politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks like Mrs May’s UKIP firewall was as good a defence as

Options
145679

Comments

  • another_richard
    another_richard Posts: 27,927
    TP gave a good account of himself with a 16.4% increase in the Conservative vote:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000667

    With 41.7% of the vote TP will have done better than several previous Conservatives strongholds.
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    AndyJS said:

    Labour piles up a massive 47,213 votes in Bristol West.

    So much for the Greens
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Corbyn cock-a-hoop at his count.

    The end times.
  • Drutt
    Drutt Posts: 1,125
    Erdington LAB. Another small win at evens, even if it does mean Dromey.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229

    Caroline Flint HOLDS Don Valley.

    Tissue Price unlucky there.

    Damn!
    Unlucky Aaron.
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    AndyJS said:

    Labour piles up a massive 47,213 votes in Bristol West.

    You wouldn't believe it
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.
  • Good thing about the dementia bomb is we will all forget about it eventually.

    Sorry.
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Ayr malcolmG :lol:
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbclaurak: Pickles second to predict another General Election soon
  • Y0kel
    Y0kel Posts: 2,307
    DUP may well have taken South Belfast..10MPs potentially.

    Hello, is that Conservative Central Office? Do you know what an Ulster Fry is? no? Suggest you find out and make us one.....

    If anyone took up that bet suggestion on South Belfast, hope it comes in.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453

    Scott_P said:

    @JamieRoss7: An SNP source tells it's "likely" we're going to see Alex Salmond lose his seat tonight.

    To whom?
    Tories
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    AndyJS said:

    Labour piles up a massive 47,213 votes in Bristol West.

    Maybe bullying everyone you know into supporting Corbyn works?
  • spudgfsh
    spudgfsh Posts: 1,568

    spudgfsh said:
    But to LDs or Tories?!
    I don't care...
  • ThreeQuidder
    ThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Bernard???
  • AlastairMeeks
    AlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    MaxPB said:

    How the fuck did we lose in Ipswich?!?

    It's been a marginal in the last two elections at least
    It was Labour in 1983, I think.
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    Those pissed Corbynites on Isle of Wight will be dissapointed - tory hold

    (The) Ayr turns blue
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,724

    Labour gain Bristol North West

    The Islington of the West Country....
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    40000 for corbyn
  • Paristonda
    Paristonda Posts: 1,844
    Stop the press, Lab hold in Islington North
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327
    Chloe Smith is back!
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    I am hearying Ayr is CON GAIN???????????????
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Floater said:

    Those pissed Corbynites on Isle of Wight will be dissapointed - tory hold

    (The) Ayr turns blue

    Wow, good gain.
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Corbyn 40,086 votes in Islington.

    Massive win.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PolhomeEditor: On balance, I think this might turn out to be my favourite general election in 2017. #GE2017
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    edited June 2017
    47213 votes :o

    Is that a record ?
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    Think SCON surge might have kept a few SLD from being elected?
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Y0kel said:

    DUP may well have taken South Belfast..10MPs potentially.

    Hello, is that Conservative Central Office? Do you know what an Ulster Fry is? no? Suggest you find out and make us one.....

    If anyone took up that bet suggestion on South Belfast, hope it comes in.

    I take it the DUP just want lots of money?
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122
    edited June 2017
    DearPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down ... it depends by how much ... if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

    She's holed below the waterline whatever now. Would be best for her if she just shuffled off quietly and quickly now.
    I expect that will be quietly made clear to her in the course of the next few hours,
    I think her husband will already have told her
    They can take it in turns to take the bins out
  • FattyBolger
    FattyBolger Posts: 299
    Yay...Norfolk Chloe!!!
  • llef
    llef Posts: 301
    recount in ceredigion

    4 horse race apparently
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    OUT said:

    Who gets most votes/majority Jezza or Tess?

    Jez doesn't get anywhere near a majority.

    May might just do it because of Scotland. But we need to start winning the odd seat off Labour and stop losing them. Need to win Westmoreland too.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    Corbyn massively up in Islington North.
  • jonny83
    jonny83 Posts: 1,273

    Corbyn cock-a-hoop at his count.

    The end times.

    Looks as happy as a dog with two dicks. Big grin on his face.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608

    I am hearying Ayr is CON GAIN???????????????

    LOL. through the middle
  • TheScreamingEagles
    TheScreamingEagles Posts: 122,806

    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

  • Clown_Car_HQ
    Clown_Car_HQ Posts: 169
    SeanT said:

    spudgfsh said:
    oh frabjous day
    Calloo, callay !
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229

    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!

    Wow. A betting win too.
  • FattyBolger
    FattyBolger Posts: 299

    40000 for corbyn

    and 7 votes for the (other) Commie!
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251

    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!

    Crumbs on the table.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Bloody hell, Corbyn got 40,000 votes!
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tredinnick elected again.
  • viewcode
    viewcode Posts: 25,202
    Oddschecker gone. IGIndex gone. Paddypower gone. SPIN still up. Spreadex still up. You can still buy Con at 318 on Spin.
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Jesus Christ.

    Islington North.
  • AndreaParma_82
    AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    John Hemming finished third in Yardley

    Philips polled more than 57%
  • EPG
    EPG Posts: 6,739
    edited June 2017
    Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold East Belfast well enough.

    Interesting backstory. Back in 2010 when DUP leader and incumbent Peter Robinson was mired in a bit of trouble, the loyalist working classes were urged by their own 'leaders' to stick it to him as a reminder that he'd lost touch with the common man. Long became MP and knew exactly what got her over the line, loyalist housing estate votes.

    Fast forward 2017, those same loyalist leaders urged people not to vote Long, shes basically doing damage to the unionist cause. Long cries foul...terrible that paramilitary representatives suggest voting DUP...forgetting how they supported he in 2010

    Bearing in mind hard-core loyalist communities in Belfast have long had an uneasy relationship with the DUP and tend not to turn out, it was a fairly remarkable statement.

    Tough shit Naomi. You pissed on your electorate and they didn't forget.

    Relying on the hard men and sectarian pacts is a losing game. Slow and steady will win the race. Let's see what happens in Belfast N in 2017.
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327

    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.

    Not sure about that Bob, 2022, new leader, Corbynism might be tired by then, austerity will have eased and, since it's really important, we won't have Theresa May as our leader.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Scott_P said:

    @paulhutcheon: Oh. The Tories are now talking up their chances in Alex Salmond's seat

    That would make up for almost everything else!
  • Chris_A
    Chris_A Posts: 1,237
    DearPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down ... it depends by how much ... if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

    She's holed below the waterline whatever now. Would be best for her if she just shuffled off quietly and quickly now.
    I expect that will be quietly made clear to her in the course of the next few hours,
    I think her husband will already have told her
    Why? Is that a "boy job" then?
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,310
    edited June 2017
    .
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour hold feeling...huge hold
  • nielh
    nielh Posts: 1,307
    Some interesting info on the labour candidate who beat Nick Clegg:

    https://blog.scope.org.uk/2016/04/30/being-a-disabled-candidate-standing-for-election/
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    MaxPB said:

    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.

    Not sure about that Bob, 2022, new leader, Corbynism might be tired by then, austerity will have eased and, since it's really important, we won't have Theresa May as our leader.
    Chingford is swinging away from the Tories long term. Ronnie O'Sullivan backing Labour there will have led a few of the locals astray!
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold
  • Y0kel
    Y0kel Posts: 2,307
    EPG said:

    Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold East Belfast well enough.

    Interesting backstory. Back in 2010 when DUP leader and incumbent Peter Robinson was mired in a bit of trouble, the loyalist working classes were urged by their own 'leaders' to stick it to him as a reminder that he'd lost touch with the common man. Long became MP and knew exactly what got her over the line, loyalist housing estate votes.

    Fast forward 2017, those same loyalist leaders urged people not to vote Long, shes basically doing damage to the unionist cause. Long cries foul...terrible that paramilitary representatives suggest voting DUP...forgetting how they supported he in 2010

    Bearing in mind hard-core loyalist communities in Belfast have long had an uneasy relationship with the DUP and tend not to turn out, it was a fairly remarkable statement.

    Tough shit Naomi. You pissed on your electorate and they didn't forget.

    Relying on the hard men and sectarian pacts is a losing game. Slow and steady will win the race. Let's see what happens in Belfast N in 2017.
    How is that relying on hard men you fool? They didn't march anyone to the ballot box. That isnt how it works.

  • El_Sid
    El_Sid Posts: 145

    There are big rumours that Labour will take both Canterbury and Kensington??

    I think the Tories will surely will hold both.

    Canterbury is a big student town, so could be the sort of place to benefit from higher young turnout.
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591

    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold

    Got that seat right, amid wreckage elsewhere. Long term drift to Labour there.
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928

    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold

    Big hold for Labour.
  • Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold East Belfast well enough.

    Interesting backstory. Back in 2010 when DUP leader and incumbent Peter Robinson was mired in a bit of trouble, the loyalist working classes were urged by their own 'leaders' to stick it to him as a reminder that he'd lost touch with the common man. Long became MP and knew exactly what got her over the line, loyalist housing estate votes.

    Fast forward 2017, those same loyalist leaders urged people not to vote Long, shes basically doing damage to the unionist cause. Long cries foul...terrible that paramilitary representatives suggest voting DUP...forgetting how they supported he in 2010

    Bearing in mind hard-core loyalist communities in Belfast have long had an uneasy relationship with the DUP and tend not to turn out, it was a fairly remarkable statement.

    Tough shit Naomi. You pissed on your electorate and they didn't forget.

    I'm a very liberal unionist and would previously have considered voting for Alliance but her campaign this time was so holier than thou that I've gone RIGHT off them.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687

    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!

    Crumbs on the table.
    Nope. £140 profit thank you.
  • Garza
    Garza Posts: 45

    Labour polled 55% in Birmingham Edgbaston, +10% on Gisela's latest score

    Lots of expensive houses in Edgbaston.
    Edgbaston is a weird place, half is expensive houses, half is council estates.
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Tories hold Worcester.
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    hunchman said:

    MaxPB said:

    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.

    Not sure about that Bob, 2022, new leader, Corbynism might be tired by then, austerity will have eased and, since it's really important, we won't have Theresa May as our leader.
    Chingford is swinging away from the Tories long term. Ronnie O'Sullivan backing Labour there will have led a few of the locals astray!
    Yep. Demographic change in the seat as middle class metropolitans move out to a nice suburb on the edge of Epping Forest. IDS is toast unless he resigns this term.
  • viewcode
    viewcode Posts: 25,202
    Cyclefree said:

    Hello - I've just woken up.

    Was my prediction that Corbyn might make it correct?

    I'm guessing so from the headlines.

    Oh dear......

    Unknown. We may have a Conservative minority government, or one with a very small majority.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Luton North
    Labour hold

    Scarborough and Whitby
    Conservative hold

    Bristol West
    Labour hold

    Glasgow Central
    SNP hold

    Islington S and Finsbury
    Lab hold
    Thornberry back

    Clwyd West
    Conservative hold
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    Theresa wearing red for fucks sake!
  • chrisb
    chrisb Posts: 121
    LDs gain Eastbourne and Bath!
  • SDLP and UUP both in danger of effectively being killed off.
  • volcanopete
    volcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Labour gain-Bedford.The Supreme Leader of PB may have a view.#JezWeCan
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Bath gain for of. Congrats
  • viewcode
    viewcode Posts: 25,202
    LD gain Bath
  • volcanopete
    volcanopete Posts: 2,078

    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold

    Another fantastic result in a Tory target.
  • I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour gain portsmouth south

    Tory hold Telford
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,310

    I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.

    Just called for Labour in ITV
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Rumours that Labour have just taken Bedford???
  • Mimus
    Mimus Posts: 56
    John Cruddas lost to the Conservatives. Weird.
  • I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.

    wankers. Dagenham was error
  • Labour win Daggers
  • viewcode
    viewcode Posts: 25,202
    Chris_A said:

    DearPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down ... it depends by how much ... if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

    She's holed below the waterline whatever now. Would be best for her if she just shuffled off quietly and quickly now.
    I expect that will be quietly made clear to her in the course of the next few hours,
    I think her husband will already have told her
    Why? Is that a "boy job" then?
    No. It's news that best comes from somebody who loves you.
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    When will Tories pass labour on seats.
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928

    I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.

    Labour have held on I think.

    Very efficient so far. Clinging on in WWC seats and gaining middle class seats readily.

    They almost took Chingford & Woodford Green FFS – that is Iain Duncan Smith's seat and should be a safe as house Tory hold.
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    Salmond has lost Gordon! Terrible
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    21 short in Perth. Agony.
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Mimus said:

    John Cruddas lost to the Conservatives. Weird.

    Nope. He's held the seat...
  • Dadge
    Dadge Posts: 2,052
    Reading out the results in Maidenhead is its own TV show
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,076
    Lord Buckethead :lol:
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Redcar big labour hold volatile
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Corbyn got more votes than may
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Theresa May looks sick. She's held her seat. But...
  • Bobajob_PB
    Bobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Labour have held Redcar.

    Holding on in the north, gaining down south...
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591

    Theresa May looks sick. She's held her seat. But...

    Returning officer did a terrible job there!
  • EDW20000
    EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Retire you old bag of mothballs
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    LOL

    How have we lost Canterbury?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591

    Lord Buckethead :lol:

    Brilliant Sunil. I would have voted for him!
  • TravelJunkie
    TravelJunkie Posts: 431
    She will not be moved lol
  • hunchman
    hunchman Posts: 2,591
    Ave_it said:

    LOL

    How have we lost Canterbury?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Labour hold Harrow W. You know your own patch Ave_it!
  • EDW20000
    EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Broken woman
  • EDW20000
    EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Tim Farron
This discussion has been closed.