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  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900
    edited November 2016
    Michigan numbers getting worse and worse all the time for Clinton. If she loses there she needs Arizona and Nevada.

    Pennsylvania also looking pretty questionable.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    edited November 2016
    Fox projects Hillary wins Virginia
    https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/796185035598688258
  • ToryJim
    ToryJim Posts: 4,193
    tpfkar said:

    If McMullin gets Utah, there's a very plausible path for Trump to win 269-263, no majority

    You can't win with less than 270
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    dr_spyn said:

    white working class blamed on BBC for backing Trump.

    Well maybe Dem politicians shouldn't have spent decades screwing them while taking their votes for granted.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    BBC ticker:

    Trump 140 ECVs
    Clinton 104
  • OUT
    OUT Posts: 569
    Wall Street should be interesting tomorrow.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Does a quick call of New Mexico for Clinton bode well for her in Arizona?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    NEW THREAD!
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    I'm not going to lump on Trump just yet, Wayne AA counties report VERY slowly.

    Macomb county.
  • EDW20000
    EDW20000 Posts: 138
    HRC tempting at 2.84
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,314
    MarqueeMark said:

    tpfkar said:

    If McMullin gets Utah, there's a very plausible path for Trump to win 269-263, no majority

    Even if McMullin won, would the EC voters let in President Hillary Clinton on the back of Utah???
    Last I heard the muffin was predicted for about 25%?
  • vik
    vik Posts: 550
    Omg! Trump 1.4

    Wow!
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Sandpit said:

    dr_spyn said:

    white working class blamed on BBC for backing Trump.

    Well maybe Dem politicians shouldn't have spent decades screwing them while taking their votes for granted.
    Sounds familiar.
  • Dromedary
    Dromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited November 2016
    corporeal said:

    Fishing said:

    If Trump scrapes through in the Electoral College but Clinton wins the popular vote, the temptation for a delegate or two to change their vote must be considerable. Could be a tumultuous November and December.

    There's that one declared faithless elector (Clinton->Trump) isn't there?
    If you mean Robert Satiacum, he has said he won't vote for Clinton but he hasn't said he will vote for Trump. In Betfair terms he will still count as "projected" for Clinton, though - at least that's my understanding. That's assuming there isn't NOM of electoral seats accounted for by states, in which case Betfair wait for the 12th amendment to be applied.
  • nunu
    nunu Posts: 6,024
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    PA looks like should be Clinton too, as Pittsburgh is just 16% in, and is 60:40 to Clinton.

    But Philadelphia is reporting massively in already. Pretty much all done there. Most of the rural areas haven't reported at all yet. PA could flip.
    The blue whale could sink her. There is no blue firewall. This is a wave
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    edited November 2016
    Speedy said:

    In Minnesota it's just all Minneapolis, with Hillary's lead 12% lower than Obama's.

    It fits the rust belt strategy which seems to be delivering much more than expected or the polls indicated.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    NYT 69% Trump wins Presidency.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Pulpstar said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Tony said:

    NYTimes just flipped PA to Trump.....

    On what grounds?
    Philly I'm guessing.
    Suburbs (Delaware and Montgomery) yet to report.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    NEW THREAD
  • EDW20000
    EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Trump backers should close out now.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    Broward, Palm-Beach, Miami Dade all 98%/99%. Florida is trump's.
  • rpjs
    rpjs Posts: 3,787
    corporeal said:

    Fishing said:

    If Trump scrapes through in the Electoral College but Clinton wins the popular vote, the temptation for a delegate or two to change their vote must be considerable. Could be a tumultuous November and December.

    There's that one declared faithless elector (Clinton->Trump) isn't there?
    Clinton->not Clinton, but probably not Trump
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327
    Casino_Royale said:

    Can someone run the data analysis on Michigan and please tell me if Clinton has enough headroom to pull back Trump's lead there in the urban areas?

    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president

    NYT say PA and MI are now leaning Trump.
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    1/2 on Hillary to win the popular vote looks huge
  • shiney2
    shiney2 Posts: 672
    The panel on beeb1 is starting to look rattled..

    Perhaps a small propitiatory offering is needed to Donald the Great..?
  • NickPalmer
    NickPalmer Posts: 21,724
    PA and CO look safe for Clinton. VA and NH? Quite possibly.
  • RochdalePioneers
    RochdalePioneers Posts: 30,611
    Had Sanders been the DNC candidate the map would be looking very different. Idiotic political grandees thinking they can impose a candidate who *obviously* popular and a woman and it's her turn.
  • stjohn
    stjohn Posts: 1,910
    NickPalmer said:

    PA and CO look safe for Clinton. VA and NH? Quite possibly.

    Nick. How do you rate Clinton's chances of winning at the moment in % terms?
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    MaxPB said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Can someone run the data analysis on Michigan and please tell me if Clinton has enough headroom to pull back Trump's lead there in the urban areas?

    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president

    NYT say PA and MI are now leaning Trump.
    Thanks but I don't see the grounds for calling PA?
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    NickPalmer said:

    PA and CO look safe for Clinton. VA and NH? Quite possibly.

    She is behind in NH. Early days but that is a worry.
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