Categories
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him d
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him dear and making the situation in the US far worse
New Quinnipiac poll:By 56-40, Biden is seen as better than Trump in a crisis.Among independents, that's 59-33 (!)Among women, that's 63-32 (!!!)The poll is simply awful for Trump. Turns out he doesn't have magical chaos-spreading powers, after all:https://t.co/gM5vA5UTJq
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
https://twitter.com/EliStokols/status/1237107093548740608
I highly doubt they are going to ring up the Grocer and say hey you know we had all the supermarkets in yesterday and they have all agreed come April, they will work together and the nation will live on rations.
Even the report of the supermarkets know nothing about any meetings...well the press clearly ring up their contact in the PR department of Asda, Tescos etc and say are you meeting with the government....to the answer will be no. But do we really know where the MDs were in meetings and they were asked no to say anything about it?
I really see this now as we are on a war footing (I don't think the press have grasped it yet). It isn't normal operation of government leaking to their friendly journos, flying kites etc. Noticed how nobody knows anything about the budget.
I took from the PM press conference today is we are being primed for Wednesday, then primed for another step say Friday.
HM in her isolation suite, I hope.
He'll be known as Trump the Terrible or something similar. Nursery rhymes will be passed on about him from generation to generation.
This disaster will also be the key moment in the global power shift unfortunately.
https://twitter.com/C4Dispatches/status/1237071903866499072?s=20
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/04/majority-of-retired-nhs-staff-dont-want-to-return-to-tackle-covid-19-crisis
I am prepared to believe they are doing the right things at present. Whatever they do they will be criticised and inevitably some of the decisions they make now in good faith will turn out to be misguided.
I am comforted by the feeling that they seem to be listening to experts and we do actually have a talented civil service to make things happen.
Fingers-crossed that between them they get it largely right. Picking over the mistakes can wait for later.
How ironic it would be...
No political leadership looks to have come out of (or rather come into) this particularly well at this point.
Just as in war, lots of mistakes will be made, we just hope that ultimately we come through it and our experts have made as few as mistake as possible.
I can only imagine sitting there with their mathematical models tweaking parameters and running sims trying to find the balance that gets them the optimal number of deaths.
I used to have models and run sims as a professional gambler and that was hugely stressful, but ultimately all that was at stake was my money, not human life.
If there is any deliberate intent behind all this, I think it's 'a heads-we-win, tails-you-lose' scenario: if we contain it, they'll get praise for not over-reacting, if it blows up, it'll be largely older people who will suffer, and that solves the care situation...
What I would agree with is that we are on a war footing and rationing will come. Largely because of what the Germans call 'hamsterkaüfer' (hoarders)...
Every front page tomorrow should be cleared for the government advice, exactly as it’s written, with no editorialising or “opinion” pieces around it.
"Greece's powerful Orthodox Church has rejected calls to stop communion that has been identified a risk for spreading the coronavirus, Instead, priests have been instructed nationwide to pray against the spread of the disease.
The Church of Greece's governing body said Monday that the spoonful of wine inserted into believers' mouths during communion "clearly cannot cause the spread of disease."
It called communion is an "act of love" that conquers fear in a statement."
But watch the press conference this afternoon, you can see the fear, you can see just how massive this is and also that he keeps his crap to a minimum and defers to the two experts.
He thought on his watch the worst that would happen were some big lorry park in Kent and arguing with the French about whose fishing boat has the right to a certain spot...now he knows perhaps 100,000s of people are going to die on his watch and all he can do it try and do is hold it together.
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1237060903889252354?s=09
We grow 61% of our food (approx - NFU figures). If there is a large-scale lockdown, you will get disrupted supply chains, and people will start to hoard. Sorry. The bloke three doors down from me came home with his car boot full of toilet roll, water bottles and pasta...he's not alone.
16 in Pakistan
3 in Bangladesh
1 in Nepal
1 in Sri Lanka
4 in Maldives
The more centralised systems will be better at co-ordination, but will suffer from a lack of resources. This is the UK.
The less centralised systems (Germany, Italy, USA) will find co-ordination much more difficult, with layers of bureaucracy between the ministry of health and the patient, but with potentially more ICU beds available.
UK can expect to see visible contingency measures (routine medical services postponed, military field hospitals turning up in car parks) earlier than the less centralised systems.
Lock down too tightly, too early and the economic impact will be disasterous and potentially people won't stand for it, leading to civil unrest.
Leave it too late and the health service will be overrun, leading to high fatalities and the risk of economic and civil disrpution.
Not an easy one to judge.
A different view is that the existing capacities will in fact have to be multiplied, mostly not to the existing high standards, but as makeshift emergency solutions.
And that this will be more easy the bigger the base that you can start from.
Nah, not as catchy, is it...?
When they finally belatedly do the things that are already working in Japan and South Korea, those things will go from being a hysterical panic reaction to being sensible commonsense things to do, in a matter of seconds.
Sometime soon Mexico decides to shut the border with the United States to stop Americans fleeing to Mexico to avoid the coronavirus.
C-c-c-c-covid 19
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.169805382
But that's not what Japan and South Korea are doing. "Please work from home if practical. Please consider cancelling public events. We're extending the school holidays." It's somewhat disruptive, but it's not a devastating shutdown of everything. And by doing it earlier, you reduce the risk that you will need to do a devastating shutdown of everything.
And it's almost entirely voluntary. People don't want to get sick, and they don't want other people to get sick. The government doesn't need to coerce. It needs to lead.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=b3LdMAqUMnM
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=shit just got real
It's a toxic mix.
There's so much fake news in India at the moment, the cow botherers are spreading messages that say Muslims are responsible for the coronavirus because they kill/eat cows.
He is going to be responsible for thousands of lost lives
Be gone
Mike Pence just said the risk of serious disease remains low
Idiots the pair of them
Reminds me of Charlie Higson who gets very angry when people quote his Fast Show character saying 'Suits You Sir". Apparently it's "Suit You Sir"...
To have 4.5 times the capacity we have to pay roughly 3 times as much as you as % of GDP.
Returnees to UK from Italy have to self isolate for 14 days
A true phased approach is appropriate. But we have got stuck at 'wash your hands'. That's a perfectly fine measure but it's necessary and not sufficient.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/09/trevor-phillips-islamophobia-muslims
Sayeeda Warsi does appear to have turned into "everybody is a Islamophobe"
Give me a break. Lansley???