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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: Local Election Polling Day (May

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  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Guess how many votes UKIP got in Sunderland in the 2010 local elections?

    Zero.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    maaarsh said:

    AndyJS said:

    Anyone have the full vote figures for those two Sunderland results, as opposed to percentages?

    Didn't you post those below - interpolate minor parties from votes you know and percentages?
    General Election ‏@UKELECTIONS2015 5m
    Battle in the North East

    Pallion, Sunderland: Lab 1047, UKIP 659

    St Anne's, Sunderland: Lab 1022, UKIP 702
    Expand
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    edited May 2014
    BTW for those new to the thread, AndyJS' compilation of votes for this election:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dGZMVENacEVqMUI0bWZaQk13c041S3c&usp=drive_web#gid=0

    and my compilation of seats:

    http://goo.gl/4AJwpD
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    AndyJS said:

    Guess how many votes UKIP got in Sunderland in the 2010 local elections?

    Zero.

    Could that have been related to the fact that they didn't put up any candidates?

  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    corporeal said:

    corporeal said:

    corporeal said:

    I agree with this chap

    Rob Marchant ‏@rob_marchant 42s

    Oh, sod it. I'm not staying up for this one - no-one will know anything useful till mid-tomorrow and even that's only locals. #Elections2014

    Don't make me revoke your political nerd card.
    It's more I have to pace myself.

    Over the next few days, I have the locals to report on, a Lord Ashcroft 26,000 respondent marginals poll, a Euro election and a Nine Inch Nails gig.
    I better go write some more articles that you have to thoroughly re-format.
    I blame wordpress, I've reviewed all your threads, and you've not done an Ed is crap thread yet.
    I pride myself on trying to look beyond the obvious.
    So what is Katie Price's USP?

    Popular Front.

    She stood as a candidate in Manchester in 2001.
    :-) Good catch.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    maaarsh said:

    AndyJS said:

    Anyone have the full vote figures for those two Sunderland results, as opposed to percentages?

    Didn't you post those below - interpolate minor parties from votes you know and percentages?

    I need full figures for all candidates, not percentages.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Votes cast at 2010 locals in Sunderland:

    Lab 49.0%
    Con 25.2%
    LD 18.2%
    Ind 4.0%
    BNP 3.3%
    Green 0.3%
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 2m

    #RUMOUR that UKIP have won two seats in Woking.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 47s

    Sandhill (Sunderland) Result: LAB - 65.6% CON - 24.2% LDEM - 10.2%
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    corporeal said:

    corporeal said:

    corporeal said:

    I agree with this chap

    Rob Marchant ‏@rob_marchant 42s

    Oh, sod it. I'm not staying up for this one - no-one will know anything useful till mid-tomorrow and even that's only locals. #Elections2014

    Don't make me revoke your political nerd card.
    It's more I have to pace myself.

    Over the next few days, I have the locals to report on, a Lord Ashcroft 26,000 respondent marginals poll, a Euro election and a Nine Inch Nails gig.
    I better go write some more articles that you have to thoroughly re-format.
    I blame wordpress, I've reviewed all your threads, and you've not done an Ed is crap thread yet.
    I pride myself on trying to look beyond the obvious.
    If you could do a thread on should the parties have theme songs at the next election, if so what? I still think Things Can Only Get Better was a key to the Labour landslide in 1997
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    marke09 said:

    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 2m

    #RUMOUR that UKIP have won two seats in Woking.

    That declaration isn't due til tomorrow, are they counting early?
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    AndyJS said:

    maaarsh said:

    AndyJS said:

    Anyone have the full vote figures for those two Sunderland results, as opposed to percentages?

    Didn't you post those below - interpolate minor parties from votes you know and percentages?

    I need full figures for all candidates, not percentages.
    But you already posted the votes for labour and UKIP. If you know the percentages, and you know the absolute for any 1, you know the absolute figure for all others.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    maaarsh said:

    AndyJS said:

    maaarsh said:

    AndyJS said:

    Anyone have the full vote figures for those two Sunderland results, as opposed to percentages?

    Didn't you post those below - interpolate minor parties from votes you know and percentages?

    I need full figures for all candidates, not percentages.
    But you already posted the votes for labour and UKIP. If you know the percentages, and you know the absolute for any 1, you know the absolute figure for all others.
    eh, then there is rounding and it won't be super precise. My OCD wouldn't abide that!
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    At first glance the Dunderland result suggests the UKIP effect could be to depress slightly the Labour percentage in their heartlands - does not bode well for their Euro performsnce.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    George Eaton @georgeeaton

    Lib Dems (3.1%) beaten by Greens (4.8%) in Sunderland Pallion.

  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 56s
    Hendon (Sunderland) Result:
    LAB - 53.8%
    UKIP - 29.6%
    CON - 13.4%
    TUSC - 3.2%
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    1st gain for Labour - St Chad's Sunderland
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552


    So UKIP getting 30+% in first two results. Very encouraging.Isn't anyone voting for the LDs?



    Just Mike Smithson and some other Dodos
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    RobD said:

    @AndyJS any good twitter feeds I should know about in terms of results?

    I haven't seen any yet apart from the BritainElects feed.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    St Anne`s Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    N
    Tony MORRISSEY
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    299
    Caroline Leigh ROBINSON
    Green Party Candidate
    92
    Keith SAMME
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    702
    Tom WRIGHT
    Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate
    1,022
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    Sandhill Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    R
    David ALLAN
    Labour Party Candidate
    1,478
    Christine Mary REED
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    546
    Susan WILSON
    Liberal Democrats
    230
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    weejonnie said:

    1st gain for Labour - St Chad's Sunderland

    Woo hoo, finally some action
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    Hendon Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    F
    Pauline Veronica FEATONBY-WARREN
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    638
    David Anthony LAWSON
    Green Party Candidate
    158
    Debbie LORRAINE
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    289
    Barbara MCCLENNAN
    Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate
    1,162
    Owen Richard TAYLOR
    Trade Unionists and Socialists Against
    Cuts
    70
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 4m

    Hendon (Sunderland) Result: LAB - 53.8% UKIP - 29.6% CON - 13.4% TUSC - 3.2%
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited May 2014
    felix said:

    At first glance the Dunderland result suggests the UKIP effect could be to depress slightly the Labour percentage in their heartlands - does not bode well for their Euro performsnce.

    Especially since any split-ticket effect is unlikely to be tilted towards Labour in the Euros compared with the locals, in fact the reverse.

    Bodes well for my Euros bets, where I'm a bit stuffed if Labour come first...

  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,054
    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    UKIP surely. They are the NOTA/DNV party so higher turnout in the Euros would mean they have done well.

  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Martin Powell, a member of Southport Liberal Democrats, emails to point out that one of descriptions registered by the party to use on ballot papers is "Nick Clegg's Liberal Democrats". But, he says, "so toxic is the name Nick Clegg thought to be that in spite of a few of us looking for candidates describing themselves as this on ballot papers nationally, we have been unable to find a single one".

    Anyone else?
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2014/may/22/local-election-results-2014-live#block-537e78e9e4b020b0f5edac0e
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    A 3 day count - how annoying.

    Is Farage PM yet ?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    8/4217 seats declared!
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    I think that just about every Scot who was in a polling booth voting today and saw "Scottish Conservatives – No to independence" will be very clear on the message it intended to convey despite your smeary spin attempts in that post!
    Carnyx said:

    Now the polls are closed: one thing that startled me in the Scottish Euro ballot paper, apart from the choice of Britain First, BNP and UKIP as well as Tories, was that the Tories described themselves as "Scottish Conservatives – No to independence". The unanswered question of this rather obvious dog-whistle was, independence from whom? London or Brussels?

    Apart from wondering if they had perhaps got their polls mixed up, I thought it looked odd in that Euro context - as if the Tories were claiming to be a hard Europhile party. I'm not sure it made much difference, but it couldn't have helped the loss of votes to UKIP.

  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    Depends - on a normal election night this would be good for Labour - tonight it could be all those UKIPPERS

  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    Doxford Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    D
    Betty GIBSON
    Labour Party Candidate
    1,280
    Dominic MCDONOUGH
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    563
    Alan Michael David ROBINSON
    Green Party Candidate
    180
    Kay ROWHAM
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    683
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    Martin Powell, a member of Southport Liberal Democrats, emails to point out that one of descriptions registered by the party to use on ballot papers is "Nick Clegg's Liberal Democrats". But, he says, "so toxic is the name Nick Clegg thought to be that in spite of a few of us looking for candidates describing themselves as this on ballot papers nationally, we have been unable to find a single one".

    Anyone else?
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2014/may/22/local-election-results-2014-live#block-537e78e9e4b020b0f5edac0e

    I'd be more surprised if there was one anyway tbh. Weird description to have registered.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,624
    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    In the Euros?

    Nah: this is Farage's night. UKIP is 5% ahead of the field and he's single handed reinvigorated British poltics.

    Good for you, Nigel.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Well it won't be me @saddened 'course I'm of to bed at 01:00 hrs prompt no matter what happens. Though you yourself might be slightly sick by morning.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    rcs1000 said:

    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    In the Euros?

    Nah: this is Farage's night. UKIP is 5% ahead of the field and he's single handed reinvigorated British poltics.

    Good for you, Nigel.
    Shame his nemisis the EU have decided that council results will get all the publicity, and by the time UKIP's big win is announced it will be priced in and downplayed in the media.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    St Chad's (Sunderland) Result: LAB - 40.8% CON - 35.1% UKIP - 21.1% LDEM - 3.1%
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    MikeK said:

    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Well it won't be me @saddened 'course I'm of to bed at 01:00 hrs prompt no matter what happens. Though you yourself might be slightly sick by morning.
    I'll never be sick enough to vote for the kippers.

  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m
    St Chad's (Sunderland) Result:
    LAB - 40.8%
    CON - 35.1%
    UKIP - 21.1%
    LDEM - 3.1%
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,466
    MikeK said:

    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Well it won't be me @saddened 'course I'm of to bed at 01:00 hrs prompt no matter what happens. Though you yourself might be slightly sick by morning.
    Very wise, Mike.

    I have the feeling you'll be enjoying some sweet dreams.

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    Sunderland is my home town and the UKIP scores are very high - in mostly very safe Labour wards - if this is reflected elsewhere it is not great news for Labour.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    St Chad`s Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    O
    Margaret CROSBY
    Liberal Democrats
    90
    Gillian GALBRAITH
    Labour Party Candidate
    1,180
    Jamie Lee NAST
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    610
    Keith Charles O`BRIEN
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    1,015
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,624
    maaarsh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    In the Euros?

    Nah: this is Farage's night. UKIP is 5% ahead of the field and he's single handed reinvigorated British poltics.

    Good for you, Nigel.
    Shame his nemisis the EU have decided that council results will get all the publicity, and by the time UKIP's big win is announced it will be priced in and downplayed in the media.
    I'd rather be front page on Monday morning than lost in the detrius of council results over the next 48 hours
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    rcs1000 said:

    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    In the Euros?

    Nah: this is Farage's night. UKIP is 5% ahead of the field and he's single handed reinvigorated British poltics.

    Good for you, Nigel.
    The 5% ahead was based on low turnout assumptions though, right?
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    MikeK said:

    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m
    St Chad's (Sunderland) Result:
    LAB - 40.8%
    CON - 35.1%
    UKIP - 21.1%
    LDEM - 3.1%

    Labour gain from Conservatives
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    MineForNothing ‏@minefornothing 9m
    Rumour that UKIP has taken Hull
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2014
    Looks like UKIP are going from nothing to about 25-30% in Sunderland. You'd expect them to do a bit better in the Euro elections, with some people voting Lab in the locals and UKIP in the Euros.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    rcs1000 said:

    maaarsh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    In the Euros?

    Nah: this is Farage's night. UKIP is 5% ahead of the field and he's single handed reinvigorated British poltics.

    Good for you, Nigel.
    Shame his nemisis the EU have decided that council results will get all the publicity, and by the time UKIP's big win is announced it will be priced in and downplayed in the media.
    I'd rather be front page on Monday morning than lost in the detrius of council results over the next 48 hours
    PB will remember the election then, but it will be old news for most people - lots will simply wonder why its front page and believe they heard it earlier, not knowing the count was delayed.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,121
    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Hopefully not me :)
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    "Ray Finch UKIP ‏@raymondfinch 49m
    @Helio_Spherical @DanHannanMEP Conservatives only need 9%. Lets hope they only get that. After Mr. Hannan, it is EUphiles all the way."

    twitter.com/raymondfinch/status/469595205063417856
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Lead story on the Express tomorrow:

    http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/477557/Conservatives-failing-in-bid-to-cut-migration-as-it-RISES-20-per-cent

    This news coming at the same time as the Tories are solidly beaten by UKIP in the Euro will surely force Cameron to act. People in wealthy metropolitan circles think of immigration as this difficult issue that flares up now and again, but they forget about it when the newspapers aren't running with it for a while. But as long as half a million people turn up in this country every year, it's going to continue to drive people's politics. Most people in this country actually quite like British culture, and they can tell it's getting diluted year on year. Any Conservative party that doesn't get a grip on this will just do poorer and poorer.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,624
    Socrates said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Socrates said:

    Reading all the anecdotes from the last couple of threads makes it sound like turnout is up a fair bit. That has to mean Labour are most likely to win, no?

    In the Euros?

    Nah: this is Farage's night. UKIP is 5% ahead of the field and he's single handed reinvigorated British poltics.

    Good for you, Nigel.
    The 5% ahead was based on low turnout assumptions though, right?
    No. Nigel Farage has gotten people voting again. He's gotten people caring again. He's making people argue and discuss politics in a way that hasn't happened since 1997.

    KIppers by 5 in the Euros.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    MikeK said:

    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m
    St Chad's (Sunderland) Result:
    LAB - 40.8%
    CON - 35.1%
    UKIP - 21.1%
    LDEM - 3.1%

    Labour gain from Conservatives
    Vote silly - get Mili - the weird one.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    MikeK said:

    MineForNothing ‏@minefornothing 9m
    Rumour that UKIP has taken Hull

    Well that'll bugger up my calculator! Hadn't anticipated UKIP actually gaining a council. Will have to do some triage if it is true
  • Freggles said:

    RochdalePioneers, amazed someone on here lives so close to me (same Council)!

    Sadly didn't check how turnout had been when I went to vote.

    Are you south of the rivet? We are plagued be loons who want the likes of Thornaby and Yarm to secede from Stockton and "join Yorkshire". That we're already in Yorkshire (sadly, as a Lancastrian...) its bloody daft.
    Sounds like a great idea!
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 25s
    #RUMOUR that UKIP have won seats on Kingston (London) Council. UKIP candidate says he will pass out if true.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 32s

    #RUMOUR that UKIP have won seats on Kingston (London) Council. UKIP candidate says he will pass out if true.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,466
    @RichardN

    "....Bodes well for my Euros bets, where I'm a bit stuffed if Labour come first."

    So you and I are in the same boat tonite, Richard!

    Don't know about you but I am already beginning to feel fairly relaxed. In fact I might even turn in now and let others sweat over the results till the wee small hours.

    Nite all.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Vote UKIP, get Labour?

    It is beginning to look good for my Euro Trifactor UKIP/Con/Lab at 16/1

    Thanks Shadsy!
    marke09 said:

    Declaration of Result of Poll
    St Chad`s Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    O
    Margaret CROSBY
    Liberal Democrats
    90
    Gillian GALBRAITH
    Labour Party Candidate
    1,180
    Jamie Lee NAST
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    610
    Keith Charles O`BRIEN
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    1,015

  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    "TomFowdy
    @Tom_Fowdy
    #UKIP are possibly close to winning their first seat in #Sunderland with a mega close tie and continual recounts for the hetton ward!"

    twitter.com/Tom_Fowdy/status/469607099375566850
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,121
    Vote 2014 on the BBC right now!
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    UKIP consistently 2nd in Sunderland Area - close but no cigar. (Reminds me of the 2010 election when the LDs did the same)
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    MikeK said:

    MineForNothing ‏@minefornothing 9m
    Rumour that UKIP has taken Hull

    That is impossible even if they won every single seat
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Is David Dimbleby out of sync for anyone else?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Charming
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Tories actually hold a Sunderland Seat! St Michael's
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    @RichardN

    "....Bodes well for my Euros bets, where I'm a bit stuffed if Labour come first."

    So you and I are in the same boat tonite, Richard!

    Don't know about you but I am already beginning to feel fairly relaxed. In fact I might even turn in now and let others sweat over the results till the wee small hours.

    Nite all.

    Yes, I'm going to bed. I shall sleep soundly. G'night.
  • MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523

    "TomFowdy
    @Tom_Fowdy
    #UKIP are possibly close to winning their first seat in #Sunderland with a mega close tie and continual recounts for the hetton ward!"

    twitter.com/Tom_Fowdy/status/469607099375566850

    if Con had scrapped postal votes Lab would be getting slaughtered tonight
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    UKIP council total now added!
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    ritain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 1m

    Barnes (Sunderland) Result: LAB - 41.1% CON - 37.3% UKIP - 17.6% LDEM - 4.0%
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    BBC decline accelerates..

    @LadPolitics: Joey Barton on #bbcqt next week? I feel a range of special bets are called for.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    AndyJS said:

    Is David Dimbleby out of sync for anyone else?

    Yes, he's about 25 years late
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,121
    AndyJS said:

    Is David Dimbleby out of sync for anyone else?

    Yes he is!

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Popular vote so far in Sunderland:

    Lab 48%
    Con 24%
    UKIP 22%
    Green 3%
    LD 3%
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2014
    AndyJS said:

    Looks like UKIP are going from nothing to about 25-30% in Sunderland. You'd expect them to do a bit better in the Euro elections, with some people voting Lab in the locals and UKIP in the Euros.

    Remember ComRes marginals for NE (Stockton South) with a sample of 32: UKIP 36% ,CON 33%, LAB 24%, LD 2%.
    Ted Strike(r) is going to land that seat it seems on the UKIP airport.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    RobD said:

    MikeK said:

    MineForNothing ‏@minefornothing 9m
    Rumour that UKIP has taken Hull

    Well that'll bugger up my calculator! Hadn't anticipated UKIP actually gaining a council. Will have to do some triage if it is true
    Well UKIP did win the most votes in Hull in the 2009 Euro elections so not a huge surprise.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    St Michael`s Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    P
    Vincent Gray COSTELLO
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    606
    Michael DIXON
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    1,501
    Rachel Sara FEATHERSTONE
    Green Party Candidate
    250
    Zafer IQBAL
    Labour Party Candidate
    866
    Andrew WOOD
    Liberal Democrats
    131
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    edited May 2014
    OOPS!
  • MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    isam said:

    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Charming
    Twitter will be full of death and kipper related comments tonight.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,834

    MikeK said:

    MineForNothing ‏@minefornothing 9m
    Rumour that UKIP has taken Hull

    That is impossible even if they won every single seat
    Indeed - and a good example of why Twitter is only a useful source of information if those posting are reliable and know what they're talking about.

    Of course, they might mean UKIP has finished first in Hull, or is on track to win most seats in this round. Or maybe it's just a rumour with no great foundation.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    RobD said:

    St. Michael's LAB gain from CON.

    Not what everyone else is saying. UKIP nearly push Lab to 3rd.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Just beat Emily Maitlis to it with the Sunderland shares!
  • dodradedodrade Posts: 597
    I'm going to be at one of the Northern Ireland council counts tomorrow morning. I don't know how many on here have experience of a STV count but it can be quite exciting as candidates are eliminated and transfers and vote management makes the difference in deciding the latter seats. Last time the final council seat in my area was decided by a half vote surplus.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Y0kel said:

    In NI, we have both local council elections for the new merged councils (going from 26 to 11) and, of course, the Euros.

    We have also had the absolute implosion of NI's newest party, the god awfully named NI21 which started as a liberal unionist party under the auspices of two ex UUP MLAs (Basil McCrea & John McCallister). 48 hours before the elections, the two MLAs decided to have a complete separation and the party is on its knees.

    Nominally the issue is one about designation in the NI Assembly, the party was designated Unionist then suddenly Basil McCrea decided it should be 'other' promptly hacking off McCallister.

    This is just one mere outward symptom of the problem, which is actually Basil McCrea, who has an ego the size of a small province. The man has poor judgement and I suspect is not going to come out of this well. Believe me some serious stories about this guy.

    Meanwhile the germ of an idea that had potential, that of a Unionist party for those that didn't want to wear a Sash, has been shat upon.

    That's a real shame. I sat next to McCallister at dinner a couple off years back and really liked what he was trying to do
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Declaration of Result of Poll
    Washington Central Ward
    on Thursday, 22 May 2014
    Name of Candidate
    Votes
    Election of a City Councillor for
    V
    Anne GRIFFIN
    Liberal Democrats
    137
    Marjorie MATTHEWS
    The Conservative Party Candidate
    343
    Erland Max Howard POLDEN
    UK Independence Party (UK I P)
    939
    Linda WILLIAMS
    Labour Party Candidate
    1,624
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    maaarsh said:

    RobD said:

    St. Michael's LAB gain from CON.

    Not what everyone else is saying. UKIP nearly push Lab to 3rd.
    Yeah made a boo-boo there!
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Britain Elects 2014 ‏@britainelects 4m

    St Michael's (Sunderland) CON - 44.8% LAB - 25.8% UKIP - 18.1% GRN - 7.5% LDEM - 3.9%
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    "TomFowdy
    @Tom_Fowdy
    #UKIP are possibly close to winning their first seat in #Sunderland with a mega close tie and continual recounts for the hetton ward!"

    twitter.com/Tom_Fowdy/status/469607099375566850

    I've had enough of rumours, give me results for a change.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    RobD said:

    OOPS!


    I think you'll find that was a comfortable Con hold
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,591
    No Kipper on the BBC panel. Pretty inexcusable given how well they did in the last council elections.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,033
    felix said:

    RobD said:

    OOPS!


    I think you'll find that was a comfortable Con hold
    Yep misread the tweet! Mea culpa.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Joey Barton is a psycho, but he is an intelligent and generally articulate psycho, as well as quite a good footballer.


    TGOHF said:

    BBC decline accelerates..

    @LadPolitics: Joey Barton on #bbcqt next week? I feel a range of special bets are called for.

  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    isam said:

    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Charming
    Do you not feel that some people are being a little over excited? The way things are going the least that can be expected will be a severe attack of the vapours.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    What's the turnout looking less like so far? L
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Oh God, I despise Chuka Umunna. Already doing an attempt "statesmanlike" pose. Prat.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    I am available for virtual CPR.
    saddened said:

    isam said:

    saddened said:

    Any bookies got odds up for which of the kippers on here is going to be first to have a stroke tonight?

    Charming
    Do you not feel that some people are being a little over excited? The way things are going the least that can be expected will be a severe attack of the vapours.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Anyone have the other figures for St Michael's apart from Con 1501, Lab 866?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,121
    AndyJS said:

    Just beat Emily Maitlis to it with the Sunderland shares!

    UKIP up 24%, LDs down 15%?
This discussion has been closed.