Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from anothe

145791014

Comments

  • Mr. Stjohn, intro does make it sound that way.
  • or not!
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    She's either going, or she's going for a general election.
  • oh god... this sounds ominous
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    She’s staying, isn’t she.
  • DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Pulpstar said:

    What are those idiots yelling ?

    "we want AV and we want it now"
    Leach is not an opening batsman.
    Perhaps we are reversing the batting order at long last....
    Well I can understand peoples' concerns about it although how they think their complaints will get to Sri Lanka is not clear to me.
    I see Leach faced all the bowling do far in England's second innings.
  • Andrew said:

    She's either going, or she's going for a general election.

    Paging Brenda...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    Andrew said:

    She's either going, or she's going for a general election.

    The crest forbids it!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,690
    She has gone for option 3
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,904
    edited November 2018
    "But it has become clear that I have neither the support of my party, nor of Parliament..."
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    "But it has become clear that I have neither the support of my party, nor of Parliament..."

    An actual quote?
  • She's digging in.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Surely not nothing has changed....?
  • RobD said:

    "But it has become clear that I have neither the support of my party, nor of Parliament..."

    An actual quote?
    No, I'm speculating.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Nothing has changed
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,177
    edited November 2018
    Mortimer said:

    Surely not nothing has changed....?

    I cannot watch it, but in fairness nothing has changed. The rebels have hardened position but it was always their position. She didn't have the numbers and she still doesn't.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    This gag better have a good punch line
  • Looks like stubborn has one the day. She aint going anywhere nor will she budge on the deal.
  • shiney2shiney2 Posts: 672
    Forward To Moscow..

    "Nothing has changed"
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    "I'm also determined to"

    So, option 3
  • RobD said:

    "But it has become clear that I have neither the support of my party, nor of Parliament..."

    An actual quote?
    No
  • Yep. Doubling down...
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389

    RobD said:

    "But it has become clear that I have neither the support of my party, nor of Parliament..."

    An actual quote?
    No, I'm speculating.
    You are naughty
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    YOU TELL EM MAY !!!!!!!!!! :DDDDDDD
  • Looks like stubborn has one the day. She aint going anywhere nor will she budge on the deal.

    Won !!!
  • She is clinging on for dear life
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    That it?
  • TheoTheo Posts: 325

    "I'm also determined to"

    So, option 3

    Good for her. This deal is the only show in town. It successfully squares the circle. It is this or no deal.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    That's it??
  • A stunned silence from the hacks
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861
    Not going!

    :-)
  • "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    there is never a vote
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,151
    edited November 2018
    Tessie..

    image
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    "Steiner's assault will bring it under control."
  • La La Land
  • Bit of an anti-climax.
  • So presser just to burn time on evening news programmes, so they will show less of Brexiteers resigning.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    No VONC yet?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    A speech made from the corner, back to the wall
  • A stunned silence from the hacks

    She is a bloody difficult woman
  • The 48 letters need to arrive tonight or the ERG will be a laughing stock for years.
  • She's gone for put up or shut up/getting on with the job. Can't blame her.
  • Oh boy.....
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    Did she preface that with Dear Labour Party MPs....?
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900

    A stunned silence from the hacks

    I'm not surprised. She really has no political antennae at all - that was entirely set up for a big announcement.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,676
    edited November 2018
    The speech was strong, now the tricky bit.

    Glad she said this is Conservative responsibility.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    "Nothing ever happens, nothing happens at all
    the needle returns to the start of the song
    and we all sing along like before" - Theresa May, 2018
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    This woman needs help.

    There is a point at which one's delusion becomes so all encompassing it becomes harmful.

    Somebody who loves her surely needs to help her down gently.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    The 48 letters need to arrive tonight or the ERG will be a laughing stock for years.

    As they have been for some years already
  • shiney2shiney2 Posts: 672
    Pulpstar said:

    YOU TELL EM MAY !!!!!!!!!! :DDDDDDD

    Hic!
  • "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    McVey asked for a vote at Cabinet but May blocked it (as she is entitled to do according to her Cabinet civil servant).
  • Is that it? She said nothing
  • TheoTheo Posts: 325

    Tessie..

    image

    She is the only one not doing that. The ERG and Labour are the ones pushing for fantasy solutions.
  • OchEyeOchEye Posts: 1,469
    I counted around 20 porkies in her speech, is she taking lessons from 46-1?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,177

    "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    A vote is not necessary to secure agreement, nor does absence of a vote indicate agreement or disagreement. Vote or not everyone's views were know, and those who didn't like it quit, what would a vote have achieved that would be different?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628

    "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    McVey asked for a vote at Cabinet but May blocked it (as she is entitled to do according to her Cabinet civil servant).
    Because she feard she would lose it.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Utterly delusional statement.
  • "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    McVey asked for a vote at Cabinet but May blocked it (as she is entitled to do according to her Cabinet civil servant).
    Because she feard she would lose it.
    it's not conducive to arriving at a consensus opinion
  • Reporters feeling sorry for May and asking soft questions.
  • She's look nervous and who could blame her.

    Surprised she hasn't collapsed frankly.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    dixiedean said:

    Utterly delusional statement.

    Have to agree..."There are no tanks in Baghdad...."
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    Bloody hell you have to admire her resilience.
  • It's like Episode One of The Thick of It. She called a press conference and had to quickly think of something to say to fool the media
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    However terrible she is there doesn't appear to be any Tory who could cope any better
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Theo said:

    "I'm also determined to"

    So, option 3

    Good for her. This deal is the only show in town. It successfully squares the circle. It is this or no deal.
    There's no squaring, we just gave up on what we were asking for
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,177

    This woman needs help.

    There is a point at which one's delusion becomes so all encompassing it becomes harmful.

    Somebody who loves her surely needs to help her down gently.

    I do wish people would stop this delusion line, to the point of accusing her of mental health issues, in effect. She's being stubborn and forcing the hand of her opponents to take action rather than make it easy for them and bow out. That does not mean she is delusional even if she is acting poorly.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,676
    She is hugely brave. Foolhardy. But brave.
  • She's still hoping for something, ANYTHING, to save her deal when eventually it goes to a vote
  • kle4 said:

    This woman needs help.

    There is a point at which one's delusion becomes so all encompassing it becomes harmful.

    Somebody who loves her surely needs to help her down gently.

    I do wish people would stop this delusion line, to the point of accusing her of mental health issues, in effect. She's being stubborn and forcing the hand of her opponents to take action rather than make it easy for them and bow out. That does not mean she is delusional even if she is acting poorly.
    Well said
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,177

    "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    McVey asked for a vote at Cabinet but May blocked it (as she is entitled to do according to her Cabinet civil servant).
    Because she feard she would lose it.
    Nonsense - if that was the case there would have been a lot more resignations. The Cabinet of the United Kingdom are not children who felt compelled today to stay in post because they didn't get to have a vote at Cabinet.
  • Bloody hell you have to admire her resilience.

    :+1:

  • Theo said:

    "I'm also determined to"

    So, option 3

    Good for her. This deal is the only show in town. It successfully squares the circle. It is this or no deal.
    There's no squaring, we just gave up on what we were asking for
    Maybe her (secret / unintended) masterplan is to wait until polling shows a clear majority for remain and then call a referendum :)
  • currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    Jonathan said:

    She is hugely brave. Foolhardy. But brave.

    I think she is fantastic, how she does this is beyond me
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238

    Mr. Labour, cannon, unless you're referring to an aquatic cleric.

    Thank you. :bawling:
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Given that, other than Norway for now, there is no other credible route in town toward Brexit, she is actually doing her job by fighting for her deal and leaving it to others to decide whether to bring her and/or the deal down.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    It's like Episode One of The Thick of It. She called a press conference and had to quickly think of something to say to fool the media

    Not at all she put on her best husky Labour-friendly voice. It was a direct appeal to Jezza's party.
  • TheoTheo Posts: 325

    She's still hoping for something, ANYTHING, to save her deal when eventually it goes to a vote

    She is rightfully putting it to a vote so all those morally irresponsible ERG and Labour MPs can be on record as causing the no deal crash.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Utterly, terrifyingly delusional.

    It's actually awkward to watch. Like we're torturing a scared old lady who is so confused she doesn't even understand the basic nature of her reality.

    If there was anyone around her who really cared, they could and should put a stop to this.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    kle4 said:

    "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    McVey asked for a vote at Cabinet but May blocked it (as she is entitled to do according to her Cabinet civil servant).
    Because she feard she would lose it.
    Nonsense - if that was the case there would have been a lot more resignations. The Cabinet of the United Kingdom are not children who felt compelled today to stay in post because they didn't get to have a vote at Cabinet.
    I don't think the resignations are over yet. Nowhere near.

    This conference will just make her Cabinet colleagues roll their eyes.....
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,676

    kle4 said:

    This woman needs help.

    There is a point at which one's delusion becomes so all encompassing it becomes harmful.

    Somebody who loves her surely needs to help her down gently.

    I do wish people would stop this delusion line, to the point of accusing her of mental health issues, in effect. She's being stubborn and forcing the hand of her opponents to take action rather than make it easy for them and bow out. That does not mean she is delusional even if she is acting poorly.
    Well said
    She is totally failing to engage with the problem in front of her.
  • shiney2shiney2 Posts: 672
    Not doing the easy thing, doing the hard thing.

    Shades of Tricky Dicky in his Watergate pre-resignation contortions.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited November 2018
    Jonathan said:

    She is hugely brave. Foolhardy. But brave.

    She's doing exactly what I said she'd do a couple of days ago: doing her duty as she sees it, and presenting the deal to parliament:

    Actually Theresa May is, from a personal point of view, in rather a good position as regards her future reputation as PM (no really, don't fall off your chair quite yet). She's done her best, everyone agrees. She seems, against serious odds, to have come back with an outline deal. There are now two possibilities for her personally:

    1. Success!

    2. She can't get it past the cabinet and parliament. In which case she can with honour say she has done her duty and presented what she considers to be the best achievable outcome. She will then, I think, resign. Since colleagues don't like what she brought back, let someone else see if they can do better. (Hint: they can't - she'll be vindicated by subsequent events).
  • Utterly, terrifyingly delusional.

    It's actually awkward to watch. Like we're torturing a scared old lady who is so confused she doesn't even understand the basic nature of her reality.

    If there was anyone around her who really cared, they could and should put a stop to this.

    No one is forcing you to watch
  • currystarcurrystar Posts: 1,171
    The guy from Bloomberg asked a good question
  • She is wearing her Frida Kahlo bracelet though!
  • Two problems with her speech
    1. She makes claims about her wonder deal not backed by fact or sanity
    2. She still thinks that saying "national interest" will make MPs change their minds and back it

    If Brady didn't have the letters before surely he will now
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,202
    Maybbasicalky telling the ERG 'come and have a go if you think you're hard enough'
  • The 48 letters need to arrive tonight or the ERG will be a laughing stock for years.

    Last night we were told it was nailed on by this lunchtime.... still tick tock and do think it'll happen now but ...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,177

    She's still hoping for something, ANYTHING, to save her deal when eventually it goes to a vote

    It's pretty desperate, but I think she has called one thing correctly all along this negotiation process - her internal opponents hate what she is doing but are incredibly reluctant to be the ones taking over, particularly given the late stage.

    That's not exactly a positive thing for us all, but I don't think many people really want the job right now. Corbyn even would probably wait until after Brexit, though the nature of the job means he has to appear keen to take over at any moment.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    currystar said:


    I think she is fantastic, how she does this is beyond me

    She's an awful political leader, but she's done a good job finding a compromise where seemingly none existed, amid all the constraints of time, GFA, and all the EU's different priorities.

    She'd have made a good Brexit Secretary .......
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Re delusion. There is tenacity. There is digging in.
    And then there is an inability to clearly perceive the situation.
  • Two problems with her speech
    1. She makes claims about her wonder deal not backed by fact or sanity
    2. She still thinks that saying "national interest" will make MPs change their minds and back it

    If Brady didn't have the letters before surely he will now

    It's "get on with it" and "national interest"

    Half a manifesto there
  • I don't blame her for this. She got a deal.

    There is literally nothing that would satisfy the ERG nutters, other than No Deal.

    She's facing down the Tory headbangers plus Magic Grandad and the gang and telling them to vote it down, so it is on them.
  • "agreement reached in Cabinet yesterday"

    Hmm....because there was no vote.

    there is never a vote
    There is if the PM asks for one.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    currystar said:

    Jonathan said:

    She is hugely brave. Foolhardy. But brave.

    I think she is fantastic, how she does this is beyond me
    Well quite. Her salesmanship is awful but she's delivered a Brexit deal, low unemployment, low inflation, growth, deficit reduction. It's a bloody amazing Gov't and people will only realise it when we're in Corbyn's third year of office.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705

    Utterly, terrifyingly delusional.

    It's actually awkward to watch. Like we're torturing a scared old lady who is so confused she doesn't even understand the basic nature of her reality.

    If there was anyone around her who really cared, they could and should put a stop to this.

    No one is forcing you to watch
    Heehee - nice one :wink:
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    This woman needs help.

    There is a point at which one's delusion becomes so all encompassing it becomes harmful.

    Somebody who loves her surely needs to help her down gently.

    I do wish people would stop this delusion line, to the point of accusing her of mental health issues, in effect. She's being stubborn and forcing the hand of her opponents to take action rather than make it easy for them and bow out. That does not mean she is delusional even if she is acting poorly.
    Well said
    She is totally failing to engage with the problem in front of her.
    But no Tory leader for a generation has succeeded in resolving that problem. Cammo thought that he had a clever solution, and look where we are now.
  • HYUFD said:

    Maybbasicalky telling the ERG 'come and have a go if you think you're hard enough'

    Yep.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,628
    Great question
This discussion has been closed.