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With 98% of the votes counted the Dems looks set to gain both Georgia US Senate seats – politicalbet

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    Floater said:

    I have real life experience of a school who only tried to do things correctly when they knew OFSTED were coming.

    The very same school whose headmistress lost her temper with me for daring to complain to outside authorities.

    When I explained that I had been to the school several times and on my last visit had told her deputy in no uncertain terms what I would do if there was no improvement she did at least shut up for 5 seconds.

    But of course she then had to ensure that the child had no real support as that was her only way of getting back at the parents.

    A school where a whistleblower (concerned teacher) told us the school were fabricating notes to "prove" they had been doing something they hadn't

    So Forgive me if I can't give a fuck about noses being put out of joint
    Floater, I should point out that every time OFSTED has inspected me they've cited my teaching as Outstanding. So they like me.

    I know they're full of shit because those were some of my worst ever lessons. So either my worst is better than everyone else's awesomeness, or they are more clueless than an Iranian naval officer after the fifteenth pint of arak.

    I've no objection to, or fear of being inspected. But an OFSTED inspection is a worthless thing. Most of them have no clue what they're doing. Their own chief doesn't know what safeguarding is. That's the equivalent of a maths lecturer not knowing arithmetic.

    Heck, last time they inspected a school I was working in, their research was so poor it didn't even clock that one of the SLT had been caught downloading indecent images on the school's server.

    And it's unlikely they will understand what makes a good online lesson, given they're (A) thick and (B) don't know what they're doing. I've been teaching online one way and another for 15 years. An OFSTED inspector may know what a laptop is.

    So - why are they doing it? Answer - to make everyone think they're important.

    Which isn't really a good enough reason.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594

    Ossoff sounds like an insult.

    'You bloody Ossoff'.
    Hes a 33 year old wunderkind. Buttegieg better watch out, he'll have a rival in the 2064 primaries.
  • JACK_W said:

    CNN - Ossoff lead widens to 17K.

    Winchester 1997.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Er? Devolved already, surely?

    It certainly allows Mr J to claim brownie points I suppose.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552
    eristdoof said:

    You mean NerysHughes is not the actress in the Liver Birds? I'd never have guessed.
    Also, hopefully not the inspiration for Half Man, Half Biscuit's "I hate Nerys Hughes (from the heart)"....
  • Ossoff sounds like an insult.

    'You bloody Ossoff'.
    If yer no careful am gonnae gie you a right Loeffler in the Warnocks
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    Carnyx said:

    I see also that HYUFD is being let off leafleting when it comes to local elections - as is the blood pressure of residents when strangers comes up othe garden path with leaflets.

    https://order-order.com/2021/01/06/cchq-ban-activists-from-campaigning-in-local-elections/
    Only while lockdown is in force, once we are back to Tier 2 or 3 you can leaflet again
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    HYUFD said:

    Only while lockdown is in force, once we are back to Tier 2 or 3 you can leaflet again
    Optimist!
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    Pro_Rata said:
    Sad news, but I am more into heritage diesels anyway.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    Carnyx said:

    Now that is very useful - thanks.

    I checked -

    “Of course, the underlying structure of everything in England is posh. There is no in-between with these people. You have to walk a mile to find a telephone booth, but when you find it, it is built as if the senseless dynamiting of pay phones had been a serious problem at some time in the past. And a British mailbox can presumably stop a German tank. None of them have cars, but when they do, they are three-ton hand-built beasts. The concept of stamping out a whole lot of cars is unthinkable—there are certain procedures that have to be followed, Mr. Ford, such as the hand-brazing of radiators, the traditional whittling of the tyres from solid blocks of cahoutchouc.”
    ― Neal Stephenson, Cryptonomicon

    Very odd as they are mostly cast iron - not a good material as it splinters surely. Better with rubber or frangible composition.
    He is very good at hyperbole, that Mr Stephenson.

    "Not so much a gravy boat as a gravy heavy cruiser"
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    IanB2 said:

    You should take it as a compliment. Even Sean has to run his own parody accounts.
    Well I suppose you have to be famous enough to be worth having a parody or impersonator of you in the first place
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    MrEd said:

    What I read somewhere was military for Trump, overseas Biden but can't be 100% sure
    Thanks Mr Ed. I think I read somewhere that active military were marginally pro-Biden, veterans pro-Trump, and overseas I'd take to be solidly Biden (as almost by definition they are internationalists)
  • MrEd said:

    Here's a question for PBers. How many of the methods used in US elections would you have no problem in being introduced to UK elections? Would you be happy with drop-off mail-in ballot boxes for example, to boost turnout in poorer areas, or electronic voting. I'm playing Devil's Advocate here in that the vast majority of people on here believe there was no fraud and malice, so I'm assuming everyone would be confident that bringing in US practices over here....:)
    Not sure I really see the point of this question. Saying you've confidence in another country's processes does not mean you'd run things in precisely the same way.

    There are quite a few practical differences in the US for a start. Administration is historically on a county level in the US, and you may well not wish to disrupt it with a major shake-up even if you think "I wouldn't start from here". Physical distances are much larger - even urban areas tend to be much more spaced out so the issues of access to voting are different. Ballots tend to be much larger with many more elected positions and propositions to vote on, lending itself to electronic ballots. There is a history of intimidation against some groups in some states. States have slightly different processes as part of respecting and maintaining a deeply ingrained federal system that we simply don't have as part of the culture in the UK.

    So you'd probably not design precisely the same system for different countries. And you might think another country does some things better and others worse, without any implication that you lack confidence in the robustness of either.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    Carnyx said:

    We already have things called "pillar boxes" which are conveniently painted red and have Her Maj on them. They can also be used for posting your pools coupon, etc. I'm not quite sure why the Yanks need special boxes, unless it's so they can set fire to the ones in areas full of voters who cannot be trusted to vote the correct way. So no, not a good idea.
    I agree that postboxes are sufficient, as returning a postal ballot is free if posted from the UK. They are also much less likely to be tampered with or stolen than a temporary box which conspicuosly contains many ballot papers.

    As for electronic voting, I have no problem, as long as the hardware, software and HCI is thouroughly tested, and that legal a back-up system is available if the electronic system goes down. Until then, lets stick with pencil and paper voting, which has been shown to be a very robust system.
  • JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 682

    Winchester 1997.
    You sh*t me not !!! ... :astonished:
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234
    Scott_xP said:
    Sounds like a club chairman 'Full confidence of the board' statement
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    Debate on the regulations is underway, after a low key intro by Hancock. Three minute limit on backbench speakers.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    Carnyx said:

    Now that is very useful - thanks.

    I checked -

    “Of course, the underlying structure of everything in England is posh. There is no in-between with these people. You have to walk a mile to find a telephone booth, but when you find it, it is built as if the senseless dynamiting of pay phones had been a serious problem at some time in the past. And a British mailbox can presumably stop a German tank. None of them have cars, but when they do, they are three-ton hand-built beasts. The concept of stamping out a whole lot of cars is unthinkable—there are certain procedures that have to be followed, Mr. Ford, such as the hand-brazing of radiators, the traditional whittling of the tyres from solid blocks of cahoutchouc.”
    ― Neal Stephenson, Cryptonomicon

    Very odd as they are mostly cast iron - not a good material as it splinters surely. Better with rubber or frangible composition.
    Stephenson can be very funny on US culture (particularly in his earlier work), but I don't think he quite gets us.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    IanB2 said:

    Debate on the regulations is underway, after a low key intro by Hancock. Three minute limit on backbench speakers.

    As well Johnson isn't a backbencher now. That would only give him time for one sentence.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    edited January 2021

    Sad news, but I am more into heritage diesels anyway.
    Now that is sad.

    Still, each to their own I suppose. [Goes off to dust his typewriter collection.]
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650

    Okay a bonus then, to thank them. Better than clapping once a week surely?
    Perhaps - for *all* relevant staff, mind.

    I would be more inclined to suggest nursing assistants or whoever it is doing the more menial work - toiletting, cleaning and so on (which may be nurses). And all the ones in homecare and homes, who are paid minimum wage + a bit.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    Carnyx said:

    Optimist!
    We were also not allowed to leaflet in the November or March to June lockdowns either but we managed it in late summer and the early autumn
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548

    Now that is sad.

    Still, each to their own I suppose. [Goes off to dust his typewriter collection]
    Typewriters? Who collects typewriters?

    *Pulls out drawer containing his collection of leather bookmarks*
  • I was trying to compile this stat earlier.

    https://twitter.com/imillhiser/status/1346834407626334209
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Winchester 1997.
    You're going to have to explain that one for me @Philip_Thompson
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    Not by a long chalk is @Philip_Thompson 'the most Trumpian poster in here'.

    I disagree with what PT says but you need to look elsewhere for PB Trump supporters. It isn't hard.
    I have a list of PBers who were either overtly or secretly rooting for Trump to beat Biden.

    There are 12 names on it. The Dirty Dozen.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    MrEd said:

    Here's a question for PBers. How many of the methods used in US elections would you have no problem in being introduced to UK elections? Would you be happy with drop-off mail-in ballot boxes for example, to boost turnout in poorer areas, or electronic voting. I'm playing Devil's Advocate here in that the vast majority of people on here believe there was no fraud and malice, so I'm assuming everyone would be confident that bringing in US practices over here....:)
    I would have a problem with having to queue for many hours in order to vote, as a result of blatant decisions to restrict voting opportunities surgically targetted to disadvantage one candidate.

    Blatantly gerrymandered electoral re districting is also a no-no.

    Where else can a presidential contest be settled on the basis of anything other than the winner of the popular vote, to the extent that most recently the winning candidate would not have prevailed had the margin fallen to much below 4%.

    In a system where partisanship extends to every level, I don't like the idea of allowing a state official oversight of the conduct of an election in which he is running for governor, or generally that elections should be overseen by political appointees.

    Nor is it good that a state can denying about 8% of the population the right to vote on the basis that they might sometime in their life have been convicted of even a minor felony, especially when that rests on a blatant misreading of a court judgement to the contrary.

    That'll do for starters.

  • Doesn;t matter

    Whatever you think of Trump, he is his own man. He is eminently able to ride out criticism and bad publicity and not change course. He is very difficult to intimidate or shame and rarely backs down.

    Johnson, not so much. In fact, not at all.
    Trump deals appallingly with criticism. As for not backing down, he never ADMITS to backing down. But he did, for example, actually sign the stimulus package last week without the $2k and indeed barely changed at all from what he refused to sign earlier. That's called backing down.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059

    Winchester 1997.
    Oaten won Winchester by 68% to 28% for Malone, Ossoff currently leads Perdue by just 50.2% to 49.8% with 98% in
  • So it must be hereditary, the Delingpoles being bell ends.

    https://twitter.com/JamesDelingpole/status/1346792937238224896
  • MrEd said:

    Here's a question for PBers. How many of the methods used in US elections would you have no problem in being introduced to UK elections? Would you be happy with drop-off mail-in ballot boxes for example, to boost turnout in poorer areas, or electronic voting. I'm playing Devil's Advocate here in that the vast majority of people on here believe there was no fraud and malice, so I'm assuming everyone would be confident that bringing in US practices over here....:)
    One thing I would not want: elections being run by politicians (in some cases candidates in the elections they are running).
    Pure electronic voting is bad, but the version used in Georgia seems harmless enough: the machine prints out a receipt which the voter checks and which can (and was) used to do a hand recount.
    Drop-off mail in ballot boxes are probably more secure than the mail, particularly if a politician in charge of the postal service decides to intentionally cripple it just before the election.
    Getting rid of polling places in poor areas is another thing I would not want to see here, nor the multi-hour queues to vote.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    edited January 2021

    You're going to have to explain that one for me @Philip_Thompson
    I presume this - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Winchester_by-election

    Essentially - whining about the result of the previous election didn't go down well.
  • MrEd said:

    Here's a question for PBers. How many of the methods used in US elections would you have no problem in being introduced to UK elections? Would you be happy with drop-off mail-in ballot boxes for example, to boost turnout in poorer areas, or electronic voting. I'm playing Devil's Advocate here in that the vast majority of people on here believe there was no fraud and malice, so I'm assuming everyone would be confident that bringing in US practices over here....:)
    US election rules were written in a time when votes took days to be delivered by stagecoach, and the constitution at a time when guns fired one bullet every 30 seconds, not 30 bullets a second.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    What first attracted you to the pussy grabber?
    Sorry is that Trump or Johnson?
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    HYUFD said:

    Oaten won Winchester by 68% to 28% for Malone, Ossoff currently leads Perdue by just 50.2% to 49.8% with 98% in
    I think he was suggesting taking up arms, and mistyped, meaning instead Winchester 1897:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MrNFle6ICCI
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552

    I was trying to compile this stat earlier.

    https://twitter.com/imillhiser/status/1346834407626334209

    Then the Senate is doing exactly what it was intended to do, giving extra power to the arm of the little states, to stop them being steam-rollered by California, Texas, New York....

    How does that number look for the House of Representatives, where it was always intended to be nearer your vote in Montana being of similar worth to that in Massachussetts? (Acknowledging that the Republicans have done their worst in gerrymandering their way to unfairness.)
  • OT, but is anyone else here applying to be a vaccinator ? My better half is, and the process is every bit as cumbersome and time-consuming as has been reported.

    It's not just the irrelevant anti-radicalisation and diversity training, it's the stupidly disjointed IT. As you complete each training module you generate a certificate of completion, with a file name suggested by the system. So far so good. But when you want to submit your final application:
    - you have to manually upload each of the certificates onto a portal that is completely separate from the one delivering the training, even though both portals have been specified by the NHS;
    - you are instructed to name each certificate in a way that bears no relation to the name given to it when generated by the training portal, so you need to rename each one;
    - you can't upload a ZIP file, you have to upload all 15 of them individually;
    - the list of certificates required by the application portal turns out to be different to the list of training modules that you were originally asked to complete, so you now have to go back and complete extra modules, otherwise you simply can't proceed with the application.

    Only someone with the patience of a saint will get through all this. And, of course, all the time spent on this is unpaid.

    I'm a liberal minded lawyer with no political loyalties but I would really like to see ministers and key PHE and NHS officials doing jail time at the end of the eventual public inquiry into all this.

    Like someone else said, so many people in the way of getting this sorted just seem to think "well this is how we usually do things, no reason to change".
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    Nigelb said:

    Stephenson can be very funny on US culture (particularly in his earlier work), but I don't think he quite gets us.
    His portrait of UK bureaucracy in WWII was spot on.

    His invention of Qwghlm was a brilliant pastiche of regional British behaviour.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    MrEd said:

    It's difficult at the Federal level because so much of the issue to do with voting evolves around the states. Even though Biden has control, bringing a Federal law on protecting votes like in the 1960s is going to be a nightmare.
    And the 6-3 conservative majority on SCOTUS will likely rule that many of the changes the Dems would like to make are unconstitutional, infringing states' rights etc.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    MrEd said:

    Here's a question for PBers. How many of the methods used in US elections would you have no problem in being introduced to UK elections? Would you be happy with drop-off mail-in ballot boxes for example, to boost turnout in poorer areas, or electronic voting. I'm playing Devil's Advocate here in that the vast majority of people on here believe there was no fraud and malice, so I'm assuming everyone would be confident that bringing in US practices over here....:)
    Mail in, drop boxes and early voting are actually reasonably secure. There is little to no risk of people voting on behalf of others, particularly on mass, so long as the rolls of who voted are public. (This is why the dead people voting schtick is such obvious rubbish: you can literally look at the list of people who are said to have voted, and call them.) Likewise, if there was mass voting on behalf of people who didn't actually vote, it would be found very easily, for the same reason. Plus, there's the fact that you'd need to identify people who weren't going to vote, otherwise you'd be caught when voters turned up at polling booths and found they'd already voted.

    Where there is an issue is with inter-family (and occasionally, like Tower Hamlets, inter-community) pressure on people to vote a certain way. Dad runs this family, and dad says we all vote this way. But while this may flip a few votes, it's not easy to do this en mass. (And if I were going to be asking, who benefited from dad pressuring family members in 2020, then can you really be sure the answer is Biden? I mean, really?)

    Voting machines are an inherently bad idea.

    I'm OK with electronic counting, so long as a hand recount is possible, but I think pressing a screen is dangerous. If a paper trail is generated (i.e. a ballot is also printed and the voter can check it before it goes in the box), then I guess it's probably OK. But I still don't particularly like it.

    That being said, statistical analysis is a wonderful thing. Based on the evidence from 99% of America, you can usually forecast to within 1% or so of how a particular area will vote. Simply, by the time you have that much data, you'll know how individual demographic segments will likely vote. Fraud by a particular voting machine vendor is therefore likely pretty easy to spot.
  • HYUFD said:

    Oaten won Winchester by 68% to 28% for Malone, Ossoff currently leads Perdue by just 50.2% to 49.8% with 98% in
    I think Purdue has to be within 5% to qualify for a recount.
  • We already had a Plague Inspection last term, before they got suspended due to inspectors getting the plague. Are we to expect another?

    The only complaint I had from (a very few) parents last time around was that we were setting 'too much' work i.e. for a normal five period day (upper secondary).
    We have had a few comments on the same lines, so we are not setting extra work for homework to Years 7-9 at the moment.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076

    With teams of footplate volunteers going "Wooo-Wooooooo!" as it glides silently down the track
    Why would they be singing "Sympathy for the Devil" (Rolling Stones)?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    So it must be hereditary, the Delingpoles being bell ends.

    https://twitter.com/JamesDelingpole/status/1346792937238224896

    And if this is not surreal enough, Toby Young was on Newsnight yesterday. At the start of the worst phase of this terrible pandemic the BBC's flagship current affairs show got Toby on. I thought it was somebody trying to be funny when I heard that, but no. I've checked. He was on.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,059
    edited January 2021

    I think Purdue has to be within 5% to qualify for a recount.
    0.5% yes, Perdue currently is eligible for a recount as it stands unlike Loeffler but still 2% to come in
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,829

    Food is free again at Winchester Hospital in the staff canteen. Again they received a huge donation from a local (£1 million plus)
    That's good. They need lots of very nourishing food.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400


    Doesn;t matter

    Whatever you think of Trump, he is his own man. He is eminently able to ride out criticism and bad publicity and not change course. He is very difficult to intimidate or shame and rarely backs down.

    Johnson, not so much. In fact, not at all.
    rarely backs down...

    irrespective of reality

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317
    kinabalu said:

    There are similarities between Johnson and Trump, in particular the dumbing down of political messaging and the "greatest country" shtick, also the immaturity and laziness, but they are at the same time totally different. In particular -

    Trump has no intellect to speak of. Johnson does.
    Trump has no vocabulary. Johnson has a big one.
    Trump has malevolent intentions. Johnson is merely selfish.
    Trump's torso is all blubber. Johnson's is toned and muscly.

    So what if Johnson "has a big one".. What's that got to do with Trump's bigly vocabulary?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    kinabalu said:

    This is broadly my take. He will not stay a political force - and might not even try once it becomes clear it's not happening.

    Keep an eye on his Twitter count. It's 88m now.
    Do bear in mind that a substantial (& growing minority) of Trump's Twitter followers are bots.

    https://qz.com/1422395/how-many-of-donald-trumps-twitter-followers-are-fake/
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552
    eristdoof said:

    Why would they be singing "Sympathy for the Devil" (Rolling Stones)?
    Maybe it was a 2-6-6-6?
  • JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 682

    I think Purdue has to be within 5% to qualify for a recount.
    It's 0.5% Peter.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    That's good. They need lots of very nourishing food.
    The donation is from someone involved in Formula 1 although they do not want to be named.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552
    kinabalu said:

    I have a list of PBers who were either overtly or secretly rooting for Trump to beat Biden.

    There are 12 names on it. The Dirty Dozen.
    I'm betting it includes those so secret, they have continuously said they wouldn't have voted for Trump in 2016 or 2020.... But clearly, they didn't mean it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594

    I was trying to compile this stat earlier.

    https://twitter.com/imillhiser/status/1346834407626334209

    Split themselves into more states. The sky is the limit, or rather how small the stars will be in the flag
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    Seven mass vaccination centres to open next week:

    London's Excel Centre, Epsom Racecourse, Manchester's Etihad Tennis Centre, Newcastle's Centre for Life, Birmingham's Millennium Point, Robertson House in Stevenage, and Ashton Gate Stadium in Bristol.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,607
    Nigelb said:

    Stephenson can be very funny on US culture (particularly in his earlier work), but I don't think he quite gets us.
    I dunno, have you /seen/ the cars the Armstrong works tried to sell to an ungrateful nation? Tanks with wheels that weighed at least two tonnes more than they should.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    edited January 2021
    HYUFD said:

    Well I suppose you have to be famous enough to be worth having a parody or impersonator of you in the first place
    It is a sign of blog celebrity. If a poster called "kuntibula" rocked up I'd be rather chuffed.

    Now then, you're £25 in hock to me due to Georgia.

    Should I come up with a couple of "double or quits" offers to ward off a settlement?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234
    edited January 2021

    And the 6-3 conservative majority on SCOTUS will likely rule that many of the changes the Dems would like to make are unconstitutional, infringing states' rights etc.
    I think a voting rights act will need careful framing it's essentially Kavanaugh who will be the swing vote on that one. It's tricky, but possible to do.

    I say Kav and not the other conservative justices because he's a touch more idiosyncratic than the very strict originalists that Gorsuch, Thomas, Alito and ACB are.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited January 2021


    Doesn;t matter

    Whatever you think of Trump, he is his own man. He is eminently able to ride out criticism and bad publicity and not change course. He is very difficult to intimidate or shame and rarely backs down.

    Johnson, not so much. In fact, not at all.
    But Trump was so very much 'his own man' that he just handed the Presidency, the House, and the Senate to the Democrats. Because he is an irremediable moron.

    Perhaps he should have tried being someone else's man on this occasion? Or just any other man, really.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    MrEd said:

    What I read somewhere was military for Trump, overseas Biden but can't be 100% sure
    Pre the November election, the Military Times did a poll of active service men, and (for the first time ever), they showed the Republican trailing the Democrat.

    President Trump made an enormous number of completely unforced errors. Calling people who died for their country "losers" and "suckers" was not smart. Slagging off a man who spent years - and this David Foster Wallace piece on McCain is worth reading - being tortured in a prisoner of war camp, rather than be sent home earlier than people who had been captured earlier, almost certainly hit him in Arizona.

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Trump deals appallingly with criticism. As for not backing down, he never ADMITS to backing down. But he did, for example, actually sign the stimulus package last week without the $2k and indeed barely changed at all from what he refused to sign earlier. That's called backing down.
    And he of course has settled numerous court cases in the favour of the complainant against him rather than go to court. A recent example being the the Trump University scam he was part of,
  • FlannerFlanner Posts: 437
    kinabalu said:

    And if this is not surreal enough, Toby Young was on Newsnight yesterday. At the start of the worst phase of this terrible pandemic the BBC's flagship current affairs show got Toby on. I thought it was somebody trying to be funny when I heard that, but no. I've checked. He was on.
    It's like Trump.

    First he's just an unpleasant prat
    Then you think "he may be a prat, but he's got a few good ideas"
    Then "No-one can be that much of a prat - even with those good ideas"
    Then "It must be me. I really did think that was a good idea. But if a prat like that''s in favour..."
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594

    So it must be hereditary, the Delingpoles being bell ends.

    https://twitter.com/JamesDelingpole/status/1346792937238224896

    Interesting to see Guido going pretty hard on Delingpole whilst also noting parts of his own comments section agrees with the man.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,829

    Following their fishing and farming readership.
    A lot of Scottish institutions in recent times have changed their policy of measured disapproval toward the nat agenda to embracing it. At the very least, the SNP looks like the dominant Governing force in Scotland for a long time, and they're increasingly adept at using the levers of power to further their cause. Case of 'lie back and think of Scotland'. Whether it's a wise long term strategy remains to be seen.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552


    So what if Johnson "has a big one".. What's that got to do with Trump's bigly vocabulary?
    I do hope Biden mangles the English language. I'm going to miss that about Trump bigly. Although damn all else...)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    I presume this - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Winchester_by-election

    Essentially - whining about the result of the previous election didn't go down well.
    Scarily for Labour, even a 1997 type result for them today wouldn't deliver a 1997 result in seats.

    They have a majority of 2 (assuming Scotland stays SNP and doesn't turn to them) and, if they match Blair in Scotland in 1997 as well, then they have a majority of 80 - max. And that's before the new boundaries kick in, which would handicap further by 8-11 seats.

    Basically, bar an absolute transformation in England approaching 1945 levels, Labour aren't getting into power again without the SNP.

    Scottish politics are going to be crucial in the UK for the next 5 years.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    edited January 2021
    MrEd said:

    Here's a question for PBers. How many of the methods used in US elections would you have no problem in being introduced to UK elections? Would you be happy with drop-off mail-in ballot boxes for example, to boost turnout in poorer areas, or electronic voting. I'm playing Devil's Advocate here in that the vast majority of people on here believe there was no fraud and malice, so I'm assuming everyone would be confident that bringing in US practices over here....:)
    We don't need those measures because the vast majority of people can vote a ten minute walk from their homes with a maximum of 5 minutes waiting time and easily get a postal vote if they prefer.

    We don't have a party doing its best to try to make it as difficult as possible for people to cast their vote, making them wait in line for hours, reducing polling stations etc etc. In short we don't have Trump and the MAGAs and frankly I have zero respect for anyone who wants to see them in power.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    kle4 said:

    Split themselves into more states. The sky is the limit, or rather how small the stars will be in the flag
    {Texas has entered the chat}
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    And the 6-3 conservative majority on SCOTUS will likely rule that many of the changes the Dems would like to make are unconstitutional, infringing states' rights etc.
    Watching Roberts try and gut the John Lewis Voting Rights Act that will be shortly be coming is going to make my blood god damn boil I am sure.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,458
    Nigelb said:

    That's a strinklingly good neologism.
    It was wasn't it but just a happy accident I'm afraid! I've recently been working on a photographic book and I entitled a photograh 'Feeding the Geese'. Sounded innocent enough and accurately describes what the girl was doing..........
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400
    edited January 2021
    Alistair said:

    Romney in all likelyhood would have thrashed Clinton.

    He would have absolutely hammered her: remember, he got pretty close to Obama, hard not to think that he would done very well against the much more unpopular Clinton.

    (Worth remembering that he got a much higher share of the vote than Trump did in either 2016 or 2020.)
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Jesus - anyone else watching this Freedom Rally live?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,132
    kinabalu said:

    And if this is not surreal enough, Toby Young was on Newsnight yesterday. At the start of the worst phase of this terrible pandemic the BBC's flagship current affairs show got Toby on. I thought it was somebody trying to be funny when I heard that, but no. I've checked. He was on.

    https://twitter.com/Aiannucci/status/1346694084531019776
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    rcs1000 said:

    Pre the November election, the Military Times did a poll of active service men, and (for the first time ever), they showed the Republican trailing the Democrat.

    President Trump made an enormous number of completely unforced errors. Calling people who died for their country "losers" and "suckers" was not smart. Slagging off a man who spent years - and this David Foster Wallace piece on McCain is worth reading - being tortured in a prisoner of war camp, rather than be sent home earlier than people who had been captured earlier, almost certainly hit him in Arizona.

    The thing that really pushed them across the line was treatment of the CO of that aircraft carrier, I believe.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234
    Alistair said:

    Watching Roberts try and gut the John Lewis Voting Rights Act that will be shortly be coming is going to make my blood god damn boil I am sure.
    It'll come down to Roberts and Kav, the other 4 conservative justices are off the scale right wing for this sort of stuff I suspect.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    I'm betting it includes those so secret, they have continuously said they wouldn't have voted for Trump in 2016 or 2020.... But clearly, they didn't mean it.
    Bet you are on the list @MarqueeMark
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    TimT said:


    Thanks Mr Ed. I think I read somewhere that active military were marginally pro-Biden, veterans pro-Trump, and overseas I'd take to be solidly Biden (as almost by definition they are internationalists)
    I suspect the military was a GOP-leaning cohort before the Commander in Chief decided to brand America's war dead "losers".
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,400

    The thing that really pushed them across the line was treatment of the CO of that aircraft carrier, I believe.
    That was insane: flying the Secretary of Defence half way around the world to berate (over the loudhailer) the men of a ship for having cheered their previous CO.

    I mean, WTF???
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Now that is sad.

    Still, each to their own I suppose. [Goes off to dust his typewriter collection.]
    Who are you, the Rev W Awdry?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    Is it really too much to hope that Trump remains just enough of a political force to tear the GOP apart for the next 5 years?

    It must be possible - and fine by me - but I think their need to be competitive will prevail.

    I predict they will unearth a bright young thing.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    Immunological memory to SARS-CoV-2 assessed for up to 8 months after infection
    https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2021/01/05/science.abf4063

    We analyzed multiple compartments of circulating immune memory to SARS-CoV-2 in 254 samples from 188 COVID-19 cases, including 43 samples at ≥ 6 months post-infection. IgG to the Spike protein was relatively stable over 6+ months. Spike-specific memory B cells were more abundant at 6 months than at 1 month post symptom onset. SARS-CoV-2-specific CD4+ T cells and CD8+ T cells declined with a half-life of 3-5 months. By studying antibody, memory B cell, CD4+ T cell, and CD8+ T cell memory to SARS-CoV-2 in an integrated manner, we observed that each component of SARS-CoV-2 immune memory exhibited distinct kinetics...

    ...We observed that heterogeneous initial antibody responses did not collapse into a homogeneous circulating antibody memory; rather, heterogeneity is also a central feature of immune memory to this virus. For antibodies, the responses spanned a ~200-fold range. Additionally, this heterogeneity means that long-term longitudinal studies will be required to precisely define antibody kinetics to SARS-CoV-2....

    ...Notably, memory B cells specific for the Spike protein or RBD were detected in almost all COVID-19 cases, with no apparent half-life at 5 to 8 months post-infection. Other studies of RBD memory B cells are reporting similar findings (50, 60). B cell memory to some other infections has been observed to be long-lived, including 60+ years after smallpox vaccination (61), or 90+ years after infection with influenza ...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    HYUFD said:

    In all fairness to Hancock, he gave a decent(ish) answer to a very good question from Harper.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594
    kinabalu said:

    It must be possible - and fine by me - but I think their need to be competitive will prevail.

    I predict they will unearth a bright young thing.
    Alas, Barron Trump wont be eligible for many years.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,507
    OllyT said:

    We don't need those measures because the vast majority of people can vote a ten minute walk from their homes with a maximum of 5 minutes waiting time and easily get a postal vote if they prefer.

    We don't have a party doing its best to try to make it as difficult as possible for people to cast their vote, making them wait in line for hours, reducing polling stations etc etc. In short we don't have Trump and the MAGAs and frankly I have zero respect for anyone who wants to see them in power.
    I totally agree. I have never spent more than 5 minutes in a queue to vote, in cities and countryside. I actually would not be happy in having early voting other than postal as it is supposed to be an election day. The hours of our voting stations are from 7am to 10pm so I'm sure anyone who wants to vote can do it sometime in the day. I have never had any difficulty getting a short time off work to vote if I needed it as well.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,829
    Is there any evidence that Boris has even heard of this person and his Twitter account? The whole story reads like a rather sad plea for significance.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    rcs1000 said:

    That was insane: flying the Secretary of Defence half way around the world to berate (over the loudhailer) the men of a ship for having cheered their previous CO.

    I mean, WTF???
    Complete shark jump.....
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    It'll come down to Roberts and Kav, the other 4 conservative justices are off the scale right wing for this sort of stuff I suspect.
    Roberts has dedicated his life to gutting the original VRA. There's a bunch on Long Reads about his multi decade attempts to curtail it when he was a GOP lackey and gut it entirely once he got on the bench

    https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/08/john-roberts-voting-rights-act-121222
    https://www.vox.com/21211880/supreme-court-chief-justice-john-roberts-voting-rights-act-election-2020
  • I presume this - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Winchester_by-election

    Essentially - whining about the result of the previous election didn't go down well.
    Precisely.

    The GOP should have been overwhelming favourites to win both of these run offs. A concession by Trump would have led to less interest by Democrat voters and a strong desire by Republicans to constrain Biden's incoming power.

    Instead the whining has been far less that helpful and gifted the Democrats both of these seats.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    I think Purdue has to be within 5% to qualify for a recount.
    Seems like a chasm! Order of magnitude error in your OP? (0.5%?)
This discussion has been closed.