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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The online polls all have LEAVE ahead

Only a few hours to go and two more online polls, Opinium and TNS, are reporting LEAVE leads. This means that the latest surveys from all the online pollsters covering the referendum now have leads for LEAVE.
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God knows where Farage will come. Perhaps the Leave campaign have finally realised...
https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=father+jack+gobshite+on+the+telly&&view=detail&mid=600A643E950CD8C1E3CB600A643E950CD8C1E3CB&FORM=VRDGAR
(maybe)
Even then, there'll be some who don't want to believe it, and it might not become favourite until c.4am.
If (huge if) Leave do have a small lead.
Jeez, disappear for two hours to find SIX PAGES of new posts. Is anyone with a job actually keeping up with PB for the last week?
On the subject of the plane from earlier, it was definitely a twin engined plane, and will have been under ATC command flying directly above the river. They would have had to get lots of permissions for the flight, and one needs a commercial licence for banner towing. There's not a cat in hell's chance they just decided to fly over a crowd at a rally, messing around really isn't tolerated by the CAA (Civil Aviation Authority, or Campaign Against Aviation as anyone who's ever dealt with them will attest!).
WE WILL KNOW !
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3654977/Nigel-Farage-pulls-Channel-4-s-EU-referendum-debate-just-hour-start.html
Although there are quite a few Brexit poster here that I quite like, quirky and charming and willing to engage, there are some obsessive, blinkered, narrow minded and utterly repulsive types (you know who you are) that I will take a great deal of pleasure in their misery come Friday.
Sounds like opportunity time. But I'll still be counting - got to earn that extra £150
So, when I finally left The Shooting Star, I turned left into Bishopsgate and called at Wasabi to pick up a nice Tofu Curry
Tonight’s final ComRes phone poll being described as "interesting" whatever that means
"Dear Member
There will be a Vigil in memory of Jo Cox, the M.P. who was so tragically killed last week. It is being organised by St. Mary`s Church and will be at 1.p.m. in the Market Square, Stafford tomorrow (Thursday) – a week to both the time and date since she died. If any of you are in Stafford you might like to join the Vigil."
the EU projectDave!https://twitter.com/GeneralBoles/status/743359287825731584
It is however an unfortunate development for his side as inevitably we now wonder why and if there's 'political' reasons of some form and all sorts of speculation will surely arise as to the motives.
If the average remainer is betting twice the value of the average leaver and the remainers are the rich ones wouldnt the individual number of bets on each side be a better comparison since one side cant afford to bet as much as the other ?
Believe in BRITAIN!
Be LEAVE!
https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/725339057669165058
With the fence still annoying rammed up my backside tonight, if I do jump to leave, you will have played a big part in that.
Some Remaindermen are pinning their hopes on people swaying back to the status quo in the voting booth.
My personal opinion is that the Remain vote is soft among traditional Labour voters, not the Guardianistas or Twitterers but normal people who disproportionally won't turnout.
I see turnout of around 66% and 51% Leave.
Methinks this is good for leave
What do you mean: last time?
After we Brexit, that will be our new logo.
Really kind of you to say that.
I said this morning it came down to whether I think the price of leaving is significant enough to outweigh being stuck in an organisation that is heading in a direction we don't like and which is not going to change (with the negative effects for them and us that would entail), and that's still the case.
I've also been trying to apply the Wollaston test - how would I feel, truly feel, if I get out the count on Friday morning (or more likely see from reactions in the hall) that we have voted to leave?
The truth is I would feel anxious about what the future was going to hold. But if it was Remain I'd feel disappointed about what the future was going to hold. That's not easy.
It's not a bad idea, the EU. It;s a nice dream. And they want us to remain. Or rather, they want the dream of us to remain, not the obstructive, difficult real version of us to remain. Having such dreams is good, but after so long, maybe, despite the risks, it's time to accept the dream isn't going to become real?
I have to say that comment was legendary.
As I walked back to my car from a work function I felt a calmness in the air and it fully struck home to me how momentous an occasion tomorrow is in the history of our country. Regardless of the result, this referendum has been a huge event.
I always feel a sense of duty on my walk to the polling station, but this vote makes a General Election feel like small fry. Perhaps those voters walking to the polling stations in 1997 felt like this; I don't know.
I will vote Leave tomorrow with a sense of hope for the future. Leaving the EU is no immediate panacea, but it represents the starting step in the process of boosting our country's democracy.
Whichever way you vote tomorrow, thank you for having your say. I'll be up early to leaflet for Vote Leave in Coventry.
Have a good polling day everyone.
"If we weren't already a member of the EU, would you vote to join? If you wouldn't, vote Leave"
You put the question like that, and all doubt evaporates.
“I drink Champagne when I'm happy and when I'm sad. Sometimes I drink it when I'm alone. When I have company I consider it obligatory. I trifle with it if I'm not hungry and drink it when I am. Otherwise, I never touch it -- unless I'm thirsty.”
Both sides are relying on extremely unreliable allies to carry them over the line.
Edit: Just seen in comments upthread that he's coming Friday now apparently?? Comments coming too fast to follow them all!
Like many of us, I feel the hand of History on my shoulder
Leave is the sensible bet at these prices.
I think all the idealism that you Brexiters are changing the world (you doe eyed fools) will be equally and perfectly matched by people who do not want to see the UK impoverished.
This really is a "once in a lifetime" moment to shape the countries long term destiny....
Hip, hip, hooray!
Hip, hip, hooray!
And don't forget the champagne..... fzzzzzzz!
I'd say they've been pressing the dangers of Remain pretty hard.
Is he still coming tomorrow?
He's cutting a ribbon at Turnberry on Friday morning.
No word on his precise movements between now and then...
That is not as bad as WW3.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/