politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from anothe
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Presser delayed until 17:15.0
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Someone about to resign?AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Presser delayed until 17:15.
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48 letters would go through a few quills. I'd feel bad for his raven familiarIanB2 said:Nice use of the word "different" in the lead, as if 48 letters from Mr Mogg might otherwise count.
She will survive the vote; the only question is whether by a clear margin, or as damaged goods like Mrs T in her first round against Heseltine.0 -
Full press conference coming up0
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It has the crest, but i guess she could be resigning as PM in that case.0
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If the polls start moving 60/40 remain or more, suspect it will be very possible to argue that having another referendum (now that the facts are known, especially vs. no deal) is the most democratic option0
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It would be out of characterSlackbladder said:It has the crest, but i guess she could be resigning as PM in that case.
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Inevitably given that she can only do it once!Big_G_NorthWales said:
It would be out of characterSlackbladder said:It has the crest, but i guess she could be resigning as PM in that case.
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That seems to be the way things are going today.Mortimer said:
Someone about to resign?AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Presser delayed until 17:15.
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Yes, Cameron had the crest on the podium when he made his resignation speech.Slackbladder said:It has the crest, but i guess she could be resigning as PM in that case.
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But she is bleeding authority as Cabinet Ministers resign/threaten to do so behind the scenes......Big_G_NorthWales said:
It would be out of characterSlackbladder said:It has the crest, but i guess she could be resigning as PM in that case.
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ThanksCarlottaVance said:May press conference:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p4mSDZiBPrI&feature=youtu.be0 -
But there's no time left for anyone else to negotiate it. Yes you might get fired, but the company has to accept the deal you negotiated or go under.MarqueeMark said:
It follows I have no future with the company. Somebody else has to get the deal.rpjs said:
If the deal is vital for the comany's future, then it follows that if the Board rejects it the company has no future.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
May?Mortimer said:
Someone about to resign?AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Presser delayed until 17:15.
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Where's Penny Mordaunt? Haven't heard anything from her since her private ultimatum with the PM.0
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Maybe that's the "family emergency".grabcocque said:Where's Penny Mordaunt? Haven't heard anything from her since her private ultimatum with the PM.
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No seal is better than a bad seal.0
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No the company has to get a new deal which the Board can accept.rpjs said:
But there's no time left for anyone else to negotiate it. Yes you might get fired, but the company has to accept the deal you negotiated or go under.MarqueeMark said:
It follows I have no future with the company. Somebody else has to get the deal.rpjs said:
If the deal is vital for the comany's future, then it follows that if the Board rejects it the company has no future.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
And ERG have lost Brexit, spectacular shooting in foot timeMarqueeMark said:
But she is bleeding authority as Cabinet Ministers resign/threaten to do so behind the scenes......Big_G_NorthWales said:
It would be out of characterSlackbladder said:It has the crest, but i guess she could be resigning as PM in that case.
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If someone resigns during Mays press conference they deserve an infinite amount of shit heaped upon them.
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Damian Hinds still trying to flog the deal on Beeb News.
Best guess: 'I fight on, I fight to win'.0 -
You think May is holding someone from her family hostage?old_labour said:
Maybe that's the "family emergency".grabcocque said:Where's Penny Mordaunt? Haven't heard anything from her since her private ultimatum with the PM.
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But the deal is "utterly vital for the company's future". If the board can't accept it and no other deal can be made, then...Philip_Thompson said:
No the company has to get a new deal which the Board can accept.rpjs said:
But there's no time left for anyone else to negotiate it. Yes you might get fired, but the company has to accept the deal you negotiated or go under.MarqueeMark said:
It follows I have no future with the company. Somebody else has to get the deal.rpjs said:
If the deal is vital for the comany's future, then it follows that if the Board rejects it the company has no future.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
What's with the shaky camera?!0
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Mark Reckless most likely.Jonathan said:If someone resigns during Mays press conference they deserve an infinite amount of shit heaped upon them.
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Then we remain!rpjs said:
But the deal is "utterly vital for the company's future". If the board can't accept it and no other deal can be made, then...Philip_Thompson said:
No the company has to get a new deal which the Board can accept.rpjs said:
But there's no time left for anyone else to negotiate it. Yes you might get fired, but the company has to accept the deal you negotiated or go under.MarqueeMark said:
It follows I have no future with the company. Somebody else has to get the deal.rpjs said:
If the deal is vital for the comany's future, then it follows that if the Board rejects it the company has no future.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.
Er, I mean the company... remains...0 -
Theresa's looking a lot younger0
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Side issue:
If it comes to a fist fight between Huw Edwards and the shouty protesters disrupting the outside broadcast, my money's on Huw.-1 -
"Love" I can cope with, but any man who calls me "pet" will be in hot water!!OldKingCole said:
Sorry Mr G, as one who is married to a Lancastrian, indeed a Rochdalian, I think Mr P is right, If they were from the North East it would be 'pet'.Big_G_NorthWales said:
I was born in Whitefield but still respect the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
It's indoorsAramintaMoonbeamQC said:Side issue:
If it comes to a fist fight between Huw Edwards and the shouty protesters disrupting the outside broadcast, my money's on Huw.0 -
The mettle she has shown is to give up and accept whatever the Irish have demanded. No shit they'd want that to continue.old_labour said:
A PM who showed real mettle in meaning what they say when they say that dividing up the UK is unacceptable is the last thing the Irish want.0 -
Where's Larry gone? Does he only come on Telly for the 10pm news?0
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iain watson
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@iainjwatson
I am told PM isnt calling the 5pm press conference because of a confidence vote has been triggered - she will be arguing for her deal0 -
Huw's outside.Benpointer said:
It's indoorsAramintaMoonbeamQC said:Side issue:
If it comes to a fist fight between Huw Edwards and the shouty protesters disrupting the outside broadcast, my money's on Huw.0 -
They are shouting outside Downing Street. Really annoying0
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Corbyn supporter having a W*** at the thought of TMXPM??Benpointer said:What's with the shaky camera?!
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Trying to get Gove to agree to be Brexit Sec.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:Presser delayed until 17:15.
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Going off her past history with things stuck to things, perhaps the seal will fall off at an appropriate moment?0
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What about shawty?Beverley_C said:
"Love" I can cope with, but any man who calls me "pet" will be in hot water!!OldKingCole said:
Sorry Mr G, as one who is married to a Lancastrian, indeed a Rochdalian, I think Mr P is right, If they were from the North East it would be 'pet'.Big_G_NorthWales said:
I was born in Whitefield but still respect the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
Ah right, well he's likely to miss the presser!AramintaMoonbeamQC said:
Huw's outside.Benpointer said:
It's indoorsAramintaMoonbeamQC said:Side issue:
If it comes to a fist fight between Huw Edwards and the shouty protesters disrupting the outside broadcast, my money's on Huw.0 -
Surely not. It is DOA.TheWhiteRabbit said:iain watson
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@iainjwatson
I am told PM isnt calling the 5pm press conference because of a confidence vote has been triggered - she will be arguing for her deal0 -
Mmmm thanks - I've just had my tea too.bigjohnowls said:
Corbyn supporter having a W*** at the thought of TMXPM??Benpointer said:What's with the shaky camera?!
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What are those idiots yelling ?0
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If there were to be a leadership contest who would announce it? Brady or May?
Who announced it when it happened under IDS?0 -
"we want AV and we want it now"Pulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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I wouldn't put it past her - she's nothing if not stubborn.dixiedean said:
Surely not. It is DOA.TheWhiteRabbit said:iain watson
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@iainjwatson
I am told PM isnt calling the 5pm press conference because of a confidence vote has been triggered - she will be arguing for her deal
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"I'm here to announce..." *thumps the podium so the seal falls off* "An election!"RochdalePioneers said:Going off her past history with things stuck to things, perhaps the seal will fall off at an appropriate moment?
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Has May been late for every statement she's ever made?0
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BradyPhilip_Thompson said:If there were to be a leadership contest who would announce it? Brady or May?
Who announced it when it happened under IDS?0 -
Peoples votePulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Sir Michael Spicer who was the Chairman of the 1922.Philip_Thompson said:If there were to be a leadership contest who would announce it? Brady or May?
Who announced it when it happened under IDS?0 -
The door is more interesting than the podium.0
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Not yet.dixiedean said:
Surely not. It is DOA.TheWhiteRabbit said:iain watson
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@iainjwatson
I am told PM isnt calling the 5pm press conference because of a confidence vote has been triggered - she will be arguing for her deal
It has not been put to a vote in the HoC - and then MPs will have to climb down from their windy rhetoric and dip their hands in the blood of 'No Deal' or 'Remain'.0 -
Bloody hell - people protesting for demcracy, eh? Whatever next!Big_G_NorthWales said:
Peoples votePulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Leach is not an opening batsman.Scrapheap_as_was said:
"we want AV and we want it now"Pulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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It is tedious when it goes on throughout the broadcastsBenpointer said:
Bloody hell - people protesting for demcracy, eh? Whatever next!Big_G_NorthWales said:
Peoples votePulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Indeed. I wonder who polished up the handle so carefully?Jonathan said:The door is more interesting than the podium.
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Time for Boris Johnson's water canon just this once.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Peoples votePulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Procedural question - if you withdraw the whip from people who happen to then or have sent no confidence letters do they count?
Just curious.... not a recommendation!0 -
My grandad did some nice wood panelling like that in the seventies.-1
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Right that's it I'm back in the leave camp just to spite those idiots.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Peoples votePulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Perhaps we are reversing the batting order at long last....DavidL said:
Leach is not an opening batsman.Scrapheap_as_was said:
"we want AV and we want it now"Pulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Adam Boulton talking toss about the Tory leadership - saying Brexiteers need a majority of MPs to get one of their people to be leader....
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Mr. Labour, cannon, unless you're referring to an aquatic cleric.0
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He is correctMarqueeMark said:Adam Boulton talking toss about the Tory leadership - saying Brexiteers need a majority of MPs to get one of their people to be leader....
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She will remain stubborn until the end and the final vote in HoC. Unless she is removed.dixiedean said:
Surely not. It is DOA.TheWhiteRabbit said:iain watson
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@iainjwatson
I am told PM isnt calling the 5pm press conference because of a confidence vote has been triggered - she will be arguing for her deal0 -
They don’t count but the the threshold to trigger a VONC is lowered.Scrapheap_as_was said:Procedural question - if you withdraw the whip from people who happen to then or have sent no confidence letters do they count?
Just curious.... not a recommendation!0 -
Ok May slipped out the backdoor and is heading to the border.0
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Colleague of mine thinks Mogg is a dickhead - revealed he votes Tory too (Didn't think he did !), in favour of May.0
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I suggest you look again at the list of 13 people who've publically confirmed they've sent in letters to Brady... that'll turn you again.Pulpstar said:
Right that's it I'm back in the leave camp just to spite those idiots.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Peoples votePulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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Double down in the national interest. But will have a chat with Michel to see if we can move on a couple of bits...
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Well I can understand peoples' concerns about it although how they think their complaints will get to Sri Lanka is not clear to me.Scrapheap_as_was said:
Perhaps we are reversing the batting order at long last....DavidL said:
Leach is not an opening batsman.Scrapheap_as_was said:
"we want AV and we want it now"Pulpstar said:What are those idiots yelling ?
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I don't think so. Providing their candidate is 2nd they could win the membership election. Yuo could (in theory be 2nd) with only a handful of votes.Big_G_NorthWales said:
He is correctMarqueeMark said:Adam Boulton talking toss about the Tory leadership - saying Brexiteers need a majority of MPs to get one of their people to be leader....
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That's fine, as I've said there are good reasons to vote against. That doesn't make the assumptions it is easy to redo true.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
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Oooh... good question.Scrapheap_as_was said:Procedural question - if you withdraw the whip from people who happen to then or have sent no confidence letters do they count?
Just curious.... not a recommendation!0 -
A timely reminder here of her tin ear would surely improve the chances of that. Though her recent podium speeches have tended to bolster her rather than hurt herrottenborough said:
She will remain stubborn until the end and the final vote in HoC. Unless she is removed.dixiedean said:
Surely not. It is DOA.TheWhiteRabbit said:iain watson
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@iainjwatson
I am told PM isnt calling the 5pm press conference because of a confidence vote has been triggered - she will be arguing for her deal0 -
Nice....the threshold by not so much obviously... thank you.TheScreamingEagles said:
They don’t count but the the threshold to trigger a VONC is lowered.Scrapheap_as_was said:Procedural question - if you withdraw the whip from people who happen to then or have sent no confidence letters do they count?
Just curious.... not a recommendation!0 -
Just need to get one more than the guy in third to get to the members.....Big_G_NorthWales said:
He is correctMarqueeMark said:Adam Boulton talking toss about the Tory leadership - saying Brexiteers need a majority of MPs to get one of their people to be leader....
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He’s wrong. You could make the final two and win the leadership with the support of just 32.5% of MPs.Big_G_NorthWales said:
He is correctMarqueeMark said:Adam Boulton talking toss about the Tory leadership - saying Brexiteers need a majority of MPs to get one of their people to be leader....
Is what IDS did.0 -
Very unlikely if the non ERG mps coordinate to keep ERG off the candidatesBenpointer said:
I don't think so. Providing their candidate is 2nd they could win the membership election. Yuo could (in theory be 2nd) with only a handful of votes.Big_G_NorthWales said:
He is correctMarqueeMark said:Adam Boulton talking toss about the Tory leadership - saying Brexiteers need a majority of MPs to get one of their people to be leader....
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Here we go..0
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God she's going!0
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May up.0
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We're off!0
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here we go.0
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She's going to go.0
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Gosh this tone doesn't sound good...0
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stjohn said:
God she's going!</blockquot
Yes. Waffle is cover for fuck you all0 -
Ooh big announcement coming0
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Sounds like she is off!0
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Oi, no spoilers, those of us watching on Sky News internet stream are on a slight delay...0
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Starting well...0
