politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories heading for 124 seat majority according to spread betti
Comments
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Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.0 -
She did keep nearly losing?TOPPING said:
I find that surprising; surely Glenda wasn't a million miles away in ideology and [quick google] - is a fan...rcs1000 said:
And while Hampstead is very Remain, the residents are not that keen on Corbyn's brand of socialism.another_richard said:
Comparing the Remain vote in the Conservative battleground constituencies in London:Sean_F said:
If the Conservatives are losing ground slightly in places like Kensington and Battersea, they'll be gaining extra ground in Labour Leave seats.another_richard said:
Gaining ground at the expense of Tories in what is by some way the most Remain Conservative constituency and is also safe enough to allow scope for a protest vote.dyedwoolie said:
Sounds about right. Not much movement in London except LD gaining somewhat at the expense of the Tories who gobbled their 2015 votes en masseMarkSenior said:
Yes with named candidates sample size only 503 . Fieldwork before the Labour boost in polls and pre Manchester of course .dyedwoolie said:
Con 48 Lab 38 Lib Dem 11, fieldwork 9-10 mayMarkSenior said:Anyone mentioned the Survation constituency poll for Battersea ?
It's on Rentouls twitter
Carshalton is likely to be different.
Hampstead 77%
Tooting 75%
Richmond 73%
Ealing C 71%
Westminster N 67%
Twickenham 66%
Kingston 59%
Brentford 57%
Harrow W 57%
Enfield N 51%
Croydon C 50%
Sutton 49%
Eltham 48%
Ilford N 48%
Erith 46%
Carshalton 44%
Dagenham 30%
The majority are more Leave than the London average.0 -
He also made all life, so a net positive.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.
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Well Jesus spent a lot of time with a prostitute.RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
He's a man, she's a woman, they both have urges...0 -
If they continue polling 10%, will the Lib Dems manage to hold on to their nine seats?0
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Nobody from the middlish part of the last century yet then?TheScreamingEagles said:So far Walkers have tweeted out so far Gary Lineker holding up pictures of, inter alia, Rolf Harris, Fred West, Josef Fritzl, and Peter Sutcliffe.
https://twitter.com/JamesLiamCook/status/8677560471754874880 -
Not the nine seats they hold now.David_Evershed said:If they continue polling 10%, will the Lib Dems manage to hold on to their nine seats?
But I can see the Lib Dem share of the vote drop and them make a net gain of seats.
Scotland could give the Lib Dems a great result on June 8th.
I have asked Shadsy to price up a market on whether the Lib Dems will have more Scottish MPs than English MPs on June 9th.0 -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1xrNaTO1bITheScreamingEagles said:
Well Jesus spent a lot of time with a prostitute.RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
He's a man, she's a woman, they both have urges...0 -
That's a lot of urges.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well Jesus spent a lot of time with a prostitute.RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
He's a man, she's a woman, they both have urges... 0 -
They're polling more like 7-8% in the most recent surveys IIRC - but that's no worse than they did last time, and even if you assume that the polls are exactly right for the yellows they could still do a little better in terms of seats. If they manage to lose no more to the Tories than they gain from them, then knocking over the odd SNP and Labour incumbent ought to see them go into credit.David_Evershed said:If they continue polling 10%, will the Lib Dems manage to hold on to their nine seats?
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Why do you think Jesus was obsessed with the second coming?RobD said:
That's a lot of urges.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well Jesus spent a lot of time with a prostitute.RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
He's a man, she's a woman, they both have urges...0 -
From that article...FrancisUrquhart said:RAF crew write 'love from Manchester' on bomb destined for Islamic State target
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/25/raf-crew-write-love-manchester-bomb-destined-islamic-state/
An RAF source said: “The sentiment of the message written on the weapon is understandable and such writing has history in the RAF, so the individual concerned will not be taken to task.”
Excellent.0 -
Speed dating...?Sunil_Prasannan said:
Managed to fit in Bristol Stapleton Road to Severn Beach on Monday eveningSimonStClare said:
She seems more pen-pal material – Although I’d recommend DrBlue gets a PO.Box number.TheScreamingEagles said:I think I've found a future wife for Sunil
ttps://twitter.com/TheSun/status/867760174655840256
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I'm a dyslexic agnostic insomniac.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.
I lie awake at night wondering if there is a dog.0 -
If I read the UKIP manifesto correctly, they are planning on abolishing Scottish Law.0
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I was supposed to have a full five minutes at Severn Beach, but we arrived late and only had about two minutes to take pics - missed the station entrance!SimonStClare said:
Speed dating...?Sunil_Prasannan said:
Managed to fit in Bristol Stapleton Road to Severn Beach on Monday eveningSimonStClare said:
She seems more pen-pal material – Although I’d recommend DrBlue gets a PO.Box number.TheScreamingEagles said:I think I've found a future wife for Sunil
ttps://twitter.com/TheSun/status/867760174655840256 0 -
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Surely a 2nd. betting exchange is needed. I can't see that Betfair has better odds than normal bookies very often although you may need it if you want to lay a lot of bets.JonWC said:
There are still untradably wide really. Bring back Spreadfair..peter_from_putney said:
Yes, IG are 2/3 seats more bullish than Sporting/Spreadex on the Tories and 2 seats more bearish on Labour .... which can be handy if you're looking to narrow the spreads.Richard_Nabavi said:Based on experience of constituency polls last time round, I think the Survation Battersea poll is probably best filed in the bin. Quite apart from anything else, the Stop Brexit indy ain't gonna get 17%.
On the subject of the spreads, don't forget IGIndex (the world's largest spread-betting company, mainly handling serious bets in the financial markets):
https://www.ig.com/uk/general-election-2017
Currently slightly different to the SPIN and SpreadEx prices:
Con 386-392
Lab 170-175
LD 13-15.5
SNP 43.5-46.5
Speaking of which, IG are operating a five seat spread on Labour, compared with 6 seats from the other 2 firms.
Until IG entered the GE Seats markets in 2015, both its much smaller competitors were offering TEN SEAT spreads on both the main parties .... talk about taking candy off a baby!0 -
Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
As much as it pains me to do it I have to say I agree with Trump. No excuse for NATO members not paying their way. It's a voluntary club, countries should not be a part of it if not willing to pay.
That said, I'm not sure strategically it works for the US to put this pressure on other leaders - the more others pay the less dominance the US has, and 2% from Luxembourg makes no more difference than 0.3% or whatever they currently spend. But I can understand American anger over it.0 -
Edit - beaten to it by Alastair0
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Which fucking ones?Black_Rook said:0 -
Ever heard the story about the bet Evelyn Waugh had with Randolph Churchill ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.
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It has all become clear to me now. Corbyn is simply a Tory party plant designed to destroy Labour. Farron is clearly a Labour plant designed to destroy the Lib Dems.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
Probably all of them!isam said:
Which fucking ones?Black_Rook said:0 -
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
Why can't they both be CCHQ plants?Paristonda said:
It has all become clear to me now. Corbyn is simply a Tory party plant designed to destroy Labour. Farron is clearly a Labour plant designed to destroy the Lib Dems.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808 0 -
The LibDem position doesn't make any sense to me on Brexit.TheScreamingEagles said:Edit - beaten to it by Alastair
We have invoked Article 50 - there is no "we changed our minds about leaving" option.
What they CAN do however is to be the party of rejoining - if not the whole EU then at least some deal to rejoin the single market if it is a hard Brexit.
I think they have genuine mileage in that appeal, and a solid core of well-wishers (but not this particular leaver, obviously) 0 -
An outbreak of common sense against the relentless march of political correctness. Well done to whichever brass hat made that statement.Anorak said:
From that article...FrancisUrquhart said:RAF crew write 'love from Manchester' on bomb destined for Islamic State target
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/25/raf-crew-write-love-manchester-bomb-destined-islamic-state/
An RAF source said: “The sentiment of the message written on the weapon is understandable and such writing has history in the RAF, so the individual concerned will not be taken to task.”
Excellent.0 -
I think the Tories will fail to gain any of those seats over 57% Remain (except possibly Ealing C) and they will lose Richmond Park, Kingston and Twickenham to the LDs but the Tories will gain all those 51% Remain or under and every Leave seat in that list except maybe Dagenham and Erith. Harrow West is too close to call but I think Brentford will go bluercs1000 said:
And while Hampstead is very Remain, the residents are not that keen on Corbyn's brand of socialism.another_richard said:
Comparing the Remain vote in the Conservative battleground constituencies in London:Sean_F said:
If the Conservatives are losing ground slightly in places like Kensington and Battersea, they'll be gaining extra ground in Labour Leave seats.another_richard said:
Gaining ground at the expense of Tories in what is by some way the most Remain Conservative constituency and is also safe enough to allow scope for a protest vote.dyedwoolie said:
Sounds about right. Not much movement in London except LD gaining somewhat at the expense of the Tories who gobbled their 2015 votes en masseMarkSenior said:
Yes with named candidates sample size only 503 . Fieldwork before the Labour boost in polls and pre Manchester of course .dyedwoolie said:
Con 48 Lab 38 Lib Dem 11, fieldwork 9-10 mayMarkSenior said:Anyone mentioned the Survation constituency poll for Battersea ?
It's on Rentouls twitter
Carshalton is likely to be different.
Hampstead 77%
Tooting 75%
Richmond 73%
Ealing C 71%
Westminster N 67%
Twickenham 66%
Kingston 59%
Brentford 57%
Harrow W 57%
Enfield N 51%
Croydon C 50%
Sutton 49%
Eltham 48%
Ilford N 48%
Erith 46%
Carshalton 44%
Dagenham 30%
The majority are more Leave than the London average.0 -
Probably not, though they might still gain a few (especially in Scotland) and so emerge with around 9 or so. 5-14 seems the general range, with very outside chances of even worse or even better.David_Evershed said:If they continue polling 10%, will the Lib Dems manage to hold on to their nine seats?
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Two minutes at Severn Beach is enough.Sunil_Prasannan said:
I was supposed to have a full five minutes at Severn Beach, but we arrived late and only had about two minutes to take pics - missed the station entrance!SimonStClare said:
Speed dating...?Sunil_Prasannan said:
Managed to fit in Bristol Stapleton Road to Severn Beach on Monday eveningSimonStClare said:
She seems more pen-pal material – Although I’d recommend DrBlue gets a PO.Box number.TheScreamingEagles said:I think I've found a future wife for Sunil
ttps://twitter.com/TheSun/status/8677601746558402560 -
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
Just don't a VI poll for Populus with quite a few supplementaries.0
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I wonder how much better things would be for the LibDems if they had Norman Lamb as their leader.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
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Did it include a "What are your thoughts on Nick Timothy" section ?TheScreamingEagles said:Just don't a VI poll for Populus with quite a few supplementaries.
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Not that I can recall, please do tell.another_richard said:
Ever heard the story about the bet Evelyn Waugh had with Randolph Churchill ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.0 -
Of course they can campaign for anything they want but yes, your point is well made; we're out so the sensible option is to campaign to get back in. Nigel did it and won; no reason why they can't. In the long run that is...Disraeli said:
The LibDem position doesn't make any sense to me on Brexit.TheScreamingEagles said:Edit - beaten to it by Alastair
We have invoked Article 50 - there is no "we changed our minds about leaving" option.
What they CAN do however is to be the party of rejoining - if not the whole EU then at least some deal to rejoin the single market if it is a hard Brexit.
I think they have genuine mileage in that appeal, and a solid core of well-wishers (but not this particular leaver, obviously)0 -
More like Hornchurch, Mr Disraeli, 6 stops past Barking!Disraeli said:
We have a station in the UK that might be suitable for her....Barking.TheScreamingEagles said:I think I've found a future wife for Sunil
https://twitter.com/TheSun/status/867760174655840256
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Mr. Anorak, not just the RAF. Soldiers engraved messages on siege ammunition and even sling bullets. It's an ancient practice.0
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During the war while in the middle east Waugh bet Randolph that he couldn't read the whole Old Testament without speaking - he did this to shut Randolph up.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not that I can recall, please do tell.another_richard said:
Ever heard the story about the bet Evelyn Waugh had with Randolph Churchill ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.
Randolph got part way through and then declared "I never knew that God was such a shit".0 -
He also said the UK was the closest US ally when condemning the leaks and demanded NATO nations pay more, the UK is one of the few nations to meet the targetwilliamglenn said:Trump is turning into Mr Anti-Brexit.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/25/trump-worried-about-brexit-impact-on-us-jobs0 -
Deleted-1
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Potentially a great deal better. An early promise to have nothing to do with Corbyn, plus an immediate acceptance of Brexit in principle (and advocacy of the EEA in practice) could've done them quite a lot of good in Southern England. But, of course, we shall never know.another_richard said:
I wonder how much better things would be for the LibDems if they had Norman Lamb as their leader.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
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another_richard said:
I wonder how much better things would be for the LibDems if they had Norman Lamb as their leader.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
Twice as good.
Norman Lamb is not a fanatical EU lover and would not pursue the suicidal undemocratic policy of ignoring the result of the referendum..0 -
Actually they were in the Balkans, fighting for Tito, who Waugh was convinced was a woman.another_richard said:
During the war while in the middle east Waugh bet Randolph that he couldn't read the whole Old Testament without speaking - he did this to shut Randolph up.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not that I can recall, please do tell.another_richard said:
Ever heard the story about the bet Evelyn Waugh had with Randolph Churchill ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.
Randolph got part way through and then declared "I never knew that God was such a shit".0 -
Interesting. I still liked the RAF's utterly unapologetic response. A rare and precious thing in these hypersensitive times.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Anorak, not just the RAF. Soldiers engraved messages on siege ammunition and even sling bullets. It's an ancient practice.
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Tony_M said:
More like Hornchurch, Mr Disraeli, 6 stops past Barking!Disraeli said:
We have a station in the UK that might be suitable for her....Barking.TheScreamingEagles said:I think I've found a future wife for Sunil
https://twitter.com/TheSun/status/867760174655840256
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In one of Patrick O'Brien's books Jack Aubrey orders his men to write "Post Paid" on every ball.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Anorak, not just the RAF. Soldiers engraved messages on siege ammunition and even sling bullets. It's an ancient practice.
Because stopping the King's mails was a capital offence and, as Stephen Maturin explains, the man who stops a cannonball is unlikely to survive.0 -
Indeed, although recalling when the Tories did the sameRobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Media/Pix/pictures/2010/3/25/1269510893554/Conservative-demon-eyes-c-001.jpg
- there can surely be almost nobody who would now seriously dispute the characterisation?0 -
Not forgetting the death celebration street parties. Such lovely people.RobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
Comparing the spouse of New Labour PM's to a witch is a staple of the right.RobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808 0 -
An excellent (and rude!) example from a Roman sling bullet: http://blogs.ashmolean.org/latininscriptions/category/latin-inscriptions/Anorak said:
Interesting. I still liked the RAF's utterly unapologetic response. A rare and precious thing in these hypersensitive times.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Anorak, not just the RAF. Soldiers engraved messages on siege ammunition and even sling bullets. It's an ancient practice.
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Mr. Rex, ha, that's rather good.
Mr. Anorak, I agree absolutely.0 -
Cheersanother_richard said:
During the war while in the middle east Waugh bet Randolph that he couldn't read the whole Old Testament without speaking - he did this to shut Randolph up.TheScreamingEagles said:
Not that I can recall, please do tell.another_richard said:
Ever heard the story about the bet Evelyn Waugh had with Randolph Churchill ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well the father of Jesus was a serial killer, in fact he committed genocide.FrancisUrquhart said:
Tweeted congratulating a number of paedos and serial killers?RobD said:
Not going to ask what Jesus did to justify his punishment of feeding the 5000.TheScreamingEagles said:
Do you know what the punishment for sex during Ramadan is?Pulpstar said:When do we start to get the tales of the postal vote turnouts.
& No sex during daylight hours in ramadan. Interesting piece of trivia I didn't know previously !
You have to either fast for a further two months or feed 60 poor people.
Have you ever totted up the number of people God murdered when he got angry in The Old Testament.
The Devil has nothing on him.
Randolph got part way through and then declared "I never knew that God was such a shit".0 -
BBC Breaking news
Greek ex-PM Lucas Papademos injured in Athens car blast
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-400522130 -
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Partly due to creative accounting by George Osborne, isn't it? Admittedly of the same form the Americans use of including things like pensions.HYUFD said:
He also said the UK was the closest US ally when condemning the leaks and demanded NATO nations pay more, the UK is one of the few nations to meet the targetwilliamglenn said:Trump is turning into Mr Anti-Brexit.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/25/trump-worried-about-brexit-impact-on-us-jobs0 -
AV would top such a poll every year.Scott_P said:0 -
And the US left. Oh! She was a witch ...RobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
[Actually, O'Donnell denied being a witch, admitting only to have dabbled briefly with witchcraft during her teens, but that is less interesting than the persisting image of her.]0 -
Pretty much all big units. Leicestsr is one.isam said:
Which fucking ones?Black_Rook said:
Dust off the major incident plan.0 -
Apparently those leaflets are about in Islington. Now I know the Tories are on course for gains, but surely leaflets should be about attacking Corbyn/Thornberry there.
There's a real whiff of misogny about them too I'm afraid.0 -
Indeed but let's hope no radicalised loser with access to a kitchen knife goes out tonight to avenge that bomb.Anorak said:
Interesting. I still liked the RAF's utterly unapologetic response. A rare and precious thing in these hypersensitive times.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Anorak, not just the RAF. Soldiers engraved messages on siege ammunition and even sling bullets. It's an ancient practice.
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They may still gain seats in southern England in Remainer through Labour tactical voting but I doubt Lamb would have done much better than Farron nationally and I think the Tories may gain his North Norfolk seatBlack_Rook said:
Potentially a great deal better. An early promise to have nothing to do with Corbyn, plus an immediate acceptance of Brexit in principle (and advocacy of the EEA in practice) could've done them quite a lot of good in Southern England. But, of course, we shall never know.another_richard said:
I wonder how much better things would be for the LibDems if they had Norman Lamb as their leader.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
Perhaps but the UK, the US, Greece, Poland and Estonia are listed as the only NATO nations who meet the 2% targetDecrepitJohnL said:
Partly due to creative accounting by George Osborne, isn't it? Admittedly of the same form the Americans use of including things like pensions.HYUFD said:
He also said the UK was the closest US ally when condemning the leaks and demanded NATO nations pay more, the UK is one of the few nations to meet the targetwilliamglenn said:Trump is turning into Mr Anti-Brexit.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/25/trump-worried-about-brexit-impact-on-us-jobs0 -
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Whereas Hilary was treated with the most gallant respect?MTimT said:
And the US left. Oh! She was a witch ...RobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
[Actually, O'Donnell denied being a witch, admitting only to have dabbled briefly with witchcraft during her teens, but that is less interesting than the persisting image of her.]0 -
TheScreamingEagles said:
I get a message that the twitter page does not exist. What was it?0 -
Completed a Yougov VI poll this afternoon.0
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Steve Bell is about as funny as AIDs.
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shocking.isam said:0 -
https://order-order.com/2017/05/25/gary-linekers-walkers-selfie-stunt-backfires-spectacularly/MTimT said:0 -
Wasn't it the queen who gave the apple to Snow White or am I misremembering? But in any case, it's a LibDem leaflet and they are surely more right than left as the coalition indicates.RobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/8677731891952558080 -
Me too, and one for Populus too.Richard_Tyndall said:Completed a Yougov VI poll this afternoon.
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Lamb may lose his N Norfolk seat because of Farron's policy to reverse the referendum vote.HYUFD said:
They may still gain seats in southern England in Remainer through Labour tactical voting but I doubt Lamb would have done much better than Farron nationally and I think the Tories may gain his North Norfolk seatBlack_Rook said:
Potentially a great deal better. An early promise to have nothing to do with Corbyn, plus an immediate acceptance of Brexit in principle (and advocacy of the EEA in practice) could've done them quite a lot of good in Southern England. But, of course, we shall never know.another_richard said:
I wonder how much better things would be for the LibDems if they had Norman Lamb as their leader.AlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
N Norfolk is pro Brexit.0 -
To this day, I'm not sure of Matt's political affiliations.TGOHF said:Steve Bell is about as funny as AIDs.
That's the sign of a good cartoonist.0 -
F1: ha, annoyed I didn't back Vettel at 2.87 for pole (now Hamilton's odds). But also perplexed.
Winner market. Vettel is 1.9. Raikkonen is 19.
......
That's a bloody gulf. And he's 27 on Betfair!
He's half a second behind Vettel in both practice sessions. But he could still qualify 2nd. One bad pit stop, VSC etc could easily see him in the lead.0 -
Veterans healthcare (and other veterans costs) are included in US defence spending, of course. Without that, the gap between the US and the rest, would be somewhat smaller.DecrepitJohnL said:
Partly due to creative accounting by George Osborne, isn't it? Admittedly of the same form the Americans use of including things like pensions.HYUFD said:
He also said the UK was the closest US ally when condemning the leaks and demanded NATO nations pay more, the UK is one of the few nations to meet the targetwilliamglenn said:Trump is turning into Mr Anti-Brexit.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/may/25/trump-worried-about-brexit-impact-on-us-jobs0 -
If you are worried, Shadsy is selling very cheap insurance against Ukip being in a position to implement that pledge.Scott_P said:0 -
Comparing Matt with Bell is like comparing Spielberg with Loach.TheScreamingEagles said:
To this day, I'm not sure of Matt's political affiliations.TGOHF said:Steve Bell is about as funny as AIDs.
That's the sign of a good cartoonist.
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Someone should do one with one of those twenty-something child refugees he was maundering on about :-).Pong said:
lol!TheScreamingEagles said:So far Walkers have tweeted out so far Gary Lineker holding up pictures of, inter alia, Rolf Harris, Fred West, Josef Fritzl, and Peter Sutcliffe.
https://twitter.com/JamesLiamCook/status/867756047175487488
Poor Gary. He sold his soul to walkers.0 -
Tim Farron up against his opponents in W&L tonight - live blogging on the Westmoland Gazette website. Sadly Mr Fishfinger is a no show.0
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This forum is way oversampled!Richard_Tyndall said:Completed a Yougov VI poll this afternoon.
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I'm cackling that the Stop Brexit candidate is polling 9% more than the LDs 0
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If she took two husbands, is that not biandry, not bigamy?TheScreamingEagles said:
You say bigamy, I say serial monogamy.ThreeQuidder said:
Bigamy!TheScreamingEagles said:I think I've found a future wife for Sunil
twitter.com/TheSun/status/8677601746558402560 -
The link posted earlier about how they do the exit poll (http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/statistics/staff/academic-research/firth/exit-poll-explainer/)
is interesting in that it says they ignore postal votes (for obvious reasons).
It's true that the days when the postal vote was mostly Tory-leaning pensioners have long gone. In many wards the postal vote isn't significantly different in mix from the polling station voters.
Nevertheless the data they present on exit polls indicates that its exceedingly good record up to 2005 has deteriorated (with an emerging underestimate of the Conservative vote) at the same time as the number of postal votes has significantly increased. This is probably a reason to assume that this year the exit poll might understate the Conservative performance by a percent or so.0 -
Shame it's illegal to report sampling of postal votes. Soooo interesting.0
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Ms. Apocalypse, which constituency is that?
Mr. Cumbria, boo! I bet the Fish Finger would've been brill.0 -
Actually, it is pretty funny. Just goes to show that you can't predict what will happen once you involve the public.TheScreamingEagles said:
https://order-order.com/2017/05/25/gary-linekers-walkers-selfie-stunt-backfires-spectacularly/MTimT said:0 -
I'd venture the suggestion that, confronted on your PC or mobile device's screen with three names that most voters won't have heard of plus the familiar party names, and a fourth that clearly contains a message/policy, does magnify significantly the proportion of people who would click the "anti Brexit" candidate in an area like Battersea. The take away from this is that, in this atypical Inner London seat at least, concern about Brexit is still a very salient issue.The_Apocalypse said:I'm cackling that the Stop Brexit candidate is polling 9% more than the LDs
I don't believe the percentage of people clicking against this candidate in an online poll will translate into the same number of real votes when people come to fill in their ballot papers.0 -
What some police officers have been dealing with in Greater Manchester today
https://twitter.com/GMPMiddleton/status/8677711972321648640 -
It's amazing that the Lib Dems aren't the de facto anti Brexit party.IanB2 said:
I'd venture the suggestion that, confronted on your PC or mobile device's screen with three names that most voters won't have heard of plus the familiar party names, and a fourth that clearly contains a message/policy, does magnify significantly the proportion of people who would click the "anti Brexit" candidate in an area like Battersea. The take away from this is that, in this atypical Inner London seat at least, concern about Brexit is still a very salient issue.The_Apocalypse said:I'm cackling that the Stop Brexit candidate is polling 9% more than the LDs
I don't believe the percentage of people clicking against this candidate in an online poll will translate into the same number of real votes when people come to fill in their ballot papers.0 -
No. But she is something of an exception within the US.dixiedean said:
Whereas Hilary was treated with the most gallant respect?MTimT said:
And the US left. Oh! She was a witch ...RobD said:
Comparing female Tory PMs to witches is a staple of the left.isam said:
It's also a dig at her appearance I'd sayAlastairMeeks said:Suggesting that Theresa May is a wicked witch is not a good look:
https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/867773189195255808
[Actually, O'Donnell denied being a witch, admitting only to have dabbled briefly with witchcraft during her teens, but that is less interesting than the persisting image of her.]
The US left go after GOP women, particularly very conservative GOP women, with a ferocity not matched the other way around and not accorded to GOP men of similar views. Even Nancy Pelosi does not get that sort of hate.0 -
I would be confident that they'll get more real votes in Battersea than the anti Brexit candidate.RobD said:
It's amazing that the Lib Dems aren't the de facto anti Brexit party.IanB2 said:
I'd venture the suggestion that, confronted on your PC or mobile device's screen with three names that most voters won't have heard of plus the familiar party names, and a fourth that clearly contains a message/policy, does magnify significantly the proportion of people who would click the "anti Brexit" candidate in an area like Battersea. The take away from this is that, in this atypical Inner London seat at least, concern about Brexit is still a very salient issue.The_Apocalypse said:I'm cackling that the Stop Brexit candidate is polling 9% more than the LDs
I don't believe the percentage of people clicking against this candidate in an online poll will translate into the same number of real votes when people come to fill in their ballot papers.0 -
Sounds like one of Heston's recipes gone wrong? Posting it through your neighbour's letterbox when the recipe goes wrong is, however, proper naughty.TheScreamingEagles said:What some police officers have been dealing with in Greater Manchester today
https://twitter.com/GMPMiddleton/status/8677711972321648640
