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On the biggest political betting market of all time Biden is still favourite but not by much – polit

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  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,123

    Sheffield United appear to still be on their summer holidays.

    Second season syndrome.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,342

    Pulpstar said:

    @Tissue_Price supporting the bill.

    Good man. What did he say?
    He weighed up the qualities of the arguments of the opening speakers?
  • moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    Your sense of perspective and sanity are an absolute tonic amidst this madness. Thanks!
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,342

    The thing about Ed Miliband is that, like William Hague, he was chosen as party leader far too early. Hague eventually became a very serious politician; Ed M has also matured quite well in the last five years.

    Ed's big mistake was resigning the leadership. Was probably inevitable, but I am sure Labour would be in a better place if he hadn't.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,342
    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    HYUFD said:

    New Welsh poll. Labour on its GE result. Interesting that both the Tories and BXP have fallen back. Plaid the big gainers since December.
    https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1305551536420986887

    Plaid are unchanged, the gainers are Labour and the BXP
    LOL

    And Lib dems behind BXP/Green
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,551
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Isn't it possible to take a freeze frame of anyone to make them look unwell?
    On the available evidence, it seems very difficult to take a freeze frame of BJ looking anything like well.
    This one has clearly been chosen to make him look as ill as possible. It even looks as though it has been lightened too, compared to others here.
    More saturation doesn't improve it.

    image
    But it's a very specific freeze frame, isn't it?
    Here he is at last Wednesday's PMQs, listening to Keir Starmer.

  • moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,427
    So what have I missed today?
  • I bet this school are pleased now they are famous for having the Who Wants to be a Millionaire winner as a teacher, rather than the I want to take all the Millionaire's money as a former student.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-shropshire-53114875
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275
    edited September 2020

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    A leader who won a majority of 80 is preferable to a leader who lost a general election on any definition
    You need to open your eyes to what is happening in front of you
    Labour want rid of Boris as they fear him, just as the Tories feared Blair, just as Labour feared Thatcher.

    You are falling into their trap, last time the Chancellor replaced the PM in 2007 he lost the 2010 election, the time before that he scraped a win in 1992 then was trounced in 1997
    I can't speak for Labour, although I am sympathetic to Starmer's party. I don't fear Johnson's electoral invincibility. In fact I would consider him a massive liability, if not quite yet, very shortly.

    HYUFD, In 1957 MacMillan moved from No11 to No 10. In 1959 he won a landslide at the GE. Do these isolated facts reveal some sort of hidden law of politics?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    Barnesian said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Isn't it possible to take a freeze frame of anyone to make them look unwell?
    On the available evidence, it seems very difficult to take a freeze frame of BJ looking anything like well.
    This one has clearly been chosen to make him look as ill as possible. It even looks as though it has been lightened too, compared to others here.
    More saturation doesn't improve it.

    image
    But it's a very specific freeze frame, isn't it?
    Here he is at last Wednesday's PMQs, listening to Keir Starmer.

    I mean isn't this just reinforcing my point?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480
    edited September 2020

    Pulpstar said:

    @Tissue_Price supporting the bill.

    Good man. What did he say?
    Gissa job, go on, gissa job. I can do that, gissa job...
  • So what have I missed today?

    Ed Miliband taking Boris apart
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    edited September 2020

    The thing about Ed Miliband is that, like William Hague, he was chosen as party leader far too early. Hague eventually became a very serious politician; Ed M has also matured quite well in the last five years.

    That was brutal from EdM today. You may be right about his being too inexperienced when he was leader. The thing that always struck me, though, was that when relaxed and not in politician mode he would come across as funny and intelligent - but whenever he appeared as ‘Leader of the HMO’ he was utterly robotic - and never allowed his actually abundant human qualities to come across.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    dixiedean said:

    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?

    Wasn't it Pfizer?
  • dixiedean said:

    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?

    Pfizer have said they will be able to say by the end of October if their vaccine works.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    That is because most people neither care nor follow politics and why the franchise must be restricted...if you wont follow what is going on then you shouldn't get a vote on it. Its like being in a football match and asking people who hadn't been watching if it was a penalyu.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,342
    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?

    Wasn't it Pfizer?
    I don't know. Thank you. People were quoting it and I couldn't, for some reason, find evidence of the source.
  • I'd have thought opposition/abstention to the 2nd reading in the high teens or low twenties with more to come on the amendment.

    But I'm guessing.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    dixiedean said:

    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?

    Wasn't it Pfizer?
    I don't know. Thank you. People were quoting it and I couldn't, for some reason, find evidence of the source.
    Here's a link - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/pfizer-ceo-coronavirus-vaccine-could-be-distributed-in-us-by-end-of-year-2020-09-13

    Suggests they'll have finished phase 3 at the end of Oct. Which is just about "weeks", I suppose!
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,123
    edited September 2020

    The thing about Ed Miliband is that, like William Hague, he was chosen as party leader far too early. Hague eventually became a very serious politician; Ed M has also matured quite well in the last five years.

    I see your point but am not sure this is right.

    Both got chosen as leaders because they had and have many qualities, including that they can more than hold their own in debate - as Hague repeatedly showed (but ultimately with no reward at all) in PMQs and Miliband showed today (but not only today).

    But the scrutiny of party leaders is unrelenting and savage compared with other ministers and shadow ministers - weaknesses get put under an electron-microscope and are elevated to a ridiculous degree such that people get a distorted view and wonder why the hell the party chose someone so "obviously" deficient.

    Additionally, they need to do a range of things right that aren't obvious in public "performances". For example, they have to make correct calls on the big strategic issues, appoint and manage highly capable teams, and manage their parties well behind the scenes. In reality, that is where Hague and Miliband failed despite their very real qualities.

    I am not sure "maturity" is the issue - they've not transformed into fundamentally different and better politicians over a few years - it's just we see them now under a softer light.

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,342
    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,891
    edited September 2020
    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?
  • moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,125
    Worrying article over on 538
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-if-trump-loses-and-wont-leave/

    Of course, a lot of the possible problems couldn't arise if the US drops it moronic electoral college and just gives the presidency to the person who gets, you know, the most votes.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?

    Wasn't it Pfizer?
    I don't know. Thank you. People were quoting it and I couldn't, for some reason, find evidence of the source.
    Here's a link - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/pfizer-ceo-coronavirus-vaccine-could-be-distributed-in-us-by-end-of-year-2020-09-13

    Suggests they'll have finished phase 3 at the end of Oct. Which is just about "weeks", I suppose!
    They won’t; it’s scheduled to run for twelve months.
    What they might have is an interim analysis demonstrating efficacy.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    Tissue price has gone native?
  • Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    That's just a different way of saying that we would be in a stronger position if they allowed us to use Northern Ireland as leverage in the future relationship negotiations.
  • moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    A thought and no doubt I will be told I am completely wrong

    Tissue price was one of us, he said what he thought and he would criticize when he felt something was wrong.

    Now he is elected he is a johnson clone.....does that not say our parliament needs to be reformed?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,891

    dixiedean said:

    From whom and from where is the idea of a vaccine in weeks coming?

    Pfizer have said they will be able to say by the end of October if their vaccine works.
    I've read the smallpox vax had the same rate of that adverse event (1/20,000) and I think we can all agree that was a good thing...
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
    Doesn't say what you think it says. I don't know when you last visited the Hebrides, but nothing about them screams "We can afford to go it alone." Oil is oil.
  • Pagan2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    Tissue price has gone native?
    I think you need to go native to get the job...
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,342
    Pagan2 said:

    A thought and no doubt I will be told I am completely wrong

    Tissue price was one of us, he said what he thought and he would criticize when he felt something was wrong.

    Now he is elected he is a johnson clone.....does that not say our parliament needs to be reformed?

    Or that the country needs a PB Junta.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Trump’s metric for holding indoor rallies - his personal risk.

    https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/in-exclusive-interview-trump-slams-sisolak-defends-indoor-rally-2121257/
    ... Trump said in his interview with the Review-Journal that he is not afraid of getting the coronavirus from speaking at the indoor rally.
    “I’m on a stage and it’s very far away,” Trump said. “And so I’m not at all concerned.”
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848

    Pagan2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    Tissue price has gone native?
    I think you need to go native to get the job...
    A shame I liked him when he was an individual and not one of the tory Borg......without even jerry ryan and theresa may is their seven of nine
  • Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    To be fair, it's true: the EU have weaponised the Irish border.

    It still doesn't justify reneging unilaterally on an international agreement we've only just signed.

    If that's the way we felt we should have bombed out to No Deal on principle post GE2019.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
    Doesn't say what you think it says. I don't know when you last visited the Hebrides, but nothing about them screams "We can afford to go it alone." Oil is oil.
    I have been to the Hebrides several times and the article references them in respect of the discussions with Orkney and Shetland

    And of a minor interest my wife spent the war time on the Orkneys
  • There is nothing in the least "extraordinary" about it. Many social and psychological experiments have shown that people's "standards" are remarkably flexible. Look up Stanley Milgram's experiments where people would inflict pain because an authority figure said it was OK to do so.

    https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1305566487604854784

  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
    Doesn't say what you think it says. I don't know when you last visited the Hebrides, but nothing about them screams "We can afford to go it alone." Oil is oil.
    I have been to the Hebrides several times and the article references them in respect of the discussions with Orkney and Shetland

    And of a minor interest my wife spent the war time on the Orkneys
    And did they look self-financing any of those times?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    dixiedean said:

    Pagan2 said:

    A thought and no doubt I will be told I am completely wrong

    Tissue price was one of us, he said what he thought and he would criticize when he felt something was wrong.

    Now he is elected he is a johnson clone.....does that not say our parliament needs to be reformed?

    Or that the country needs a PB Junta.
    The last thing that the country needs is a pb junta, philip thompson, hyufd.dura) ace, chb and kinablu would be involved...if it came to a pb takeover apart from me which might be taken as a biassed vote we crown cyclefree
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    Well its true what we should have done is nuked brussls I am told
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,644
    I guess I like the PB design.
  • dixiedean said:

    Pagan2 said:

    A thought and no doubt I will be told I am completely wrong

    Tissue price was one of us, he said what he thought and he would criticize when he felt something was wrong.

    Now he is elected he is a johnson clone.....does that not say our parliament needs to be reformed?

    Or that the country needs a PB Junta.
    We would never get anything done because of the Brexit rows.....
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    UK cases, by specimen date, scaled to 100K population

    image
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,113
    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    UK cases, by specimen date

    image
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    UK case summary

    image
    image
    image
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,503
    Yes, I wonder how they'd feel if it was Corbyn and McDonnell, doing something like nationalising at under fair value. The subtle danger here is that it makes ALL sides feel that they can break a few rules, that's no worse. In that way Starmer probably stands oiut as being the least likely person to embrace such a doctrine.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    EPG said:

    I guess I like the PB design.

    We will put you in that group that thinks deep fried creme eggs are a savoury treat
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    UK Hospitals

    image
    image
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,360
    Pagan2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    Tissue price has gone native?
    The terrible sequencing, was dictated by a combination of Article 50, to which the UK agreed at the time:


    2. ....the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union.

    3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.


    Made worse by terrible political judgement from the UK. All of which placed the EU in the driving seat.


  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    UK deaths - by day of death, 28 day cutoff

    image
    image
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,690

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    There is nothing in the least "extraordinary" about it. Many social and psychological experiments have shown that people's "standards" are remarkably flexible. Look up Stanley Milgram's experiments where people would inflict pain because an authority figure said it was OK to do so.

    https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1305566487604854784

    That Milgram experiment is sooo much less interesting than everyone thinks it is. The narrative is that the dupes thought that what they were doing couldn't really be wrong if an authority figure told them it was OK, and the uninteresting punch line is that they were absolutely right.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
    Doesn't say what you think it says. I don't know when you last visited the Hebrides, but nothing about them screams "We can afford to go it alone." Oil is oil.
    I have been to the Hebrides several times and the article references them in respect of the discussions with Orkney and Shetland

    And of a minor interest my wife spent the war time on the Orkneys
    And did they look self-financing any of those times?
    Seems they do not receive adequate funding from Edinburgh
  • Pulpstar said:

    @Tissue_Price supporting the bill.

    At least someone understands what loyalty and discipline mean.
    I don't see how the rebels can be said to be disloyal.
    They're following the personal example of B Johnson Esq.
  • #RIPJKRowling is trending on Twitter.

    Sick in the head.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Stocky said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/
  • moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
    Yebbut it was the Western Isles I was talking about.
  • moonshine said:

    Intriguing to me how wound up / excited this forum is about this bill, on most of the tabloids’ websites it’s hard to find mention of the story. It’s without doubt Covid and the Rule of 6 that is upsetting people in the real world, when I chat to cross sections of the public (although Casino is right, those on the south coast have the Dover crossings a close second). Arguing the tealeaves on this bill is for the obsessives. Either it’ll be No Deal which Boris won’t mind politically at all, or a deal he will inevitably champion from the rooftop, which will be fine too. Not much to gain vote wise from today’s point scoring.

    And not that I’m his biggest fan on his handling of covid but the PM is getting a get out of jail free card on the defining issue of the day of covid, with now not one but two major pharmas likely to announce a vaccine within 6 weeks. One thing the Uk has done right is massive upfront payments to secure a broad mix of vaccines early.

    So both issues will be over as a story comfortably by next summer. Just in time for Scottish Indie to rear its head with the Scottish elections....

    A pre election exit date will I think be determined by health or personal factors, rather than politics. Shaky ground to bet on I would suggest but you guys are the experts so knock yourselves out.

    And the Shetlands, Orkney and Western Islands seeking Independence from Scotland as widely publicised this week
    The Western Isles now is it? Where was this interesting new development widely reported?
    I believe it was the Herald but I have read it elsewhere and with a reference to Blackford trying to ignore it
    Links are always helpful..
    https://twitter.com/graham290244/status/1305567239249244160?s=09
    Yebbut it was the Western Isles I was talking about.
    The Western Isles are featured in the article
  • Just a point on new look site, is it just me or does it take a long time to populate the comments?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    algarkirk said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Richard_Nabavi

    @Tissue_Price Advanced this argument
    -
    It is also my personal belief that much of the difficulty in the negotiations so far, and particularly with respect to Northern Ireland, can be traced back to the EU’s insistence that we leave in two stages – withdrawal first and only then discussing the future relationship.
    -
    Heard it anywhere before ?

    Tissue price has gone native?
    The terrible sequencing, was dictated by a combination of Article 50, to which the UK agreed at the time:


    2. ....the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union.

    3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.


    Made worse by terrible political judgement from the UK. All of which placed the EU in the driving seat.


    2 and 3 ar both true, it doesnt mean however Tissue price should go along with the imposition of executive control without parliamentary or judicial scrutiny
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,113
    IshmaelZ said:

    Stocky said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/
    When I click on that the header doesn`t come up and then the comments are upside down - is that right?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    Stocky said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Stocky said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/
    When I click on that the header doesn`t come up and then the comments are upside down - is that right?
    Welcome to upside-down world.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,690
    edited September 2020
    RobD said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
    Sure. But nothing was done last week by the senior talking heads to counter all the bullshit hysteria on the pause to the trial. I and several others here knew as fact within hours of the Reuters story that it was nothing to worry about.

    And all we get even now is such vaguely caveated statements on a vaccine talking about as late as next summer, ooh we may never get one, let’s spend £100bn on a testing process that doesn’t even exist.

    Healthcare workers likely to get it before or around Xmas. Then sometime thereafter care home residents. And teachers. And we will be then talking about something which isn’t really spreading and isn’t causing much morbidity or mortality, long before your average Millennial gets the chance to not turn up to the appointment to get one.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,113
    RobD said:

    Stocky said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Stocky said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/
    When I click on that the header doesn`t come up and then the comments are upside down - is that right?
    Welcome to upside-down world.
    Sod that - why is it that every time there is an I.T. improvement it turns out to be worse than before?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Stocky said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Stocky said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/
    When I click on that the header doesn`t come up and then the comments are upside down - is that right?
    It ain't right, but it's the way things are.
  • moonshine said:

    RobD said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
    Sure. But nothing was done last week by the senior talking heads to counter all the bullshit hysteria on the pause to the trial. I and several others here knew as fact within hours of the Reuters story that it was nothing to worry about.

    And all we get even now is such vaguely caveated statements on a vaccine talking about as late as next summer, ooh we may never get one, let’s spend £100bn on a testing process that doesn’t even exist.

    Healthcare workers likely to get it before or around Xmas. Then sometime thereafter care home residents. And teachers. And we will be then talking about something which isn’t really spreading and isn’t causing much morbidity or mortality, long before your average Millennial gets the chance to not turn up to the appointment to get one.
    The media talking breathless bollocks about covid, never...
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    Can I ask is it anyone else feels wierd when political opposites like your posts? I am beginning to feel like I defected
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    Pagan2 said:

    Can I ask is it anyone else feels wierd when political opposites like your posts? I am beginning to feel like I defected

    Only liked? The off topic flag is the prestigious one. ;)
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    moonshine said:

    RobD said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
    Sure. But nothing was done last week by the senior talking heads to counter all the bullshit hysteria on the pause to the trial. I and several others here knew as fact within hours of the Reuters story that it was nothing to worry about.

    And all we get even now is such vaguely caveated statements on a vaccine talking about as late as next summer, ooh we may never get one, let’s spend £100bn on a testing process that doesn’t even exist.

    Healthcare workers likely to get it before or around Xmas. Then sometime thereafter care home residents. And teachers. And we will be then talking about something which isn’t really spreading and isn’t causing much morbidity or mortality, long before your average Millennial gets the chance to not turn up to the appointment to get one.
    A Pennsylvania judge today ruled the state's lockdown and gathering restrictions unconstitutional.....
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    RobD said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Can I ask is it anyone else feels wierd when political opposites like your posts? I am beginning to feel like I defected

    Only liked? The off topic flag is the prestigious one. ;)
    shrugs it worries me that I may be being reasonable on an internet forum I am not sure its allowed
  • Pagan2 said:

    Can I ask is it anyone else feels wierd when political opposites like your posts? I am beginning to feel like I defected

    I think that politics is so chaotic at present that I find myself often agreeing with posters I would not normally.

    Amazingly I actually agreed with one of Scott's post the other day.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,113
    edited September 2020
    IshmaelZ said:

    Stocky said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Stocky said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yorkcity said:

    How do you get to the older comments on a thread now ?

    Use vanilla.
    Sorry to be late to the party and a bit dim - what does "use vanilla" mean. I have politicalbetting.com in my favourites and click on that. Is vanilla a app or something?
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/
    When I click on that the header doesn`t come up and then the comments are upside down - is that right?
    It ain't right, but it's the way things are.
    Something weird is going on - I just clicked the usual website and got an additional vertical "slider" between the comments and the archive date list, and by using that I could scroll down to the older comments. But, I`ve now tried again and it`s not there and I can`t get it to do it again???

    Edit: it`s back now! Odd.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,895
    While BoZo is trashing our international reputation in the Commons, elsewhere the Government continues to fuck up to the max...

    https://twitter.com/JenniferMerode/status/1305570915535781890

    https://twitter.com/lisaocarroll/status/1305573003854520321
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,891
    edited September 2020
    moonshine said:

    RobD said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
    Sure. But nothing was done last week by the senior talking heads to counter all the bullshit hysteria on the pause to the trial. I and several others here knew as fact within hours of the Reuters story that it was nothing to worry about.

    And all we get even now is such vaguely caveated statements on a vaccine talking about as late as next summer, ooh we may never get one, let’s spend £100bn on a testing process that doesn’t even exist.

    Healthcare workers likely to get it before or around Xmas. Then sometime thereafter care home residents. And teachers. And we will be then talking about something which isn’t really spreading and isn’t causing much morbidity or mortality, long before your average Millennial gets the chance to not turn up to the appointment to get one.
    How do you know the pause isn't much to worry about out of interest 'as fact' ?
  • dixiedean said:

    The thing about Ed Miliband is that, like William Hague, he was chosen as party leader far too early. Hague eventually became a very serious politician; Ed M has also matured quite well in the last five years.

    Ed's big mistake was resigning the leadership. Was probably inevitable, but I am sure Labour would be in a better place if he hadn't.
    ... and we would still be in the EU.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 41,947
    edited September 2020
    Nigelb said:

    Trump’s metric for holding indoor rallies - his personal risk.

    https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/in-exclusive-interview-trump-slams-sisolak-defends-indoor-rally-2121257/
    ... Trump said in his interview with the Review-Journal that he is not afraid of getting the coronavirus from speaking at the indoor rally.
    “I’m on a stage and it’s very far away,” Trump said. “And so I’m not at all concerned.”

    Busted. Oddly there are still those who do not see the twisted pathology or see it but consider Joe Biden a more terrible prospect. I'd be lying if I claimed to understand this.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848

    Pagan2 said:

    Can I ask is it anyone else feels wierd when political opposites like your posts? I am beginning to feel like I defected

    I think that politics is so chaotic at present that I find myself often agreeing with posters I would not normally.

    Amazingly I actually agreed with one of Scott's post the other day.
    When politics get chaotic I think the thing to take away is that our politics no longer fits the world we llive in and its time to rewrite politics. Naturally none of the idiots in the commons or lords will see it that way
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,800
    Evening all :)

    Orkney and Shetland back to Norway - well, it's a thought.

    The Arizona poll is very strong for Biden but as with so many of the US polls, there's a big caveat on the margin of error which in this poll is 4% so it could be a 2% lead for Biden or an 18% lead for Biden.

    Simply re-tweeting headline numbers, as some do, is hugely misleading. Most of the polls have very large margins of error and this becomes especially relevant so if the result is in any way close.

    Yesterday's Fox News poll had a 5-point Biden lead but a 2.5% Margin of error so it could be level or a 10-point Biden lead. Even the much-vaunted Rasmussen polls have a margin of error of 3% so the North Carolina poll could be a Trump lead of eight or a Biden lead of one.

    in 2016, 133 Electoral College votes were decided in states where the winning candidate won by less than 5% - Trump won 102 of those and Clinton 31.

    Trump won 306-232 last time - if Biden wins all the 102 votes on offer with just a 2.5% swing he would win 334 and Trump would win 204. That's the size of the difference yet we work with polls which have larger margins of error.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,690
    Pulpstar said:

    moonshine said:

    RobD said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
    Sure. But nothing was done last week by the senior talking heads to counter all the bullshit hysteria on the pause to the trial. I and several others here knew as fact within hours of the Reuters story that it was nothing to worry about.

    And all we get even now is such vaguely caveated statements on a vaccine talking about as late as next summer, ooh we may never get one, let’s spend £100bn on a testing process that doesn’t even exist.

    Healthcare workers likely to get it before or around Xmas. Then sometime thereafter care home residents. And teachers. And we will be then talking about something which isn’t really spreading and isn’t causing much morbidity or mortality, long before your average Millennial gets the chance to not turn up to the appointment to get one.
    How do you know the pause isn't much to worry about out of interest 'as fact' ?
    It is now on the public record that the trial has resumed. How did I know earlier than this that it was nothing to worry about? There remains an imperfect market in information.
  • Pagan2 said:

    Can I ask is it anyone else feels wierd when political opposites like your posts? I am beginning to feel like I defected

    There - I gave that a like, but I am not sure about our political mismatch (or otherwise) ;)
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    moonshine said:

    RobD said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    Could still go tits up.
    Sure. But nothing was done last week by the senior talking heads to counter all the bullshit hysteria on the pause to the trial. I and several others here knew as fact within hours of the Reuters story that it was nothing to worry about.

    And all we get even now is such vaguely caveated statements on a vaccine talking about as late as next summer, ooh we may never get one, let’s spend £100bn on a testing process that doesn’t even exist.

    Healthcare workers likely to get it before or around Xmas. Then sometime thereafter care home residents. And teachers. And we will be then talking about something which isn’t really spreading and isn’t causing much morbidity or mortality, long before your average Millennial gets the chance to not turn up to the appointment to get one.
    Medical regulators in the USA, Brazil and South Africa seem to disagree with you, but you sound very confident. Are you a virologist?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,077
    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    How many arms in November - and it really needs to be NHS people first so even a few million jabs won't solves things quickly.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480

    dixiedean said:

    Pagan2 said:

    A thought and no doubt I will be told I am completely wrong

    Tissue price was one of us, he said what he thought and he would criticize when he felt something was wrong.

    Now he is elected he is a johnson clone.....does that not say our parliament needs to be reformed?

    Or that the country needs a PB Junta.
    We would never get anything done because of the Brexit rows.....
    Nothing compared to the pizza disputes...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,824
    eek said:

    moonshine said:

    PFizer's CEO said its vaccine could be given in late 2020.....

    My understanding on the Oxford-AZN vaccine is that it could be in first batch of arms as soon as November, with publication of Phase 3 findings perhaps 5-6 weeks away. Don’t ask me for a source because I can’t give it. Just what I’ve been told is now looking likely.

    It’s why I find the government’s messaging recently so unconscionable. If I know this so do they. So give people a bit of hope for goodness sake.
    How many arms in November - and it really needs to be NHS people first so even a few million jabs won't solves things quickly.
    For the AstraZeneca drug haven't they been stockpiling it for a few months already?
  • IshmaelZ said:

    There is nothing in the least "extraordinary" about it. Many social and psychological experiments have shown that people's "standards" are remarkably flexible. Look up Stanley Milgram's experiments where people would inflict pain because an authority figure said it was OK to do so.

    https://witter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1305566487604854784

    That Milgram experiment is sooo much less interesting than everyone thinks it is. The narrative is that the dupes thought that what they were doing couldn't really be wrong if an authority figure told them it was OK, and the uninteresting punch line is that they were absolutely right.
    The point is that it is not that hard for authority figures to get people to ditch their values and beliefs and act in a contrary manner - like, say, law and order Tories cheering on the junking of law and order because their leaders are doing it.
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