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  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Poor Hickenlooper and Klobuchar. Only Buttigieg left in the interesting name stakes.
    LOL, you don't think Pocahnotas is an interesting name?
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    JRM lead story on ITV.

    Was that on Dom’s grid for today?

    I'm sure he'll send out a memo: "Candidates are reminded to stick ONLY to those public outbursts of stupidity and cruelty which have been provided by head office"
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    I see Rees Mogg has lost the key Stormzy endorsement.

    Can't even put him down as a maybe.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156

    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    So have the Tories started campaigning yet?

    Tomorrow is launch day.
    Not sure why that means they've been so quiet so far though.
    They probably judge that 2017’s initial onslaught against Corbyn was what helped him to consolidate the opposition, so they want to be more low key this time.
    Do you think it is working? Labour seem to be getting a bounce at the expense of the LDs regardless.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,882
    edited November 2019

    tlg86 said:

    Have we checked that @Casino_Royale is okay...

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/nov/05/south-western-railway-staff-to-strike-for-nearly-all-of-december

    Rail workers on one of Britain’s biggest commuter networks, South Western Railway, are set to go on strike for almost all of December.

    The RMT union announced a total of 27 days of action for next month in the long-running dispute over the future role of guards on trains.

    Condolences, CR.

    Only bit of SWR I need to complete their network is the Saturday summer-only link from Wareham to the Swanage Railway at Corfe Castle.
  • kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Poor Hickenlooper and Klobuchar. Only Buttigieg left in the interesting name stakes.
    They’ve missed off Clinton.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    AndyJS said:
    Is that corbyn or Johnson ? Or possibly both in a double bill
  • NooNoo Posts: 2,380


    Why is it dead? Uneconomic?

    Just too much opposition.
    I blame the people who voted against it for it not being more popular :D
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    HYUFD said:
    Glad to see Gavin is every bit as popular in the US as he is here.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,838

    Just for shits and giggles, what do we think the polling and GE2019 might look like if it were still on for 12th December and...

    (1) The Tories (led by Stewart or Hammond) had campaigned on a 2nd referendum plus Remain platform on the basis of Cameron’s Deal+ (they’d looked at Leave, and couldn’t reach an agreement in the national interest they could in good faith recommend, so were pledging a new vote on a new - improved - Deal inside the EU instead)
    (2) The Lib Dems were still led by Swinson but with no Tory defectors, just from Corbyn’s Labour
    (3) Labour was the same current shitshow
    (4) The Brexit Party was full-on billy bollocks for Brexit and led by Farage, going utterly apeshit about the Tory position
    (5) Sturgeon was still the same and basically trying it on (again) with a 2nd indyref lush

    Thoughts??

    My guess would be C 22 Lab 24 LD 18 BXP 18.
  • A good London poll for the Tories, but a problem for them is that the marginal seats in London are mainly Remain-ish Tory (several of which are more at risk from Lib Dems). There is limited pick-up potential - Enfield Southgate and Dagenham look okay prospects, maybe Croydon Central at a stretch, but they face a bad map in the capital really.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,838
    Cookie said:

    Just for shits and giggles, what do we think the polling and GE2019 might look like if it were still on for 12th December and...

    (1) The Tories (led by Stewart or Hammond) had campaigned on a 2nd referendum plus Remain platform on the basis of Cameron’s Deal+ (they’d looked at Leave, and couldn’t reach an agreement in the national interest they could in good faith recommend, so were pledging a new vote on a new - improved - Deal inside the EU instead)
    (2) The Lib Dems were still led by Swinson but with no Tory defectors, just from Corbyn’s Labour
    (3) Labour was the same current shitshow
    (4) The Brexit Party was full-on billy bollocks for Brexit and led by Farage, going utterly apeshit about the Tory position
    (5) Sturgeon was still the same and basically trying it on (again) with a 2nd indyref lush

    Thoughts??

    My guess would be C 22 Lab 24 LD 18 BXP 18.
    Plus some rag rag and bobtails...
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875
    Noo said:

    Noo said:

    On topic, if Labour doing this badly in London then they are going to get smashed all over Britain.


    ... in the GE this Thursday. Oh, wait...

    Labour were 18% behind the Tories 37 days before the 2017 GE, just saying.
    You don't think that since 2017, people might just have noticed that flocking to Corbyn simply led to completely fucked up Govt.? And that many, many might not want to repeat that mistake?
    :D:D:D:D
    "Why are these successive Conservative governments so shit?"
    "It's Labour's fault"
    Comedy central perhaps, but it has an element of truth. If a competent Labour Party had coherent policies, the Conservatives would be in electoral oblivion for at least 10 years, maybe 15.

    The Conservative's victory will largely be down to the Labour Party's complete, utter and total ineptness. The current Tory party should be unelectable on any absolute basis, but relative to opposition....
    Sorry, but I'll never get over this most plaintive of whines: "if you think the government is shit, blame the people who didn't vote for it!"
    It's a work of tragic beauty. Truly one for the ages.
    You do understand the difference in effectiveness between a majority and a minority government in our system, don't you? So a small number of people shifting Con > Lab had a colossal effect not primarily on the identity of the governing party (although they did saddle us with the DUP), but on its ability to govern. That much is patently obvious, even for a lefty.
  • What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Yep, from catastrophic to merely disastrous. Just rejoice at that news as the target of some of Corbyn's buddies once said.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    94% of people using food banks are destitute! Corbyn wants to nationalize the railways, for god sake labour wake up to you’re responsibilities.
  • What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    I have yet to see any poll that will give labour a chance of adding to their mps anywhere in the UK
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
    No that's not my point. Labour have increased 4% since May. Now, okay, that 'might' be MoE.

    But supposing it isn't? Supposing in fact that Labour hit the bottom a few months ago and they're starting to pick up? That, I would suggest, has been more-than-hinted at by some recent polling.

    Clutching at straws? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749
    egg said:

    It feels like proper bunfight between parties in a general election campaign. Arguing over debates. Sneaky Tax. Seems more a referendum on NHS than Brexit?
    Is it just me, or does it no longer feel like Parliament v the People? What happened to the Parliament v the people campaign?

    Another way it feels different than a week ago, it seemed leave vote was all united behind Con, remain too neatly split between Lab and LDem? Now thanks to Farage hardline on Boris deal and harsh words about how patronising Tories are being to Brexit Party over what constitutes good deal and leave, yougov cross-breaks show BXP taking 6% of 2017 Lab voters and 14% of 2017 Tory voters?

  • TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,234
    edited November 2019
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,614

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    You entering for the Straw-clutching Olympics?

    Guaranteed podium finish I'd say.
  • What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
    No that's not my point. Labour have increased 4% since May. Now, okay, that 'might' be MoE.

    But supposing it isn't? Supposing in fact that Labour hit the bottom a few months ago and they're starting to pick up? That, I would suggest, has been more-than-hinted at by some recent polling.

    Clutching at straws? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
    You're missing the fact the Tories improved their position by more.
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Conservatives seven down on 2017? In the con gaining seats off labour in London excitement, is it not surprisingly poor poll for the libdems.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    blueblue said:

    Noo said:

    Noo said:

    On topic, if Labour doing this badly in London then they are going to get smashed all over Britain.


    ... in the GE this Thursday. Oh, wait...

    Labour were 18% behind the Tories 37 days before the 2017 GE, just saying.
    You don't think that since 2017, people might just have noticed that flocking to Corbyn simply led to completely fucked up Govt.? And that many, many might not want to repeat that mistake?
    :D:D:D:D
    "Why are these successive Conservative governments so shit?"
    "It's Labour's fault"
    Comedy central perhaps, but it has an element of truth. If a competent Labour Party had coherent policies, the Conservatives would be in electoral oblivion for at least 10 years, maybe 15.

    The Conservative's victory will largely be down to the Labour Party's complete, utter and total ineptness. The current Tory party should be unelectable on any absolute basis, but relative to opposition....
    Sorry, but I'll never get over this most plaintive of whines: "if you think the government is shit, blame the people who didn't vote for it!"
    It's a work of tragic beauty. Truly one for the ages.
    You do understand the difference in effectiveness between a majority and a minority government in our system, don't you? So a small number of people shifting Con > Lab had a colossal effect not primarily on the identity of the governing party (although they did saddle us with the DUP), but on its ability to govern. That much is patently obvious, even for a lefty.
    You are deluded
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    edited November 2019
    Cookie said:

    Just for shits and giggles, what do we think the polling and GE2019 might look like if it were still on for 12th December and...

    (1) The Tories (led by Stewart or Hammond) had campaigned on a 2nd referendum plus Remain platform on the basis of Cameron’s Deal+ (they’d looked at Leave, and couldn’t reach an agreement in the national interest they could in good faith recommend, so were pledging a new vote on a new - improved - Deal inside the EU instead)
    (2) The Lib Dems were still led by Swinson but with no Tory defectors, just from Corbyn’s Labour
    (3) Labour was the same current shitshow
    (4) The Brexit Party was full-on billy bollocks for Brexit and led by Farage, going utterly apeshit about the Tory position
    (5) Sturgeon was still the same and basically trying it on (again) with a 2nd indyref lush

    Thoughts??

    My guess would be C 22 Lab 24 LD 18 BXP 18.
    You see, faced with the prospect of Corbyn in office, I think the Tories would do slightly better than that and the LDs worse as the Tories took votes back from them. I’d think something like:

    Con 30%
    Lab 24%
    LD 12%
    BXP 22%

    It would just be a rather different 30%.

    I don’t know what that would mean in terms of seats. I’d expect a C&S agreement with the LDs to maybe just get such a Government.
  • kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    So have the Tories started campaigning yet?

    Tomorrow is launch day.
    Not sure why that means they've been so quiet so far though.
    They probably judge that 2017’s initial onslaught against Corbyn was what helped him to consolidate the opposition, so they want to be more low key this time.
    Do you think it is working? Labour seem to be getting a bounce at the expense of the LDs regardless.
    what can the Tories really do about Lib --> Lab switchers?

  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,838
    blueblue said:

    Noo said:

    Noo said:

    On topic, if Labour doing this badly in London then they are going to get smashed all over Britain.


    ... in the GE this Thursday. Oh, wait...

    Labour were 18% behind the Tories 37 days before the 2017 GE, just saying.
    You don't think that since 2017, people might just have noticed that flocking to Corbyn simply led to completely fucked up Govt.? And that many, many might not want to repeat that mistake?
    :D:D:D:D
    "Why are these successive Conservative governments so shit?"
    "It's Labour's fault"
    Comedy central perhaps, but it has an element of truth. If a competent Labour Party had coherent policies, the Conservatives would be in electoral oblivion for at least 10 years, maybe 15.

    The Conservative's victory will largely be down to the Labour Party's complete, utter and total ineptness. The current Tory party should be unelectable on any absolute basis, but relative to opposition....
    Sorry, but I'll never get over this most plaintive of whines: "if you think the government is shit, blame the people who didn't vote for it!"
    It's a work of tragic beauty. Truly one for the ages.
    You do understand the difference in effectiveness between a majority and a minority government in our system, don't you? So a small number of people shifting Con > Lab had a colossal effect not primarily on the identity of the governing party (although they did saddle us with the DUP), but on its ability to govern. That much is patently obvious, even for a lefty.
    It is an interesting feature of our system that the closer the outcome of an election, the more a PM is beholden to those with more extreme views. (The DUP, the ERG, the 'bastards' - conversely because Labour's three election victories were very comfortable, the far left never really got a chance to stick their oar in.
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749
    Having been wage slave all day I haven’t actually seen Veruca Salt on telly, only comments about her performance on here. was she really that bad?
  • NooNoo Posts: 2,380
    blueblue said:

    Noo said:

    Noo said:

    On topic, if Labour doing this badly in London then they are going to get smashed all over Britain.


    ... in the GE this Thursday. Oh, wait...

    Labour were 18% behind the Tories 37 days before the 2017 GE, just saying.
    You don't think that since 2017, people might just have noticed that flocking to Corbyn simply led to completely fucked up Govt.? And that many, many might not want to repeat that mistake?
    :D:D:D:D
    "Why are these successive Conservative governments so shit?"
    "It's Labour's fault"
    Comedy central perhaps, but it has an element of truth. If a competent Labour Party had coherent policies, the Conservatives would be in electoral oblivion for at least 10 years, maybe 15.

    The Conservative's victory will largely be down to the Labour Party's complete, utter and total ineptness. The current Tory party should be unelectable on any absolute basis, but relative to opposition....
    Sorry, but I'll never get over this most plaintive of whines: "if you think the government is shit, blame the people who didn't vote for it!"
    It's a work of tragic beauty. Truly one for the ages.
    You do understand the difference in effectiveness between a majority and a minority government in our system, don't you? So a small number of people shifting Con > Lab had a colossal effect not primarily on the identity of the governing party (although they did saddle us with the DUP), but on its ability to govern. That much is patently obvious, even for a lefty.
    Hooray, I'm a lefty again! I was a nationalist a few days ago, and a yellow Tory before that. At some point I was a proper Tory. Exciting times at Chez Noo, my political colours change faster than disco lights, it would seem. I look forward to seeing what my political affiliation will be half an hour from now.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156
    egg said:

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Conservatives seven down on 2017? In the con gaining seats off labour in London excitement, is it not surprisingly poor poll for the libdems.
    'Surprisingly poor' might be the message of the LD campaign, if only because they've gotten so excited in recent months that almost anything would be surprisingly poor.
  • eggegg Posts: 1,749
    Another thing pointed out today that may be overestimating the size of Tory majority, the point about 2016 can’t be used as point of ref (por) anymore because 17 factors in 16 so 19 por is 17, In other words in terms of Tory doing well in Labour leave seats its not leave numbers in 2016 (you know when people say Torys can take it it was 62.14 leave in 2016) thats now meaningless they need to go further than managed in 17 because to some extent 16 is built in the 2017 result. If you were to say not entirely built in due to Maybot and her Dementia Tax, a further variable how leave support may have dropped off in those constituency’s since 17 as it has done over the country.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,695
    egg said:

    Another thing pointed out today that may be overestimating the size of Tory majority, the point about 2016 can’t be used as point of ref (por) anymore because 17 factors in 16 so 19 por is 17, In other words in terms of Tory doing well in Labour leave seats its not leave numbers in 2016 (you know when people say Torys can take it it was 62.14 leave in 2016) thats now meaningless they need to go further than managed in 17 because to some extent 16 is built in the 2017 result. If you were to say not entirely built in due to Maybot and her Dementia Tax, a further variable how leave support may have dropped off in those constituency’s since 17 as it has done over the country.

    I suspect there may be a genuine point struggling to make itself comprehensible in there somewhere. :lol:
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,614
    edited November 2019
    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    There's people in the London Fire Service should resign way ahead of JRM. What he has said hasn't cost any lives.

    If you want a controversial take on Grenfell, try this:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2019/10/20/stephen-lawrences-mother-claims-firefighters-tackling-grenfell/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    So have the Tories started campaigning yet?

    Tomorrow is launch day.
    Not sure why that means they've been so quiet so far though.
    They probably judge that 2017’s initial onslaught against Corbyn was what helped him to consolidate the opposition, so they want to be more low key this time.
    Do you think it is working? Labour seem to be getting a bounce at the expense of the LDs regardless.
    what can the Tories really do about Lib --> Lab switchers?

    Nothing, but the implication seemed to be that the Tories drove people to stick with Lab last time in their initial efforts, and by holding back a little Lab would not be able to consolidate the anti Tory vote as much as in 2017. If that was the plan, I'm not sure if it is working.
  • What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
    No that's not my point. Labour have increased 4% since May. Now, okay, that 'might' be MoE.

    But supposing it isn't? Supposing in fact that Labour hit the bottom a few months ago and they're starting to pick up? That, I would suggest, has been more-than-hinted at by some recent polling.

    Clutching at straws? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
    I see no evidence of a labour recovery but as a loyal supporter you have every right to clutch at straws

    And now the GE threatened postal strike and the 27 day December strike on South West railways will cause huge problems for Corbyn
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,234
    egg said:

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Conservatives seven down on 2017? In the con gaining seats off labour in London excitement, is it not surprisingly poor poll for the libdems.
    That's only just down on what the LDs got in London in 2010 (22%), so I'm not sure it's that bad a poll for them. (And Con is down 5% on their 2010 score, while Labour is up 2%.)
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
    No that's not my point. Labour have increased 4% since May. Now, okay, that 'might' be MoE.

    But supposing it isn't? Supposing in fact that Labour hit the bottom a few months ago and they're starting to pick up? That, I would suggest, has been more-than-hinted at by some recent polling.

    Clutching at straws? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
    I see no evidence of a labour recovery but as a loyal supporter you have every right to clutch at straws

    And now the GE threatened postal strike and the 27 day December strike on South West railways will cause huge problems for Corbyn
    according to the commentariat today, its what Jacob Rees Mogg and Andrew Bridgen have said about Grenfell that's important....
  • NooNoo Posts: 2,380

    egg said:

    Another thing pointed out today that may be overestimating the size of Tory majority, the point about 2016 can’t be used as point of ref (por) anymore because 17 factors in 16 so 19 por is 17, In other words in terms of Tory doing well in Labour leave seats its not leave numbers in 2016 (you know when people say Torys can take it it was 62.14 leave in 2016) thats now meaningless they need to go further than managed in 17 because to some extent 16 is built in the 2017 result. If you were to say not entirely built in due to Maybot and her Dementia Tax, a further variable how leave support may have dropped off in those constituency’s since 17 as it has done over the country.

    I suspect there may be a genuine point struggling to make itself comprehensible in there somewhere. :lol:
    His post would have made more sense if only fewer people had voted for Corbyn in 2017 :D
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,614
    With 600 fresh candidates, they were always going to have some doozies amongst..... Expect much, much more.....
  • egg said:

    Another thing pointed out today that may be overestimating the size of Tory majority, the point about 2016 can’t be used as point of ref (por) anymore because 17 factors in 16 so 19 por is 17, In other words in terms of Tory doing well in Labour leave seats its not leave numbers in 2016 (you know when people say Torys can take it it was 62.14 leave in 2016) thats now meaningless they need to go further than managed in 17 because to some extent 16 is built in the 2017 result. If you were to say not entirely built in due to Maybot and her Dementia Tax, a further variable how leave support may have dropped off in those constituency’s since 17 as it has done over the country.

    I suspect there may be a genuine point struggling to make itself comprehensible in there somewhere. :lol:
    There is. It’s a point I’ve made a couple of times. 2017 baked in each seat’s Brexicity. For Leave / Remain to make a difference this time round, seats must either have become more Leaver or more Remainy in the last two years or Brexit must be more salient than in 2017.

    Either is possible but, at least in bog standard Conservative / Labour marginals, swing might be rather more uniform than many are expecting.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.
  • Gabs2Gabs2 Posts: 1,268
    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
  • NooNoo Posts: 2,380
    edited November 2019
    Anecdote: today was the first conversation IRL in recent months where someone's said to me they're switching to Labour. I wasn't expecting it from them especially as I know they have never voted Labour in the past.
    They even started to try to persuade me that I should, too :neutral:
    (I won't)
  • kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    So have the Tories started campaigning yet?

    Tomorrow is launch day.
    Not sure why that means they've been so quiet so far though.
    They probably judge that 2017’s initial onslaught against Corbyn was what helped him to consolidate the opposition, so they want to be more low key this time.
    Do you think it is working? Labour seem to be getting a bounce at the expense of the LDs regardless.
    what can the Tories really do about Lib --> Lab switchers?

    Nothing, but the implication seemed to be that the Tories drove people to stick with Lab last time in their initial efforts, and by holding back a little Lab would not be able to consolidate the anti Tory vote as much as in 2017. If that was the plan, I'm not sure if it is working.

    Fair point.

    I think the 100+ predicted majorities also did their part.

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,236

    Twigg on his valedictory. Seems two minutes ago he was grinning in disbelief as portillo bowed out!

    That feels like 20 years ago to me. An age. I was still scaling tall buildings back then. Nowadays I can't scale much at all.
  • Roger said:

    Which was more costly; Getting Zaghari-Ratcliffe an extended prison sentence by not doing your homework or blaming the dead for being too stupid to get out of Grenfell Tower?

    A close run thing but what they've both got in common is the arrogance of Old Etonians.

    There is nothing wrong with Rees Mogg's comments.
    So why did he apologise?
    Probably told to. Let us be clear. Rees-Mogg in his worst caricature of himself, essentially says that people were rather stupid to take the advice of the London Fire Brigade and subsequently die in a building fire. "Nothing wrong"? At best this was an insensitive comment not becoming of a professional politician, at worst a demonstration of the repulsive thinking that goes on his not very intelligent head.
  • Noo said:

    Noo said:

    On topic, if Labour doing this badly in London then they are going to get smashed all over Britain.


    ... in the GE this Thursday. Oh, wait...

    Labour were 18% behind the Tories 37 days before the 2017 GE, just saying.
    You don't think that since 2017, people might just have noticed that flocking to Corbyn simply led to completely fucked up Govt.? And that many, many might not want to repeat that mistake?
    :D:D:D:D
    "Why are these successive Conservative governments so shit?"
    "It's Labour's fault"
    Comedy central perhaps, but it has an element of truth. If a competent Labour Party had coherent policies, the Conservatives would be in electoral oblivion for at least 10 years, maybe 15.

    The Conservative's victory will largely be down to the Labour Party's complete, utter and total ineptness. The current Tory party should be unelectable on any absolute basis, but relative to opposition....
    Sorry, but I'll never get over this most plaintive of whines: "if you think the government is shit, blame the people who didn't vote for it!"
    It's a work of tragic beauty. Truly one for the ages.
    If you want to ascribe it to a whine then be my guest. Frankly I do not care.

    It is an observation about how our system works. There is a long standing political observation that "Oppositions do not win elections, govt.s lose them", and by all rights the Conservatives should be out on their ear at this election - except they are more electable than the Opposition which is astounding given the complete mess the Tories are in.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Not really I am just surprised they didn’t include prisoners and gays as well
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    So have the Tories started campaigning yet?

    Tomorrow is launch day.
    Not sure why that means they've been so quiet so far though.
    They probably judge that 2017’s initial onslaught against Corbyn was what helped him to consolidate the opposition, so they want to be more low key this time.
    Do you think it is working? Labour seem to be getting a bounce at the expense of the LDs regardless.
    what can the Tories really do about Lib --> Lab switchers?

    Nothing, but the implication seemed to be that the Tories drove people to stick with Lab last time in their initial efforts, and by holding back a little Lab would not be able to consolidate the anti Tory vote as much as in 2017. If that was the plan, I'm not sure if it is working.

    Fair point.

    I think the 100+ predicted majorities also did their part.

    True. In fairness the Tories are displaying less hubris than last time, but I think the surrounding situation is weaker for them, so it remains hard for them to win outright, even though largest party status seems very plausible.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,614

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    I have yet to see any poll that will give labour a chance of adding to their mps anywhere in the UK
    All one way traffic so far.

    Every region looking to rack up losses. Even the SW - their Plymouth seat will go I reckon.



  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    JRM is a fuckwit. Well, who knew?
  • TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
    I have no idea :lol:
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    DavidL said:

    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.

    May had a majority to get this through.

    Whatever happened to that?
  • nunu2nunu2 Posts: 1,453
    kle4 said:

    I'm getting targeted ads telling me only the Tories can beat Corbyn's Labour in Sheffield Hallam

    So people are allowed to lie in targeted ads I guess.
    On Facebook, yes.

    Zuckerberg said as much.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156
    edited November 2019

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
    I have no idea :lol:
    It's me, son. I'm sure everyone else could tell as much.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,236

    That Bridgen interview is extraordinary. The deference he shows to Rees Moog boils down to the cringe so many Brits have when confronted with a crisp, home counties accent. The assumption that well-spoken equals smart has caused the UK so much trouble over the years and continues to do so.

    That Rees Mogg thing gets worse the more you think about it.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
    No that's not my point. Labour have increased 4% since May. Now, okay, that 'might' be MoE.

    But supposing it isn't? Supposing in fact that Labour hit the bottom a few months ago and they're starting to pick up? That, I would suggest, has been more-than-hinted at by some recent polling.

    Clutching at straws? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
    I see no evidence of a labour recovery but as a loyal supporter you have every right to clutch at straws

    I'm a LibDem!

    I just want to try and be equitable, so I'll state it a little more bluntly. There is absolutely clear, unequivocal, signs of a Labour uptick (hate that kind of language but feel compelled to use it).

    I think Labour are on a roll. Corbyn loves this stuff. He's setting the agenda left, right and centre. Poor Jo Swinson has hardly had a look in. As for the tories, well you can kind of understand why they're remaining silent if everytime they open their mouths they spew the kind of bile of JRM and Andrew Bridgen.

    I'm only surprised Dom Cummings didn't send Rees-Mogg on a six week holiday to Antartica. Actually, scrub that, the Arctic would've been a better choice.
  • DavidL said:

    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    JRM is a fuckwit. Well, who knew?
    Well he backed Brexit, so quite a few of us knew.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    DavidL said:

    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.

    May had a majority to get this through.

    Whatever happened to that?
    Just imbecility. The consensus is that, unlike Blair with his 2.8%, the Tories are going to need a lead of at least 8% to get a majority. If the new boundaries had been pushed through the risk of yet another hung Parliament would have been very much reduced.
  • nichomar said:

    Not really I am just surprised they didn’t include prisoners and gays as well
    Arbeit macht frei.....
  • nunu2nunu2 Posts: 1,453

    Roger said:

    Which was more costly; Getting Zaghari-Ratcliffe an extended prison sentence by not doing your homework or blaming the dead for being too stupid to get out of Grenfell Tower?

    A close run thing but what they've both got in common is the arrogance of Old Etonians.

    There is nothing wrong with Rees Mogg's comments.
    So why did he apologise?
    It was poorly and insensitively stated?
    JRM should have just said "dont those people know we've had enogh of experts telling us what to do"
  • Noo said:

    Anecdote: today was the first conversation IRL in recent months where someone's said to me they're switching to Labour. I wasn't expecting it from them especially as I know they have never voted Labour in the past.
    They even started to try to persuade me that I should, too :neutral:
    (I won't)

    The Tories shouldn’t underestimate how appealing pure unadulterated socialism may be to some people, notwithstanding their views on Corbyn personally.
  • DavidL said:

    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.

    There are more expense-stealing "Lords" than there are MPs!
    Reduce the number of the former before reducing the number of the latter!
  • contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    kinabalu said:

    That Bridgen interview is extraordinary. The deference he shows to Rees Moog boils down to the cringe so many Brits have when confronted with a crisp, home counties accent. The assumption that well-spoken equals smart has caused the UK so much trouble over the years and continues to do so.

    That Rees Mogg thing gets worse the more you think about it.
    The thing that will make it worse for labour is giving a feck about what some tory may or may not have said when unions that are their bedrock are going to destroy christmas for millions of voters across an election.
  • DavidL said:

    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    JRM is a fuckwit. Well, who knew?
    I think most people did, but only a fuckwit PM would bring him into the executive.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Not really, still a 1% Lab to Con swing.
    No that's not my point. Labour have increased 4% since May. Now, okay, that 'might' be MoE.

    But supposing it isn't? Supposing in fact that Labour hit the bottom a few months ago and they're starting to pick up? That, I would suggest, has been more-than-hinted at by some recent polling.

    Clutching at straws? Perhaps. Perhaps not.
    I see no evidence of a labour recovery but as a loyal supporter you have every right to clutch at straws

    I'm a LibDem!

    I just want to try and be equitable, so I'll state it a little more bluntly. There is absolutely clear, unequivocal, signs of a Labour uptick (hate that kind of language but feel compelled to use it).

    I think Labour are on a roll. Corbyn loves this stuff. He's setting the agenda left, right and centre. Poor Jo Swinson has hardly had a look in. As for the tories, well you can kind of understand why they're remaining silent if everytime they open their mouths they spew the kind of bile of JRM and Andrew Bridgen.

    I'm only surprised Dom Cummings didn't send Rees-Mogg on a six week holiday to Antartica. Actually, scrub that, the Arctic would've been a better choice.
    So he can explain how global warming is a fantasy as the ice melts beneath him? I don't think so.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    Noo said:

    Anecdote: today was the first conversation IRL in recent months where someone's said to me they're switching to Labour. I wasn't expecting it from them especially as I know they have never voted Labour in the past.
    They even started to try to persuade me that I should, too :neutral:
    (I won't)

    The Tories shouldn’t underestimate how appealing pure unadulterated socialism may be to some people, notwithstanding their views on Corbyn personally.
    Agreed. Especially when confronted with Lord Snooty on the opposite side.
  • kinabalu said:

    That Bridgen interview is extraordinary. The deference he shows to Rees Moog boils down to the cringe so many Brits have when confronted with a crisp, home counties accent. The assumption that well-spoken equals smart has caused the UK so much trouble over the years and continues to do so.

    That Rees Mogg thing gets worse the more you think about it.
    You have bad gaffes and crank candidates in every election. In fact, it’s almost a statistical certainty.

    I think the material impact is negligible unless very heavily concentrated in one party and part of a broader narrative.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156

    DavidL said:

    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    JRM is a fuckwit. Well, who knew?
    I think most people did, but only a fuckwit PM would bring him into the executive.
    It would have been worth it, for Boris, if it had meant he had enough votes to get his deal through. He almost managed it.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    DavidL said:

    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    JRM is a fuckwit. Well, who knew?
    Well he backed Brexit, so quite a few of us knew.
    Did he? He had a champagne party at his house to celebrate defeating May's deal. Maybe fuckwit is far too generous.
  • DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.

    May had a majority to get this through.

    Whatever happened to that?
    Just imbecility. The consensus is that, unlike Blair with his 2.8%, the Tories are going to need a lead of at least 8% to get a majority. If the new boundaries had been pushed through the risk of yet another hung Parliament would have been very much reduced.
    A hung parliament will be the correct democratic outcome considering the divided nature of our nation that the Brexiteer fuckwits have brought us to.
  • kle4 said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
    I have no idea :lol:
    It's me, son. I'm sure everyone else could tell as much.
    What are your thoughts on Ms Swinson? :lol:
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Roger said:

    Which was more costly; Getting Zaghari-Ratcliffe an extended prison sentence by not doing your homework or blaming the dead for being too stupid to get out of Grenfell Tower?

    A close run thing but what they've both got in common is the arrogance of Old Etonians.

    There is nothing wrong with Rees Mogg's comments.
    So why did he apologise?
    Probably told to. Let us be clear. Rees-Mogg in his worst caricature of himself, essentially says that people were rather stupid to take the advice of the London Fire Brigade and subsequently die in a building fire. "Nothing wrong"? At best this was an insensitive comment not becoming of a professional politician, at worst a demonstration of the repulsive thinking that goes on his not very intelligent head.
    JRM is not stupid, he is a calculating politician seeking to ensure that his privileged position in life is protected and enhanced. He apparently is a good constituency MP, but most are. You can see by responses to the comment that tories don't give a shit what their leaders say, the tories have no morals, the labour party have no sense or awareness of their failure to the people who need them most.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,489

    What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Did you expect it to make that clear?
  • NooNoo Posts: 2,380

    Noo said:

    Anecdote: today was the first conversation IRL in recent months where someone's said to me they're switching to Labour. I wasn't expecting it from them especially as I know they have never voted Labour in the past.
    They even started to try to persuade me that I should, too :neutral:
    (I won't)

    The Tories shouldn’t underestimate how appealing pure unadulterated socialism may be to some people, notwithstanding their views on Corbyn personally.
    This person is not a socialist. They voted Conservative back in the early 2000s and went Lib Dem after that.
    I didn't get a very clear sense of what drives their voting choice.
  • What this thread doesn't entirely make clear is that Labour have actually improved their position since the last poll in May:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1191691198987227136?s=20

    Did you expect it to make that clear?
    I didn't realise dropping back was improving a position? Judo masters, right?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,614
    TOPPING said:


    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.

    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
    Byronic...
  • alb1onalb1on Posts: 698
    eristdoof said:

    DeClare said:

    PClipp said:

    DeClare said:

    Boris's home city too really, after all he was elected mayor there twice.

    But really his home city is New York. Which makes him a citizen of nowhere, I suppose....
    Boris was born in New York obviously he didn't have much choice as that was where his mother was at the time, but he has spent most of his life in and around the capital.
    Corbyn on the other hand lived in Wiltshire and Shropshire until he entered politics.

    didn't he spend some of his teenage years in Brussels?
    Is that the cause of the verbal flatulence?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    kinabalu said:

    That Bridgen interview is extraordinary. The deference he shows to Rees Moog boils down to the cringe so many Brits have when confronted with a crisp, home counties accent. The assumption that well-spoken equals smart has caused the UK so much trouble over the years and continues to do so.

    That Rees Mogg thing gets worse the more you think about it.
    The thing that will make it worse for labour is giving a feck about what some tory may or may not have said when unions that are their bedrock are going to destroy christmas for millions of voters across an election.
    Good point. Every day there will be an attack line for the Cons.
  • More evidence of the nutters that have taken over the Conservative Party
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156
    Yes, local press is enjoying the furore, with the chairman of the constituency party having resigned and so on.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,156

    kle4 said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
    I have no idea :lol:
    It's me, son. I'm sure everyone else could tell as much.
    What are your thoughts on Ms Swinson? :lol:
    Not now, dear. :)
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.

    May had a majority to get this through.

    Whatever happened to that?
    Just imbecility. The consensus is that, unlike Blair with his 2.8%, the Tories are going to need a lead of at least 8% to get a majority. If the new boundaries had been pushed through the risk of yet another hung Parliament would have been very much reduced.
    A hung parliament will be the correct democratic outcome considering the divided nature of our nation that the Brexiteer fuckwits have brought us to.
    We absolutely need a decision. Whether it is leave with a deal or revoke I am almost past caring but we cannot go on like this damaging our economy, destroying our constitution and failing to address the multiplicity of more important challenges we face year after year after year whilst 2 groups of tossers dominate our political life.
  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875
    Noo said:

    Noo said:

    Anecdote: today was the first conversation IRL in recent months where someone's said to me they're switching to Labour. I wasn't expecting it from them especially as I know they have never voted Labour in the past.
    They even started to try to persuade me that I should, too :neutral:
    (I won't)

    The Tories shouldn’t underestimate how appealing pure unadulterated socialism may be to some people, notwithstanding their views on Corbyn personally.
    This person is not a socialist. They voted Conservative back in the early 2000s and went Lib Dem after that.
    I didn't get a very clear sense of what drives their voting choice.
    A psychological need to always back the loser? :wink:
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,488
    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    What is dangerous is being so beholden to officialdom that you stay in a burning building against every human instinct and your own better judgement. The state doesn't always have the answers, and there are times when this becomes tragically obvious.
  • What’s so depressing about that CV is that it’s yet another MP who’s done wonk > speechwriter > journalist > wonk > SPAD.

    Where are the people who’ve worked in business and industry?
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    edited November 2019

    kle4 said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:


    More lies. Where was the unilateral exit in the original plan?

    I don't engage with people who falsely accuse me of lying.
    do you engage with people who correctly accuse you of lying ? :-)

    If I can find any, yes of course.
    I believe youre voting LD so shouldnt be a log wait :smiley:
    Ms Swinson has been doing an excellent job trying to dissuade me from voting LibDem.
    How so, she seems to be doing OK form this ex-Tory's perspective. A little lightweight so far, but no more so than the alternatives.
    She’s a bit lightweight, but compared to the bantamweights Corbo and Bunter, that’s okay. I like her. She seems like a nice lady. She does have the air of a primary school teacher, but that’s mostly the colourful dangly earrings. The opprobrium she attracts on here is bizarre.
    Not that bizarre. Most posters on here are pale, male and stale. There is an undercurrent of jealousy, misogyny, and bullying at the prospect of a younger woman as party leader shouting the odds as though she was a normal politician.
    My mum is neither male nor pale, she says she can't stand Swinson.
    What name does she post under on here Sunil?
    I have no idea :lol:
    It's me, son. I'm sure everyone else could tell as much.
    What are your thoughts on Ms Swinson? :lol:
    I know that wasn't aimed at me but seeing as this is a forum n' all ...

    Some people earlier were talking about her 'shrill' voice. Hmmm. I don't see much criticism of the irritating voices amongst men. On the other hand, in the interests of balance, I should say that a close friend of mine, female, also finds Jo to be shrill.

    I think she's doing alright. Over six weeks she should be able to get across LibDem policies, but that's been a slight problem in itself. Loads of people keep saying to me, 'but what else do they stand for?'

    Another anecdotal that suggests Brexit isn't the heart beat of our nation?
  • DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Gabs2 said:

    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Completely agree. It combined being stupid, insulting to innocent victims and dangerous.
    JRM is a fuckwit. Well, who knew?
    Well he backed Brexit, so quite a few of us knew.
    Did he? He had a champagne party at his house to celebrate defeating May's deal. Maybe fuckwit is far too generous.
    Who is the bigger fuckwit?

    JRM or the fuckwit that made JRM a cabinet minister?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    One factor that I think has not been given nearly enough attention is that the Tories are once again facing an election on a completely out of date electoral roll with some rotten Labour boroughs barely half the size of some Tory seats. After 9 years in what might loosely called government this is just quite staggering incompetence. These are the same boundaries that gave Blair a 60 majority with all of 35.2% of the vote and a lead over the Conservatives of 2.8%.

    The pointless gesturism of Cameron in trying to reduce expenses stealing MPs to a mere 600 thieves and rogues may yet cost Boris dear.

    May had a majority to get this through.

    Whatever happened to that?
    Just imbecility. The consensus is that, unlike Blair with his 2.8%, the Tories are going to need a lead of at least 8% to get a majority. If the new boundaries had been pushed through the risk of yet another hung Parliament would have been very much reduced.
    A hung parliament will be the correct democratic outcome considering the divided nature of our nation that the Brexiteer fuckwits have brought us to.
    We absolutely need a decision. Whether it is leave with a deal or revoke I am almost past caring but we cannot go on like this damaging our economy, destroying our constitution and failing to address the multiplicity of more important challenges we face year after year after year whilst 2 groups of tossers dominate our political life.
    Which, the country having voted for Brexit, is a huge surprise to absolutely no one.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,236
    edited November 2019

    JRM lead story on ITV.

    Was that on Dom’s grid for today?

    It's terrible. One of those that gets worse rather than better with context and sober consideration.
  • I was amused to see a Lush cosmetics outlet in France which proudly boasted that their cosmetics were 'tested on the English'.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,236
    alex. said:

    Leaving aside the fuckwittery of Rees Mogg aside, what he said is actually an extremely dangerous position for a minister of the crown to take. In all sorts of areas we the General public rely implicitly on the advice given by the experts in the emergency or the public sector and often their safety and security depends on people listening to that advice and following it.

    The Grenfell residents were clearly let down badly by following the advice, but even there it seems likely that the general advice was and is sound, is was the failure to change the advice in the terrible circumstances of the fire that was most to blame. For a Govt minister to, in effect, say that you should use ‘common sense’ and replace official advice with your own thoughts is incredibly dangerous, and has the potential to cause far more damage in the long run if people learn the “lessons” he is extolling.

    He should resign.

    Well said. Anybody defending him needs an injection of decency and grey matter.
  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875
    kinabalu said:

    JRM lead story on ITV.

    Was that on Dom’s grid for today?

    It's terrible. One of those that gets worse rather than better with context and sober consideration.
    JRM isn't going to lose the Tories a single vote amongst those who actually vote Conservative, as opposed to those who pretend to.
This discussion has been closed.