Sweden official result: Social Democrats 23.7% -0.9 Moderates 16.7 +3.2 Sweden Democrats 15.6 +5.7 Centre 10.7 +4.2 Greens 11.4 -3.8 Left 6.8 +0.5 Christian Democrats 8.6 +2.7 Liberals 4.1 -5.8
> @bigjohnowls said: > Andrew Hawkins > > > @Andrew_ComRes > Follow Follow @Andrew_ComRes > More > We can now publish postal votes from final @ComRes poll (before T May's speech) based on 20% of total voting sample: > BRX 34% > Lab 22% > Con 12% > LD 11% > CHUK 5% > Other (inc Grn) 12% > #EuropeanElectionResults<
++++
Either the pollsters have lost their minds, or the British people are now consistently and deliberately lying.
> @Sean_F said: > > @Casino_Royale said: > > Gentleman Jack? > > > > What nonsense is this? > > Titillating historical drama about lesbians is all the rage. Slow. Its 17th century transgenderism now.
> @Byronic said: > > @bigjohnowls said: > > Andrew Hawkins > > > > > > @Andrew_ComRes > > Follow Follow @Andrew_ComRes > > More > > We can now publish postal votes from final @ComRes poll (before T May's speech) based on 20% of total voting sample: > > BRX 34% > > Lab 22% > > Con 12% > > LD 11% > > CHUK 5% > > Other (inc Grn) 12% > > #EuropeanElectionResults< > > ++++ > > Either the pollsters have lost their minds, or the British people are now consistently and deliberately lying.
Or people who use postal votes are older and less likely to change their votes.
> @rcs1000 said: > > @Byronic said: > > > @bigjohnowls said: > > > Andrew Hawkins > > > > > > > > > @Andrew_ComRes > > > Follow Follow @Andrew_ComRes > > > More > > > We can now publish postal votes from final @ComRes poll (before T May's speech) based on 20% of total voting sample: > > > BRX 34% > > > Lab 22% > > > Con 12% > > > LD 11% > > > CHUK 5% > > > Other (inc Grn) 12% > > > #EuropeanElectionResults< > > > > ++++ > > > > Either the pollsters have lost their minds, or the British people are now consistently and deliberately lying. > > Or people who use postal votes are older and less likely to change their votes.
The Lib Dem surge probably came too late for many postal voters.
It has to be remembered the polling was not great but not disastrous for them, it is possible they will do ok in plenty of areas - but there's been so many reports of bad results for them that it is probably the case they are down more than they would have expected.
> @RobD said: > > @Sean_F said: > > > @RochdalePioneers said: > > > Brexit Party got 43% here in Stockton. Lab 2nd with 17%, LDs 3rd with 14% > > > > Bugger me senseless. > > > > I have no idea how to calibrate these numbers though. That could be good/bad for Brexit or LD!
> @StuartDickson said: > > @Black_Rook said: > > It is not impossible that Labour could be simultaneously wiped out in the North-East and in Wales tonight. > > And Scotland?
Interesting that in the Leeds result the combined Lib Dem/Green vote was higher than the Brexit party vote. Was Leeds for Remain or Leave in the referendum?
> @AndyJS said: > 57% in Leeds voting for Remain parties if you include Labour.
But it isn't as simple as that. I suspect a good percentage of the Labour Remain vote jumped ship - so it could be that the rump is either ambivalent or Leave. We just can't tell.
Comments
> Jeremy Corbyn is 70 today (says the BBC). He is too old for this game.
>
>
"But I've learnt so much!"
Social Democrats 23.7% -0.9
Moderates 16.7 +3.2
Sweden Democrats 15.6 +5.7
Centre 10.7 +4.2
Greens 11.4 -3.8
Left 6.8 +0.5
Christian Democrats 8.6 +2.7
Liberals 4.1 -5.8
> Brexit 17307
> Lib Dem 18706
> Conservative 4863
> Labour 5563
> Green 4663
> Change 2062
>
> Sutton result
Here we go!
> Andrew Hawkins
>
>
> @Andrew_ComRes
> Follow Follow @Andrew_ComRes
> More
> We can now publish postal votes from final @ComRes poll (before T May's speech) based on 20% of total voting sample:
> BRX 34%
> Lab 22%
> Con 12%
> LD 11%
> CHUK 5%
> Other (inc Grn) 12%
> #EuropeanElectionResults<
++++
Either the pollsters have lost their minds, or the British people are now consistently and deliberately lying.
> Italy
>
> Exit poll for La7
>
> Lega 26-29
> PD 21-24
> 5 Stars 20-23
> Forza Italia 9-11
> Brothers of Italy 5-7
> +Europa
>
>
> Exit poll for Rai
>
> Lega 27-31
> PD 21-25
> 5 Stars 18.5-22.5
> Forza Italia 8-12
> Brothers of Italy 5-7.5
> +Europa 2.5-4.5
Comfortable win for Legs and Salvini
> Gentleman Jack?
>
> What nonsense is this?
A side of JackW we have never seen before....
> Brexit 17307
> Lib Dem 18706
> Conservative 4863
> Labour 5563
> Green 4663
> Change 2062
>
> Sutton result
Sutton voted Leave, but it's also a LD stronghold.
> > @Casino_Royale said:
> > Gentleman Jack?
> >
> > What nonsense is this?
>
> Titillating historical drama about lesbians is all the rage.
Slow. Its 17th century transgenderism now.
> > @bigjohnowls said:
> > Andrew Hawkins
> >
> >
> > @Andrew_ComRes
> > Follow Follow @Andrew_ComRes
> > More
> > We can now publish postal votes from final @ComRes poll (before T May's speech) based on 20% of total voting sample:
> > BRX 34%
> > Lab 22%
> > Con 12%
> > LD 11%
> > CHUK 5%
> > Other (inc Grn) 12%
> > #EuropeanElectionResults<
>
> ++++
>
> Either the pollsters have lost their minds, or the British people are now consistently and deliberately lying.
Or people who use postal votes are older and less likely to change their votes.
> https://twitter.com/rosschawkins/status/1132753957829390336
Labour 5th in Chelmsford, with barely a tenth of the Brexit vote.....
> https://twitter.com/Andrew_ComRes/status/1132753238657241089?s=20<;
++++
Ah, wait, is this postal votes???
Confused.
@britainelects
Following Following @britainelects
More
Corby (East Midlands) result:
Brex: 40.2% (+40.2)
Lab: 23.1% (-15.5)
LDem: 11.7% (+9.0)
Grn: 7.6% (+4.1)
Con: 7.3% (-8.9)
UKIP: 5.3% (-29.7)
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1132753092318060546
https://twitter.com/Andrew_ComRes/status/1132753238657241089
https://twitter.com/rosschawkins/status/1132753616778006528
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1132754031825293312
https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1132754215321952257
https://twitter.com/RaynerSkyNews/status/1132752307165310976
BRX 19113
LD 13572
Con 4639
Green 4503
Lab 2237
CUK 1555
UKIP 1351
BP 40
Lab 23
LD 12
Green 8
Tory 7
UKIP 5
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132754473095454720
https://twitter.com/rosschawkins/status/1132753957829390336
++++++++++
Chelmsford votes 51:49 for Leave, so could be a fairly decent proxy for the country. Good result for the LDs there.
> > @Byronic said:
> > > @bigjohnowls said:
> > > Andrew Hawkins
> > >
> > >
> > > @Andrew_ComRes
> > > Follow Follow @Andrew_ComRes
> > > More
> > > We can now publish postal votes from final @ComRes poll (before T May's speech) based on 20% of total voting sample:
> > > BRX 34%
> > > Lab 22%
> > > Con 12%
> > > LD 11%
> > > CHUK 5%
> > > Other (inc Grn) 12%
> > > #EuropeanElectionResults<
> >
> > ++++
> >
> > Either the pollsters have lost their minds, or the British people are now consistently and deliberately lying.
>
> Or people who use postal votes are older and less likely to change their votes.
The Lib Dem surge probably came too late for many postal voters.
> https://twitter.com/hnjsamuels/status/1132754465528926208
Hm, not sure that's how this works
> Chelmsford:
>
> BRX 19113
> LD 13572
> Con 4639
> Green 4503
> Lab 2237
> CUK 1555
> UKIP 1351
Con 9.8% touch and go for 1 MEP
Lab 5th!!!
> Brexit Party got 43% here in Stockton. Lab 2nd with 17%, LDs 3rd with 14%
Replicate that across the NE, with far stronger Labour hating seats likely to swing LD than here, and I stand by my BXP 2 LD 1 forecast
> > @timmo said:
> > Brexit 17307
> > Lib Dem 18706
> > Conservative 4863
> > Labour 5563
> > Green 4663
> > Change 2062
> >
> > Sutton result
>
> Here we go!
Interesting Sutton voted to leave by 53 v 47. Yet Lib Dems top there .
> I am ready, man! Ready to get it on!
I got a bad feeling about this drop...
> > @timmo said:
> > Brexit 17307
> > Lib Dem 18706
> > Conservative 4863
> > Labour 5563
> > Green 4663
> > Change 2062
> >
> > Sutton result
>
> Sutton voted Leave, but it's also a LD stronghold.
More of a weakhold these days.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132755057919844353
@britainelects
Following Following @britainelects
More
Folkestone & Hythe (South East) result:
Brex: 48.4% (+48.4)
LDem: 15.6% (+10.6)
Grn: 15.4% (+6.2)
Con: 8.0% (-18.8)
Lab: 6.0% (-4.1)
> Brexit Party got 43% here in Stockton. Lab 2nd with 17%, LDs 3rd with 14%
Bugger me senseless.
This is best for LA results
That didn't take long...
> The Greek government has just collapsed
>
> That didn't take long...
> The Greek government has just collapsed
>
> That didn't take long...
Must have been a heck of an exit poll!
> > @RochdalePioneers said:
> > Brexit Party got 43% here in Stockton. Lab 2nd with 17%, LDs 3rd with 14%
>
> Bugger me senseless.
>
I have no idea how to calibrate these numbers though. That could be good/bad for Brexit or LD!
BRX 29%
Lab 20%
LD 18%
Green 16%
Con 7%
YP 3%
UKIP 3%
ChangeUK 3%
> > @Sean_F said:
> > > @RochdalePioneers said:
> > > Brexit Party got 43% here in Stockton. Lab 2nd with 17%, LDs 3rd with 14%
> >
> > Bugger me senseless.
> >
>
> I have no idea how to calibrate these numbers though. That could be good/bad for Brexit or LD!
Those are staggering numbers for TBP.
> Anyone sticking with Tory beating Labour?
I wouldn't.
Brexit party wins Leeds city by 9 per Cent - good showing for the Greens and LDs
In Leeds Labour down 13 ,Lib Dems up 12.
Wake up Corbyn !
> My (gut) feel is that these numbers are pointing to BRX 33-35%, LDs 20%.
>
+1
I'd suggest it's going to be a terrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrible night for the Tories.
Of poor old CHUK, the less said the better...
> It is not impossible that Labour could be simultaneously wiped out in the North-East and in Wales tonight.
And Scotland?
> https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1132756197696856070
Soon to be ex-MEP???
> https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132756123646341121
I don’t know what’s more amazing, Labour fourth or the Conservatives sixth.
F***ing Hell!
> My (gut) feel is that these numbers are pointing to BRX 33-35%, LDs 20%.
>
Labour not doing badly enough for me to win my bet, I fear.
> > @Black_Rook said:
> > It is not impossible that Labour could be simultaneously wiped out in the North-East and in Wales tonight.
>
> And Scotland?
They exist in Scotland?
> https://twitter.com/hnjsamuels/status/1132754465528926208
>
>
>
> High CUK score - any hope of them grabbing a seat in London?
Their best shot but probably 3/1, if that
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132756123646341121
++++++++++++++++++
That's a staggering Conservative collapse, and an incredible Green performance.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132755675325587456
> https://twitter.com/helenpidd/status/1132755661878628352
How are you ukip getting 6000 votes when BXP are getting 50% of the vote
> https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132756123646341121
24% for the Greens in Sheffield is pretty amazing. They'll be pretty disappointed if none of all this translates into seats, though.
> Italy
>
> Exit poll for La
> Lega 26-29
> PD 21-24
> 5 Stars 20-23
> Forza Italia 9-11
> Brothers of Italy 5-7
> +Europa 2.5-3.5
>
> Exit poll for Rai
>
> Lega 27-31
> PD 21-25
> 5 Stars 18.5-22.5
> Forza Italia 8-12
> Brothers of Italy 5-7.5
> +Europa 2.5-4.5
>
> Poor for Lega.
Lega up 20 to 25% on 2014 and easily first hardly poor
> My (gut) feel is that these numbers are pointing to BRX 33-35%, LDs 20%.
>
I'm thinking more like 35-38% for TBP.
> Tory worse nightmares looking possible?
These results are far worse than I was expecting for the Tories, and I was expecting them to get about 12% overall.
Sheffield (Yorkshire & the Humber) result: Brex: 28.1% (+28.1) Grn: 24.8% (+12.6) LDem: 18.1% (+8.0) Lab: 17.0% (-16.6) UKIP: 3.9% (-23.8) Con: 3.4% (-7.4)
Lab: 23.9% (-9.3)
LDem: 22.7% (+18.8)
Brex: 22.1% (+22.1)
Grn: 11.4% (+4.4)
Con: 10.8% (-16.5)
> > @TheScreamingEagles said:
> > https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132756123646341121
>
> I don’t know what’s more amazing, Labour fourth or the Conservatives sixth.
Or the Green Party within a gnats wotsit of winning
> 57% in Leeds voting for Remain parties if you include Labour.
But it isn't as simple as that. I suspect a good percentage of the Labour Remain vote jumped ship - so it could be that the rump is either ambivalent or Leave. We just can't tell.
> 57% in Leeds voting for Remain parties if you include Labour.
You shouldn't.
> Anyone sticking with Tory beating Labour?
Tories look like they'll be lucky to beat the Greens.