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Some of the CON seats that could fall on a 10% swing to the LDs – politicalbetting.com

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  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884

    Which seat would he run in? Hartlepool?
    My hypothesis. Frost triggers Johnson's downfall and jointly pitches with Truss as PM and Frost as FM from the Lords. Both are very popular with members.
  • I didn't dox Leon
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516
    Leon said:

    I read that Sunak is a teetotaller


    No. Just NO

    A man who doesn't get lots of boos?

    Sounds like an improvement...
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915
    edited December 2021

    The only crisis is the failure in Downing Street.

    Let Covid rip. It doesn't matter.
    If it were done when ’tis done, then ’twere well / It were done quickly...?

    [Both Boris and Omicron]
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    SUNDAY TIMES: Crisis deepens for PM as key Brexit ally quits #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1472328432864444417/photo/1
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624

    Does @Leon think we're stupid or what

    Nope but he is trying to ensure no one finds out about his postings on here and screws up his ‘flint-knapping’ travels etc, where is is dogged persistently by some random called Sean Thomas Knox, an author of strongly selling airport literature.
  • https://twitter.com/edwardmalnick/status/1472328422475108360

    Is there anyone Johnson hasn't lied to, except Philip
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732

    Bryonic, eadric, LadyG and now Leon. Have I missed any? 😉
    The original SeanT - so that’s 5.
  • kjh said:

    Maybe he changed his name.
    Unlike the coward Thomas I’ve posted under my real name since this daft blog started in 2004. Having witnessed Sean’s tragic career, I can quite understand why he doesn’t want to be associated with his record of shame.
  • Bryonic, eadric, LadyG and now Leon. Have I missed any? 😉
    To be fair, each one of those iterations had far more humanity in them than you, Robot Boy.
  • Unlike the coward Thomas I’ve posted under my real name since this daft blog started in 2004. Having witnessed Sean’s tragic career, I can quite understand why he doesn’t want to be associated with his record of shame.
    Can you give us hints of this "Sean's" work?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516

    Bryonic, eadric, LadyG and now Leon. Have I missed any? 😉
    Fitz. But he only lasted a few posts.
  • ASoprano said:

    To be fair, each one of those iterations had far more humanity in them than you, Robot Boy.
    Love a bit of PB on PB
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    So farewell, Lord Frost You did a lot of damage in a very short time. Your timing is as opportunistic as ever (E.J Thribb) #BrexitReality
    https://twitter.com/lionelbarber/status/1472296623669657614
  • Different perspective on Lord Frost:

    Lord Frost is one of the most disciplined, focussed, and strategic individuals I have ever met. A formidable brain but also a leader who, with Oliver Lewis, brought together talented officials to deliver the impossible. He has nerves of steel and somehow gave us faith to wait

    https://twitter.com/nmdacosta/status/1472305518874087430?s=20
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    edited December 2021

    That's Liz Remainer Truss?
    Why shouldn't David Remainer Frost join up with Liz Remainer Truss?

    To the point, both claim to be heirs to Thatcher.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    eek said:

    The original SeanT - so that’s 5.
    I am not any of these people, and yet, weirdly, I did once meet LadyG and Stuart Dickson, in a "dwarf and horse sauna" in Jakarta. Anyone who has been there will know what I mean

    I was there to sell my flints, is my excuse
  • Scott_xP said:
    Lord Frost ' Brexit is now secure'
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516

    Different perspective on Lord Frost:

    Lord Frost is one of the most disciplined, focussed, and strategic individuals I have ever met. A formidable brain but also a leader who, with Oliver Lewis, brought together talented officials to deliver the impossible. He has nerves of steel and somehow gave us faith to wait

    https://twitter.com/nmdacosta/status/1472305518874087430?s=20

    What are they smoking and where do I get it?
  • I'm not doxing Leon, I'm just fed up of him being rude to me and others and being genuinely nasty, he treats us all like idiots with this rubbish where he essentially rubs it in our faces how he isn't somebody else. If he stopped doing it, I'd stop responding
  • Leon said:

    I read that Sunak is a teetotaller


    No. Just NO

    I'm a teetotaller
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509

    Unlike the coward Thomas I’ve posted under my real name since this daft blog started in 2004. Having witnessed Sean’s tragic career, I can quite understand why he doesn’t want to be associated with his record of shame.
    I know you have Stuart. I was winding Sean up.
  • Leon said:

    I am not any of these people, and yet, weirdly, I did once meet LadyG and Stuart Dickson, in a "dwarf and horse sauna" in Jakarta. Anyone who has been there will know what I mean

    I was there to sell my flints, is my excuse
    And there you go again, you must think we're all morons
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624
    ydoethur said:

    Fitz. But he only lasted a few posts.
    Must have missed that one. Loved eadric, a name I also encountered at the York dungeons, as an Anglo-Saxon character.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173

    I'm not doxing Leon, I'm just fed up of him being rude to me and others and being genuinely nasty, he treats us all like idiots with this rubbish where he essentially rubs it in our faces how he isn't somebody else. If he stopped doing it, I'd stop responding

    Love a bit of PB on PB
    Pot, kettle, etc...
  • eek said:

    The original SeanT - so that’s 5.
    How many angels can dance on a pinhead? (I'll take off my tinfoil helmet and let you know!)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,816
    Fwiw hear this was more the problem than #brexit retreat on NI Protocol

    Last three months Johnson has been taking harder line internally than Frost, I hear.


    https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1472329778959114242
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,936
    Is this story about the Chief Whip true?

    Different perspective on Lord Frost:

    Lord Frost is one of the most disciplined, focussed, and strategic individuals I have ever met. A formidable brain but also a leader who, with Oliver Lewis, brought together talented officials to deliver the impossible. He has nerves of steel and somehow gave us faith to wait

    https://twitter.com/nmdacosta/status/1472305518874087430?s=20

    Can make you come with the merest glance...
    Nauseous.
  • pigeon said:

    Pot, kettle, etc...
    I am bantering, Leon is genuinely nasty to people
  • Carnyx said:

    Not hard. She was IIRC keen in fracking (funded by a fracking firm?) which is never a good idea for a MP in the Coal Measures of the Midland Valley. I really did wonder about her mental acuity. But that didn't for some reason attract much attention more generally as a likely factor in her ouster.

    https://www.glasgowworld.com/news/politics/east-dunbartonshire-mp-jo-swinson-in-fracking-row-2034446
    To be fair, I think she was a victim of the SNP winning back pro-indy 2017 VI SLAB voters, who got caught up in Corbynmania at the time. 2019 was SLAB's worst ever result in the constituency.
    That, she and pretty much discouraged unionist SLAB and SCON voters from supporting her because she made clear she wouldn't support either Boris or the Absolute Boy as PM.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,593

    I'm a teetotaller
    You are Rishi Sunak and I claim my £5!
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    TimS said:

    Looks to me like he’s broken a law there and will probably be arrested.
    I assume that’s what he wants
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    I'm not doxing Leon, I'm just fed up of him being rude to me and others and being genuinely nasty, he treats us all like idiots with this rubbish where he essentially rubs it in our faces how he isn't somebody else. If he stopped doing it, I'd stop responding

    Could you point me to the bit where I was rude to you? Recently?

    Seriously. I am aware you have mental health issues and I am genuinely careful not to be nasty to you for that reason. This is not sarcastic

    I don't mind a bit of PB knockabout - obvs, I dish it out often enough - but there are vulnerable people on here and I do my best not to include them in the *banter*

    That said, if you persist in insulting people they will eventually return fire
  • ASoprano said:

    To be fair, each one of those iterations had far more humanity in them than you, Robot Boy.
    You're a weird, creepy stalker that's in your few posts already referenced me repeatedly when I wasn't even online.

    Clearly I'm living rent free in your head already so no more needs to be said.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976

    Likewise

    I have Crohns, was not even a Severely Clinically Vulnerable illness.

    Not remotely a reason to lock yourself away for any covid reason.
    To be fair, some of the potential courses of treatment are more immune suppressing than others, but that does sound like a severe overreaction nonetheless.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,593
    edited December 2021

    I am bantering, Leon is genuinely nasty to people
    I banter.
    You insult.
    He is genuinely nasty.

    Edit. Beaten to it by @ydoethur
  • You're a weird, creepy stalker that's in your few posts already referenced me repeatedly when I wasn't even online.

    Clearly I'm living rent free in your head already so no more needs to be said.
    Philip you never leave this website, like me! :)
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    EXC - big row in a Tory Whatsapp “Clean Global Brexit” group with over 100 MPs

    It leads leads to removal of Nadine Dorries after she defending the PM … and then Steve Baker declaring “enough is enough”

    Exchanges here:
    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472331053775958016/photo/1
  • You're a weird, creepy stalker that's in your few posts already referenced me repeatedly when I wasn't even online.

    Clearly I'm living rent free in your head already so no more needs to be said.
    I pay my rent to Mr Scrooge weekly. He's a benevolent fella who knows the price of everythin.

    A bit tubby though.
  • What is it they say about divided parties and losing elections?

    Echos of the early 2000s
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173

    I am bantering, Leon is genuinely nasty to people
    Leon's silly fake identities = treating me like an idiot

    Of Philip: "To be fair, each one of those iterations had far more humanity in them than you, Robot Boy." = banter, how funny
  • Scott_xP said:

    EXC - big row in a Tory Whatsapp “Clean Global Brexit” group with over 100 MPs

    It leads leads to removal of Nadine Dorries after she defending the PM … and then Steve Baker declaring “enough is enough”

    Exchanges here:
    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472331053775958016/photo/1

    These exchanges clearly show that the Tory Party is never going to deliver what the Red Wall thinks it voted for
  • pigeon said:

    Leon's silly fake identities = treating me like an idiot

    Of Philip: "To be fair, each one of those iterations had far more humanity in them than you, Robot Boy." = banter, how funny
    I didn't say my banter was any good
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,188

    Denmark of course is already really bad, as is Holland. France its well seeded. Even if it isn't widespread in Germany, their neighbours have it already.
    I can't see a way that it isn't all over Germany. Neighbouring countries, travel etc.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Scott_xP said:

    EXC - big row in a Tory Whatsapp “Clean Global Brexit” group with over 100 MPs

    It leads leads to removal of Nadine Dorries after she defending the PM … and then Steve Baker declaring “enough is enough”

    Exchanges here:
    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472331053775958016/photo/1

    That's superb
  • I can't see a way that it isn't all over Germany. Neighbouring countries, travel etc.
    I am sure it is.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732
    Scott_xP said:

    EXC - big row in a Tory Whatsapp “Clean Global Brexit” group with over 100 MPs

    It leads leads to removal of Nadine Dorries after she defending the PM … and then Steve Baker declaring “enough is enough”

    Exchanges here:
    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472331053775958016/photo/1

    It leads to Steve baker removing Nadine, worth stating that fact as it highlights 1 core split.
  • kyf_100 said:

    Could we please not dox anyone?

    Would you be happy with your boss knowing your posting history, especially if your boss had very different political opinions to you? What about going for a job interview at a new place where your potential employer knows your post history would mean you wouldn't be a good cultural fit... Or if you worked at a place with a strict social media policy some of your opinions might breach if they could be attributed to you... (I'm none of these things, but have worked in such places).
    Sure, no worries - perhaps Leon should stop bringing it up, then and putting it in our faces
  • I'm a teetotaller
    Seriously doubt that Leon would fancy OGH for PM.

    For other reasons, but teetotallism would surely NOT be a plus.

    Though we do NOT know Smithsonian views (or habits) re: Ayahuasca and other psychedelic substances?
  • To be fair, I think she was a victim of the SNP winning back pro-indy 2017 VI SLAB voters, who got caught up in Corbynmania at the time. 2019 was SLAB's worst ever result in the constituency.
    That, she and pretty much discouraged unionist SLAB and SCON voters from supporting her because she made clear she wouldn't support either Boris or the Absolute Boy as PM.
    She spent the year prior to polling day going out of her way to piss off SCon and SLab supporters. Unsurprising that they felt disinclined to lend her tactical votes, with many SLab sympathisers instead voting SNP as punishment for her role in the Con/LD coalition.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    I can't see a way that it isn't all over Germany. Neighbouring countries, travel etc.
    Kamski reckoned Germany was 2 weeks behind the UK, Omicron-wise, maybe less


    I reckon "maybe less" is probably right. Everywhere in western Europe is maybe ten days behind the UK at best

    It is far too infectious for it not to be lurking already in the data, ready to explode. Look at the record numbers in NY State today, that's Omicron. Ditto Ireland
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited December 2021

    I didn't say my banter was any good
    Your banter? So you're ASoprano?

    I did suspect as much. Not sure why you're bothering with multiple identities when you don't even use your real name.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    We’ve reached a tipping point we’ve been building to for some time- with Brexiter opinion dissatisfied that the post Brexit economic model PM has gone for isn’t the one they imagined. For them Brexit was supposed to be an apotheosis of Thatcherism, not its reversal.

    But that view hasn’t dealt with two points a) that of course it was in part bound to be a reversal of Thatcherism, in that it was withdrawing from a large single market b) Brexit was achieved with a certain political geography/demography to which Thatcherism+ would not appeal.


    https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1472332044382396417
  • I am sure it is.
    What's your prediction Franny?
  • Your banter? So your ASoprano?

    I did suspect as much. Not sure why you're bothering with multiple identities when you don't even use your real name.
    No you prat, this was referring to my comment:

    Leon's silly fake identities = treating me like an idiot

    Learn to read rather than picking up fag ends
  • Leon said:

    Kamski reckoned Germany was 2 weeks behind the UK, Omicron-wise, maybe less


    I reckon "maybe less" is probably right. Everywhere in western Europe is maybe ten days behind the UK at best

    It is far too infectious for it not to be lurking already in the data, ready to explode. Look at the record numbers in NY State today, that's Omicron. Ditto Ireland
    The Netherlands and a few others are ahead of us, not behind. But the EU nations aren't closing their borders to the Netherlands, funny that.
  • The right of the party, which has always regarded Johnson's Brexit credentials with some wariness, hoped that Frost could keep the Prime Minister on the straight and narrow in the battle to renegotiate the Northern Ireland Protocol and cast off the shackles of the European Court of Justice. That Frost, a lifelong diplomat well-trained in the Brussels jungle, feels he could no longer serve in such a Cabinet, will only to the suspicion and apprehension with which some in the European Research Group now view him. Brexit hardman's Steve Baker response has been to retweet praise of Frost and add that 'I have I think the same complaints.' Ominous stuff for Johnson, given Baker's track record in effective backbench whipping operations.

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/tories-split-on-lord-frost-s-exit
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Just been sent the WhatsApp exchange by someone else which includes a bit missing from earlier exchange

    Here’s Conor Burns also defending the PM and Dorries - which prompted the Baker response


    Also Baker emoji action https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472333400103133184/photo/1
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,466
    edited December 2021
    Could Frosts resignation be part of an organised plot?

    Perhaps Boris has made it clear he isn't going anywhere.
  • Charles said:

    I assume that’s what he wants
    BTW great new avatar.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Steve Baker pointing out some inconvenient truths there.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,164
    The 'Clean Global Brexit' group chat seems totally devoid of craic
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    The Brexiteers want their pound of flesh...

    Interesting retweet. Frost spent a lot of time tickling ERG tummies…if @BorisJohnson feels need to compensate for Frost walking (given all else gone to sh*t) a reflex defensive tack back towards #brexit purity may follow. Gawd. https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1472333516448882695/photo/1

    Andrew Bridgen: "I think the resignation of Lord Frost for many (Tory MPs) will be a watershed moment."

    Says Boris Johnson's choice is "to change or to go."


    @TimesRadio @kaitborsay
    https://twitter.com/ProducerOllie/status/1472332220941705223
  • Seems a bit similar on here tonight as the Tory Whatsapp group.....
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516

    Could Frosts resignation be part of an organised plot?

    Perhaps Boris has made it clear he isn't going anywhere.

    No.

    As if Frost could organise anything...
  • Your banter? So your ASoprano?

    I did suspect as much. Not sure why you're bothering with multiple identities when you don't even use your real name.
    Phil what does your better half make of you spending most of your life righting the wrongs of the world on a betting forum? Misallocation of resources surely for such a talented individual?

    Or is it more likely that you're just the modern day version of the mediocre pub bore, that smells a bit of wee and bores everyone to tears?
  • ydoethur said:

    No.

    As if Frost could organise anything...
    I thought the small print of the Telegraoh front page was interesting, clearly lots of briefings from.some cabinet ministers about others.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Frost's resignation aimed at getting rid of the PM, says @PaulGoodmanCH https://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2021/12/et-tu-frostie.html
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Brexit really is our English Civil War, all over again (complete with attendant plagues and religious frenzies)

    In that light, we can probably expect - after prolonged agonies - some kind of Restoration of British EU Membership, but much altered, with the Divine Right of the ECJ and the European Commission gone forever from these island shores.

    This would be an equable solution
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,164
    Big fan of my new avatar. Thanks Steve.
  • Scott_xP said:

    Frost's resignation aimed at getting rid of the PM, says @PaulGoodmanCH https://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2021/12/et-tu-frostie.html

    So it wasn't just me thinking that then.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Fury at the leaked WhatsApps begin

    One Tory says:

    Proof that baker for all his BS claims of loyalty is after the PM’s job and won’t tolerate people defending him. ..

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472335043586572292
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    The Netherlands and a few others are ahead of us, not behind. But the EU nations aren't closing their borders to the Netherlands, funny that.
    According to Twitter, Belgium is also a couple of days from lockdown
  • Cyclefree said:

    Well, place is now full. People are bopping, it is FUCKING awesome!
    You go Cyclefree!
  • Fury at the leaked WhatsApps begin

    One Tory says:

    Proof that baker for all his BS claims of loyalty is after the PM’s job and won’t tolerate people defending him. ..


    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472335043586572292?s=20
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Frost’s departure is significant. He was one of the last of Johnson’s original circle to go into No10 with him, along with Dom Cummings, Oliver Lewis, Eddie Lister, Cleo Watson and Lee Cain. All have now walked/been fired. The Johnson tribe no longer exists.
    https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1472335368733302788
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Departing for a moment from the apparently imminent collapse of the Government, hurrah for Jurgen Klopp!

    Liverpool are rarities, with vaccine take-up at 100% and where boosters are encouraged as soon as everyone is eligible. It is an oversimplification to say it gives them complete protection from call-offs as Virgil van Dijk, Curtis Jones and Fabinho missed Thursday’s win over Newcastle after recording positive lateral flow tests. But whereas anti-vaxxers elsewhere are apparently being held partly responsible for postponements, Liverpool are due to face Tottenham on Sunday. It is why Klopp wants potential teammates for Roberto Firmino, Sadio Mané and Salah to trust in Pfizer, Moderna and AstraZeneca.

    “If a player is not vaccinated at all, he is a constant threat for all of us,” Klopp said. “He doesn’t want to be a threat. It is not that he thinks: ‘I don’t care about the others.’ But he is [a threat] and we have to find different scenarios. He has to change in a different dressing room, he has to eat in a different dining room, he has to sit in a different bus, he has to drive in a different car: from an organisational point of view, it gets really messy.”


    https://www.theguardian.com/football/2021/dec/18/covid-chaos-leads-jurgen-klopp-demand-action-anti-vaxx-players-liverpool
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Fascinating from the supremely well-informed Paul Goodman: “it is impossible to read such a full spectrum attack on Boris Johnson’s record as anything other than co-operation at least with attempts to bring him down.” https://twitter.com/paulgoodmanch/status/1472308591671619591
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,466
    edited December 2021
    pigeon said:

    Departing for a moment from the apparently imminent collapse of the Government, hurrah for Jurgen Klopp!

    Liverpool are rarities, with vaccine take-up at 100% and where boosters are encouraged as soon as everyone is eligible. It is an oversimplification to say it gives them complete protection from call-offs as Virgil van Dijk, Curtis Jones and Fabinho missed Thursday’s win over Newcastle after recording positive lateral flow tests. But whereas anti-vaxxers elsewhere are apparently being held partly responsible for postponements, Liverpool are due to face Tottenham on Sunday. It is why Klopp wants potential teammates for Roberto Firmino, Sadio Mané and Salah to trust in Pfizer, Moderna and AstraZeneca.

    “If a player is not vaccinated at all, he is a constant threat for all of us,” Klopp said. “He doesn’t want to be a threat. It is not that he thinks: ‘I don’t care about the others.’ But he is [a threat] and we have to find different scenarios. He has to change in a different dressing room, he has to eat in a different dining room, he has to sit in a different bus, he has to drive in a different car: from an organisational point of view, it gets really messy.”


    https://www.theguardian.com/football/2021/dec/18/covid-chaos-leads-jurgen-klopp-demand-action-anti-vaxx-players-liverpool

    I believe dirty leeds, wolves and liverpool are basically fully vaxxed. The rest not.so much.

    Newcastle are the ones that get me, two of their first team have ended up in a bad way and yet they have incredibly low vaccination rate. If I was Karl Darlow I would be fuming that my team mates wouldn't get it after i ended up in hospital.
  • Nadine can't even spell her last name lol
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,099
    Scott_xP said:

    EXC - big row in a Tory Whatsapp “Clean Global Brexit” group with over 100 MPs

    It leads leads to removal of Nadine Dorries after she defending the PM … and then Steve Baker declaring “enough is enough”

    Exchanges here:
    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1472331053775958016/photo/1

    Odd that after several critical posts, Dorries sticks up for the clown and that alone is sufficient for Baker to banish her.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Leon said:

    Brexit really is our English Civil War, all over again (complete with attendant plagues and religious frenzies)

    In that light, we can probably expect - after prolonged agonies - some kind of Restoration of British EU Membership, but much altered, with the Divine Right of the ECJ and the European Commission gone forever from these island shores.

    This would be an equable solution

    One of things that happened in the aftermath of the civil war was banning Christmas. Maybe Johnson is really Cromwell?
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    Leon said:

    Brexit really is our English Civil War, all over again (complete with attendant plagues and religious frenzies)

    In that light, we can probably expect - after prolonged agonies - some kind of Restoration of British EU Membership, but much altered, with the Divine Right of the ECJ and the European Commission gone forever from these island shores.

    This would be an equable solution

    No, that would be like the Restoration requiring the monarch to be a figurehead from the get-go. That was not possible because no-one could figure out how to create an executive that could work with Parliamentary supremacy. It took sixty years for a viable solution to that to emerge.

    What will actually happen is much more mundane: a return to the EEA/CU after the next election (which may come sooner than we think if the Tory party does split in the next few months) and then 5-10 years after that a realization that it’s better to be one of the rule makers than a passive rule taker and a full rejoin, including Schengen and the Euro.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,188
    kyf_100 said:

    Could we please not dox anyone?

    Would you be happy with your boss knowing your posting history, especially if your boss had very different political opinions to you? What about going for a job interview at a new place where your potential employer knows your post history would mean you wouldn't be a good cultural fit... Or if you worked at a place with a strict social media policy some of your opinions might breach if they could be attributed to you... (I'm none of these things, but have worked in such places).
    Indeed. Did we gain much by finding out the reality of Farmer Tupac? Or would we enjoy it more if he was still here?
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012

    I am sure it is.
    Yes of course it is. But strange that the Robert Koch Inst supports this policy.

  • Observer saying that conservative mps will not move against Boris due to the covid crisis and will wait for the May elections

    Not sure how long that will hold
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,955

    One of things that happened in the aftermath of the civil war was banning Christmas. Maybe Johnson is really Cromwell?
    I'm seeing it more as the inevitability that all revolutions devour their own children. Boris is Robespierre and the chopping block awaits.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,395
    edited December 2021
    Leon said:

    Kamski reckoned Germany was 2 weeks behind the UK, Omicron-wise, maybe less


    I reckon "maybe less" is probably right. Everywhere in western Europe is maybe ten days behind the UK at best

    It is far too infectious for it not to be lurking already in the data, ready to explode. Look at the record numbers in NY State today, that's Omicron. Ditto Ireland
    Given they are running testing at 16% of the UK level and of those tests sequencing 12% of the positive outcomes, relative to the UK, (i.e. 2% of the UK rate) how the fiddle do they think they have the remotest idea how much Omnicron they already have?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    edited December 2021

    Nadine can't even spell her last name lol

    Deleted
  • Leon said:

    Brexit really is our English Civil War, all over again (complete with attendant plagues and religious frenzies)

    In that light, we can probably expect - after prolonged agonies - some kind of Restoration of British EU Membership, but much altered, with the Divine Right of the ECJ and the European Commission gone forever from these island shores.

    This would be an equable solution

    How far through the Commonwealth do you reckon we are?

    And if Johnson is our Oliver Cromwell (by status if not temperament), who will be our Tumbledown Dick?
  • The Conservative Party imploding over Europe during a national public health crisis is the popcorn moment we've all be waiting for.
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