"...the number of confirmed cases across Africa has increased to around 850 - almost six times the number recorded just a week ago."
If confirmed, a six-fold increase in a week doesn't bode well for Africa.
Big populations. Dense living. Weak states. Poor health systems. Africa is not much discussed over here - is it ever? - but it is surely facing a calamity.
I think they are going to be "testing" the iceberg / herd immunity theories....
Young populations though. If you're old in a South African township your immune system is probably tough as old boots mind.
I worry for indonesia. Not far behind us on the curve and I'm unsure of the quality of their health provision.
It will be sooner in London I think. All the evidence (and indeed the CMO) state it is ahead of the rest of the country (and potentially quite a lot ahead). Interestingly, Spain seem to think they can flatten the peak within a couple of weeks (not convinced, but let's see) so it may be that the social distancing, if enforced, has a massive effect (I think Italy enforced it very badly).
Ah OK, hope that is correct. The numbers hardly bear thinking about otherwise.
First I find out Netflix and YouTube are restricting, now this...
Television channels are scrambling to commission new programmes suitable for a stay-at-home audience, with Channel 4 today announcing that it has commissioned Jamie Oliver to present a daily show providing tips for cooking simple recipes in a crisis.
The programme, entitled Keep Cooking and Carry On, will be broadcast every weekday next week at 5.30pm – with Oliver pledging to teach people “how to make the most from kitchen staples and how to be creative with whatever ingredients they’ve got at home”.
There are 692 episodes of Prisoner Cell Block H, each lasting 45 minutes. So no need to panic in terms of things to do over the next few weeks and months.
Iconic luxury store Harrods has announced it will be closing its doors amid the coronavirus crisis. The department store in Knightsbridge, London, said it will keep its food halls and pharmacy open to continue providing “essential services” - but the rest of the store will shut from 7pm this evening.
I thought all the poshos had escaped to their second homes in the Cotswold's and Cornwall?
Horrible thing to say but I wouldn't like to have the virus in the most authoritarian countries in the world because they may decide to eliminate it in the most reliable way available.
Iconic luxury store Harrods has announced it will be closing its doors amid the coronavirus crisis. The department store in Knightsbridge, London, said it will keep its food halls and pharmacy open to continue providing “essential services” - but the rest of the store will shut from 7pm this evening.
I thought all the poshos had escaped to their second homes in the Cotswold's and Cornwall?
It will be sooner in London I think. All the evidence (and indeed the CMO) state it is ahead of the rest of the country (and potentially quite a lot ahead). Interestingly, Spain seem to think they can flatten the peak within a couple of weeks (not convinced, but let's see) so it may be that the social distancing, if enforced, has a massive effect (I think Italy enforced it very badly).
Ah OK, hope that is correct. The numbers hardly bear thinking about otherwise.
Well the governments best case scenario appears to be keeping deaths below 20K
Does it make me a terrible person to ask whether, given this is US data, there is any info on the weight and fitness of those younger people...?
That is an utterly appalling thing to say, and I am disgusted at you. "given these are US data," please.
I am so sorry. I shall voluntarily self isolate at ConservativeHome as penance.
Please do not do that. We all misjudge things sometimes
Northwick Park Harrow declared critical incident due to surge in covid 19 cases
London looks very serious
The terrifying thing is that you’d think London would be best served of anywhere in the U.K., given the number of hospitals with a national role.
Some years ago now my daughter was studying in London and ended up in A&E. We were down at the time. I was appalled. It was like something out of a third world country. Complete chaos, trollies everywhere, people taking drugs in the corridors, more police than there would be in the High Street on a Saturday night in Dundee. Casualty at Ninewells is vastly better.
That was a few years ago now, maybe 8 or 9, but I have never forgotten it. It was genuinely shocking.
First I find out Netflix and YouTube are restricting, now this...
Television channels are scrambling to commission new programmes suitable for a stay-at-home audience, with Channel 4 today announcing that it has commissioned Jamie Oliver to present a daily show providing tips for cooking simple recipes in a crisis.
The programme, entitled Keep Cooking and Carry On, will be broadcast every weekday next week at 5.30pm – with Oliver pledging to teach people “how to make the most from kitchen staples and how to be creative with whatever ingredients they’ve got at home”.
There are 692 episodes of Prisoner Cell Block H, each lasting 45 minutes. So no need to panic in terms of things to do over the next few weeks and months.
Boris Johnson is expected to announce the shut down of London today with bars, clubs, pubs, restaurants and cafes all ordered to close.
Shops considered ‘non-essential’ such as clothing stores are also likely to be forced to shut their doors in an attempt to curb coronavirus in the capital.
Well-placed sources said the Prime Minister would make the announcement at his afternoon press conference. London’s mayor Sadiq Khan is expected to make a separate statement.
It's high time for him to ditch the stiff-upper-lip-kabuki and get real. He needs to take a step forward.
I don’t think Boris is doing that bad a job in the circumstances but what I would say is it does feel he’s being buffeted by events a little.
No school closures turns into school closures 24 hours later. No London lockdown (possibly) turns into London lockdown etc.
If these things are coming down the road in a days time, I don’t really see the reason why it hasn’t just been done. Not sure 24 hours makes a huge amount of difference.
Boris Johnson is useless. We need someone who is serious and competent and who can exercise leadership. It's frustrating. We are stuck with him and so need him to do his best possible. It's a matter of life and death.
I do not think that is fair.
Boris is acting on the advice and of course none of those first ministers and Khan have indicated that they do not agree with him
I do not think any politician available today would do any better, nor would they probably want the job
For now the public seem to be on his side in the main
First I find out Netflix and YouTube are restricting, now this...
Television channels are scrambling to commission new programmes suitable for a stay-at-home audience, with Channel 4 today announcing that it has commissioned Jamie Oliver to present a daily show providing tips for cooking simple recipes in a crisis.
The programme, entitled Keep Cooking and Carry On, will be broadcast every weekday next week at 5.30pm – with Oliver pledging to teach people “how to make the most from kitchen staples and how to be creative with whatever ingredients they’ve got at home”.
There are 692 episodes of Prisoner Cell Block H, each lasting 45 minutes. So no need to panic in terms of things to do over the next few weeks and months.
I'm not much of a TV buff but I got around to watching Breaking Bad last year. I'd highly recommend it to anyone who hasn't seen it.
Another recommendation is the 6-part documentary The Jinx and the 5-parter OJ: Made in America. They are both great series'.
Boris Johnson is expected to announce the shut down of London today with bars, clubs, pubs, restaurants and cafes all ordered to close.
Shops considered ‘non-essential’ such as clothing stores are also likely to be forced to shut their doors in an attempt to curb coronavirus in the capital.
Well-placed sources said the Prime Minister would make the announcement at his afternoon press conference. London’s mayor Sadiq Khan is expected to make a separate statement.
It's high time for him to ditch the stiff-upper-lip-kabuki and get real. He needs to take a step forward.
I don’t think Boris is doing that bad a job in the circumstances but what I would say is it does feel he’s being buffeted by events a little.
No school closures turns into school closures 24 hours later. No London lockdown (possibly) turns into London lockdown etc.
If these things are coming down the road in a days time, I don’t really see the reason why it hasn’t just been done. Not sure 24 hours makes a huge amount of difference.
Boris Johnson is useless. We need someone who is serious and competent and who can exercise leadership. It's frustrating. We are stuck with him and so need him to do his best possible. It's a matter of life and death.
I despair. Why are we now just thinking about shutting down the pubs in London? And that after what we've seen in Italy!
First I find out Netflix and YouTube are restricting, now this...
Television channels are scrambling to commission new programmes suitable for a stay-at-home audience, with Channel 4 today announcing that it has commissioned Jamie Oliver to present a daily show providing tips for cooking simple recipes in a crisis.
The programme, entitled Keep Cooking and Carry On, will be broadcast every weekday next week at 5.30pm – with Oliver pledging to teach people “how to make the most from kitchen staples and how to be creative with whatever ingredients they’ve got at home”.
There are 692 episodes of Prisoner Cell Block H, each lasting 45 minutes. So no need to panic in terms of things to do over the next few weeks and months.
First I find out Netflix and YouTube are restricting, now this...
Television channels are scrambling to commission new programmes suitable for a stay-at-home audience, with Channel 4 today announcing that it has commissioned Jamie Oliver to present a daily show providing tips for cooking simple recipes in a crisis.
The programme, entitled Keep Cooking and Carry On, will be broadcast every weekday next week at 5.30pm – with Oliver pledging to teach people “how to make the most from kitchen staples and how to be creative with whatever ingredients they’ve got at home”.
There are 692 episodes of Prisoner Cell Block H, each lasting 45 minutes. So no need to panic in terms of things to do over the next few weeks and months.
The moment it happens the criticism will continue, though. Like when the media had a go due to job losses following the surprisingly large cut in fixed odds betting terminal stakes. Which everyone predicted, and the media portrayed as 'unforeseen consequences'.
Glad there's PB. Yes, there's some grumpiness sometimes, but far less bullshit than I get from TV news.
Dr Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force response coordinator, said data from Italy indicate the coronavirus fatality rate is twice as high for men across all age groups.
Does it make me a terrible person to ask whether, given this is US data, there is any info on the weight and fitness of those younger people...?
That is an utterly appalling thing to say, and I am disgusted at you. "given these are US data," please.
I am so sorry. I shall voluntarily self isolate at ConservativeHome as penance.
Please do not do that. We all misjudge things sometimes
Northwick Park Harrow declared critical incident due to surge in covid 19 cases
London looks very serious
The terrifying thing is that you’d think London would be best served of anywhere in the U.K., given the number of hospitals with a national role.
Some years ago now my daughter was studying in London and ended up in A&E. We were down at the time. I was appalled. It was like something out of a third world country. Complete chaos, trollies everywhere, people taking drugs in the corridors, more police than there would be in the High Street on a Saturday night in Dundee. Casualty at Ninewells is vastly better.
That was a few years ago now, maybe 8 or 9, but I have never forgotten it. It was genuinely shocking.
I’ve been to A&E precisely twice. On the second occasion I was parked on a trolley for a few minutes, having been blue lighted in. Like you, I saw Britain at its worst. Selfishness everywhere, as in the supermarkets at the minute.
Apparently we have people going about saying they won't change their habits and isolate because if you do that "you give in to it". To the virus.
I reckon there will be an almost perfect overlap between these people and that strand of Leavers who were well up for a Hard Brexit because "we stood alone in 1940 and we can do it again."
The moment it happens the criticism will continue, though. Like when the media had a go due to job losses following the surprisingly large cut in fixed odds betting terminal stakes. Which everyone predicted, and the media portrayed as 'unforeseen consequences'.
Glad there's PB. Yes, there's some grumpiness sometimes, but far less bullshit than I get from TV news.
The only criticism from me, when the lockdown eventually happens, will be that it is far too late. Johnson should have ordered an immediate, full-scale, properly enforced (by the army if necessary) lockdown as soon as it became clear that the high-risk mitigation strategy wasn't going to work. I'm at a complete loss to understand why he didn't do that. We could, with a bit of luck, have been following the Japan path; instead we're following the US/Italy path.
Dr Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force response coordinator, said data from Italy indicate the coronavirus fatality rate is twice as high for men across all age groups.
Men are usually more vulnerable to illness than women. That's true for male babies and children and elderly men AFAIK.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Public service announcement, DO NOT attempt suicide with paracetemol. Horrible and long drawn out death.
Seconded. Though I will avoid the mistake my A-Level biology teacher made when he said that, when he went on to outline the most efficient ways to a class of 18 year olds.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Its not just the suicidal who want more than just 16 200mg tablets in one go. Especially when the box says take 2 at a time up to 4 times a day - between 2 adults that's an entire box gone in one day. And that's if you don't get one of the boxes that comes with fewer than 16.
Our restrictions can be very irritating sometimes. Last winter my whole family was down with a lurgy, I went out on Boxing Day and picked up a few boxes. Calpol for my kids, some feminine painkillers for my wife and some Lemsip. Got told at the checkout no I couldn't get that as its more than 2 painkillers so computer says no.
I'm not trying to kill myself, its a family shop and forbid that I might want to get a week's or two weeks worth in one go for a family . . . its pathetic.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Public service announcement, DO NOT attempt suicide with paracetemol. Horrible and long drawn out death.
Seconded. Though I will avoid the mistake my A-Level biology teacher made when he said that, when he went on to outline the most efficient ways to a class of 18 year olds.
As per the Dorothy Parker poem, it's not a bad way of convincing yourself that you might as well live.
Dr Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force response coordinator, said data from Italy indicate the coronavirus fatality rate is twice as high for men across all age groups.
This is seen elsewhere, even in the study of children that took place, boys twice as much as girls. Has anyone seen any other attempts at explaining this (apart from the smoking in China idea, which may not be replicated in other countries)? Surely men are not twice as likely to die of illnesses they contract across the board.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Its not just the suicidal who want more than just 16 200mg tablets in one go. Especially when the box says take 2 at a time up to 4 times a day - between 2 adults that's an entire box gone in one day. And that's if you don't get one of the boxes that comes with fewer than 16.
Our restrictions can be very irritating sometimes. Last winter my whole family was down with a lurgy, I went out on Boxing Day and picked up a few boxes. Calpol for my kids, some feminine painkillers for my wife and some Lemsip. Got told at the checkout no I couldn't get that as its more than 2 painkillers so computer says no.
I'm not trying to kill myself, its a family shop and forbid that I might want to get a week's or two weeks worth in one go for a family . . . its pathetic.
It's annoying, yes, but I wouldn't say it was pathetic. Knowing someone who took an overdose of paracetamol when suicidal I think there's good reason for it.
Yes, it's annoying for a large number of people, but it's life-saving for a small number of people. Balancing those two effects is not an easy thing.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Its not just the suicidal who want more than just 16 200mg tablets in one go. Especially when the box says take 2 at a time up to 4 times a day - between 2 adults that's an entire box gone in one day. And that's if you don't get one of the boxes that comes with fewer than 16.
Our restrictions can be very irritating sometimes. Last winter my whole family was down with a lurgy, I went out on Boxing Day and picked up a few boxes. Calpol for my kids, some feminine painkillers for my wife and some Lemsip. Got told at the checkout no I couldn't get that as its more than 2 painkillers so computer says no.
I'm not trying to kill myself, its a family shop and forbid that I might want to get a week's or two weeks worth in one go for a family . . . its pathetic.
It's annoying, yes, but I wouldn't say it was pathetic. Knowing someone who took an overdose of paracetamol when suicidal I think there's good reason for it.
Yes, it's annoying for a large number of people, but it's life-saving for a small number of people. Balancing those two effects is not an easy thing.
In fact, that is a small version of the situation we now face.
The censorship that occured during the Second World War now makes a lot of sense to me. The amount of unsubstantiated BS and deliberate disinformation that is being spread is incredible.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Its not just the suicidal who want more than just 16 200mg tablets in one go. Especially when the box says take 2 at a time up to 4 times a day - between 2 adults that's an entire box gone in one day. And that's if you don't get one of the boxes that comes with fewer than 16.
Our restrictions can be very irritating sometimes. Last winter my whole family was down with a lurgy, I went out on Boxing Day and picked up a few boxes. Calpol for my kids, some feminine painkillers for my wife and some Lemsip. Got told at the checkout no I couldn't get that as its more than 2 painkillers so computer says no.
I'm not trying to kill myself, its a family shop and forbid that I might want to get a week's or two weeks worth in one go for a family . . . its pathetic.
It's annoying, yes, but I wouldn't say it was pathetic. Knowing someone who took an overdose of paracetamol when suicidal I think there's good reason for it.
Yes, it's annoying for a large number of people, but it's life-saving for a small number of people. Balancing those two effects is not an easy thing.
It is only the Over the Counter stuff that is max 32 tabs.
It is possible to buy much bigger boxes by asking the pharmacist, who will go over some warnings then sell you 96 or more at a time. Perhaps not at the moment though.
One of the joys of the US is that I was able to spend $19 and buy a jar with 225 500mg paracetamol in it.
One of the Joy's of the US is that it is easier to top yourself?
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Its not just the suicidal who want more than just 16 200mg tablets in one go. Especially when the box says take 2 at a time up to 4 times a day - between 2 adults that's an entire box gone in one day. And that's if you don't get one of the boxes that comes with fewer than 16.
Our restrictions can be very irritating sometimes. Last winter my whole family was down with a lurgy, I went out on Boxing Day and picked up a few boxes. Calpol for my kids, some feminine painkillers for my wife and some Lemsip. Got told at the checkout no I couldn't get that as its more than 2 painkillers so computer says no.
I'm not trying to kill myself, its a family shop and forbid that I might want to get a week's or two weeks worth in one go for a family . . . its pathetic.
It's annoying, yes, but I wouldn't say it was pathetic. Knowing someone who took an overdose of paracetamol when suicidal I think there's good reason for it.
Yes, it's annoying for a large number of people, but it's life-saving for a small number of people. Balancing those two effects is not an easy thing.
Someone who wants to overdose can find a way to do so even with our restrictions and I've never heard of anyone overdosing by drinking a gallon of Calpol.
Apparently we have people going about saying they won't change their habits and isolate because if you do that "you give in to it". To the virus.
I reckon there will be an almost perfect overlap between these people and that strand of Leavers who were well up for a Hard Brexit because "we stood alone in 1940 and we can do it again."
Sorry, but you know.
No coincidence that the prize plonker of the day award goes to the chap from Witherspoons who single-handedly led the charge of businesses for Brexit.
I have really tried to keep off Brexit but when I saw him in the news today saying that closes the pubs was an overreaction I immediately brought all his Brexit pronouncements to mind.
I will take a vow of silence on Brexit for the next month now!
Comments
I will not disclose what that says to me about the death toll in the city where I live.
Not long to go now.
I thought all the poshos had escaped to their second homes in the Cotswold's and Cornwall?
Well the governments best case scenario appears to be keeping deaths below 20K
That was a few years ago now, maybe 8 or 9, but I have never forgotten it. It was genuinely shocking.
Boris is acting on the advice and of course none of those first ministers and Khan have indicated that they do not agree with him
I do not think any politician available today would do any better, nor would they probably want the job
For now the public seem to be on his side in the main
Another recommendation is the 6-part documentary The Jinx and the 5-parter OJ: Made in America. They are both great series'.
The moment it happens the criticism will continue, though. Like when the media had a go due to job losses following the surprisingly large cut in fixed odds betting terminal stakes. Which everyone predicted, and the media portrayed as 'unforeseen consequences'.
Glad there's PB. Yes, there's some grumpiness sometimes, but far less bullshit than I get from TV news.
https://twitter.com/Ned_Donovan/status/1241022906378977282?s=20
Dr Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force response coordinator, said data from Italy indicate the coronavirus fatality rate is twice as high for men across all age groups.
I reckon there will be an almost perfect overlap between these people and that strand of Leavers who were well up for a Hard Brexit because "we stood alone in 1940 and we can do it again."
Sorry, but you know.
It's alarming that so many have that attitude, though.
Although not in Hampstead of course.
I guess if the gun jams, swallow the pills.
Our restrictions can be very irritating sometimes. Last winter my whole family was down with a lurgy, I went out on Boxing Day and picked up a few boxes. Calpol for my kids, some feminine painkillers for my wife and some Lemsip. Got told at the checkout no I couldn't get that as its more than 2 painkillers so computer says no.
I'm not trying to kill myself, its a family shop and forbid that I might want to get a week's or two weeks worth in one go for a family . . . its pathetic.
When I was watching staff in China doing that I thought it was propaganda
I watch NHS staff doing it and I was moved
Yes, it's annoying for a large number of people, but it's life-saving for a small number of people. Balancing those two effects is not an easy thing.
It is possible to buy much bigger boxes by asking the pharmacist, who will go over some warnings then sell you 96 or more at a time. Perhaps not at the moment though.
To be reviewed in a month.
689 new healed
Net increase in currently positive cases is 4670.
So almost 6000 new cases
I have really tried to keep off Brexit but when I saw him in the news today saying that closes the pubs was an overreaction I immediately brought all his Brexit pronouncements to mind.
I will take a vow of silence on Brexit for the next month now!
wow.
Wow.
Just wow.
Yes! They've got a grip. The HYUFDs in Cabinet have been stopped.
That looks pretty good to me. Nice work.