politicalbetting
Home› General

Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sign In Register

Categories

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » An hour is a long time in politics

12346»

Comments

  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited November 2016
    Michigan numbers getting worse and worse all the time for Clinton. If she loses there she needs Arizona and Nevada.

    Pennsylvania also looking pretty questionable.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,715
    edited November 2016
    Fox projects Hillary wins Virginia
    https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/796185035598688258
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,191
    tpfkar said:

    If McMullin gets Utah, there's a very plausible path for Trump to win 269-263, no majority

    You can't win with less than 270
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,591
    dr_spyn said:

    white working class blamed on BBC for backing Trump.

    Well maybe Dem politicians shouldn't have spent decades screwing them while taking their votes for granted.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,403
    BBC ticker:

    Trump 140 ECVs
    Clinton 104
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Wall Street should be interesting tomorrow.
  • SaltireSaltire Posts: 525
    Does a quick call of New Mexico for Clinton bode well for her in Arizona?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,155
    NEW THREAD!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    I'm not going to lump on Trump just yet, Wayne AA counties report VERY slowly.

    Macomb county.
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    HRC tempting at 2.84
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,291
    MarqueeMark said:

    tpfkar said:

    If McMullin gets Utah, there's a very plausible path for Trump to win 269-263, no majority

    Even if McMullin won, would the EC voters let in President Hillary Clinton on the back of Utah???
    Last I heard the muffin was predicted for about 25%?
  • vikvik Posts: 159
    Omg! Trump 1.4

    Wow!
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,296
    Sandpit said:

    dr_spyn said:

    white working class blamed on BBC for backing Trump.

    Well maybe Dem politicians shouldn't have spent decades screwing them while taking their votes for granted.
    Sounds familiar.
  • DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited November 2016
    corporeal said:

    Fishing said:

    If Trump scrapes through in the Electoral College but Clinton wins the popular vote, the temptation for a delegate or two to change their vote must be considerable. Could be a tumultuous November and December.

    There's that one declared faithless elector (Clinton->Trump) isn't there?
    If you mean Robert Satiacum, he has said he won't vote for Clinton but he hasn't said he will vote for Trump. In Betfair terms he will still count as "projected" for Clinton, though - at least that's my understanding. That's assuming there isn't NOM of electoral seats accounted for by states, in which case Betfair wait for the 12th amendment to be applied.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    PA looks like should be Clinton too, as Pittsburgh is just 16% in, and is 60:40 to Clinton.

    But Philadelphia is reporting massively in already. Pretty much all done there. Most of the rural areas haven't reported at all yet. PA could flip.
    The blue whale could sink her. There is no blue firewall. This is a wave
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,231
    edited November 2016
    Speedy said:

    In Minnesota it's just all Minneapolis, with Hillary's lead 12% lower than Obama's.

    It fits the rust belt strategy which seems to be delivering much more than expected or the polls indicated.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    NYT 69% Trump wins Presidency.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,925
    Pulpstar said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Tony said:

    NYTimes just flipped PA to Trump.....

    On what grounds?
    Philly I'm guessing.
    Suburbs (Delaware and Montgomery) yet to report.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,155
    NEW THREAD
  • EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Trump backers should close out now.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Broward, Palm-Beach, Miami Dade all 98%/99%. Florida is trump's.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    corporeal said:

    Fishing said:

    If Trump scrapes through in the Electoral College but Clinton wins the popular vote, the temptation for a delegate or two to change their vote must be considerable. Could be a tumultuous November and December.

    There's that one declared faithless elector (Clinton->Trump) isn't there?
    Clinton->not Clinton, but probably not Trump
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,333
    Casino_Royale said:

    Can someone run the data analysis on Michigan and please tell me if Clinton has enough headroom to pull back Trump's lead there in the urban areas?

    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president

    NYT say PA and MI are now leaning Trump.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    1/2 on Hillary to win the popular vote looks huge
  • shiney2shiney2 Posts: 672
    The panel on beeb1 is starting to look rattled..

    Perhaps a small propitiatory offering is needed to Donald the Great..?
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    PA and CO look safe for Clinton. VA and NH? Quite possibly.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,130
    Had Sanders been the DNC candidate the map would be looking very different. Idiotic political grandees thinking they can impose a candidate who *obviously* popular and a woman and it's her turn.
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,889
    NickPalmer said:

    PA and CO look safe for Clinton. VA and NH? Quite possibly.

    Nick. How do you rate Clinton's chances of winning at the moment in % terms?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,257
    MaxPB said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Can someone run the data analysis on Michigan and please tell me if Clinton has enough headroom to pull back Trump's lead there in the urban areas?

    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president

    NYT say PA and MI are now leaning Trump.
    Thanks but I don't see the grounds for calling PA?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,231
    NickPalmer said:

    PA and CO look safe for Clinton. VA and NH? Quite possibly.

    She is behind in NH. Early days but that is a worry.
This discussion has been closed.