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Wakefield is an absolute must-win for both SKS and BOJO – politicalbetting.com
Wakefield is an absolute must-win for both SKS and BOJO – politicalbetting.com
Today is the first day back at work for MPs after the Easter vacation and one of the things that might come up is moving the writ for the Wakefield by-election. What we know is that Boris Johnson’s government tends to move these pretty quickly after the vacancy occurs.
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That being said... I don't think this is about whether Labour wins (they will), but by how much.
A small win, say 45-40, and the Conservatives breath a sigh of relief. It's a by-election, cost of living crisis... Not the end of the world.
On the other hand, if it's 60-35, then that looks a little different. A big defeat like that, and Conservative Maps start wondering if Boris has lost a little of his magic.
Wordle 304 3/6
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Perhaps I should join Mensa.
Lots of pressure on LAB. Only 4% swing. Easy peasy for LAB surely? We all know how well LAB do well in by elections...
NEXTA
@nexta_tv
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2h
#Russia prepares lawsuits to recover its international reserves.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1516318310786383874
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Central Banker? Go fuck yourself!
Oh what they'd give for a 2.9% swing against now...
I was somewhat amused to discover that the etymology of the verb meaning seems to be from old high German ‘hrotger’ which was a kind of spear!
As a teaser it is hopeless because it makes you think really - is that all there is to Mensa...
Likewise I would say 50% is a reasonable benchmark for Labour as they got 49.7% in 2017. The question is whether the Tories can get 40%+ or collapse as low as 35%.
Personal data, rather than test data.
What's in the news may be important. More Partygate revelations could blow a Moskva-sized hole in all the "it was just a slice of cake" apologias.
74 local authorities have restricted Plannign Apps - in some cases simly freezing a *lot* - because English Heritage have advised that there is a requirement to show that developments do not increase *nitrate* pollution.
Follows an ECJ ruling on a Dutch case from 2018. I have no idea what this has to do with UK housebuilding now. 60k houses delayed so far, it is estimated.
Summary here:
https://www.housingtoday.co.uk/news/huge-extension-to-nutrient-neutrality-rules-threatens-thousands-of-new-homes/5116567.article
English Nature have sent out a 25 page advisory letter, including 13 Appendices.
https://www.chichester.gov.uk/media/36219/Position-statement-on-Water-Neutrality-Sept-21-2021/pdf/Position_statement_on_Water_Neutrality_Sept_21_2021.pdf
Local Planning Authorities seem to have their heads spinning. Affected areas:
I avoid the data collection sites, mainly because I can't be bothered. It would have been better to have given you the test without it, make you look brilliant and then give you the option to enter your data and pay for a proper test.
3 blasts in Shi'ite neighborhood of Dasht-e-Barchi of Kabul, Afghanistan this morning. First blast targeted a private education center & two others target Abdurahim Shahid High School. Initial reports suggest over 20 deaths. Developing.
https://twitter.com/Natsecjeff/status/1516330269128671235
Are we to afford any credence to the rumours that Ed Balls might be eyeing this by-election for a comeback bid?
It would be great to have him back – an absolute class act.
Wonderfully it appears above every tweet he poops out. This is his pinned tweet:
Why give it all up ?
I think they will win handsomely, over 15% majority.
ISIS, rogue elements, other warlords ?
https://oec.world/en/tradle/
The Tories do need to finish in the top two though.
I'd have thought building on agricultural fields would reduce nitrate pollution in most cases.
Is that the issue here? Tried googling around and didn't get a clear answer.
https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1516371581731315717
We left because the occupation was untenable. How we deal with a fundamentalist and repressive Taliban government is a hard question, but ignoring the country's fate is wrong.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/17/whoever-ends-up-in-elysee-palace-europeanism-is-already-on-the-way-out
The Greeks, of course, don't need to be told.
Will Scholz be more relenting than Merkel? A lot will hinge on how "communitaire" the Germans really are prepared to be.
tl;dr the policies? They fucked Afghan with it. And Iraq. They invaded, then lost the wars in Afghan and Iraq. Think Vietnam if you want a handy guide.
So on the assumption you don't want to re-invade, how else would you suggest we don't ignore the country's fate.
What a stupid decision by Macron.
1) Give the refugees money: Disasters Emergency Committee
Web: https://www.dec.org.uk/how-you-can-help
By phone: call 0370 60 60 900.
By post: make your donation payable to the DEC Ukraine Humanitarian Appeal, PO Box 999, London EC3A 3AA. The form is here: https://www.dec.org.uk/sites/default/files/GetInvolved/postal_donation_form.pdf
By paypal, card, bank transfer etc: see https://www.dec.org.uk/how-you-can-help
2) Give the refugees money: British Red Cross
Web: https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/ukraine-crisis-appeal
By phone: 0300 023 0820
By post: https://static.redcross.org.uk/-/media/BritishRedCross/Forms/Postal-donation-form-2021-May.ashx
By paypal, card, bank transfer etc: see https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/ukraine-crisis-appeal
3) Fight alongside them: Ukraine International Legion
Web: https://fightforua.org/
See also: https://kyivindependent.com/national/to-combat-russia-ukraine-invites-foreign-fighters-heres-how-to-apply/
See also: https://kyivindependent.com/national/want-to-help-ukraines-military-as-a-foreigner-heres-what-you-can-do/
People who have done it IRL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHrGd0BcLmA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6_Azyen5cE
4) Give the Ukranian Armed Forces money: Come Back Alive
Come Back Alive (Povertaysya Zhyvym) is a Kyiv-based charity working for the military in Ukraine. It provides defensive equipment (reconnaisance drones, body armor, thermal imagers, laptops, etc)
Web: https://www.comebackalive.in.ua/
By paypal, card, bank transfer etc: https://www.comebackalive.in.ua/donate
(I'll post this again tonight to catch the late-night crowd)
At least nominally. Probably the usual power grab behind it....
Vietnam is a crap comparison, and a whole different set of mistakes.
Sources of hydrogen
The major source of hydrogen is methane from natural gas. The conversion, steam reforming, is conducted with steam in a high-temperature and pressure tube inside a reformer with a nickel catalyst, separating the carbon and hydrogen atoms in the natural gas, yielding hydrogen gas and carbon dioxide waste. Other fossil fuel sources include coal, heavy fuel oil and naphtha. Green hydrogen is produced without fossil fuels or carbon dioxide waste from biomass, electrolysis of water and the thermochemical (solar or other heat source) splitting of water.[19][20][21]
https://twitter.com/lorenzo_tondo/status/1516153966639431690
more here
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2022/mar/21/fertiliser-prices-hit-new-highs-as-multiple-problems-affect-global-supplies
What is food aid going to do and how would it be delivered and to whom and by whom.
"Something Must Be Done" - right?
Explain the details pls.
Lead time is years of course simply because it's a big project.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10731251/Ex-Kremlin-official-Gazprombank-vice-president-dead-gun-hand.html
We tried, they didn't want our help. Plenty of other countries in the world that do.
The Red Cross are strictly neutral, always.
And, er, bombing them in Iraq aside that's what we are doing. It was @Nigelb who wanted not to ignore their fate and wants to send some KitKats over or something
Some things are quite sensitive to the amount of available nitrogen. Bluebells, for example, do well in nutrient poor areas.
Those bloody sneaky French. They've only gone and added us, their arch foe, to their Green travel list, moving us from Orange when no one was looking. Does our centuries-old enmity mean nothing any more?