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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks like Mrs May’s UKIP firewall was as good a defence as

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  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,381
    Shinners finally gain Foyle
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,142
    IanB2 said:

    Don Valley Lab

    :(
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 758
    This parliament is going to be a stupid amount of fun
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,893

    ITV saying Vauxhall Lab hold, Kate Hoey back sadly

    Gutted.

    (Almost)
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Wirral long term drift to Labour continues!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345
    Hallam result incoming
  • llefllef Posts: 301
    labour 22k in gower
    tories 19k
  • Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414

    I hope you all followed me in when I tipped SCON 9.5+ seats at 20/1 in a thread header?

    I only got 14/1 but yes!
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    Radio Oxford reporting that LDs have taken Witney...

    Well they put in place the groundwork in the by-election. Rest of the Oxfordshire seats may be close.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Looks like Clegg's lost
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345
    Clegg's lost.

    Sad
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Come on Clegg!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,893

    Radio Oxford reporting that LDs have taken Witney...

    Serious?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Labour gain High Peak

    Con hold Thurrock
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,635
    Chameleon said:

    Glasgow NE falls!

    Holy shit.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,230
    Clegg looking grim.....
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Clegg utterly ashen faced
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Recount in Peterborough. How sad.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,930

    EDW20000 said:

    I am buying pounds call options, Brexit is doomed

    Nope. Brexit will go ahead. And probably be far better managed than it would have been because it won't be May calling the shots.
    Desperate straw-clutching.

    The country may well be in chaos.
    No straw clutching at all. With both Labour and the Tories committed to Brexit and the main Anti-Brexit parties getting slaughtered the only question is what sort. If you think this will change the eventual fact of us leaving you are sadly deluded.

    To be honest if we get to the end of the night with the Tories with a small majority and May on her way out that would be just about perfect for me.
    I wish you could see it from the perspective of my family. But you've ignored such perspectives throughout, as your Europhobia overrode everything.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270
    Hope Clegg survived, Labour candidate looks very smug though.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    glw said:

    Go for EFTA membership and the EEA. The Norway option that so many Brexit supporters wanted anyway.

    That would probably work. It's more or less what Cameron should have recommended after his "negotiation" got nowhere.
    Yes. I would go for that and so would many remainers. Not perfect but certainly a decent compromise. The truth is that May offered sweet F all for remainers other than not being Corbyn
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Nick Clegg has lost
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,672
    Lib Dems lost everywhere south of border so far. What was the point of that St Albans boosting so.
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    Clegg gone!!!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    Sheffield Hallam
    LDs 19756
    Labour 21881

    Clegg Out!!
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Clegg ;(
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    Nick Clegg out.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,930
    Good on Jo Swinson.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,381
    Clegg gone
  • glwglw Posts: 10,005
    edited June 2017
    Chameleon said:

    glw said:

    Chameleon said:


    kle4 said:

    Part of me wonders if Corbyn and co might not prefer to fall slightly short, as they've galvanized the youth vote, but no way they could deliver on all they promised.

    Hopefully Con will see what he's done and offer some things to the youth vote in the coming GE.
    I SHALL SPELL IT OUT IN ALL CAPS FOR CCHQ. GRADUATE TAX, IT'S "FAIR" AND IT CAN BRING IN MORE MONEY.
    There's already a graduate tax. 9% extra tax on all income above £20k. A graduate tax would also do fuck all to get the youth vote onside when Lab are offering free tuition.
    What I mean is roll all university funding and expenses into the tax. Tuition, the grant, and whatever else is "free" up front, and if you go to university your taxcode is permanently marked for a supplementary tax.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Clegg!!!!!!!!!!
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Clegg looks really unhappy, wow.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,106
    jonny83 said:

    Hope Clegg survived, Labour candidate looks very smug though.

    He is gone
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    alex. said:

    Sky projecting 308-328 seats

    That narrows it down....
  • midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    Mortimer said:

    midwinter said:

    Mortimer said:

    Swinson wins!

    What are you thinking? Tiny majority? Just short?
    Majority of 2 of 4.
    Thankyou. Lets hope so.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345
    Clegg's lost.

    I voted for him
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    Lab gain Sheffield Hallam.

    Tory vote doubles.
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Clegg gone.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    rcs1000 said:

    Radio Oxford reporting that LDs have taken Witney...

    Serious?
    Serious.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,766
    Very sorry to see Clegg go.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    Poor Clegg
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,765
    Clegg. The man who gave us the Tories who gave us Brexit. No Flowers.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270
    Clegg gone!
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Clegg will be the next Tripod
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Will Jo Swinson be able to scrape together sufficient nominations to stand for the vacant leadership?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,893
    spudgfsh said:

    https://twitter.com/IanClarke41/status/872992448355729409

    Normal Lamb could hold onto Norfolk North.

    I'm personally very pleased for him. He is a good man, and was a good minister.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,142
    What an election :o
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,930

    Clegg's lost.

    I voted for him

    Thanks.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    Clegg looking teary. I'll miss him.
    Blueberry said:

    Lab hold Vauxhall - ITV

    Damn.
    IanB2 said:

    Don Valley Lab

    Double damn.

    Theresa May looking extremely stressed there..

    Fair to say that her private numbers did not predict this.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Clegg doesn't deserve this
  • Clegg over.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Thurrock Tory HOLD
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    So sad that Clegg is gone. Genuinely devastated. I would have gone out and campaigned hard for him in a heartbeat.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,525
    Clegg gone!!!!
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    The Green candidate in Hallam is 10 year old?
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Con gain Walsall North against the trend, to say the least.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,635
    edited June 2017
    Hope people were able to get more than the £2 I had on Labour there at 25-1.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Lab gain Gower
  • Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414

    Clegg doesn't deserve this

    No, he doesn't.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited June 2017
    Labour gain Gower
    Lab 49.9
    Con 42.7
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Floater said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Floater said:

    I admit I am heading towards slightly pissed - am I alone ? :-)

    I had my last drink in 2005. There is however plenty of the stuff in the house. Not sure whether to put the cherry on top of a perfect day by falling off the wagon.
    Stay strong brother! Forget I mentioned it :-)
    OK. You have one for me, then.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Gower gone - about this majority....
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,930
    RobD said:

    What an election :o

    Yep. Popcorn-tastic.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,249
    RobD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Don Valley Lab

    :(
    Blast.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,972
    Balls. Clegg gone.
    Really liked what I've seen of him during this campaign.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270
    Wish Boris would lose his seat, won't happen though.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    HYUFD said:

    Sheffield Hallam
    LDs 19756
    Labour 21881

    Clegg Out!!

    Not even close.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Boris safe.
  • EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,963
    Cleggxit
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546
    edited June 2017
    Sad to see Clegg go. All the quad are now gone.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,893
    I'm sorry Nick. You didn't deserve to lose. Sometimes doing the right thing doesn't pay.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345

    Very sorry to see Clegg go.

    Agreed
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,142

    Con gain Walsall North against the trend, to say the least.

    Every little helps...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,381
    Comrades gain GOWER
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    midwinter said:

    Mortimer said:

    midwinter said:

    Mortimer said:

    Swinson wins!

    What are you thinking? Tiny majority? Just short?
    Majority of 2 of 4.
    Thankyou. Lets hope so.
    For our party and my holiday fund....
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    kle4 said:

    Clegg looking teary. I'll miss him.

    Blueberry said:

    Lab hold Vauxhall - ITV

    Damn.
    IanB2 said:

    Don Valley Lab

    Double damn.

    Theresa May looking extremely stressed there..

    Fair to say that her private numbers did not predict this.
    I am not sure that any private numbers predicted this - all the reports from canvas returns from all parties never really gave us an insight into what is happening this evening.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,528
    Jonathan said:

    Clegg. The man who gave us the Tories who gave us Brexit. No Flowers.

    Amen to that.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Feel sorry for Clegg.
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195
    Shame it isn't the lovely Oliver Coppard standing again in Hallam.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726

    EDW20000 said:

    I am buying pounds call options, Brexit is doomed

    Nope. Brexit will go ahead. And probably be far better managed than it would have been because it won't be May calling the shots.
    Desperate straw-clutching.

    The country may well be in chaos.
    No straw clutching at all. With both Labour and the Tories committed to Brexit and the main Anti-Brexit parties getting slaughtered the only question is what sort. If you think this will change the eventual fact of us leaving you are sadly deluded.

    To be honest if we get to the end of the night with the Tories with a small majority and May on her way out that would be just about perfect for me.
    I wish you could see it from the perspective of my family. But you've ignored such perspectives throughout, as your Europhobia overrode everything.
    LOL. You have no special claim to sympathy. For every winner there is a loser and the more extreme the wins the more extreme the losses. That is why we should be seeking a moderate way as far as Brexit is concerned. It seems obvious that is what the majority want and hopefully now what they will get.
  • Lib Dems being wiped out in England. Just Scottish party. SNP decline amazing. Labour growth incredible. Tories - Idiots.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,682
    Floater said:

    Gower gone - about this majority....

    With DUP at least the Tories should have a majority I think thanks to Scotland, anyway that is where it is heading I believe
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Tory voters do for cleggy
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Sad for Clegg, the coalition did for him
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    Floater said:

    Gower gone - about this majority....

    It was their smallest majority.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Clegg gone.

    Brexits back!
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    The Portillo moment of 2017?
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591

    Con gain Walsall North against the trend, to say the least.

    Hopefully Walsall South and Vaz but I don't see it
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Sad to see Nick Clegg go.

    Labour are rampant in urban England.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour gain high peak omg massive swing
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    What a shame about Clegg. Didn't deserve this. 1st LD in 70+ years to enact ANY Lib Dem policies as part of a LD government.
  • llefllef Posts: 301
    plaid hold dwyfor - up to 3 seats with ceredgion (poossible) to come.
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195

    Thurrock Tory HOLD

    The ever indestructible Jackie Doyle Price! :D
  • pinball13pinball13 Posts: 83
    PONCWAS
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,551

    RobD said:

    What an election :o

    Yep. Popcorn-tastic.
    farron is close too... (aparrently)
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sheffield Hallam
    LDs 19756
    Labour 21881

    Clegg Out!!

    Not even close.
    That's quite close TBF!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Thurrock Tory HOLD

    Exit poll wrong there.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,249

    Tories really need to find an offering for the young pretty sharpish, who seem to find no threat or fear in pacifism or socialism.

    Agreed. Not sticking two fingers up to foreigners on the cliffs of Dover and pandering to the Mail and Sun would be a decent start.
    Without alienating traditional Tories either..

    Forgive me if we don't take advice from a core partisan Labour supporter.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,274

    Feel sorry for Clegg.

    It's a bizarre night, lots of odd juxtapositions.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    I would have voted for you, Nick :-(
This discussion has been closed.