'm not a subscriber but I get the limited number of free articles by registering).
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/05/britainpredicts
ElectionMaps also has a forecast with map.
https://electionmaps.uk/nowcast
And maybe Biden, or someone in his team, just wants to clear the deck of unhelpful loose ends, before the election?
(If SKS is sympathetic to Assange, then that's a black mark against SKS...)
Also five years 'time served' is not nothing.
The deterrent effect is preserved fir all but the most determined leakers - who would be unlikely to be further deterred anyway, were Assange to have gone to trial.
Cricket just works over radio; football doesn't.
Sadly.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/06/25/julian-assange-latest-wikileaks-uk-plea-deal/
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw00029vv9yo
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1805791410018193414
Possibly a false DMCA takedown.
That ballot paper is ludicrous.
If he'd been extradited to a US court on all the charges he faced he'd have got something ludicrous like 300 years and spent the rest of his life in a very horrible US prison.
So it's not the worst all round compromise.
I'm not an Assange fan either, but time to forget him and move on.
Also, as a convicted felon, he's barred from re-entering the US.
Only those bought and sold for Ruusian gold, and we know who they are, are prepared to throw Putin a bone. Your puny propaganda efforts cut no ice here.
p.s. Good morning all
Hilariously, had he been extradited to Sweden he would actually have been much safer from the US. Although he would almost certainly have been locked up for those rapes he committed, of course.
https://apnews.com/article/australia-assange-motion-extradition-appeal-1b1d1a22501706f9df08cc8ed0da7c52
The Biden administration generally tries to accommodate allies where they reasonably can.
Russia now has a much more western-like economy. Just six percent of people work in agriculture, and all those high-tech stronky weapons Russia brags about need large numbers of highly-skilled people to produce. A T90=M is not a T-34.
Russia may not run out of men; but it will critically damage its economy and further deepen its population crisis in the process. Especially as it only seems to advance by using human meat-wave attacks. And that's another point: if Russia loses six people for every one Ukraine loses, then Russia is shafted.
The Conservatives are fighting a highly-defensive general election campaign, with Rishi Sunak visiting areas his party has won comfortably in the past, BBC analysis shows.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crggg30ngnyo
Seems a surprising few visits to places from all leaders. I supposed D-Day, G7 etc has got in the way, but basically only 1 per day.
The plan is clear out house and garden, but it'll take the year. Making progress, however.