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Another post-BoJo quarantine U-turn poll sees CON below 40% and LAB within 4% – politicalbetting.com

Over the seventeen years since PB was established, we have had many polling shocks and the general approach when one firm reports what appears to be a shift is to state that we ought to wait to see if other firms find a similar picture.
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Where are these empty shelves?!
Don't take the piss with the voters is the message.
They love him for it.
WILD PREDICTION - voters will soon forget Boris's tin-eared not-gonna-isolate idiocy, and the Tory lead will expand again, because the fundamentals have not changed. Labour have a boring leader with no policies, the Tories are doling out money.
It will take more than one fuck up to shift the mood decisively, we've seen that from other fuck ups.
If lockdown is brought back, and Freedom Day is seen as an error, that could easily do it
If the cases numbers head the way they are then he's going to get a boost for opening on July 19th against all the naysayers.
Must annoy you that Scotland was the only place in the UK that saw Labour's vote share go up in 2010.
This is the most politically difficult time of the whole pandemic. The government can do little more on vaccines, and now need to carefully navigate the balance between economic damage and public health. They’re probably a week or two ahead of the people in this regard, but if Europe and the US have to start re-introducing restrictions as UK case numbers drop, then we’ll be back to 10 point leads.
At some point, the opposition are going to have to say what they’re for, rather than simply what they’re against. Last time the government fell, in 2019, the same party picked up and pushed forward under a new leader. Who’s to say that can’t happen again?
You have a very bizarre concept of what “annoys” people. Psychological projection.
And it worked.
I can easily imagine the government patting themselves on the back about that and thinking they'd discovered an easy get out of any inconvenience.
But like a clever dick penalty the risk of disaster is always there.
So while the government thought it was doing a Panenka instead it was a Lineker:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2-Nkc8-Kig
England 529 seats
Scotland 59 seats.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/majority-of-scottish-born-voters-said-yes-z7v2mmhc8nt
I've gotten to know very well people who worked for both the Tories and Labour from that era, they reckon the result would have lost Blair's majority, and he'd have had an impossible result.
Either the Tories as the largest party, or the Tories win the popular vote quite easily, but the possibility of a Lab/LD/Rainbow Alliance which most of the rainbow alliance would avoid on democratic grounds in the way John Reid and David Blunkett and others told Labour to avoid.
So we'd have had a Labour minority government at worse, when the credit crunch happened, then it might be 1931 all over again.
This guy, a professional, er, mapmaker - but also "Convener of the Scottish Currency Group", has handily sketched out how the new Scottish pound will be established, and how the move from sterling will work. It includes gems like this:
https://twitter.com/RideoutTim/status/1418627474175533059?s=20
"Your bank will contact you near the time and ask if you would like to re-mortgage into the S£, or take out new S£ credit cards and loans. The banks, Scottish Government and the Scottish Reserve Bank will run an information campaign."
So that's a doddle then. As someone on Twitter points out, there are 900,000 Scottish mortgage holders who need to be "contacted" and given advice on "remortgaging into the S£."
That's quite a long chat. Say two hours per mortgage?
900,000 x 2 hours is 1.8m hours which is 200 years, add in working hours and holidays it's more like 800-1000 years. If the banks get it together and have 100 dedicated teams working flat out on just this, day in day out, they could easily get in done in eight decades
Civic and joyous Scottish Nationalism is just rubbish.
They also reveal that Scotland did not decide to stay because of Unionist promises of extra powers, as claimed by Alex Salmond, the former first minister. The majority of voters who backed the No campaign did so because they felt British, because too many of their questions went unanswered and because they believed that independence would leave Scotland worse off economically.
The research demonstrates that “yes” voters — who cite the “Vow” and a bias in the press as the reasons they lost the vote — fundamentally misunderstand the motivations of those on the other side of the debate.
The only other ingredients are pasta, egg yolks, pecorino cheese (not parmesan), black pepper and a pinch of salt in the pasta water.
Definitely no cream.
Ingredients for this recipe for 4 costs about six quid at Waitrose
https://www.eatalianwithroberto.com/real-carbonara-recipe/
Yes 45%
Edit and oh, by the way, we don't have a Scottish reserve bank. Or any reserves to put in it.
Either way the SNP can't be happy about it. No doubt they are having a stern word with him now, if not they should be. Makes them look utterly clownish
Symptoms were very mild, thanks to amazing vaccines.
Please - if you haven’t yet - get your jab, as we learn to live with, rather than cower from, this virus.
https://twitter.com/sajidjavid/status/1418932718847541248?s=20
Remember most mortgages nowadays have been sold as a securtised asset to a pension fund or other investment fund
https://www.scotsman.com/news/opinion/columnists/scottish-independence-scots-living-in-rest-of-uk-should-be-allowed-to-vote-in-any-future-referendum-alastair-stewart-3288715
Curious.
Should those born in Scotland but living in England get a vote then?
"If I re-mortgage how does this work?
You are best to ask your bank to do this during the Exchange Period, the first two months or so. That will avoid you having any currency fees to pay or any risk from exchange rate changes."
"After you instruct your bank to arrange an S£ mortgage you will complete the standard process of selecting a mortgage (fixed term, tracker, etc), an updated valuation if required and the legal paperwork. On the date agreed with your bank they will release the S£ funds."
900,000 mortgages calmly switching over "in the first two months". "Or so".
Luckily this process will avoid "any risk from exchange rate changes"
Still not sure I'd like to live in one - tiny windows?! - but they are certainly not slums
If they don’t: no.
That’s how most nations on the planet work.
And a good point.
You've exposed your vileness.
Genuine question, I don't know how the line would be drawn.
If a referendum for independence were to be held in Scotland, who do Britons think would win?
The 'pro-UK' side: 32%
The 'pro-Independence' side: 24%
Don't know: 44%
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1418911675844079618?s=20
Labour lead?
Take Britain. My country
Unless you actively want to wreak violence on my country, out of some hatred, then if you live here permanently, you are British, and you are entitled to any lawful political opinion you care to hold. Even Scottish Nationalism.