He has taken an enormous gamble staking everything on challenging the HOC.
Sir Anthony Seldon has just said on Sky that Boris either wins this and becomes another Thatcher/Churchill or loses everything
It has astounded me and must apologise to HYUFD who maintained he would do this and I rejected his confidence. HYUFD was correct
Indeed, he called it right. I thought Boris would be more sensible than a straight prorogation - and he seems to have come up with a workable plan: after all, it's not unreasonable for a new government to get to have a Queen's Speech (and IIRC the current session has been exceptionally long). But it's definitely a bold move.
Reminds me of when it seemed May was practically trying to get her own MPs to no confidence her. One could almost believe it is a conspiracy and Boris really wants to lose a no confidence vote so he can have his election and it not be his fault, but hes worried Tory MPs are too gutless.
Yep. Seems like the firing gun for a general election to me. But it is fun watching the confected outrage of Remainers.
I think Boris wins from most outcomes here (in the short term)
If there’s a VONC and a GE after Brexit he will likely win, unless it’s a swiftly disastrous hard Brexit If there’s a VONC and a GE before Brexit he will very probably win. If Corbyn becomes a caretaker PM just to prevent Brexit Boris will absolutely sweep the following GE. If a caretaker PM like Clarke scuppers Brexit, Boris again gets an outraged landslide
But it is fiendishly complicated. And therefore, still, a huge gamble.
I much prefer that we Brexit after Johnson wins a GE after MPs prevent him from proroguing and taking us out without a deal on October 31st. At least that way the British people would have assented directly to the policy being implemented.
To take us out, without a deal, after suspending the Commons to prevent MPs from stopping him from doing so - this is the stuff of tinpot dictatorships and I can never be reconciled to it.
But is that fact or fiction?
Parliament is still sitting after the next EU council meeting - and any changes or chance of changes to the WA will not be confirmed in advance of that meeting.
Recess is due to end on 9th October, so most of the proroguing is during a scheduled recess of parliament.
If the proroguing was set for time parliament was due to be in session, I would agree with you. This can be argued both ways, but neither deserve the high horse treatment.
Bear in mind that polling has also shown that when Biden is put up against any of Sanders, Warren or Harris in a two person primary head to head, he loses. The question is, how quickly will candidates drop out of the race so that it becomes a clear contest between Biden and one other? If four candidates stay in the race until close to the end, then it favours Biden, but such a scenario would be unusual.
MarqueeMark said: We will never go back in. Why? The NHS. It top trumps everything. Anyone proposing to rejoin gets asked this on every doorstep: "So, which hopsitals are you going to close to pay for our massive annual fees?"
Would there still be massive fees? This Conservative government is hell-bent on wrecking the economy, so we will undoubtedly be considerably poorer - as we are already. The EU will probably be subsidising us.
In any case, the NHS will by then have been handed over to the Americans, so it will be totally unaffordable and completely destroyed.
Nope. He has done himself a favour by bringing things to a head instead of a drift into endless prevarication.
But this is terrible and reminds me of an abusive relationship with the offender screaming at their battered spouse, "look what you made me do". The offender is always wrong in that scenario and so is Boris.
He hasn't though - there are clear ways around things that keep things going while completely frustrating him. For instance Cooper Letwin control next weeks agenda and a VoNC is announced on September 11th to be held on October 14th which would takes precedence over the Queen's speech.
We won’t ever go back in because, after this trauma, the EU would demand - as the price for our re-entry - some sign of total and permanent commitment. It is obvious what that would be: sign up to Schenghen, adopt the euro. That will never fly in the UK. We’re out for good.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I think we'll all have a good chuckle if it doesn't beat the last one. I believe the appointment of Boris has somewhat taken the wind out the sails of the 'remain at all costs' coalition. As has been said he's far more ruthless than May and seems to be taking the fight to the opposition. I have to say I didn't really want Boris PM but I cannot fault him so far.
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
The posters who say they have spoken in their office are believing crap. Most people in an office want to keep the peace, as they have to work with these people .Therefore they in many instance just go along with the loud mouth who brings their views on politics up. They nod along , then think what an arse. I know I did the same in an office environment.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
It's nice to see the improvements the revoke petition resulted in are keeping everything working. Seems to be about 1000 signatures a minute at the moment.
Nope. He has done himself a favour by bringing things to a head instead of a drift into endless prevarication.
But this is terrible and reminds me of an abusive relationship with the offender screaming at their battered spouse, "look what you made me do". The offender is always wrong in that scenario and so is Boris.
He hasn't though - there are clear ways around things that keep things going while completely frustrating him. For instance Cooper Letwin control next weeks agenda and a VoNC is announced on September 11th to be held on October 14th which would takes precedence over the Queen's speech.
The posters who say they have spoken in their office are believing crap. Most people in an office want to keep the peace, as they have to work with these people .Therefore they in many instance just go along with the loud mouth who brings their views on politics up. They nod along , then think what an arse. I know I did the same in an office environment.
So if we assume that this is 4D Chess (is there any other kind, the whole point of chess being to calculate what the board will look like at some point in the future) what are the knock on consequences?
Let's assume for the moment that the proposed application for interim interdict doesn't succeed. Let's assume that Parliament convenes next week and a VONC is moved and passed. Do Labour support a motion for instant dissolution of Parliament or do we wait 14 days? Surely it has to be instant if we are to have an election before 31st October. Furthermore how does dissolution and the FTPA interact? How can you have a vote of confidence if Parliament isn't sitting? I think that it is at least implied that Parliament is sitting for those 14 days.
How does that election date get fixed? Normally up to the PM but can Parliament seek to fix the date in October? I think that they may be able to insist on an earlier date but I am very unsure about the mechanics.
What happens on 17th October? Does Boris go? Are there going to be any more attempts to get a revised deal for Parliament or is this just being abandoned after Boris's efforts over the last 2 weeks? If he gets a deal when does Parliament consider it if it is dissolved? Would the EU really want to give Boris a deal that might help him in the election?
If we have an election in the last week in October and the new government asks for a further extension will the EU be able to respond in time? Will they come to a view on the 17th that in the event that the new government asks for such an extension they will grant it and how will that play?
As a good film once said, "a strange game, the only way to win is not to play." And yet iacta alea est.
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
MarqueeMark said: We will never go back in. Why? The NHS. It top trumps everything. Anyone proposing to rejoin gets asked this on every doorstep: "So, which hopsitals are you going to close to pay for our massive annual fees?"
Would there still be massive fees? This Conservative government is hell-bent on wrecking the economy, so we will undoubtedly be considerably poorer - as we are already. The EU will probably be subsidising us.
In any case, the NHS will by then have been handed over to the Americans, so it will be totally unaffordable and completely destroyed.
Don't understand all this stuff about handing over NHS to the Americans. The NHS is a state-run organisation which enters contracts with private suppliers for some goods and some services. However clinical staff are, and will continue to be, directly employed. Does the NHS develop and manufacture all the drugs it uses? If US companies can more effectively compete to provide services what's the problem?
So if we assume that this is 4D Chess (is there any other kind, the whole point of chess being to calculate what the board will look like at some point in the future)
So if we assume that this is 4D Chess (is there any other kind, the whole point of chess being to calculate what the board will look like at some point in the future)
Where are you getting the 4th dimension from ? Chess is a well defined problem on a 2D plane
So if we assume that this is 4D Chess (is there any other kind, the whole point of chess being to calculate what the board will look like at some point in the future)
Where are you getting the 4th dimension from ? Chess is a well defined problem on a 2D plane
My pieces sat in 3 dimensions but I take the point that they moved in 2.
I think Boris wins from most outcomes here (in the short term)
If there’s a VONC and a GE after Brexit he will likely win, unless it’s a swiftly disastrous hard Brexit If there’s a VONC and a GE before Brexit he will very probably win. If Corbyn becomes a caretaker PM just to prevent Brexit Boris will absolutely sweep the following GE. If a caretaker PM like Clarke scuppers Brexit, Boris again gets an outraged landslide
But it is fiendishly complicated. And therefore, still, a huge gamble.
I much prefer that we Brexit after Johnson wins a GE after MPs prevent him from proroguing and taking us out without a deal on October 31st. At least that way the British people would have assented directly to the policy being implemented.
To take us out, without a deal, after suspending the Commons to prevent MPs from stopping him from doing so - this is the stuff of tinpot dictatorships and I can never be reconciled to it.
But is that fact or fiction?
Parliament is still sitting after the next EU council meeting - and any changes or chance of changes to the WA will not be confirmed in advance of that meeting.
Recess is due to end on 9th October, so most of the proroguing is during a scheduled recess of parliament.
If the proroguing was set for time parliament was due to be in session, I would agree with you. This can be argued both ways, but neither deserve the high horse treatment.
There is a clear intention to prevent the Commons from expressing it's will to extend Article 50 ahead of the EU council meeting. It is the clearest demonstration of an anti-democratic impulse that we have seen in this country for many centuries.
If Johnson is allowed to set this precedent now the damage it will do to our democracy will persist for many decades - at best.
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
Why, what have they done to enable Brexit???
Voted to enact Article 50 under the assumption the government would propose a Brexit settlement that would bring the country together.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
It's nice to see the improvements the revoke petition resulted in are keeping everything working. Seems to be about 1000 signatures a minute at the moment.
The vast majority of the people who are signing it almost certainly have never studied our constitution or legal system. It just jumping on the outrage bus.
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
That people are gullible enough to think delaying Brexit is a tactic to agree a new deal says it all. Do folk really think the Lib Dems, SNP Grieve and most of the Labour party are willing to accept any Brexit under a Tory government? Of course not.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
How can sure a minor matter as ending one (exceptionally long) Parliamentary session to start a new one be so controversial?
It's not like it hasn't happened hundreds of times before...
Indeed, but in all seriousness Context matters. It being long is not why hes doing it, playing it off as normal is wafer thin as a reason and he knows it. He wants his people v parliament election I guess.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I'd be happier if it gave wiggle room for people who want to leave just not this way.
Yes, I like the way a simple “Revoke” is now one of the two options. These whingeing fuckwits complain about Boris “trashing democracy” with a constitutional sleight of hand, entirely legal, and at the same time they calmly talk of ignoring 17.4 million voters and utterly destroying all faith in our political system - forever.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I'd be happier if it gave wiggle room for people who want to leave just not this way.
Yes, I like the way a simple “Revoke” is now one of the two options. These whingeing fuckwits complain about Boris “trashing democracy” with a constitutional sleight of hand, entirely legal, and at the same time they calmly talk of ignoring 17.4 million voters and utterly destroying all faith in our political system - forever.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
You revoke to stop the clock whilst we work out, as a country, what the hell we want.
There is no majority for anything. We must build one.
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
Why, what have they done to enable Brexit???
Voted to enact Article 50 under the assumption the government would propose a Brexit settlement that would bring the country together.
Let's be honest that very few of those opposing Brexit with a deal have done that. The logic of many of them is incompatible with anything but remaining. Hard to pit a number on those who would personally be willing to back a deal of some sort but not the one we got. Amazingly Corbyn is one of them.
Nope. He has done himself a favour by bringing things to a head instead of a drift into endless prevarication.
But this is terrible and reminds me of an abusive relationship with the offender screaming at their battered spouse, "look what you made me do". The offender is always wrong in that scenario and so is Boris.
He hasn't though - there are clear ways around things that keep things going while completely frustrating him. For instance Cooper Letwin control next weeks agenda and a VoNC is announced on September 11th to be held on October 14th which would takes precedence over the Queen's speech.
There may be countermoves available. But that doesn't make this right.
So if we assume that this is 4D Chess (is there any other kind, the whole point of chess being to calculate what the board will look like at some point in the future) what are the knock on consequences?
Let's assume for the moment that the proposed application for interim interdict doesn't succeed. Let's assume that Parliament convenes next week and a VONC is moved and passed. Do Labour support a motion for instant dissolution of Parliament or do we wait 14 days? Surely it has to be instant if we are to have an election before 31st October. Furthermore how does dissolution and the FTPA interact? How can you have a vote of confidence if Parliament isn't sitting? I think that it is at least implied that Parliament is sitting for those 14 days.
How does that election date get fixed? Normally up to the PM but can Parliament seek to fix the date in October? I think that they may be able to insist on an earlier date but I am very unsure about the mechanics.
What happens on 17th October? Does Boris go? Are there going to be any more attempts to get a revised deal for Parliament or is this just being abandoned after Boris's efforts over the last 2 weeks? If he gets a deal when does Parliament consider it if it is dissolved? Would the EU really want to give Boris a deal that might help him in the election?
If we have an election in the last week in October and the new government asks for a further extension will the EU be able to respond in time? Will they come to a view on the 17th that in the event that the new government asks for such an extension they will grant it and how will that play?
As a good film once said, "a strange game, the only way to win is not to play." And yet iacta alea est.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I'd be happier if it gave wiggle room for people who want to leave just not this way.
Yes, I like the way a simple “Revoke” is now one of the two options. These whingeing fuckwits complain about Boris “trashing democracy” with a constitutional sleight of hand, entirely legal, and at the same time they calmly talk of ignoring 17.4 million voters and utterly destroying all faith in our political system - forever.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
You revoke to stop the clock whilst we work out, as a country, what the hell we want.
There is no majority for anything. We must build one.
Them delay. Revoking us picking one of the two extreme options whilst pretending it's about keeping options open. I'd rather revoke than no deal but its misleading to cast revoke as some holding position option.
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
It seems to me that the most important question for the next two weeks is “what does Corbyn want”?
I’m sure he wants lots of airtime saying it’s a constitutional outrage and Boris is a dictator; but does he want to trigger a vote of no confidence now?
If he doesn’t, then presumably his next chance is 25 October, by which time it might look like something could happen at the EU Council. No matter how outraged, would enough Tory MPs want to topple the Gvt then, given how unlikely it seems that a successful NCM leads to anything other than a post-Brexit election.
I think what the Gvt is doing is outrageous, but it does look like it’s in with a shout of succeeding.
Let's assume for the moment that the proposed application for interim interdict doesn't succeed. Let's assume that Parliament convenes next week and a VONC is moved and passed. Do Labour support a motion for instant dissolution of Parliament or do we wait 14 days? Surely it has to be instant if we are to have an election before 31st October. Furthermore how does dissolution and the FTPA interact? How can you have a vote of confidence if Parliament isn't sitting? I think that it is at least implied that Parliament is sitting for those 14 days.
If parliament has taken control of the agenda, is it possible for them to first pass a change to the FTPA then a VONC?
This is likely to give Boris a huge polling boost...along with the LD's.
The corollary doesn't need articulating.
Well the view in my office is 100% in favour of what Boris has done. As one chap put it MPs have had three years to sort this out and all they have done is try to stop Brexit. Whether the view of my office will be reflected nationwide I have no idea.
"All they have done is try to stop Brexit" is pure Daily Mail propaganda. I despair.
Why, what have they done to enable Brexit???
Voted to enact Article 50 under the assumption the government would propose a Brexit settlement that would bring the country together.
Let's be honest that very few of those opposing Brexit with a deal have done that. The logic of many of them is incompatible with anything but remaining. Hard to pit a number on those who would personally be willing to back a deal of some sort but not the one we got. Amazingly Corbyn is one of them.
Yes, and I blame May for that. She threw away any semblance of goodwill until it was too late.
Labour MP Neil Coyle on Johnson proroguing parliament: "He's too scared to call an election, he's too scared to support the people having another vote, he's scared to have negotiations with the EU and he's even too scared to allow MPs to debate his plans"
I don't mean to be unkind to him but Neil Coyle stood as the Labour candidate in our school mock election in 1997. I think he came last.
And yet he is an MP deciding matters of state and here you are.
Emphasises that being an MP isn't what you know but who you know, perhaps. Mind you, your assessment can be easily applied to many of the great minds here whose days are spent explaining how clever they are.
So if we assume that this is 4D Chess (is there any other kind, the whole point of chess being to calculate what the board will look like at some point in the future)
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I'd be happier if it gave wiggle room for people who want to leave just not this way.
Yes, I like the way a simple “Revoke” is now one of the two options. These whingeing fuckwits complain about Boris “trashing democracy” with a constitutional sleight of hand, entirely legal, and at the same time they calmly talk of ignoring 17.4 million voters and utterly destroying all faith in our political system - forever.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
You revoke to stop the clock whilst we work out, as a country, what the hell we want.
There is no majority for anything. We must build one.
Them delay. Revoking us picking one of the two extreme options whilst pretending it's about keeping options open. I'd rather revoke than no deal but its misleading to cast revoke as some holding position option.
I agree, but we don't even know if delaying is possible, since it requires the agreement of the EU. Or, like last time, it might be a delay on a silly timescale. The "or" in the petition just covers all bases
Scottish Secretary Alister Jack has cancelled photocall and a prearranged interview with STVNEWS Tories running scared in Scotland, another big jessie placeman
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I'd be happier if it gave wiggle room for people who want to leave just not this way.
Yes, I like the way a simple “Revoke” is now one of the two options. These whingeing fuckwits complain about Boris “trashing democracy” with a constitutional sleight of hand, entirely legal, and at the same time they calmly talk of ignoring 17.4 million voters and utterly destroying all faith in our political system - forever.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
You revoke to stop the clock whilst we work out, as a country, what the hell we want.
There is no majority for anything. We must build one.
Them delay. Revoking us picking one of the two extreme options whilst pretending it's about keeping options open. I'd rather revoke than no deal but its misleading to cast revoke as some holding position option.
I’m happy with delay too, but then we are at the whim of the EU. Revoke is the only thing we have in our gift unilaterally.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
I'd be happier if it gave wiggle room for people who want to leave just not this way.
Yes, I like the way a simple “Revoke” is now one of the two options. These whingeing fuckwits complain about Boris “trashing democracy” with a constitutional sleight of hand, entirely legal, and at the same time they calmly talk of ignoring 17.4 million voters and utterly destroying all faith in our political system - forever.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
Crashing out with No Deal wasn't an option on the 2016 ballot.
I think Boris wins from most outcomes here (in the short term)
If there’s a VONC and a GE after Brexit he will likely win, unless it’s a swiftly disastrous hard Brexit If there’s a VONC and a GE before Brexit he will very probably win. If Corbyn becomes a caretaker PM just to prevent Brexit Boris will absolutely sweep the following GE. If a caretaker PM like Clarke scuppers Brexit, Boris again gets an outraged landslide
But it is fiendishly complicated. And therefore, still, a huge gamble.
I much prefer that we Brexit after Johnson wins a GE after MPs prevent him from proroguing and taking us out without a deal on October 31st. At least that way the British people would have assented directly to the policy being implemented.
To take us out, without a deal, after suspending the Commons to prevent MPs from stopping him from doing so - this is the stuff of tinpot dictatorships and I can never be reconciled to it.
But is that fact or fiction?
Parliament is still sitting after the next EU council meeting - and any changes or chance of changes to the WA will not be confirmed in advance of that meeting.
Recess is due to end on 9th October, so most of the proroguing is during a scheduled recess of parliament.
If the proroguing was set for time parliament was due to be in session, I would agree with you. This can be argued both ways, but neither deserve the high horse treatment.
There is a clear intention to prevent the Commons from expressing it's will to extend Article 50 ahead of the EU council meeting. It is the clearest demonstration of an anti-democratic impulse that we have seen in this country for many centuries.
If Johnson is allowed to set this precedent now the damage it will do to our democracy will persist for many decades - at best.
Why would you want to talk about extending before the EU Council meeting?
See what is on offer, then react to that current situation. You can revoke, extend, accept deal or no deal at that point.
It is slightly odd to react before the facts are known.
MarqueeMark said: We will never go back in. Why? The NHS. It top trumps everything. Anyone proposing to rejoin gets asked this on every doorstep: "So, which hopsitals are you going to close to pay for our massive annual fees?"
Would there still be massive fees? This Conservative government is hell-bent on wrecking the economy, so we will undoubtedly be considerably poorer - as we are already. The EU will probably be subsidising us.
In any case, the NHS will by then have been handed over to the Americans, so it will be totally unaffordable and completely destroyed.
Don't understand all this stuff about handing over NHS to the Americans. The NHS is a state-run organisation which enters contracts with private suppliers for some goods and some services. However clinical staff are, and will continue to be, directly employed. Does the NHS develop and manufacture all the drugs it uses? If US companies can more effectively compete to provide services what's the problem?
As if the US is able to provide cheap health services!
The posters who say they have spoken in their office are believing crap. Most people in an office want to keep the peace, as they have to work with these people .Therefore they in many instance just go along with the loud mouth who brings their views on politics up. They nod along , then think what an arse. I know I did the same in an office environment.
More sensible to await polling this weekend
I agree, As you I think this will boost the Conservative share. As Johnson has had sole wall to wall, coverage, this past few weeks. Which should change when parliament returns.
Let's assume for the moment that the proposed application for interim interdict doesn't succeed. Let's assume that Parliament convenes next week and a VONC is moved and passed. Do Labour support a motion for instant dissolution of Parliament or do we wait 14 days? Surely it has to be instant if we are to have an election before 31st October. Furthermore how does dissolution and the FTPA interact? How can you have a vote of confidence if Parliament isn't sitting? I think that it is at least implied that Parliament is sitting for those 14 days.
If parliament has taken control of the agenda, is it possible for them to first pass a change to the FTPA then a VONC?
I suspect one consequence of this move is that there are now so few sitting days that taking control of agenda is one thing, but actually passing legislation a determined Gvt wants to use every trick in the book to stop is another.
Let's assume for the moment that the proposed application for interim interdict doesn't succeed. Let's assume that Parliament convenes next week and a VONC is moved and passed. Do Labour support a motion for instant dissolution of Parliament or do we wait 14 days? Surely it has to be instant if we are to have an election before 31st October. Furthermore how does dissolution and the FTPA interact? How can you have a vote of confidence if Parliament isn't sitting? I think that it is at least implied that Parliament is sitting for those 14 days.
If parliament has taken control of the agenda, is it possible for them to first pass a change to the FTPA then a VONC?
In theory but that would have to get through the Lords as well as the FTPA is full legislation. It is because the legislation only required approval from the Commons for a deal that the Lords hasn't really got to play yet.
I think it is more likely that a GNU would again be promoted in which the Commons would pass a confidence resolution but as we saw in last week's discussions that is fraught with difficulties, not least Mr Corbyn.
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
It's nice to see the improvements the revoke petition resulted in are keeping everything working. Seems to be about 1000 signatures a minute at the moment.
The vast majority of the people who are signing it almost certainly have never studied our constitution or legal system. It just jumping on the outrage bus.
And for those of us who have? It's not normal to prorogue Parliament mid-session and given that there is legislation still to be signed off we are definitely mid-session.
Separately a lot of things that could be ruled out as having already been attempted in this Parliamentary session can be reintroduced in October if Parliament does start a new session.
I think Boris wins from most outcomes here (in the short term)
If there’s a VONC and a GE after Brexit he will likely win, unless it’s a swiftly disastrous hard Brexit If there’s a VONC and a GE before Brexit he will very probably win. If Corbyn becomes a caretaker PM just to prevent Brexit Boris will absolutely sweep the following GE. If a caretaker PM like Clarke scuppers Brexit, Boris again gets an outraged landslide
But it is fiendishly complicated. And therefore, still, a huge gamble.
I much prefer that we Brexit after Johnson wins a GE after MPs prevent him from proroguing and taking us out without a deal on October 31st. At least that way the British people would have assented directly to the policy being implemented.
To take us out, without a deal, after suspending the Commons to prevent MPs from stopping him from doing so - this is the stuff of tinpot dictatorships and I can never be reconciled to it.
But is that fact or fiction?
Parliament is still sitting after the next EU council meeting - and any changes or chance of changes to the WA will not be confirmed in advance of that meeting.
Recess is due to end on 9th October, so most of the proroguing is during a scheduled recess of parliament.
If the proroguing was set for time parliament was due to be in session, I would agree with you. This can be argued both ways, but neither deserve the high horse treatment.
There is a clear intention to prevent the Commons from expressing it's will to extend Article 50 ahead of the EU council meeting. It is the clearest demonstration of an anti-democratic impulse that we have seen in this country for many centuries.
If Johnson is allowed to set this precedent now the damage it will do to our democracy will persist for many decades - at best.
Why would you want to talk about extending before the EU Council meeting?
See what is on offer, then react to that current situation. You can revoke, extend, accept deal or no deal at that point.
It is slightly odd to react before the facts are known.
I believe the thinking is that the request for an extension would be best made at the EU council meeting, when the EU council would be able to discuss it.
In any case, this is the sort of argument that is best had in the Commons, between MPs, and if MPs were to accept your argument they could vote accordingly. It is not for the PM to decide for them, to prevent them from disagreeing, and to suspend Parliament knowing that they would disagree.
Bercow has already showed his hand - prorogation an outrage. So if govt calls it and Bercow announces parliament will ignore it what then? Queen surely can't be seen no longer to have control of parliament, so would the Palace tell Johnson he can't have his prorogation?
Great fun, a vat of Pineapple Pizza flavour popcorn is required
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
How can such a minor matter as ending one (exceptionally long) Parliamentary session to start a new one be so controversial?
It's not like it hasn't happened hundreds of times before...
I don't doubt that Boris's intentions are utterly benign and he'll be scratching his head now bewildered at all the fuss this is causing.
"If we left the EU, we would end this sterile debate, and we would have to recognise that most of our problems are not caused by “Bwussels”, but by chronic British short-termism, inadequate management, sloth, low skills, a culture of easy gratification and underinvestment in both human and physical capital and infrastructure." Boris in The Telegraph, 12 May 2013.
Bercow has already showed his hand - prorogation an outrage. So if govt calls it and Bercow announces parliament will ignore it what then? Queen surely can't be seen no longer to have control of parliament, so would the Palace tell Johnson he can't have his prorogation?
Great fun, a vat of Pineapple Pizza flavour popcorn is required
Bercow has overplayed his hand. 4 days is not an outrage. Far from it.
Comments
Parliament is still sitting after the next EU council meeting - and any changes or chance of changes to the WA will not be confirmed in advance of that meeting.
Recess is due to end on 9th October, so most of the proroguing is during a scheduled recess of parliament.
If the proroguing was set for time parliament was due to be in session, I would agree with you. This can be argued both ways, but neither deserve the high horse treatment.
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/269157
It's going to be well into at least seven figures, surely.
Anyone proposing to rejoin gets asked this on every doorstep: "So, which hopsitals are you going to close to pay for our massive annual fees?"
Would there still be massive fees? This Conservative government is hell-bent on wrecking the economy, so we will undoubtedly be considerably poorer - as we are already. The EU will probably be subsidising us.
In any case, the NHS will by then have been handed over to the Americans, so it will be totally unaffordable and completely destroyed.
Most people in an office want to keep the peace, as they have to work with these people .Therefore they in many instance just go along with the loud mouth who brings their views on politics up.
They nod along , then think what an arse.
I know I did the same in an office environment.
Let's assume for the moment that the proposed application for interim interdict doesn't succeed. Let's assume that Parliament convenes next week and a VONC is moved and passed. Do Labour support a motion for instant dissolution of Parliament or do we wait 14 days? Surely it has to be instant if we are to have an election before 31st October. Furthermore how does dissolution and the FTPA interact? How can you have a vote of confidence if Parliament isn't sitting? I think that it is at least implied that Parliament is sitting for those 14 days.
How does that election date get fixed? Normally up to the PM but can Parliament seek to fix the date in October? I think that they may be able to insist on an earlier date but I am very unsure about the mechanics.
What happens on 17th October? Does Boris go? Are there going to be any more attempts to get a revised deal for Parliament or is this just being abandoned after Boris's efforts over the last 2 weeks? If he gets a deal when does Parliament consider it if it is dissolved? Would the EU really want to give Boris a deal that might help him in the election?
If we have an election in the last week in October and the new government asks for a further extension will the EU be able to respond in time? Will they come to a view on the 17th that in the event that the new government asks for such an extension they will grant it and how will that play?
As a good film once said, "a strange game, the only way to win is not to play." And yet iacta alea est.
It's not like it hasn't happened hundreds of times before...
If Johnson is allowed to set this precedent now the damage it will do to our democracy will persist for many decades - at best.
How can hardcore Remainers not see how they come across? Howling hypocrisy.
There is no majority for anything. We must build one.
I’m sure he wants lots of airtime saying it’s a constitutional outrage and Boris is a dictator; but does he want to trigger a vote of no confidence now?
If he doesn’t, then presumably his next chance is 25 October, by which time it might look like something could happen at the EU Council. No matter how outraged, would enough Tory MPs want to topple the Gvt then, given how unlikely it seems that a successful NCM leads to anything other than a post-Brexit election.
I think what the Gvt is doing is outrageous, but it does look like it’s in with a shout of succeeding.
Tories running scared in Scotland, another big jessie placeman
And yes, you've guessed it - Prof Savage was kind of sweet natured whilst Prof Meeks....
See what is on offer, then react to that current situation. You can revoke, extend, accept deal or no deal at that point.
It is slightly odd to react before the facts are known.
As you I think this will boost the Conservative share.
As Johnson has had sole wall to wall, coverage, this past few weeks.
Which should change when parliament returns.
Very difficult to stop a Country from self-harming.
I think it is more likely that a GNU would again be promoted in which the Commons would pass a confidence resolution but as we saw in last week's discussions that is fraught with difficulties, not least Mr Corbyn.
Separately a lot of things that could be ruled out as having already been attempted in this Parliamentary session can be reintroduced in October if Parliament does start a new session.
In any case, this is the sort of argument that is best had in the Commons, between MPs, and if MPs were to accept your argument they could vote accordingly. It is not for the PM to decide for them, to prevent them from disagreeing, and to suspend Parliament knowing that they would disagree.
These people are idiots and their tactics play into the PM's hands
Great fun, a vat of Pineapple Pizza flavour popcorn is required
There is no mandate for No Deal
No, he's still wrong. This is just an aberration.
Boris in The Telegraph, 12 May 2013.
Ah, ta.