At Batley and Spen Starmer’s LAB did something that the Tories haven’t managed since 2016… – politic
At Batley and Spen Starmer’s LAB did something that the Tories haven’t managed since 2016… – politicalbetting.com
In all the focus on Labour’s by-election performances, there has been much less attention to the Tories who have struggled whenever they’ve been defending a seat.
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A friend has 2 tickets in a corporate box for the England v Italy game on Sunday. He paid £3000 each, but he didn't realise when he bought them months ago that it was going to be the same day as his wedding! If you are interested, he is looking for someone to take his place...
It's at Leeds Registry Office, at 4pm. Her name is Sharon -- she's 5'4", about 8 stone, quite pretty, has her own income and is a really good cook!
overall vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease in risk groups is approximately 60% after one dose of either AstraZeneca or Pfizer-BioNTech, with little variation by age after 2 doses, vaccine effectiveness is 81% with AstraZeneca in people in risk groups aged 16 to 64. No data is available for Pfizer-BioNTech in people in risk groups aged 65 and over.
Vaccine effectiveness with Pfizer-BioNTech is 89% and 80% with AstraZeneca. For those who are immunosuppressed, vaccine effectiveness after a second dose is 74%, with similar protection to those who are not in a risk group. This rises from 4% after a first dose
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/covid-19-vaccines-highly-effective-in-clinical-risk-groups
A friend of mine, ages ago, managed to secure a ticket for the final at Wembley on Sunday. £300, including accommodation. However, the idiot has only just realised that this clashes with his wedding!
So, if anybody is interested in taking his place, could they let him know? It's at 4pm, Sunday, Burnley Registry Office. The bride's name is Brenda.
Edit - oh god, TSE beat me to it!
Scots MPs attacked over fees vote (27 January, 2004)
A political row has broken out over the role of Scottish Labour MPs whose votes proved crucial as the government won the vote on university top-up fees... the plans will not apply north of the border... The Tories' sole Scottish MP, Peter Duncan, abstained on Tuesday's vote. Mr Duncan said: "This is a dark day for British democracy, and the actions of Scottish MPs are reprehensible...
Scottish National Party MP Alex Salmond argued that Mr Duncan had "sat on his hands" and done nothing while Scottish interests were "put to the sword" by Scottish Labour MPs... "The needs of Scottish higher education required top-up fees to be voted down and Scottish Labour and Tory have sold Scotland out. For that, they will now face the wrath of the Scottish electorate."
See also Sunday Trading, fox hunting, and anything which might have Barnett consequentials.
That’s fairly elderly, Mr E; bit sexist, too, the bit about cooking!
Generally, the Tories have been better at pushing out MPs who try and hang around too long.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-lee-anderson-gets-slap-24501004
Don't think they were ever going to refuse his cash, just that they wanted to process it a different way, but he made enough of a fuss that I think they ended up just doing whatever was needed to get him in and out the place ASAP.
Indeed, since 2010, there have been 26 by-elections in Labour-held seats and only 9 by-elections in Conservative-held seats - despite their being more Conservative MPs than Labour MPs for all of that period. In the 9 by-elections the Tory record is 3 holds, 3 losses to Lib Dems, 2 losses to UKIP and 1 loss to Labour.
Imagine scaling up that by-election record in defences to the same rate of by-elections as in Labour-held seats, and it's easy to see how important this strategy of avoiding by-elections has been to avoiding a narrative of weakness and defeat from being built around the Conservatives.
Hell, it probably went around in 1966 too!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2v0D7HKYOJI
Is 'amusing' considering Rakuten sponsor Barca.
Barca really are up shit creek, they really cannot afford to lose a sponsor.
https://theathletic.co.uk/2689613/2021/07/06/explained-why-barcelona-cannot-register-their-new-signings-and-what-it-means-for-lionel-messi/
I remember when he was led out round the final corner by Wiggo in yellow with half the team still there. This time it could be the World Champion at the front of the train and another textbook execution. I hope.
He was a Labour party member, and also Gloria De Piero's office manager until quite recently.
I think if the Tories can keep winning General Elections they don't badly need anything from a by election. By elections if won by a governing party are realistically a bonus.
It's only insanely high expectations that lead people to expect governing party gains now.
And the SNP don't have to vote on all the other lines anyway.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/07/tories-investigate-three-candidates-over-alleged-antisemitism
https://www.thejc.com/news/uk/two-conservative-mps-receive-training-on-antisemitism-1.510437
https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/douglas-ross-and-the-war-on-scotlands-travellers/
"Anyone interested in a free ride in a helicopter for 4 people? I am looking for 2 more people to join us. We leave early next Saturday morning from Derry Airport and will fly to Galway Bay where we will have breakfast and then onto a yacht for lunch. We then do a flight along the coast to see the cliffs of Moher and then fly back to Derry.
If interested please let me know. Preferably someone with a helicopter and yacht, otherwise we can't go"
Oh sorry, not that sort of seat?
Shapovalov looks like he has the game to worry Novak but not quite the temperament. Keeps blowing the big points.
Wasn't Cheryl Gillan the first Tory MP to die in post for a long time?
We're talking about politicians here. Their principles can usually be bought. If the price of a second referendum and a large sack of cash is voting through Labour's bills then I'm sure they'll do it.
https://www.news.com.au/travel/people-just-dont-care-australians-stranded-overseas-come-to-terms-with-their-own-country-abandoning-them/news-story/a322777fbccf1ac9eb32f88a04844aa4
The women's final looks much more promising for a close contest, but I've already got somewhere else to go tomorrow so shall miss it, alas.
Does show, when you are bagging a lot of candidates quickly for a long list of suddenly in play seats, and you judge fealty over all other considerations, you can end up with absolute spanners. Same in any party - look at Claudia Webbe FFS.
The politics of the seat (which was next to Broxtowe and shared two wards with the borough) were always horrible - I knew Labour, LibDem and Tory councillors, and early in any conversation they would all rant about their colleagues and their opponents as if they really hated each other. Geoff Hoon was the unlikely previous MP - a smooth posh intellectual in a seat that in part makes Hartlepool look like Chelsea.
It’s a combination of MPs getting younger, retiring rather than staying in office into old age, and the huge swings seen in 1997, 2010, 2015 in Scotland, and to some extent 2019, that cleared out large numbers of MPs.
Must have been suprressing a chuckle typing that one. If only the Tories were as well placed as the Lib Dems, eh?
For the large part it worked.
Travelling communities do have a tendency to being crime and disorder with them and they're not a race. It's a cultural not a racial issue.
Not all do, but too many do. And if you've had crime and disorder linked to previous travelling sites appearing then it's only natural to be concerned when new ones do.
‘When are we going to get a longread on the social media radicalisation of FBPE people? It's very sad to watch’
‘ > often educated professionals
> 10k follows
> 11k followers
> Bio an alphabet soup of acronyms
> Can't watch the football because they think they live in a Hitlerite regime
They haven't quite got to paedo-deep-state conspiracy but the distinction with Qboomers isn't massive!’
https://twitter.com/eggrollshogun/status/1413129834356563972?s=21
He was gutted to lose people like Andrew Mackay.
Ultimately Dave realised you cannot talk about implementing austerity whilst your own MPs are taking the piss with expenses.
Sadly the reaction may be based on experience, even if it is stereotyping.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57781637
And growing evidence that the AZN issue is to do with user error.
AZN is slower acting and not quite as good as Pfizer / Moderna (but from link I posted down below not that far off), but the likes of South Africa totally stopped using it because of the "fake news" from Europe.
How many 1000s of extra deaths as quasi-effective Macron / Germany FT only 5% effective (or whatever horseshit number it was) caused?
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South Africa has administered at least one dose of Covid-19 vaccine to around 6% of its population and the percentage of the fully vaccinated population is just over 2%.
https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/devastating-south-africa-buckles-under-covid-19-wave-driven-by-delta-variant-101625837321458.html
Especially since it's a cultural issue not a racial one. You can't look at someone's skin colour and think that.
The Juventus defender was part of the Italy team that lost 4-0 in the final of Euro 2012 against Spain and will pick up his 109th cap on Sunday. He refused to concede that England had an advantage for the final even though they will be on home turf and a limited number of Italy supporters, including president Sergio Mattarella, are expected to be in attendance.
“We are looking forward to going to Wembley on Sunday, even though there will be a mostly English crowd,” Bonucci said. “Being there will be additional motivation for us – we want to achieve something historic and we will do everything we can to play a great match. We will play at their home but we are not afraid of that.”
Although being an MP for 50 years was also in sight for him.
NZ (as another example) also are very slow as a result to ditch the initial plans to use AZ in favour of Pfizer. Not as extreme reason as SA but that was also on the basis of a belief that it wasn’t quite as good as Pfizer, and they could “afford to wait” for the best.
"I see first reasonable poll has ALBA on 6 seats, watch that climb over next month. " - malcolmg, 4 April.
Best I can do with this search function: any advance on 6+?
'Numpty , I would expect about 12%-14% minimum , mainly SNP but some Labour as well.'
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3327078#Comment_3327078
And
They will get 6 seats with just under 6% and only 1 of those is SNP , so even at that it is a big benefit.
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/3327069#Comment_3327069
FYI when you put Alba in at 12% it was 13 seats for Alba in the seat predictors.