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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Seduced and abandoned. The DUP’s chances in the general electi

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Serious wooden spoon territory.
Quite interesting.
Remain: 302% of the electorate
OTOH my mother, a DUP voter will probably vote DUP again but she would rather not. According to her, the Alliance Party are traitors who should know better and SF should be locked up or deported.
Tribalism is alive and well in the 80+ voting demographic
https://twitter.com/sunny_hundal/status/1197173781451726848?s=20
They're not going to say the same again and try to raise the bulk of the half a trillion spending they've promised by adding loads of it to employers' NICs, are they?
[Edit: From a personal perspective, when I was growing up here, South Antrim was a perpetual UUP seat. After I moved to England, it changed hands a few times between DUP and UUP. The Alliance have never even been a footnote in this place]
https://www.ifs.org.uk/uploads/BN251_Boris_Johnson's_tax_policies.pdf
And they wonder why ordinary folk look on them as an out of touch London media circus
Benpointer — if you type the phone number into a search engine it'll probably come up with information about scam calls that other people have been discussing. That's what I do when they happen.
Corbyn 57% Johnson 28%
Paul Brand ITV 30,000 votes
Corbyn 78% Johnson 22%
Martin Lewis 23,000 votes
Corbyn 47% Johnson 25%
The Times 8,000 votes
Corbyn 63% Johnson 37%
YouGov 1,646 polled
Corbyn 49% Johnson 51%
Guilt by association.
Twitter is far more lefty than real life.
But if you don't think the poor pay indirect taxes, you must be a bit crazy.
That`s what Conservatives are like.
BBC Trending
We’ve seen false rumours floating around about YouGov's snap poll after last night's leaders debate on ITV.
Some people spotted that its web page was created at 6:50pm – before the debate started.
But that was a holding page, allowing the pollsters to get the results online quickly.
All data was actually collected after the debate.
Perhaps what you meant to say earlier was "If you don't pay the kind of tax that only richer people pay, how can a Tory tax cut net you any more money?"
Labour protests too much. Must be very worried.
You're not quoting voodoo polls are you?
Or just switched off.
I mean, what sort of half-witted, credulous moron falls for this, outside of a Twitter echo chamber.
If Twitter was representative EICIPM would have been real.
I do placeholder threads a few hours beforehand.
If I accidentally publish one of them I've not stuffed the ballot boxes beforehand.
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1197192997835808769
From UKPR:
"In the 1930s in the USA the Literary Digest used to do mail-in polls that really did survey millions of people, literally millions. In 1936 they sent surveys to a quarter of the entire electorate and received 2 million replies. They confidently predicted that Alf Landon would win the imminent US Presidential election with 57% of the popular vote and 370 electoral votes. George Gallup meanwhile used quota sampling to interview just a few thousand people and predicted that Landon would lose miserably to Roosevelt. In reality, Roosevelt beat Landon in a landslide, winning 61% of the vote and 523 electoral votes. Gallup was right, the Digest was wrong."
https://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/4874
'Exclusive: SNP set to gain Uxbridge and South Ruislip'
On Twitter a Momentum supporter added me to the list called 'Tory Pollsters'
The poor pay a lot of tax, particularly as a percentage of income.