Lib Dems good politics/cheating in the Esher ground game Tories good politics/cheating in the Neill interview Labour good politics/cheating leaking out sensitive/secret documents on the NHS
The Neil thing stands out. It relates to the fairness of election coverage by our national broadcaster. They've allowed one party leader to avoid the engagement which carries the most risk.
They don't "allow" anything, party leaders choose which engagements they wish to partake in. Just because Corbyn and May agreed to Neil doesn't mean anyone else has to do so.
Did they "allow" Cameron and Brown to avoid Neil in 2010? Did they "allow" Cameron and Miliband to avoid Neil in 2015? Did they "allow" Blair and Howard to avoid Neil in 2005?
You know Johnson would be left a shivering jelly if he did the interview so you hide behind ‘he doesn’t he has to do it’ it’s pathetic but the great British public will not notice and all you are interested in is a Tory majority regardless how and on what basis it is gained. The new definition of one nation Tory makes me laugh as apparently a one nation Tory is reflective of the membership who think they occupy the center ground, well it’s a view.
There's nothing new. Cameron didn't do it either and I respected him.
Not a single leader I respect has ever agreed to be interviewed by Neil during an election campaign.
You can dress it up any way you want but the fact remains that he was too scared to be interviewed by AN because it would expose his lies. It won't matter as far as the GE is concerned but it will matter afterwards
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
Not if it means corbyn, sorry. Vote lib dem to show both of them they are useless. But it’s stupid because con 60+ majority so let’s stop playing games and start to realize that corbyn is the tories massive helper.
Who's getting sacked first: Corbyn, Swinson or Silva?
I reckon Silva. Has anyone ever mentioned you have an uncanny resemblance to Johnny Depp?
Not the worst person to have a resemblance to.
I picked the avatar because people were throwing around the term "Libertarian Pirate Island" as an insult. I rather find the idea attractive not insulting so decided to roll with it.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
I don't think I ever said it would be over. I have less hope than I did then in truth - but I still have hope
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
I don't think I ever said it would be over. I have less hope than I did then in truth - but I still have hope
In the words of John Cleese - it's the hope that kills you.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
I don't think I ever said it would be over. I have less hope than I did then in truth - but I still have hope
In the words of John Cleese - it's the hope that kills you.
True. If Johnson gets a majority I'll be very sad - but such is life.
It only seems to be down to higher turnout in Scotland for some reason rather than a genuine surge in SNP support. They're only on 40% in the subsample.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
Not if it means corbyn, sorry. Vote lib dem to show both of them they are useless. But it’s stupid because con 60+ majority so let’s stop playing games and start to realize that corbyn is the tories massive helper.
Preferred would be a hung parliament brought on by a significant lib dem presence having taken 30 of Tory and 5/6 of labour it’s not going to happen. I’ve now moved to building a platform for the future which from my view requires a resurgent lib dem party and a Labour Party that has to face into the realities of life. Johnson will win, the tories will try to pretend it’s close but it isn’t there needs to be a sane center left political grouping in the UK and if labour fail to fulfill that role then it will be up to the lib dems.
Yep. As expected all the puff has gone out of their climb.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Yes, let's see if they fall back down to ~30% and if we can stay in the low to mid 40s.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
Trump to win California?
I'd rather be dead in a ditch than see that happen.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
The movement in the polls appears to have stopped. If we simply take the 14 most recent nationwide polls currently listed on Wiki (i.e. those between the Kantar and ICM completed on 25 November and the most recent YouGov,) the mean value for the parties is as follows:
Con 42.6% Lab 33.0% LD 13.1%
Of the individual polling figures, 11 of the 14 Conservative values, 13 of the 14 Lib Dem values and all of the Labour values are within 2% of the mean.
This doesn't imply, of course, that further movement is impossible. But it could well imply that those voters liable to be swayed have now been so, and that the campaign could be effectively over.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
Another poll showing Labour's recovery has fizzled out...
The even huger promises have gone against them this time, in 2017 they were claiming they could do big things but it was this side of toothpast manufacturers claims. This time they have to go bigger because of their own rhetoric, if the system was so awful and the rich to terrible they HAD to be brought into line so they HAD to go big or they were no better than the despised centrists and *spits* Tories. But at a certain point people just cannot believe that people with no track record of...well....anything, can pull off such a huge change so quickly. Mainly because they can't, their own experience of large bureaucracy being so limited they assume it must be easy because their own academic and philosophical readings tell them so. Change is easy, if you believe hard enough. These are people that ignore Holodomor and the Great leap forward in their own readings of history and point towards tractor figures.
I think Boris, will be average at best. But what I like about him, is his ability to drive his opponents to foot stamping , teary eyed, frothing at the mouth impotent rage. It's not fair, it's not fair. He has to do AN, he just HAS to! Delicious.
You are rather petty in other words?
Easily amused. But, there's a lot to be amused about. The screaming and screaming until they're sick, about not appearing on AN is hilarious.
The desire to "own the libs" (i.e. to make self-righteous lefty outriders choke on their political impotence) is not a small part of the populist right's electoral appeal.
It's precisely because they send our despised opponents into a childish frenzy that we put up with a lot of stuff that would be less palatable if they were boring, straight bats.
Boris vs. May in a nutshell.
It's sad to see this kind of mindset of the US right infiltrate this country. It's a weirdly zero sum approach to politics (I can only be made happier by someone else being unhappier). As I think you note, ultimately it is people on the right who are being played by their political leaders - it's a distraction technique so you don't notice they're doing nothing to actually improve your life.
Yep. As expected all the puff has gone out of their climb.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Yes, let's see if they fall back down to ~30% and if we can stay in the low to mid 40s.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
I'm still thinking it will be complete abolition of tuition fees, announced on Saturday evening.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
Not in Chorley that can't.
Trump brought over his electoral mind-control installations with him. Came over in a cargo plane shadowing Airforce One. They're being deployed from Stansted in secret convoys right now.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
Not in Chorley that can't.
Is he marked as Independent or Labour on the ballot
Yep. As expected all the puff has gone out of their climb.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Yes, let's see if they fall back down to ~30% and if we can stay in the low to mid 40s.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
I'm still thinking it will be complete abolition of tuition fees, announced on Saturday evening.
And that will finish them off for good.
The more they promise now the sillier they seem. If it had been in the manifesto - fair enough - but this will just look like throwing shit at walls now.
I think Boris, will be average at best. But what I like about him, is his ability to drive his opponents to foot stamping , teary eyed, frothing at the mouth impotent rage. It's not fair, it's not fair. He has to do AN, he just HAS to! Delicious.
You are rather petty in other words?
Easily amused. But, there's a lot to be amused about. The screaming and screaming until they're sick, about not appearing on AN is hilarious.
The desire to "own the libs" (i.e. to make self-righteous lefty outriders choke on their political impotence) is not a small part of the populist right's electoral appeal.
It's precisely because they send our despised opponents into a childish frenzy that we put up with a lot of stuff that would be less palatable if they were boring, straight bats.
Boris vs. May in a nutshell.
It's sad to see this kind of mindset of the US right infiltrate this country. It's a weirdly zero sum approach to politics (I can only be made happier by someone else being unhappier). As I think you note, ultimately it is people on the right who are being played by their political leaders - it's a distraction technique so you don't notice they're doing nothing to actually improve your life.
Climb down the rabbit hole of lefty Twitter and you'll see it's far from limited to the right. The left has been doing it long before us and better - winning acres of cultural ground while losing on economics - so for rightwingers it's still a great novelty to have leaders who can incense our more aggravating opponents the way they aggravate us. We haven't really had it in this country since Thatcher!
Guido doubling down, it turns out that “advance together” are standing five candidates, all in LD/Con contests, and are doing no campaigning except for high-quality anti-Tory leaflets that don’t mention their candidate, and all run by people who were active LDs two years ago. Their ‘party leader’ ran a website suggesting that she was trying to attract Tory to LD switchers. https://order-order.com/2019/12/04/advance-together-party-leader-objective-syphon-tory-votes-lib-dems/ I imagine someone is going to report this to the police and Electoral Commission, hope there’s no emails anywhere, or maybe they were all with the press officer they suspended this week?
There's a fine line here.
If I stand in Jo Swinson's seat, and put out anti-Jo Swinson literature, that doesn't mention my name. Well, that's my business. I'm not associated with any political party so if I want to spend my money in that way, then that's fine.
But if I was being bankrolled by the SNP, or what I was doing was at the behest of the SNP, then I would have crossed a line.
My guess is that there will not be sufficient evidence that it was the latter.
Um, hold on there a moment young Smithson, is that true? I think you are allowed to finance a policy objective (eg low taxation) but if it's party political (above a threshold?) then it has to be declared. This is Britain: there's always a form to fill out. Even if you are not a party member.
Yep. As expected all the puff has gone out of their climb.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Yes, let's see if they fall back down to ~30% and if we can stay in the low to mid 40s.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
I'm still thinking it will be complete abolition of tuition fees, announced on Saturday evening.
And that will finish them off for good.
The more they promise now the sillier they seem. If it had been in the manifesto - fair enough - but this will just look like throwing shit at walls now.
Wouldn't even solve the issue, just kick the can down the road.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
Not in Chorley that can't.
Is he marked as Independent or Labour on the ballot
The Speaker always stands as "The Speaker seeking re-election" or some very similar formula.
Yep. As expected all the puff has gone out of their climb.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Yes, let's see if they fall back down to ~30% and if we can stay in the low to mid 40s.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
I'm still thinking it will be complete abolition of tuition fees, announced on Saturday evening.
Well it would also have to involve writing current debt off which they can only do by compensating those who bought the loan book. I doubt that many graduates believe it’s financially doable, the only thing they could offer is a revision to market rates and some movement on the payment triggers and write off times. Labour are desperate, they know they are in a hole but then losing as a true socialist was always more important than doing something for the less well off.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
Yep. As expected all the puff has gone out of their climb.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Yes, let's see if they fall back down to ~30% and if we can stay in the low to mid 40s.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
I'm still thinking it will be complete abolition of tuition fees, announced on Saturday evening.
And that will finish them off for good.
The more they promise now the sillier they seem. If it had been in the manifesto - fair enough - but this will just look like throwing shit at walls now.
Wouldn't even solve the issue, just kick the can down the road.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
True indeed. Those of us who do not wish to see a Tory majority must now put our faith in the pollsters having made a right horlicks of this election.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
True indeed. Those of us who do not wish to see a Tory majority must now put our faith in the pollsters having made a right horlicks of this election.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
I liked you more when you said the surge had to start in the next few days or you'd concede it was all over. c. 2 weeks ago I believe.
more like 3 weeks nearly.
In theory, with 75-80ish% of the votes cast on election day, a surge which happens overnight on the Wednesday would be all that is needed.
In theory everyone who votes on the 12th could vote Conservative. In theory.
Not in Chorley that can't.
Is he marked as Independent or Labour on the ballot
The Speaker always stands as "The Speaker seeking re-election" or some very similar formula.
Do we seriously think MRP is just going to come out of nowhere?
YouGov have said that they'll be doing another one but didn't commit to when. I personally expect it to be much nearer to the election (Monday or Tuesday)
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
True indeed. Those of us who do not wish to see a Tory majority must now put our faith in the pollsters having made a right horlicks of this election.
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
True indeed. Those of us who do not wish to see a Tory majority must now put our faith in the pollsters having made a right horlicks of this election.
It's not like they've been wrong before is it?
A balanced parliament is just about at the edge of MoE. So a bit of swing would be helpful.
Do we seriously think MRP is just going to come out of nowhere?
YouGov have said that they'll be doing another one but didn't commit to when. I personally expect it to be much nearer to the election (Monday or Tuesday)
Perhaps they're holding it to see if they get an upset. They'll know any shrinkage of the Tory lead, or increasing of the Tory lead, will make better headlines.
Lib Dems good politics/cheating in the Esher ground game Tories good politics/cheating in the Neill interview Labour good politics/cheating leaking out sensitive/secret documents on the NHS
The Neil thing stands out. It relates to the fairness of election coverage by our national broadcaster. They've allowed one party leader to avoid the engagement which carries the most risk.
They don't "allow" anything, party leaders choose which engagements they wish to partake in. Just because Corbyn and May agreed to Neil doesn't mean anyone else has to do so.
Did they "allow" Cameron and Brown to avoid Neil in 2010? Did they "allow" Cameron and Miliband to avoid Neil in 2015? Did they "allow" Blair and Howard to avoid Neil in 2005?
You know Johnson would be left a shivering jelly if he did the interview so you hide behind ‘he doesn’t he has to do it’ it’s pathetic but the great British public will not notice and all you are interested in is a Tory majority regardless how and on what basis it is gained. The new definition of one nation Tory makes me laugh as apparently a one nation Tory is reflective of the membership who think they occupy the center ground, well it’s a view.
There's nothing new. Cameron didn't do it either and I respected him.
Not a single leader I respect has ever agreed to be interviewed by Neil during an election campaign.
You can dress it up any way you want but the fact remains that he was too scared to be interviewed by AN because it would expose his lies. It won't matter as far as the GE is concerned but it will matter afterwards
So ComRes with all likely to vote + weighted is 30/38. If people actually bother to come out to vote, we can definitely stop Boris Johnson. Let's do it!
I doubt if that margin would stop Johnson. More likely a majority of 30.
That's at the moment. A bit of tactical voting, a few more people come over to the Labour side, off we go. I live in hope
With great delicacy, I need to point out that it is difficult to cross an eight point gap in the last days.
True indeed. Those of us who do not wish to see a Tory majority must now put our faith in the pollsters having made a right horlicks of this election.
Comments
I picked the avatar because people were throwing around the term "Libertarian Pirate Island" as an insult. I rather find the idea attractive not insulting so decided to roll with it.
The question now is whether their gains start to unravel in the final days of the campaign and if it does will the pollsters pick it up?
Absolutely no nene.
There's nothing about the current Labour campaign that screams anything other than "defend the castle" because the enemy is at the gates.
I'm still waiting for their final freebie to be the Labour dividend, it's got to be on the way. Maybe something like £2000 cash per year per person to vote Labour.
Con 42.6%
Lab 33.0%
LD 13.1%
Of the individual polling figures, 11 of the 14 Conservative values, 13 of the 14 Lib Dem values and all of the Labour values are within 2% of the mean.
This doesn't imply, of course, that further movement is impossible. But it could well imply that those voters liable to be swayed have now been so, and that the campaign could be effectively over.
But at a certain point people just cannot believe that people with no track record of...well....anything, can pull off such a huge change so quickly. Mainly because they can't, their own experience of large bureaucracy being so limited they assume it must be easy because their own academic and philosophical readings tell them so. Change is easy, if you believe hard enough.
These are people that ignore Holodomor and the Great leap forward in their own readings of history and point towards tractor figures.
Whereas in previous poll no ballot paper so people were unaware of those candidates.
Hence Others UP.
I picked the avatar because people kept using the phrase "Libertarian Pirate Island" as an insult. I find the idea attractive not insulting.
The more they promise now the sillier they seem. If it had been in the manifesto - fair enough - but this will just look like throwing shit at walls now.
Wye oh wye?
Tories two off an overall majority (technically but not in practice).
It's not like they've been wrong before is it?
https://www.businessinsider.com/pamela-karlan-impeachment-witness-texas-analogy-trump-ukraine-scandal-2019-12?r=US&IR=T
https://www.visitsouthdevon.co.uk/things-to-do/hope-cove-beach-p180003
2017: Polls on average understated Labour
2019: ?