Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After the fall

245678

Comments

  • Options
    TGOHF666TGOHF666 Posts: 2,052
    edited March 2020
    Can France borrow £300Bn - not sure I would lend them it.
  • Options
    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    HYUFD said:

    What happens when no vaccine is found. Just ponder on that pbers.

    There was no vaccine for Black Death, the Great Plague of the 1660s and Spanish flu but eventually they died out
    After feeling reassured watching the conference these comments from Ferguson have freaked me the fuck out.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Also, why are 2 weeks in France always 15 days?
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    FF43 said:

    tlg86 said:

    FF43 said:

    This is the grimmest bit...

    https://twitter.com/whippletom/status/1239630012275449863?s=20

    No vaccine or massive break through and we are all f##ked.

    Routine testing. Those that test negative can go about their daily business, while sporadic outbreaks can be picked up quickly. But you need to keep/get the epidemic under control first, hence the requirement for an immediate and comprehensive lockdown.

    Asian countries called this right, I believe. They had the experience of SARS
    I guess you're not including China in that? I mean, they did try to cover it up to begin with.
    I do include China. They were understandably caught out by being first, but once they realised what was going on, they appear to be textbook.
    I'm sorry, but had they not tried to cover this up, then we might not be in such a mess.

    Obviously I think the West should have gone in to full-on collective panic mode in January, but the globe trotting elite are so powerful, we can't stop them flying all around the world.
  • Options
    TimT said:

    I think I am going to leave this site for at least a couple of weeks. So much is uncertain about the data and outcomes at this stage, and yet so many on this site seem to be able to speak with moral outrage at the decisions of our public health officials who are working around the clock on an extraordinarily difficult and complex set of problems for which there are no good or right answers.

    I refuse to believe that those officials are either evil or heartless or incompetent, which are assumptions underlying many of the comments on here.

    Please do not give in to the keyboard warriors
  • Options
    TGOHF666TGOHF666 Posts: 2,052
    Boris mentioned “surrender” and got panned.

    Macron says “war” - and people are swooning...
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    HYUFD said:

    I take it all back. This government is completely out of its depth. What a shambles.

    Stop sniding pathetically at the sidelines, we are heading for a national emergency we di not need pointless point scoring
    A national BROTH emergency?
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,242
    HYUFD said:

    What happens when no vaccine is found. Just ponder on that pbers.

    There was no vaccine for Black Death, the Great Plague of the 1660s and Spanish flu but eventually they died out
    In the case of the Black Death, it took just under 400 years for that to happen, and even then, it was only eradicated in Europe.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282
    IanB2 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    This is the grimmest bit...

    https://twitter.com/whippletom/status/1239630012275449863?s=20

    No vaccine or massive break through and we are all f##ked.

    I've heard chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine (a relatively cheap and widely available anti-malaria drug) is looking quite promising as a treatment in clinical trials so that might be something while we wait for a vaccine...
    Hence why private sales of those were banned a week or so back.
    That RA drug also sounds promising as a cure,
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,242
    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    I take it all back. This government is completely out of its depth. What a shambles.

    Stop sniding pathetically at the sidelines, we are heading for a national emergency we di not need pointless point scoring
    A national BROTH emergency?
    That would leave us in the soup.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,355
    This is a national emergency. A real heartstopping crisis.

    What on earth has happened to the format of Vanilla?
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    This is a national emergency. A real heartstopping crisis.

    What on earth has happened to the format of Vanilla?

    +1 what is going on. This just wont do.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999
    tlg86 said:

    Fucking hell. This is a nightmare. This is a world war calamity.
    Imagine if we had a decisive government that had done what was needed before it was too late.
    Sadly, it became too late many weeks ago - and it really needed a global shutdown of air travel. The last few days has been about which form of disaster we'd like.
    TGOHF666 said:

    Can France borrow £300Bn - not sure I would lend them it.

    They can print it.

    What do you suggest?
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    Boris’s answer about small businesses was the weakest part of his performance today.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,671
    GIN1138 said:

    This is truly a Black Swam.

    Outside of the sudden eruption of WW3 it's hard to imagine a bigger black swan...
    Supervolcano or meteor strike. Or, more pertinently, a highly infectious virus with a mortality rate of 10, 20, 30% or greater...

    It doesn't bear thinking about though.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,242

    This is a national emergency. A real heartstopping crisis.

    What on earth has happened to the format of Vanilla?

    It’s working fine for me. Are you on the main site or the discussion board?
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    ydoethur said:

    This is a national emergency. A real heartstopping crisis.

    What on earth has happened to the format of Vanilla?

    It’s working fine for me. Are you on the main site or the discussion board?
    Its working fine for me on the Laptop, but is hideous on a mobile.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,071
    Prediction of 250,000 deaths in the UK and 1.2-1.2 million in the US.

    https://twitter.com/peston/status/1239639759259140098
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282
    Dow four minutes off closing down over 2,500 points
  • Options

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I doubt many are listening to Boris as much as Whitty and Vallance and I for one am so pleased they are in charge of this advice, which is endorsed by Sturgeon, Drakeford and Foster

    So if you are critical I assume you are going to attack the nations first ministers as well as Boris
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999

    Also, why are 2 weeks in France always 15 days?

    Fence post problem maybe?
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,236

    TimT said:

    I think I am going to leave this site for at least a couple of weeks. So much is uncertain about the data and outcomes at this stage, and yet so many on this site seem to be able to speak with moral outrage at the decisions of our public health officials who are working around the clock on an extraordinarily difficult and complex set of problems for which there are no good or right answers.

    I refuse to believe that those officials are either evil or heartless or incompetent, which are assumptions underlying many of the comments on here.

    Please do not give in to the keyboard warriors
    As an antidote to the view that this site is full of moral outrage loons, this morning I posted a message about not being able to get a delivery of food and being a full time carer.

    I have had several offers of help if people are in the same area.

    Humbling.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,008
    edited March 2020

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nichomar said:

    Well at least I now have less capital to pay for future care home needs, another area that will come back and bite the government as savings take a hammering.

    Unfortunately due to the mortality rate amongst over 70s and especially over 80s there will be rather fewer needing social care going forward
    That is truly a disgusting comment. Shame on you
    It was a statement of fact prefaced by the word 'unfortunately'
    It is simply disgusting and shames you for stating it

    There are many of us in the highest risk category doing all we can to isolate ourselves and prevent becoming a burden on the NHS and your insensitivity reflects a seriously unsympathetic attitude to the elderly and life itself

    You need to think before you spout such ill considered comments

    We all need to be kinder and understanding.

    You have a big lesson to learn
    Look BigG, my father is recently recovering from cancer and over 70 and self isolating.

    He is also in the at risk category but you can sugar coat it as much as you like but you cannot get away from the fact what I said was a statement of fact even if an undesirable one (though most over 70s and over 80s should survive on the positive side they will be more at risk on the negative side).
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282

    ydoethur said:

    This is a national emergency. A real heartstopping crisis.

    What on earth has happened to the format of Vanilla?

    It’s working fine for me. Are you on the main site or the discussion board?
    Its working fine for me on the Laptop, but is hideous on a mobile.
    No difference from usual on my iPad
  • Options
    Dow down 13%
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,236

    What are the French going to do after 2 weeks?

    It is clear that the modellers here think you need many months lockdown.

    Yep.

    I guess the idea is they initially say 'it's just for two weeks' and then break the news gently that it is for X months, where X is a number that drives me to drink.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    Those aren't quotes. If you're just going to make up quotes and put them in quote marks that says more about you than anyone else.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    Those aren't quotes. If you're just going to make up quotes and put them in quote marks that says more about you than anyone else.
    Really?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
  • Options

    TimT said:

    I think I am going to leave this site for at least a couple of weeks. So much is uncertain about the data and outcomes at this stage, and yet so many on this site seem to be able to speak with moral outrage at the decisions of our public health officials who are working around the clock on an extraordinarily difficult and complex set of problems for which there are no good or right answers.

    I refuse to believe that those officials are either evil or heartless or incompetent, which are assumptions underlying many of the comments on here.

    Please do not give in to the keyboard warriors
    As an antidote to the view that this site is full of moral outrage loons, this morning I posted a message about not being able to get a delivery of food and being a full time carer.

    I have had several offers of help if people are in the same area.

    Humbling.
    Very true
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    Those aren't quotes. If you're just going to make up quotes and put them in quote marks that says more about you than anyone else.
    Really?
    Yes, really.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
  • Options
    Trump just asked on a scale of 1 -10 how well was he doing

    10.........................
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    Trump just asked on a scale of 1 -10 how well was he doing

    10.........................

    Surprised it wasn't 11....
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,008

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    £30 billion stimulus announced in the budget, funds for sick pay etc done before any French stimulus
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282

    Also, why are 2 weeks in France always 15 days?

    Historically both first and last day were counted. So 14 days from now would be “after 15 days” since today is the first day and tomorrow the second day.
  • Options
    StockyStocky Posts: 9,719
    edited March 2020

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nichomar said:

    Well at least I now have less capital to pay for future care home needs, another area that will come back and bite the government as savings take a hammering.

    Unfortunately due to the mortality rate amongst over 70s and especially over 80s there will be rather fewer needing social care going forward
    That is truly a disgusting comment. Shame on you
    It was a statement of fact prefaced by the word 'unfortunately'
    It is simply disgusting and shames you for stating it

    There are many of us in the highest risk category doing all we can to isolate ourselves and prevent becoming a burden on the NHS and your insensitivity reflects a seriously unsympathetic attitude to the elderly and life itself

    You need to think before you spout such ill considered comments

    We all need to be kinder and understanding.

    You have a big lesson to learn
    ? HYUFD was merely stating an undeniable truth.

    There`s enough garbage on this forum from some posters without criticising the truth.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999
    A word about Professor John Ashton, panned on here by many.

    He was right.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282
    HYUFD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    £30 billion stimulus announced in the budget, funds for sick pay etc done before any French stimulus
    Yes but if my brother wants to know what Protection or safeguards or support he will get for his restaurant business, you can’t answer.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nichomar said:

    Well at least I now have less capital to pay for future care home needs, another area that will come back and bite the government as savings take a hammering.

    Unfortunately due to the mortality rate amongst over 70s and especially over 80s there will be rather fewer needing social care going forward
    That is truly a disgusting comment. Shame on you
    It was a statement of fact prefaced by the word 'unfortunately'
    It is simply disgusting and shames you for stating it

    There are many of us in the highest risk category doing all we can to isolate ourselves and prevent becoming a burden on the NHS and your insensitivity reflects a seriously unsympathetic attitude to the elderly and life itself

    You need to think before you spout such ill considered comments

    We all need to be kinder and understanding.

    You have a big lesson to learn
    Fair comment
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    HYUFD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    £30 billion stimulus announced in the budget, funds for sick pay etc done before any French stimulus
    Sick pay is an irrelevance. The fact you can’t see that just says it all.

    30b stimulus is also an irrelevance.
  • Options
    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    What are the French going to do after 2 weeks?

    It is clear that the modellers here think you need many months lockdown.

    Yep.

    I guess the idea is they initially say 'it's just for two weeks' and then break the news gently that it is for X months, where X is a number that drives me to drink.
    I’m on day three and I have to drive for drink everyday! It’s, as yet not too bad, realized last night we’d broken the law by having a couple of friends round for drinks. So we might have to do sundown drinks on skype in future.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    The press conference was fine. What the government need to do is fire up the same approach they had for the GE and just repeat the mantras over and over again.

    They did will initially with wash your hands stuff, but now they need all ministers all over the media with 4-5 very clear points.

    Also, the media need to shut up about "edge cases" as it really just muddies the water.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Well it looks like the UK Gov't has got there in the end, we've lost a few days but we've got there.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,236
    We have Biden-Trump crossover folks.

    For God's sake put Biden in quarantine now for six months.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282

    What are the French going to do after 2 weeks?

    It is clear that the modellers here think you need many months lockdown.

    Yep.

    I guess the idea is they initially say 'it's just for two weeks' and then break the news gently that it is for X months, where X is a number that drives me to drink.
    Get your drink in before panic buying starts....
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2020
    On the plus side, if we are going to be effectively locked down for the next year, I have had a tech / business idea I have been wanting to develop, looks like I will have plenty of time to work on it....although not sure there will necessarily be a functioning economy by the time I have it ready.

    Also, always talked about picking up learning foreign languages again.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Some US journalist just completely misrepresented the British view on pregnant women.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,671
    Dow down almost 13%!
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Seriously? Not socialising with other people.
  • Options
    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    It’s amazing how many more people will comply when it is a legal requirement, plus a few high profile prosecutions and you get 95% compliance.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    It means they're recommending against unnecessary social gatherings and expecting the British public to think and be responsible.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Pulpstar said:
    Probably best to wait until December-February before making that judgment.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    IanB2 said:

    Also, why are 2 weeks in France always 15 days?

    Historically both first and last day were counted. So 14 days from now would be “after 15 days” since today is the first day and tomorrow the second day.
    It was a joke...there is a British comedian who is well known in France called Paul Taylor who does a good bit about it.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Give the gym/bridge club/pub a miss.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967
    nichomar said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    It’s amazing how many more people will comply when it is a legal requirement, plus a few high profile prosecutions and you get 95% compliance.
    Depends what the compliance rate is when it's voluntary. You might not need to go that far. ;)
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,819
    Well maybe they think they've got enough ICU beds to cope...
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Seriously? Not socialising with other people.
    So you’ve made the leap from ‘reduce’ to ‘none’. Do you not see the problem here?
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,625

    Scott_xP said:
    So we are pivoting again towards lock down? Ouch.
    It does seem like the PBers who were sceptical of the government’s position last week have been proved right (that’s not me - I was neutral)
    I take no great satisfaction from that.
    We perhaps wasted a week, and at the speed this thing is moving, that is not insignificant, but these are not easy calls - especially when you don’t have the particular information infrastructure of a Taiwan or Korea.

    There are some grounds for optimism - a cheap and reliable blood test for antibodies to the virus would give us a far better idea of numbers, and also which people are now probably safe from it, having been infected and recovered. The percentage of asymptomatic infected is the biggest single uncertainty.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Come on man, you aren't a dummy.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    nichomar said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    It’s amazing how many more people will comply when it is a legal requirement, plus a few high profile prosecutions and you get 95% compliance.
    It's amazing how many people will comply when you treat people like adults. Prosecutions at this stage are an unnecessary waste of resources, we're not a nation of toddlers.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Seriously? Not socialising with other people.
    So you’ve made the leap from ‘reduce’ to ‘none’. Do you not see the problem here?
    Only if socialising is your only social interaction. I don't socialise with the checkout attendant, for example.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Come on man, you aren't a dummy.
    Well considering there’s been 3 different interpretations on here of that exact statement in the past 5 minutes...
  • Options
    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391

    tlg86 said:

    Fucking hell. This is a nightmare. This is a world war calamity.
    Imagine if we had a decisive government that had done what was needed before it was too late.
    Sadly, it became too late many weeks ago - and it really needed a global shutdown of air travel. The last few days has been about which form of disaster we'd like.
    TGOHF666 said:

    Can France borrow £300Bn - not sure I would lend them it.

    They can print it.

    What do you suggest?
    They need German permission to print it.
  • Options
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Seriously? Not socialising with other people.
    I think the government have to give it a few days, see if people are taking it seriously. If it looks like a significant number are taking the piss, then they'll have to get tough.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Come on man, you aren't a dummy.
    Well considering there’s been 3 different interpretations on here of that exact statement in the past 5 minutes...
    But it is quite obvious what the intent of the advice is. They aren't exactly advising you to have more parties are they?
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Seriously? Not socialising with other people.
    So you’ve made the leap from ‘reduce’ to ‘none’. Do you not see the problem here?
    Only if socialising is your only social interaction. I don't socialise with the checkout attendant, for example.
    Eh?
  • Options
    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    I assume people are struggling to process that document that Peston has posted? It has the most profound implications for life.

    We are going to do a China and we may need to do it for 18 months.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999
    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    I think that’s fair comment by Rob actually. The advice as given in the press conference itself was pretty clear, and pretty strong. The media’s presentation of it at 1800hours was a bit rushed and muddy. But, that might improve by 2200. My friends still think it’s fine to hold a big house party. I have made bearish noises, but I don’t have the heart to go further. I think the penny will drop by morning.
  • Options

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Seriously? Not socialising with other people.
    So you’ve made the leap from ‘reduce’ to ‘none’. Do you not see the problem here?
    Only if socialising is your only social interaction. I don't socialise with the checkout attendant, for example.
    Eh?
    Just demonstrating that we can both split hairs.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2020

    I assume people are struggling to process that document that Peston has posted? It has the most profound implications for life.

    We are going to do a China and we may need to do it for 18 months.

    If we are lucky.....the doomsday scenario is normal life will never exist again.
  • Options
    rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038
    FF43 said:

    This is the grimmest bit...

    https://twitter.com/whippletom/status/1239630012275449863?s=20

    No vaccine or massive break through and we are all f##ked.

    Routine testing. Those that test negative can go about their daily business, while sporadic outbreaks can be picked up quickly. But you need to keep/get the epidemic under control first, hence the requirement for an immediate and comprehensive lockdown.

    Asian countries called this right, I believe. They had the experience of SARS
    People on Twitter who pointed out the success of Taiwan were ignored or criticised. Still, better late than never. Maybe Cummings reads Twitter.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,625
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    This is the grimmest bit...

    https://twitter.com/whippletom/status/1239630012275449863?s=20

    No vaccine or massive break through and we are all f##ked.

    I've heard chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine (a relatively cheap and widely available anti-malaria drug) is looking quite promising as a treatment in clinical trials so that might be something while we wait for a vaccine...
    Hence why private sales of those were banned a week or so back.
    That RA drug also sounds promising as a cure,
    Neither that or chloroquine are cures. They may have efficacy in lessening the most severe symptoms - the extent of that is currently unknown.
  • Options
    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    nichomar said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    It’s amazing how many more people will comply when it is a legal requirement, plus a few high profile prosecutions and you get 95% compliance.
    It's amazing how many people will comply when you treat people like adults. Prosecutions at this stage are an unnecessary waste of resources, we're not a nation of toddlers.
    I’m afraid many of you are the same people who panic buy, steal hand sanitizer from hospitals etc etc
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
    Well answer my question then:

    Does it mean reduce, or does it mean zero social interaction outside those who live within your home?
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Come on man, you aren't a dummy.
    Well considering there’s been 3 different interpretations on here of that exact statement in the past 5 minutes...
    No there's been 3 different people explaining the obvious to a pedantic fool who does not want to see the obvious.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited March 2020

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    I think that’s fair comment by Rob actually. The advice as given in the press conference itself was pretty clear, and pretty strong. The media’s presentation of it at 1800hours was a bit rushed and muddy. But, that might improve by 2200. My friends still think it’s fine to hold a big house party. I have made bearish noises, but I don’t have the heart to go further. I think the penny will drop by morning.
    The press conference was fine. The media aren't doing their part and the government need to deploy the same sort approach as during the GE, wall to wall consistent message raising 4-5 key points. And the media have to stop this ridiculous what about a 69 year old marathon runner who tuns 70 in 3 weeks, will he be locked up if he refuses to isolate?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
    Well answer my question then:

    Does it mean reduce, or does it mean zero social interaction outside those who live within your home?
    That's a decision for you. The government are advising you stop all unnecessary interaction, but ultimately you are responsible for making that decision.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
    Well answer my question then:

    Does it mean reduce, or does it mean zero social interaction outside those who live within your home?
    It means reduce, its not a ban. Avoid unnecessary social interactions but treating the public as sentient thinking grown ups.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Come on man, you aren't a dummy.
    Well considering there’s been 3 different interpretations on here of that exact statement in the past 5 minutes...
    No there's been 3 different people explaining the obvious to a pedantic fool who does not want to see the obvious.
    Don’t act surprised when people don’t do as you expect. I’m merely expressing common confusion between my friends and family.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,862

    HYUFD said:

    nichomar said:

    Well at least I now have less capital to pay for future care home needs, another area that will come back and bite the government as savings take a hammering.

    Unfortunately due to the mortality rate amongst over 70s and especially over 80s there will be rather fewer needing social care going forward
    That is truly a disgusting comment. Shame on you
    Anyone who says that Jeremy Corbyn will have to self isolate is the best thing about Corona Virus forfeits the right to take the high moral ground imo
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
    Well answer my question then:

    Does it mean reduce, or does it mean zero social interaction outside those who live within your home?
    It means reduce, its not a ban. Avoid unnecessary social interactions but treating the public as sentient thinking grown ups.
    What is a “necessary” social interaction?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
    Well answer my question then:

    Does it mean reduce, or does it mean zero social interaction outside those who live within your home?
    It means reduce, its not a ban. Avoid unnecessary social interactions but treating the public as sentient thinking grown ups.
    What is a “necessary” social interaction?
    Does the government have to tell you exactly how to run your life or something? You have to make a judgement yourself on this. A necessary interaction might be buying groceries, or visiting someone who is on their deathbed. It's not going for a piss up down the pub.
  • Options
    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    edited March 2020

    I assume people are struggling to process that document that Peston has posted? It has the most profound implications for life.

    We are going to do a China and we may need to do it for 18 months.

    If we are lucky.....the doomsday scenario is normal life will never exist again.
    I know. But what I can't grasp is 300,000 deaths seems small fry compared to the country starving?

    I'm not sure these infectious disease models take into account general equilibrium.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    I do fail to see how hard it is to understand this headline

    "stop ALL 'non-essential' social contact for 12 weeks"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8117911/Boris-Johnson-grilled-experts-warn-lack-coronavirus-testing.html

    If you have to go to work, go, if not work from home. And no going to the pub, cafe, having people round for no reason, etc.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,625

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    The press conference was fine. What the government need to do is fire up the same approach they had for the GE and just repeat the mantras over and over again.

    They did will initially with wash your hands stuff, but now they need all ministers all over the media with 4-5 very clear points.

    Also, the media need to shut up about "edge cases" as it really just muddies the water.
    The media will do what they do.
    An effective communications effort would solve most of that.
    (The Taiwanese vice president appeared every day on TV right at the start of the outbreak for a couple of weeks. He does have the advantage of being an epidemiologist, though.)
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999
    Pulpstar

    I see your cat now has an avatar on PB. Presumably he is frontrunner for the new Minister of Virus Defence job?
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,617

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    Stay the fuck home.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    I think that’s fair comment by Rob actually. The advice as given in the press conference itself was pretty clear, and pretty strong. The media’s presentation of it at 1800hours was a bit rushed and muddy. But, that might improve by 2200. My friends still think it’s fine to hold a big house party. I have made bearish noises, but I don’t have the heart to go further. I think the penny will drop by morning.
    The press conference was fine. The media aren't doing their part and the government need to deploy the same sort approach as during the GE, wall to wall consistent message raising 4-5 key points. And the media have to stop this ridiculous what about a 69 year old marathon runner who tuns 70 in 3 weeks, will he be locked up if he refuses to isolate?
    Probably, your immune system isn't completely coterminus with your cardiovascular system.
    I mean s/he'll have a better prognosis than an unfit 69 or 70 year old but their cell dna is still 70 yrs old.
  • Options
    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    edited March 2020
    Too much information revealing this modelling information?

    This has sent me straight back into the pits of despair and depression.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    I’m not arguing whether the experts are wrong, but the way the information is being presented is poor, and causing unnecessary confusion.

    Watch Macron simply tell people how it is. Watch Boris and Trump waffle.

    I don't think they're waffling, I think that's harsh, they're saying it as it is.

    What do you think is waffling?
    Macron: “This is what we’re doing, these are the steps taken to mitigate the damage.”

    Johnson: “oh umm, maybe don’t socialise” “what about businesses that will go bust?” “🤷‍♂️“
    You do yourself no favours, as the advice was far stronger than that. You are correct that more needs to be said about what will be done to help businesses.
    Well its clearly the message is not getting through as no-one I have spoken to offline knows what the hell they are supposed to be doing or not doing.
    Did they watch it? It was pretty clear they want you to reduce social interaction. They aren't banning you from doing it, primarily because people should be responsible, and second it would be a huge drain on resources to enforce it.
    What the hell does “reduce social interaction” mean?
    To be honest I cannot see how anyone has a problem understanding that
    Well answer my question then:

    Does it mean reduce, or does it mean zero social interaction outside those who live within your home?
    It means reduce, its not a ban. Avoid unnecessary social interactions but treating the public as sentient thinking grown ups.
    What is a “necessary” social interaction?
    Use your bloody sense.
This discussion has been closed.