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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks like Mrs May’s UKIP firewall was as good a defence as

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    AndyJS said:

    Labour piles up a massive 47,213 votes in Bristol West.

    So much for the Greens
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,924
    TP gave a good account of himself with a 16.4% increase in the Conservative vote:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000667

    With 41.7% of the vote TP will have done better than several previous Conservatives strongholds.
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    Erdington LAB. Another small win at evens, even if it does mean Dromey.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Corbyn cock-a-hoop at his count.

    The end times.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Caroline Flint HOLDS Don Valley.

    Tissue Price unlucky there.

    Damn!
    Unlucky Aaron.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    AndyJS said:

    Labour piles up a massive 47,213 votes in Bristol West.

    You wouldn't believe it
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.
  • Good thing about the dementia bomb is we will all forget about it eventually.

    Sorry.
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Ayr malcolmG :lol:
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @bbclaurak: Pickles second to predict another General Election soon
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    DUP may well have taken South Belfast..10MPs potentially.

    Hello, is that Conservative Central Office? Do you know what an Ulster Fry is? no? Suggest you find out and make us one.....

    If anyone took up that bet suggestion on South Belfast, hope it comes in.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Scott_P said:

    @JamieRoss7: An SNP source tells it's "likely" we're going to see Alex Salmond lose his seat tonight.

    To whom?
    Tories
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,253
    AndyJS said:

    Labour piles up a massive 47,213 votes in Bristol West.

    Maybe bullying everyone you know into supporting Corbyn works?
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,551

    spudgfsh said:
    But to LDs or Tories?!
    I don't care...
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Bernard???
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    MaxPB said:

    How the fuck did we lose in Ipswich?!?

    It's been a marginal in the last two elections at least
    It was Labour in 1983, I think.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546

    Labour gain Bristol North West

    The Islington of the West Country....
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    40000 for corbyn
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Those pissed Corbynites on Isle of Wight will be dissapointed - tory hold

    (The) Ayr turns blue
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    Stop the press, Lab hold in Islington North
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,318
    Chloe Smith is back!
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    I am hearying Ayr is CON GAIN???????????????
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Floater said:

    Those pissed Corbynites on Isle of Wight will be dissapointed - tory hold

    (The) Ayr turns blue

    Wow, good gain.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Corbyn 40,086 votes in Islington.

    Massive win.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PolhomeEditor: On balance, I think this might turn out to be my favourite general election in 2017. #GE2017
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    Think SCON surge might have kept a few SLD from being elected?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,635
    edited June 2017
    47213 votes :o

    Is that a record ?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,253
    Y0kel said:

    DUP may well have taken South Belfast..10MPs potentially.

    Hello, is that Conservative Central Office? Do you know what an Ulster Fry is? no? Suggest you find out and make us one.....

    If anyone took up that bet suggestion on South Belfast, hope it comes in.

    I take it the DUP just want lots of money?
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    edited June 2017
    DearPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down ... it depends by how much ... if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

    She's holed below the waterline whatever now. Would be best for her if she just shuffled off quietly and quickly now.
    I expect that will be quietly made clear to her in the course of the next few hours,
    I think her husband will already have told her
    They can take it in turns to take the bins out
  • llefllef Posts: 301
    recount in ceredigion

    4 horse race apparently
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    Yay...Norfolk Chloe!!!
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    OUT said:

    Who gets most votes/majority Jezza or Tess?

    Jez doesn't get anywhere near a majority.

    May might just do it because of Scotland. But we need to start winning the odd seat off Labour and stop losing them. Need to win Westmoreland too.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,253
    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270

    Corbyn cock-a-hoop at his count.

    The end times.

    Looks as happy as a dog with two dicks. Big grin on his face.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,949
    Corbyn massively up in Islington North.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,144

    I am hearying Ayr is CON GAIN???????????????

    LOL. through the middle
  • Clown_Car_HQClown_Car_HQ Posts: 169
    SeanT said:

    spudgfsh said:
    oh frabjous day
    Calloo, callay !
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,348

    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!

    Wow. A betting win too.
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299

    40000 for corbyn

    and 7 votes for the (other) Commie!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,949

    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!

    Crumbs on the table.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,527
    Bloody hell, Corbyn got 40,000 votes!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tredinnick elected again.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,748
    Oddschecker gone. IGIndex gone. Paddypower gone. SPIN still up. Spreadex still up. You can still buy Con at 318 on Spin.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Jesus Christ.

    Islington North.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    John Hemming finished third in Yardley

    Philips polled more than 57%
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,672
    edited June 2017
    Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold East Belfast well enough.

    Interesting backstory. Back in 2010 when DUP leader and incumbent Peter Robinson was mired in a bit of trouble, the loyalist working classes were urged by their own 'leaders' to stick it to him as a reminder that he'd lost touch with the common man. Long became MP and knew exactly what got her over the line, loyalist housing estate votes.

    Fast forward 2017, those same loyalist leaders urged people not to vote Long, shes basically doing damage to the unionist cause. Long cries foul...terrible that paramilitary representatives suggest voting DUP...forgetting how they supported he in 2010

    Bearing in mind hard-core loyalist communities in Belfast have long had an uneasy relationship with the DUP and tend not to turn out, it was a fairly remarkable statement.

    Tough shit Naomi. You pissed on your electorate and they didn't forget.

    Relying on the hard men and sectarian pacts is a losing game. Slow and steady will win the race. Let's see what happens in Belfast N in 2017.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,318

    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.

    Not sure about that Bob, 2022, new leader, Corbynism might be tired by then, austerity will have eased and, since it's really important, we won't have Theresa May as our leader.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,527
    Scott_P said:

    @paulhutcheon: Oh. The Tories are now talking up their chances in Alex Salmond's seat

    That would make up for almost everything else!
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    DearPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down ... it depends by how much ... if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

    She's holed below the waterline whatever now. Would be best for her if she just shuffled off quietly and quickly now.
    I expect that will be quietly made clear to her in the course of the next few hours,
    I think her husband will already have told her
    Why? Is that a "boy job" then?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,289
    edited June 2017
    .
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour hold feeling...huge hold
  • nielhnielh Posts: 1,307
    Some interesting info on the labour candidate who beat Nick Clegg:

    https://blog.scope.org.uk/2016/04/30/being-a-disabled-candidate-standing-for-election/
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    MaxPB said:

    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.

    Not sure about that Bob, 2022, new leader, Corbynism might be tired by then, austerity will have eased and, since it's really important, we won't have Theresa May as our leader.
    Chingford is swinging away from the Tories long term. Ronnie O'Sullivan backing Labour there will have led a few of the locals astray!
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    EPG said:

    Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold East Belfast well enough.

    Interesting backstory. Back in 2010 when DUP leader and incumbent Peter Robinson was mired in a bit of trouble, the loyalist working classes were urged by their own 'leaders' to stick it to him as a reminder that he'd lost touch with the common man. Long became MP and knew exactly what got her over the line, loyalist housing estate votes.

    Fast forward 2017, those same loyalist leaders urged people not to vote Long, shes basically doing damage to the unionist cause. Long cries foul...terrible that paramilitary representatives suggest voting DUP...forgetting how they supported he in 2010

    Bearing in mind hard-core loyalist communities in Belfast have long had an uneasy relationship with the DUP and tend not to turn out, it was a fairly remarkable statement.

    Tough shit Naomi. You pissed on your electorate and they didn't forget.

    Relying on the hard men and sectarian pacts is a losing game. Slow and steady will win the race. Let's see what happens in Belfast N in 2017.
    How is that relying on hard men you fool? They didn't march anyone to the ballot box. That isnt how it works.

  • El_SidEl_Sid Posts: 145

    There are big rumours that Labour will take both Canterbury and Kensington??

    I think the Tories will surely will hold both.

    Canterbury is a big student town, so could be the sort of place to benefit from higher young turnout.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591

    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold

    Got that seat right, amid wreckage elsewhere. Long term drift to Labour there.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928

    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold

    Big hold for Labour.
  • Y0kel said:

    And the DUP hold East Belfast well enough.

    Interesting backstory. Back in 2010 when DUP leader and incumbent Peter Robinson was mired in a bit of trouble, the loyalist working classes were urged by their own 'leaders' to stick it to him as a reminder that he'd lost touch with the common man. Long became MP and knew exactly what got her over the line, loyalist housing estate votes.

    Fast forward 2017, those same loyalist leaders urged people not to vote Long, shes basically doing damage to the unionist cause. Long cries foul...terrible that paramilitary representatives suggest voting DUP...forgetting how they supported he in 2010

    Bearing in mind hard-core loyalist communities in Belfast have long had an uneasy relationship with the DUP and tend not to turn out, it was a fairly remarkable statement.

    Tough shit Naomi. You pissed on your electorate and they didn't forget.

    I'm a very liberal unionist and would previously have considered voting for Alliance but her campaign this time was so holier than thou that I've gone RIGHT off them.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,253

    YES! Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock = Con Gain!

    Crumbs on the table.
    Nope. £140 profit thank you.
  • GarzaGarza Posts: 45

    Labour polled 55% in Birmingham Edgbaston, +10% on Gisela's latest score

    Lots of expensive houses in Edgbaston.
    Edgbaston is a weird place, half is expensive houses, half is council estates.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Tories hold Worcester.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    hunchman said:

    MaxPB said:

    Iain Duncan Smith just about clings on in Chingford & Woodford Green.

    Was once a very safe Tory seat. Labour should take it next time.

    Not sure about that Bob, 2022, new leader, Corbynism might be tired by then, austerity will have eased and, since it's really important, we won't have Theresa May as our leader.
    Chingford is swinging away from the Tories long term. Ronnie O'Sullivan backing Labour there will have led a few of the locals astray!
    Yep. Demographic change in the seat as middle class metropolitans move out to a nice suburb on the edge of Epping Forest. IDS is toast unless he resigns this term.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,748
    Cyclefree said:

    Hello - I've just woken up.

    Was my prediction that Corbyn might make it correct?

    I'm guessing so from the headlines.

    Oh dear......

    Unknown. We may have a Conservative minority government, or one with a very small majority.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,683
    Luton North
    Labour hold

    Scarborough and Whitby
    Conservative hold

    Bristol West
    Labour hold

    Glasgow Central
    SNP hold

    Islington S and Finsbury
    Lab hold
    Thornberry back

    Clwyd West
    Conservative hold
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Theresa wearing red for fucks sake!
  • chrisbchrisb Posts: 115
    LDs gain Eastbourne and Bath!
  • SDLP and UUP both in danger of effectively being killed off.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Labour gain-Bedford.The Supreme Leader of PB may have a view.#JezWeCan
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Bath gain for of. Congrats
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,748
    LD gain Bath
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078

    Gedling in the Midlands labour hold

    Another fantastic result in a Tory target.
  • I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Labour gain portsmouth south

    Tory hold Telford
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,289

    I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.

    Just called for Labour in ITV
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Rumours that Labour have just taken Bedford???
  • MimusMimus Posts: 56
    John Cruddas lost to the Conservatives. Weird.
  • I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.

    wankers. Dagenham was error
  • Labour win Daggers
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,748
    Chris_A said:

    DearPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    @ZoraSuleman: Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down ... it depends by how much ... if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

    She's holed below the waterline whatever now. Would be best for her if she just shuffled off quietly and quickly now.
    I expect that will be quietly made clear to her in the course of the next few hours,
    I think her husband will already have told her
    Why? Is that a "boy job" then?
    No. It's news that best comes from somebody who loves you.
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    When will Tories pass labour on seats.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928

    I was told that Tories were neck and neck in Dagenham and I really couldn't believe it. They've won it.

    Labour have held on I think.

    Very efficient so far. Clinging on in WWC seats and gaining middle class seats readily.

    They almost took Chingford & Woodford Green FFS – that is Iain Duncan Smith's seat and should be a safe as house Tory hold.
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Salmond has lost Gordon! Terrible
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,216
    21 short in Perth. Agony.
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Mimus said:

    John Cruddas lost to the Conservatives. Weird.

    Nope. He's held the seat...
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    Reading out the results in Maidenhead is its own TV show
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,384
    Lord Buckethead :lol:
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Redcar big labour hold volatile
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Corbyn got more votes than may
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Theresa May looks sick. She's held her seat. But...
  • Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Labour have held Redcar.

    Holding on in the north, gaining down south...
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591

    Theresa May looks sick. She's held her seat. But...

    Returning officer did a terrible job there!
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Retire you old bag of mothballs
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    LOL

    How have we lost Canterbury?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591

    Lord Buckethead :lol:

    Brilliant Sunil. I would have voted for him!
  • TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    She will not be moved lol
  • hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Ave_it said:

    LOL

    How have we lost Canterbury?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Labour hold Harrow W. You know your own patch Ave_it!
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Broken woman
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Tim Farron
This discussion has been closed.