politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: Local Election Polling Day (May
Comments
-
Did they put it down somewhere and then forget about it?Stark_Dawning said:UKIP lose seat in Tyneside.
0 -
Thanks, AndyJS.AndyJS said:
We have our first full council result from Sunderland:
Votes:
Lab: 32,344
UKIP: 16,961
Con: 13,571
Ind: 2,674
LD: 2,569
Green: 1,263
Others: 424
Percentages:
Lab: 46.33%
UKIP: 24.30%
Con: 19.44%
Ind: 3.83%
LD: 3.68%
Green: 1.81%
Others: 0.61%
Changes since 2010 locals:
Lab -2.64%
UKIP +24.30%
Con -5.76%
Ind -0.14%
LD -14.57%
Green +1.53%
Swing, 1.56% from Con to Lab0 -
Rob
No you were right. That was the council people on here were claiming UKIP had taken of Labour. Of course nonsense but it shows how hyper excited UKIP supporters are.
Fact is they are cleaning up the anti Labour vote in Labour heartlands but not winning many seats.0 -
Shocking manners - should always give up your chair for the elderly.Stark_Dawning said:UKIP lose seat in Tyneside.
0 -
CON have gained Swindon.
Anyone know of any councils which have fully declared, apart from Sunderland and South Tyneside.0 -
Curtice: Lab down 15 points on 2012 and a fraction below 2010.
IOS is still waiting for dawn. She is proving hard to get.0 -
Eek. John Curtice saying Labour's vote might be DOWN on their abysmal 2010 level.0
-
Putting Hartlepool First take Hart ward,
UKIP take Seaton Ward.
Labour hold Foggy Furze0 -
UKIP go from nothing to 29% in Longbridge.0
-
Who's this Labour loon on Sky?0
-
Based on the results so far betting on UKIP winning most votes in European Elections must be absolutely nailed on.0
-
Using their own definition of control prior to election, Swindon wasn't a hold, it was a gain0
-
Con hold Swindon. goodbye Ed0
-
Hull so far Lab 6 holds LD 1 hold0
-
Does Chukka work as a tic tac man?0
-
Conservatives holding Swindon, the fact that Labour can't take that with its 2 marginal seats is a pretty damning verdict on Labour.0
-
BBC Politics ✔ @BBCPolitics
#Vote2014 COUNCIL RESULT: Conservatives hold Swindon http://bbc.in/1lYwV19
0 -
Eh_ehm_a_eh: Can't be worse than Chuka surely?0
-
Emily Thornberry (lab, Islington).
Isam's cat and I have the same reaction towards Barbara Roache who ironically lost her seat to Lynne Featherstone, Lib Dem bod on BBC.Eh_ehm_a_eh said:Who's this Labour loon on Sky?
0 -
0
-
I thought the definition was control based upon last elections results. IE defections etc don't count.RobD said:Using their own definition of control prior to election, Swindon wasn't a hold, it was a gain
0 -
Philip_Thompson said:
Eh_ehm_a_eh: Can't be worse than Chuka surely?
She's a gibbering fool. Claiming 150 gains would be a good night for Labour.
0 -
The utter collapse of left wing politics is upon us. Tory/UKIP tacit pact sees a landslide0
-
Graham Stringer just sticking a breadknife into ed miliband's ribs...0
-
0
-
Labour mp absolutely giving it to Miliband on BBC... Labour have to offer a referendum he says0
-
Labour to stick referendum on EU I reckon0
-
Are we expecting Dan Hedges to make a dramatic 4am intervention?0
-
Lib Dems hold Acocks Green in Bitmingham won by Labour in 2011 and 20120
-
Labour MPs b8tchfighting on TV now...0
-
Thanks old_labour, my head is already spinning and there are still 64 councils to go tonight...old_labour said:Thanks, AndyJS.
AndyJS said:We have our first full council result from Sunderland:
Votes:
Lab: 32,344
UKIP: 16,961
Con: 13,571
Ind: 2,674
LD: 2,569
Green: 1,263
Others: 424
Percentages:
Lab: 46.33%
UKIP: 24.30%
Con: 19.44%
Ind: 3.83%
LD: 3.68%
Green: 1.81%
Others: 0.61%
Changes since 2010 locals:
Lab -2.64%
UKIP +24.30%
Con -5.76%
Ind -0.14%
LD -14.57%
Green +1.53%
Swing, 1.56% from Con to Lab0 -
Allowing for ticket splitting then surely UKIP must be on 30% plus.Philip_Thompson said:Based on the results so far betting on UKIP winning most votes in European Elections must be absolutely nailed on.
0 -
That's the official party line. Chuka did even worse, he claimed it'd be difficult to make any gains as 2010 was a good year for Labour.Eh_ehm_a_eh said:Philip_Thompson said:Eh_ehm_a_eh: Can't be worse than Chuka surely?
She's a gibbering fool. Claiming 150 gains would be a good night for Labour.0 -
Lol, Labour already like rats in a sack0
-
I couldn't be happier, the left is dying0
-
Which constituency Mark ?MarkSenior said:Lib Dems hold Acocks Green in Bitmingham won by Labour in 2011 and 2012
0 -
Lab 62 - UKIP 3
0 -
Where's 'pouter?
Red on Red incoming. Multiple explosions.0 -
Spot on! And rather than those Libdem to Lab switchers shoring up a Labour win, it appears that its Lab to UKIP switchers which is going to be causing a bigger headache for Ed Miliband tomorrow.MarqueeMark said:
IOS, we are in the unusual situation where two of the three major parties are in Government. However, rather than the third party, Labour, hoovering up the protest votes against the Govt. of the day, it has so little appeal to voters that the voters have effectively gone off and formed a fourth party to be the new opposition.
If that counts as an acceptable night, it may be time for bed!0 -
Got time for Graham Stringer - caustic line about Ed not knowing about the price of his shopping! Also he stood up and voted against the Climatic Research Unit with his scientific background. And I think he understands the reality on the ground so much better than a career politician like Chuka.taffys said:Graham Stringer just sticking a breadknife into ed miliband's ribs...
0 -
BBc and Sky all over the place with their numbers - BBC say 8 councils have declared SKY say 4
BBC say Labour have 64 seats SKy say 1280 -
Not in Scotland.dyedwoolie said:I couldn't be happier, the left is dying
But nights like this might just see Scotland give a cheery wave bye bye.
0 -
It depends whether you wait for all the results to be declared, or just enough for one party to be guaranteed a majority.marke09 said:BBc and Sky all over the place with their numbers - BBC say 8 councils have declared SKY say 4
BBC say Labour have 64 seats SKy say 128
Because I'm concentrating on votes I can't finish a council until I have the full results from every ward, which is why Sunderland is the only completed council on my results page.0 -
H'Pool: Jesmond looks like it has gone to #ukip. Official announcements shortly0
-
Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 6m
Conservatives HOLD Swindon, apparently a Labour target.
also gain a seat0 -
Council by election result Redcar/Cleveland UA Dormanstown LD hold
LD 753 Lab 741 UKIP 523
In Redcar Parliamentary seat0 -
Acocks Green is still Yardley I think.JackW said:
Which constituency Mark ?MarkSenior said:Lib Dems hold Acocks Green in Bitmingham won by Labour in 2011 and 2012
0 -
When will the BBC learn how to present data with plain backgrounds. Must be employing Ed's presentation team.
0 -
True. But the wise Scots will find the way that works for themEh_ehm_a_eh said:
Not in Scotland.dyedwoolie said:I couldn't be happier, the left is dying
But nights like this might just see Scotland give a cheery wave bye bye.
0 -
Lord Ashcroft @LordAshcroft 6m
Don't be surprised if after these elections there will be pressure on Labour to offer a referendum on Europe0 -
nd I think he understands the reality on the ground so much better than a career politician like Chuka.
Two senior labour MPs arguing on TV like they were arguing with someone from another party....its amazing what pressure does to people.0 -
UKIP have taken Paston and have their first ever seat on Peterborough City Council0
-
Unitary councils spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dExDeE16eDhiSU1UUjl0ZlQ2NWhHMnc&usp=sheets_web#gid=00 -
Sky News - things are very tight in Croydon.0
-
One of his best ever public outings has to be his appearance on a Scottish BBC QuestionTime. I admit, I was half expecting a political car crash. But Jacob Rees Mogg proved me wrong big time. Not only did he manage to achieve what most Tory MP's failed to do on this programme back then, applause after his contributions, he got some genuine and appreciative laughter of his very dry humour. If I didn't know better, I would swear with a wit that dry, he must surely have some Highland blood in his veins.RobD said:
I do enjoy a bit of Mogg.
0 -
0
-
MP for Reading East has confirmed Labour leader of Rotherham Council has lost his seat to Ukip0
-
Is Ed in danger ?0
-
Thanks MMMarqueeMark said:
Acocks Green is still Yardley I think.JackW said:
Which constituency Mark ?MarkSenior said:Lib Dems hold Acocks Green in Bitmingham won by Labour in 2011 and 2012
0 -
Cambridge Redbridge...0
-
Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying0
-
Full Swindon results (apart from one or two missing candidates):
http://www.swindonadvertiser.co.uk/election_2014/the_candidates/0 -
Was having a look on Electoral Calculus the other day fitalass. Assuming Scotland votes no in September, LibDems forecast to lose all their Scottish MP's apart from Charles Kennedy, Orkney & Shetland and Fife NE. Do you think Aberdeen W and Kincardine is going to go Tory? Or a tossup between them and the SNP?fitalass said:One of his best ever public outings has to be his appearance on a Scottish BBC QuestionTime. I admit, I was half expecting a political car crash. But Jacob Rees Mogg proved me wrong big time. Not only did he manage to achieve what most Tory MP's failed to do on this programme back then, applause after his contributions, he got some genuine and appreciative laughter of his very dry humour. If I didn't know better, I would swear with a wit that dry, he must surely have some Highland blood in his veins.
RobD said:I do enjoy a bit of Mogg.
Chuka saying Labour didn't target Swindon! Who are you kidding when Ed went there?!!!!! LOL0 -
Redbridge Labour ffs - who is the guy kidding.0
-
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much0 -
Chuka is going to have to learn to lie better if he wants to progress in politics. Swindon not a Labour target council? What bollocks!0
-
Labour 5.4/1000 on most votes Betfair now.0
-
Kingston didn't the former LD leader get put away for child porn?0
-
Ed Davey LOL. I will be very happy to see him gone as an MP in 12 months time hopefully for what he is doing over our crazy 20% renewables 2020 EU energy implementation.0
-
One Nation Labour going backwards in Swindon.0
-
Chukka.
Wasn't he the future once?0 -
Not my part of Essex... seems a long way away.isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much0 -
-
0
-
isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much
Nick Sutton ✔ @suttonnick
John Curtice: Together with UKIP gains in Basildon "it looks as though Essex man has now become UKIP man" #Vote2014
0 -
It's not surprising that Labour didn't take Swindon - Swindon's economy has been doing well in recent years.
Sky is reporting that Labour may take Trafford. That would not be surprising either, since Trafford is part of one of the Core Cities, which are Labour's major electoral strongholds.0 -
UKIP gain 2 each so far in Southend and Castle Point.0
-
Really? What part are you from?Grandiose said:
Not my part of Essex... seems a long way away.isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much0 -
LD hold Sheldon ward on Birmingham council = also in Yardley constituency .0
-
Final result, Swindon popular votes:
Con 18,476 (32.99%)
Lab 17,593 (31.41%)
UKIP 12,331 (22.02%)
LD 4,741 (8.46%)
Green 2,507 (4.48%)
Ind 347 (0.62%)
Others 14 (0.02%)
Changes:
Con -9.54%
Lab +0.94%
UKIP +19.99%
LD -13.31%
Green +3.35%
Ind +0.46%
Swing, Con to Lab: 5.24%0 -
Anyone know if Cheshunt South & Theobalds on Broxbourne was a CON hold, that's my last seat missing there.0
-
College will have to start wearing white shoes.Tykejohnno said:isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much
Nick Sutton ✔ @suttonnick
John Curtice: Together with UKIP gains in Basildon "it looks as though Essex man has now become UKIP man" #Vote2014
Might clash with the OE tie though.
0 -
Chukka is dreadful. It started me thinking about who Labour OUGHT to elect if Mili loses next year. Maybe Stella Creasy? They'll probably elect Yvette who will only be marginally better.isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much0 -
0
-
Very interesting... Con gain council seats even though thats a 5% swing or so to labour.AndyJS said:Final result, Swindon popular votes:
Con 18,476 (32.99%)
Lab 17,593 (31.41%)
UKIP 12,331 (22.02%)
LD 4,741 (8.46%)
Green 2,507 (4.48%)
Ind 347 (0.62%)
Others 14 (0.02%)
Changes:
Con -9.54%
Lab +0.94%
UKIP +19.99%
LD -13.31%
Green +3.35%
Ind +0.46%
Swing, Con to Lab: 5.24%0 -
Lib Dems, losing here
It's been written here ad nauseam that the lib dems would do better in Lib dem/con in the south fights than in the country as a whole.
How does that assertion look now??0 -
How many seats have UKIP gained off Labour so far. Not increased vote share. Actual seats.0
-
Overall Results so far (Councillors)......
UKIP +9
LABOUR +3
CONSERVATIVES -10
LIBDEMS -3
OTHERS +10 -
Andy Burnham is the only choice. Everyone else in the shadow cabinet are utterly useless.Garethofthevale said:
Chukka is dreadful. It started me thinking about who Labour OUGHT to elect if Mili loses next year. Maybe Stella Creasy? They'll probably elect Yvette who will only be marginally better.isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much
0 -
Tories have GAINED Kingstanding from Labour compared to 2010.0
-
This is why I made my sheet, so we can see who gained off who. Trying to update as quick as I can...IOS said:How many seats have UKIP gained off Labour so far. Not increased vote share. Actual seats.
http://goo.gl/4AJwpD0 -
Yes Labour must have got the swings in the wrong places.Pulpstar said:
Very interesting... Con gain council seats even though thats a 5% swing or so to labour.AndyJS said:Final result, Swindon popular votes:
Con 18,476 (32.99%)
Lab 17,593 (31.41%)
UKIP 12,331 (22.02%)
LD 4,741 (8.46%)
Green 2,507 (4.48%)
Ind 347 (0.62%)
Others 14 (0.02%)
Changes:
Con -9.54%
Lab +0.94%
UKIP +19.99%
LD -13.31%
Green +3.35%
Ind +0.46%
Swing, Con to Lab: 5.24%
But the main point is the Tories stayed ahead in the popular vote in a town with two marginal seats.0 -
Stella Creasey is not the answer for labour... a groovy wannabe londoner who buzzes off the diversity of the stow precisely because she is from manchesterGarethofthevale said:
Chukka is dreadful. It started me thinking about who Labour OUGHT to elect if Mili loses next year. Maybe Stella Creasy? They'll probably elect Yvette who will only be marginally better.isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much
Jon Cruddas is the answer0 -
Hmph, those vote %s aren't quite as abysmal as I was fearing for Labour.AndyJS said:Final result, Swindon popular votes:
Con 18,476 (32.99%)
Lab 17,593 (31.41%)
UKIP 12,331 (22.02%)
LD 4,741 (8.46%)
Green 2,507 (4.48%)
Ind 347 (0.62%)
Others 14 (0.02%)
Changes:
Con -9.54%
Lab +0.94%
UKIP +19.99%
LD -13.31%
Green +3.35%
Ind +0.46%
Swing, Con to Lab: 5.24%0 -
0
-
I doubt Cruddas with all his impenetrable waffle about "devolution" would do anything good.isam said:
Stella Creasey is not the answer for labour... a groovy wannabe londoner who buzzes off the diversity of the stow precisely because she is from manchesterGarethofthevale said:
Chukka is dreadful. It started me thinking about who Labour OUGHT to elect if Mili loses next year. Maybe Stella Creasy? They'll probably elect Yvette who will only be marginally better.isam said:
Deciding not to vote Labour anymore feels so good.dyedwoolie said:Chukka says Swindon wasn't a target. Lol, dying
Chuku Umunna and Emily Thornberry FFS
Essex going purple... thought as much
Jon Cruddas is the answer
0