politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bad news for TMay from ConHome – nearly two thirds of members
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STFU Andrew Neil.0
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Here goes!0
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why does TM get to vote in a confidence motion in herself? surely she'd vote yes...0
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She wins it.. but by how much...0
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She's won!!0
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Brady should have brought his shredder.0
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too much clapping for the result to be announced...0
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Because she is a Conservative MP.spudgfsh said:why does TM get to vote in a confidence motion in herself? surely she'd vote yes...
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tell us the bloody numbers!0
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200 - 1170
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Ooh, quite high...0
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Yes 200
Against 117
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NOTHING HAS CHANGED0
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Result...
May: 200
Not May: 117
Majority: 830 -
Very high against.0
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200 for
117 against0 -
Oooooh!0
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Told you.0
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Not as good as expected, but not bad...0
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117 against, about 35%0
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If this man were in America, he'd be banned under the eighth amendment given how he's dragging it out.
That's a higher number against than was expected, though.0 -
Hooph !0
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Hmm.0
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117 against - surely she can’t carry on now.0
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That's a bit shyte0
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They cancelled the Apprentice for this...who do I complain to?0
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200-117. That’s closer than expected. 37% against.0
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117
Uncomfortable number.....0 -
Yeuch, not great for May. I thought 200 was the minimum and that is what she got.0
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Respect the will of people you ERGers.0
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36.9% not confident. That's not good.0
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110-129 via betfair. My feed is behind lol0
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BBC website still claims it's due on at 9.10....FrancisUrquhart said:They cancelled the Apprentice for this...who do I complain to?
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Yes she can and she willAmpfieldAndy said:117 against - surely she can’t carry on now.
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Soooo, 117 votes against, plus various MPs like Sam wotzit who said voted for May won't vote for the deal means the Deal gets defeated by 200+0
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Wow I got the positives spot on! If only I had placed a bet0
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S
Apart from losing a third of her MP's support.TheWhiteRabbit said:NOTHING HAS CHANGED
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Here goes Laura spinning this as a victory for the ERG.0
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That's more votes than she got last time round0
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And....
The Good Ship May Sails On Serenely.0 -
Excluding the payroll vote, what were the percentages?0
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About the worst possible result possible. Broken but not buried.0
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She needed a majority of one. She can go on for as long as she likes.AmpfieldAndy said:117 against - surely she can’t carry on now.
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Sweet Jesus. 200 high enough to claim a win. 117 *more* than high enough to inflict real damage. Worst possible result.0
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I think she has to resign, a third of her MPs just voted against her. Not sure where this goes now.0
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63% : 37% = Unconvincing.0
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God damn it, I had money on at 13-1 that it would be 130 against. Pretty close.0
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So.… the Tory party's a bit fucked....0
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Jacob Rees-Mogg looking very sour.0
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For May 200 Against 117
Clear win for May0 -
Nobody abstained! COWARDS!0
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The swivel-eyed loons will be empowered by this.0
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I suspect that's enough of a vote against to spare the ERG blushes. Theresa May strong enough to continue, but not a,ringing endorsement - feels the party is as unenthusiastic as the country.0
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63%/37%. Borderline enough - it wouldn't have been under the old system of course.0
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Anyone who thinks that May will resign surely must know a different May. She will cling on for as long as possible.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes she can and she willAmpfieldAndy said:117 against - surely she can’t carry on now.
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Toast
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Definitely some Cabinet Ministers with leadership ambitions voted no confidence IMO0
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Not very comfortable.0
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IIRC only 1 more than the leadership election0
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That's just about as bad as it gets for the Tories.0
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She won't...it will be nothing has changed, getting on with the job, seeing Brexit through, yadda yadda yadda.MaxPB said:I think she has to resign, a third of her MPs just voted against her. Not sure where this goes now.
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Tbh, it probably is.Benpointer said:Here goes Laura spinning this as a victory for the ERG.
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She can’t get anything done with that result. It’s a terrible result for her. Over half her vote was payroll result. She’s safe from another challenge but she’s a lame duck.TheScreamingEagles said:Respect the will of people you ERGers.
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JRM talking nonsense - pretending 100% of payroll vote will have voted for May.0
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She was right to pull the deal vote, she would have lost very, very badly.0
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Moggster: "A terrrrrrribbbbbbble night for the Tory Prime Minister...."0
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Major would have resigned with this result.Philip_Thompson said:36.9% not confident. That's not good.
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JRM being an arse. Quelle suprise.0
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What a load of old bollocks that was.0
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Hard to say what could really be regarded as a 'good' result, or what would be 'enough'. But just at a glance well over 100 against feels like too many, and not being able to even say "2/3 were with her" feels like a big deal.0
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Poor Theresa, she has to stay as Tory leader.0
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Dried toast that will stay in the kitchen all day.Chris_A said:Toast
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Clear she needs Labour support. So a different, softer, deal or a referendum. SimpleMaxPB said:
Tbh, it probably is.Benpointer said:Here goes Laura spinning this as a victory for the ERG.
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The one time we don't have an official competition I get it almost bang on (though I don't know if someone did even better).0
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JRM doing his party immense harm in this interview on BBC 1.ydoethur said:Jacob Rees-Mogg looking very sour.
Max, if you're worried about the future of the Conservative Party, your first concern should be the words and actions of the ERGers. It doesn't matter if you agree with them or not; they are ripping the party apart.-1 -
It's in that annoying, above 100 against, but less than 125 against range where she's wounded but probably not fatally.
She stumbles on.... but for how long?0 -
Major was facing John Redwood. May was facing, essentially, everybody else.SandyRentool said:
Major would have resigned with this result.
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She does not have the votes for her deal. She has to offer Labour something big.0
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Well the ERG have probably just handed the keys to Corbyn for No10.0
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She's not Major.SandyRentool said:
Major would have resigned with this result.Philip_Thompson said:36.9% not confident. That's not good.
She'll have to dragged kicking and screaming, fingertip by fingertip from Number 10 like El Gord was.
200 in her favour is more than enough for her to brazen it out for another year.0 -
At least The Apprentice is still on.0
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It’s not though is it.tottenhamWC said:
Clear she needs Labour support. So a different, softer, deal or a referendum. SimpleMaxPB said:
Tbh, it probably is.Benpointer said:Here goes Laura spinning this as a victory for the ERG.
Too late to change the deal. So where does she go from here?
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If she didn’t have to pass Brexit.GIN1138 said:
She's not Major.SandyRentool said:
Major would have resigned with this result.Philip_Thompson said:36.9% not confident. That's not good.
She'll have to dragged kicking and screaming, fingertip by fingertip from Number 10.
200 in her favour is more than enough for her to brazen it out for another year.0 -
No challenges to her for a year then.0
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Yep. Meanwhile JRM is left trying to mount an argument that 37% are right and 63% are wrong...tottenhamWC said:
Clear she needs Labour support. So a different, softer, deal or a referendum. SimpleMaxPB said:
Tbh, it probably is.Benpointer said:Here goes Laura spinning this as a victory for the ERG.
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Mogg: "Under constitutional norms she ought to go and see the Queen and resign’0
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She was the only candidate this time.Scott_P said:That's more votes than she got last time round
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or equally anybody except her....Andrew said:
Major was facing John Redwood. May was facing, essentially, everybody else.SandyRentool said:
Major would have resigned with this result.0
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