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Cockney Covid: is it already everywhere? – politicalbetting.com
Cockney Covid: is it already everywhere? – politicalbetting.com
The gods have clearly decided that they’ve not done enough to us yet this year? Christmas? Pah. You develop a vaccine? Here’s a boosted version of the virus – which mutated in the same country that was the first to deploy a vaccine. Coincidence? Well, maybe.
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But given the epicentre is in Kent and Nigel Farage has been gallivanting all over the world are we sure he's not patient zero/the super spreader for the Cockney Covid?
If there's no deal where that is possible then so be it. It takes two to tango. We can't force a deal on the EU if they won't accept our terms.
Whatever the Scottish voters elect in 2021 is their choice. Not yours. If that contradicts promises in 2014 so be it. That is why no Parliament can bind it's successors.
Either you respect democracy or you do not. Democracy is not a once in a generation event.
We really need to be considering What we do about schools too as an urgent priority.
Wor Lass suggested he might have been too busy taking care of Baby Bozo this morning.
It is time to propitiate the dark Gods of Unreason.
Time to bring forth the Fatted Johnson and put him atop the burning Wicker Pyre.
You cannot coherently argue for No Deal from a democratic POV and then claim the Scots can get Independence Vote if they vote that way in 2021.
It's either both or neither.
I know the muppets in question know it doesn't make sense - and hence why like Sean, they're just here playing characters.
Assuming they’re not fibbing, it’s either provisional application or no deal. So what’s the game here?
The NERVTAG report:
https://khub.net/documents/135939561/338928724/SARS-CoV-2+variant+under+investigation,+meeting+minutes.pdf/962e866b-161f-2fd5-1030-32b6ab467896?t=1608470511452
...Four analytic approaches were reviewed regarding the transmissibility of VUI-202012/01
o Growth rate from genomic data: which suggest a growth rate of VUI-202012/01 that is 71% (95%CI: 67%-75%) higher than other variants.
o Studies of correlation between R-values and detection of the variant: which suggest an absolute increase in the R-value of between 0.39 to 0.93.
o PCR ct values: which suggest a decrease of ct value of around 2 associated with the new variant.
o Viral load inferred from number of unique genome reads: which suggests 0.5 increase in median log10 inferred viral load in Y501 versus N501.
• It was noted that variations in observed ct values can change with epidemiology since the stage of illness at which infection is detected can vary with incidence of cases, awareness of transmission, and the availability of tests.
• It was noted that VUI-202012/01 can be challenging to sequence so estimates of frequency of this variant may be underestimates.
• It was noted that whilst previous variants have successfully emerged in periods of low prevalence without clear evidence of having a selective advantage, the emergence and subsequent dominance of VUI-202012/01 in a period of relatively high prevalence suggests VUI-202012/01 does have a selective advantage over other variants.
• It was noted that VUI-202012/01 has demonstrated exponential growth during a period when national lockdown measures were in place.
• In summary, NERVTAG has moderate confidence that VUI-202012/01 demonstrates a substantial increase in transmissibility compared to other variants...
The Tory manifesto made clear what our red lines were. Taking back control of our laws, money, borders, natural resources (eg fish) and courts.
If the EU can't or won't agree a deal respecting those red lines then so be it.
It's all a part of negotiations.
It's no good being firm on things you aren't doing.
Only this morning I resolved to absolutely not slay any dragons today, and I refused to countenance the possibility of growing a third nipple. Sadly, despite the firmness of my resolutions, they didn't help me get any work done...
I'm not sure there are a great number of cockneys in Epping Forest - @HYUFD would know far better than I. It's an unnecessary term which will no doubt catch on.
Why we need to label something (and simultaneously demonise it) is a mystery. Human nature I suppose. It's easy to deal with something if you can couch it in hostile or unfamiliar terms.
That aside, the unpalatable truth is we probably need a March-style lockdown to have any effect on this new strain of the virus. As we've seen (or we are told), that is politically and economically acceptable. I don't consider 75,000 or more deaths acceptable but you only have to read the harrowing accounts of @Cyclefree and others to appreciate how grossly simplistic "health vs wealth" is as well.
The mental health recovery challenge is as great as the vaccination challenge. It will last a deal longer and require more time and resources but it's no less significant. It's as much about saving the living as the vaccine and it needs that kind of priority but all I hear is how we're going to have vaccinated 10 million people by Easter. Where are the resources for the mental health recovery challenge - who is even thinking about that in Government?
Instead, we're seeing flailing and flapping like a fish out of water on Brexit - yes, I know. For those who comment on how well it's all going, the truth is we are at this point, not because of "remoaners" or the obstructive nature of the Opposition but because of the internal factionalism of the Conservative Party. Had the Party been united, a Deal could and would have been done swiftly and been through parliament. The problem is the Tories are split from stem to stern over the post-EU future and the struggle which dethroned one Prime Minister cost this country valuable negotiating time.
It all goes back to the fundamental problem of 2016 - all that united the LEAVE campaign was the desire to leave the EU which, to be fair, was pretty important in the referendum campaign but the problem was, once the battle was won, the contradictions within LEAVE came out into the open. It is those contradictions and the resolution of those within the Conservative Party (mainly) which has got us to this point.
Unless the Government thinks that the EP can push it through if knelt on?
The percentage of tests being done that produce positive results is also 22.7% in Wales, meaning more than a fifth of people getting tested have the virus.
It’s a shame you are so wound up about the EU. But not for that, you would have made a fine liberal troll, rather than the Brexit troll you have become.
The trouble is that the Conservatives made various promises in 2019, some of which contradicted each other (e.g. WA Deal and Union-strengthening) and others weren't theirs to promise (the nature of the long-term trade deal).
Making foolish promises is a good way to pick up votes, but eventually you have to decide which promises you are going to break.
Which is roughly where the government is now.
Likewise, at the GE Johnson promised everyone at “oven ready deal” that would respect the Conservatives red lines. That no such deal was ever possible was quietly glossed over.
I’m not sure who I’d choose to /blame/ for this outcome however - a populace who wanted to believe easy lies over hard truths? A press-pack determined to never, ever ask the awkward questions? A self-serving Prime Minister who will do & say whatever it takes in order to get elected? Take your pick...
But an overwhelming majority were elected in both elections pledged to honouring the referendum instead.
Democracy.
https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1340993027200966656
In any case, it could have been spotted first in Brazil last spring. In which case it's Carioca or Paulista COVID?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/12/21/supercharged-covid-mutation-spotted-brazil-last-spring/
Time for the Government to honour it's red lines in the way it best sees fit. Then no later than 2024 the public can vote to continue down this path or change course. Reversing completely 2016 if that is their choice. No Parliament can bind it's successors.
The Optimal moment to avoid scrutiny of the deal and get it voted on with insane haste would be to announce/publish this Thursday.
So this is going to happen.
Thursday, shortly after noon it is announced and published.
We aren't 1/27th of the EU. We are 1/5th of it.
There's a big wide world out there. Don't be so afraid of leaving the EU.
Without Westminster approval no decision or referendum is legally valid
https://twitter.com/KirstySedgman/status/1340586106392350720
Why the UK never did the same is still unfathomable to this day.
We have no more need to form a political union with our neighbours than Japan or Canada do with theirs.
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1341003009699033095?s=20
There is a mutant strain, i am not a sceptic of this.
But what ever it brings to the party, winter, Christmas shopping and movement, vigilance fatigue, tiers and 2.0 that kept gyms, shops, pubs, participant and spectator sport open, hawkish scientists and politicians trying to bounce sceptic politicians and scientists, and media ramping all bad news are already at that party.
But it wouldn't have honoured the promises made during the referendum.
But it wouldn't have honoured the promises made during the 2017 election.
But it wouldn't have honoured the promises made during the 2019 election.
Boris Johnson has made his position on Scottish Independence completely clear and the position is as you describe it until either he changes his position or he is no longer Prime Minister.
Should there be a majority in the Commons after the next election for a second referendum, so be it. The Conservatives would presumably vote against any legislation empowering such a referendum but if they don't have the votes, that's democracy.
The question I would pose is this - IF, in a future referendum, Scotland voted for independence but the process had not been completed before the next Westminster GE, do you think the Conservatives should campaign on a pledge to cancel the referendum result if they win a majority or do you think the Conservatives should respect the result of the referendum and work for a constructive separation between Scotland and the rest of the UK?
80 seat majority for leaving the Single Market.
If leaving the Single Market goes badly then the public can overturn that in 2024 if they choose to do so.
There are still a few East End boys who made a fortune in the City who live in Theydon Bois though as well as David Sullivan, along with Alan Sugar in Chigwell one of the 2 billionaires who live in Epping Forest, Sugar himself being an ex East Ender, though Sullivan comes from south Wales
http://viz.co.uk/2015/01/15/cockney-wanker/
But my regular reminder - he won't be. It will be deal or fudged extension.
Happily, MLE seems to be transient. Teenspeak. Aspirational Londoners realise it is a handicap and a problem, and lose it as they mature.
You may want to realise that non-Tory non-Labour voters are not just not-Tory voters they are not-Labour voters too.
The Orange Idiot still thinks he won 🤣
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1340996686257254403?s=20
https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1340915047225319424