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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting markets respond to Johnson’s Charles the First Mov

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  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    RobD said:

    351,207 signatures and rising by 1300 every minute.

    Remind us, how did the last petition fare?
    Did Brexit happen on 29th March?
  • ab195ab195 Posts: 477
    edited August 2019
    Somewhere there’s a parallel reality in which Remain won and Cameron has just handed over to Osborne. There’s are noises off about a second referendum (because of unpopular EU step A, B, or C) but despite Corbyn’s increasingly eurosceptic line as Leader of the Opposition, and a few electoral wins for the Brexit Party, Osborne is quietly confident of a fourth term.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Let us know when it has exceeded 17.4m.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    Love him or hate him Boris has taken the single most important step to bring this disaster to a conclusion

    I have no idea how this pans out but brexit has to be lanced

    Whatever happens next will not be a conclusion of Brexit.
    Repeating a post from earlier today - this is just phase 1.
    https://twitter.com/JackWDart/status/1166384551251386368
    If Brexit is stopped it won't be over either.
    It won’t be over until the UK breaks up.
    We all know you consider the break up of the UK to be just punishment for it having the temerity to vote against your European project.

    You see dissolution as insurance against it ever happening again.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217

    RobD said:

    351,207 signatures and rising by 1300 every minute.

    Remind us, how did the last petition fare?
    Did Brexit happen on 29th March?
    No but Johnson's ministry is clearly more serious about the UK actually leaving on October 31st than May was on 29th March.

    That's a statement of undeniable fact given their respective actions vis a vis parliament.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,065
    Charles said:

    dixiedean said:

    The unelected Queen has confirmed that she is mandateless Boris Johnson’s parrot.

    We need to take back control from our unelected rulers.

    This is why the Queen will do whatever she can to stay above this very dangerous political fray.
    And she is doing it by openly supporting one side. Let's face it, she is supporting this Tory government.
    She isn't doing any such thing.

    HMQ always acts on the advice of her PM. Always.

    You can make a case the PM has advised her very badly, for which I have some sympathy, but she had no choice.
    In which case, the question may well arise as to what is the point of a constitutional Head of State with absolutely no power whatsoever other than theoretical?
    (a) She is a non-political unifying figure that the majority of people can support regardless of party political preference. If you want a non-partisan President you either end up with a superannuated failed politician or someone like the Queen.
    ...or you get someone like Mary Robinson.

    Actually "someone like the Queen" gives a wide pool to choose from unlike exactly one persond determined but the first sucessful egg or sperm of the previous monarch.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,733

    eek said:

    Just a thought: might the Palace have had some involvement in the shape of the prorogation? You can easily imagine that it would prefer MPs to have the opportunity to have a say on the idea beforehand and to take action afterwards.

    It's not beyond the realms of possibility that this was a compromise between Number 10 and Buckingham Palace.

    Even if it was (and remember it seems legal advice was that other approaches wouldn't stand scrutiny) it has brought the Monarchy into the equation.

    And that will probably do it no favours in the medium term.
    I agree. Ironic that Boris Johnson has done more to jeopardise the medium term future of the monarchy than Jeremy Corbyn ever has.
    Yes, as well as the coup de grace for the Union, why not add the Monarchy? This could well be our Whitlam moment that energises republicans.
  • Gabs2Gabs2 Posts: 1,268
    kle4 said:

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    Love him or hate him Boris has taken the single most important step to bring this disaster to a conclusion

    I have no idea how this pans out but brexit has to be lanced

    Whatever happens next will not be a conclusion of Brexit.
    Repeating a post from earlier today - this is just phase 1.
    https://twitter.com/JackWDart/status/1166384551251386368
    Just plain silly to think it will be over then. More than that it is dishonest in promising an end to division on this subject. I believe stopping it is the least damaging at this point, but it will not be without ongoing pain and division .
    As with all wars, this will only be over at the point where both sides agree to a compromise they can live with.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    ab195 said:

    Somewhere there’s a parallel reality in which Remain won and Cameron has just handed over to Osborne. There’s are noises off about a second referendum (because of unpopular EU step A, B, or C) but despite Corbyn’s increasingly eurosceptic line as Leader of the Opposition, and a few electoral wins for the Brexit Party, Osborne is quietly confident of a fourth term.

    Really not sure that the Tory party in anything like its current form would have survived a remain vote. My guess is at the next election the Tories would have lost so many votes to UKIP/TBP that it would have lost office and that quite a number of MPs would have followed their members out the door. Cameron was in a difficult place with a party that was so fractured there were no good options.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    How about Parliament/MPs take some responsibility themselves instead of relying on others to do it for them? Who are they relying on next, the House of Lords?
  • Instead of attacking the Queen who is without compare in public service, especially with these third rate mps, why don't they get together and take action.

    Boris has laid himself wide open to a vonc and so just do it.

    Sadly the biggest obstacle which has always been, and will continue to be, is one Jeremy Corbyn, the most inept leader ever of an opposition and in charge of the once great labour party
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Does a new session of Parliament following porogation allow May's Shit Deal to be brought back a fourth time, over the obections of the Speaker?
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Never underestimate how deep the Brexit brainworms have burrowed in some people
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    That's the point - the Queen couldn't save us but shouldn't have been placed in the position she was placed in.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    alex. said:

    How about Parliament/MPs take some responsibility themselves instead of relying on others to do it for them? Who are they relying on next, the House of Lords?
    Gabs2 said:

    kle4 said:

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    Love him or hate him Boris has taken the single most important step to bring this disaster to a conclusion

    I have no idea how this pans out but brexit has to be lanced

    Whatever happens next will not be a conclusion of Brexit.
    Repeating a post from earlier today - this is just phase 1.
    https://twitter.com/JackWDart/status/1166384551251386368
    Just plain silly to think it will be over then. More than that it is dishonest in promising an end to division on this subject. I believe stopping it is the least damaging at this point, but it will not be without ongoing pain and division .
    As with all wars, this will only be over at the point where both sides agree to a compromise they can live with.
    It's called "THE DEAL" :o
  • As a longstanding Republican today has done more for the Republican movement than any other day in my life.

    Thank you Boris Johnson and Brexiteers.

    PS - Has always amused my friends that one of life’s Cavaliers is a Roundhead.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    Does a new session of Parliament following porogation allow May's Shit Deal to be brought back a fourth time, over the obections of the Speaker?

    Yes. But who will bring it?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    edited August 2019

    Does a new session of Parliament following porogation allow May's Shit Deal to be brought back a fourth time, over the obections of the Speaker?

    Yes - it's just about the only thing that makes this plan look sensible.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    OllyT said:

    Looks as though Curry's office doesn't really speak for the nation. Quelle surprise.
    This isn't exactly polling that's going to put Conservative constitutionalists back in their box.

    NB Churchill for a while campaigned in politics as a Constitutionalist. Time for a revival?
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    Does a new session of Parliament following porogation allow May's Shit Deal to be brought back a fourth time, over the obections of the Speaker?

    Yes, and the Speaker won't object because the rule is that business can only be debated once per session.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,712
    edited August 2019
    Can Remain MPs get a Bill through Parliament next week?

    They got a Bill through in a couple of days a few months ago.

    But could Govt supporters in Lords delay it long enough by putting down hundreds of amendments? I know Lords can vote on closure motion re each amendment but if there were literally hundreds of amendments I would have thought it could be strung out long enough to prevent it going through next week.

    Two votes needed on each amendment - the closure motion and then actual vote on the amendment - so each amendment can be made to take at least 35 minutes.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Since were sharing anecdotes today one reaction in my office was from someone saying as a Republican they are glad the queen didnt prevent it as it would mean she held actual power.

    Another blamed the EU for not compromising and two others were terrified of no deal chaos.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    Charles said:

    justin124 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    justin124 said:

    eek said:

    Another worthwhile what is happening thread for those who may not have seen it

    https://twitter.com/robfordmancs/status/1166712433970503680

    I would have thought that Johnson's action will now make it very difficult for Labour MPs such as Caroline Flint and Gareth Snell to be seen to do anything but oppose him in the Division Lobbies. His contempt for Parliamentary scrutiny will surely override other considerations.
    https://twitter.com/CarolineFlintMP/status/1160191121433214976

    For the moment Flint is still voting for a deal put forward to parliament. No tweets from her thus far wrt prorogation.
    I will be surprised if today's news has no effect on her. The issue now goes way beyond Brexit per se - much more to do with abuse of process and failing to adhere to convention.
    Agreed. That's why we've been calling for Bercow to be sacked for years. The man's unfit to be Speaker
    I don't know who you mean by "we", but whether or not he is fit to be Speaker is entirely at the discretion of Parliament.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited August 2019

    Does a new session of Parliament following porogation allow May's Shit Deal to be brought back a fourth time, over the obections of the Speaker?

    Yes. But that was not insurmountable anyway. Hence Boris being so against it he will clearly whip against, just in card someone suggested bringing it back.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Gabs2 said:

    kle4 said:

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    Love him or hate him Boris has taken the single most important step to bring this disaster to a conclusion

    I have no idea how this pans out but brexit has to be lanced

    Whatever happens next will not be a conclusion of Brexit.
    Repeating a post from earlier today - this is just phase 1.
    https://twitter.com/JackWDart/status/1166384551251386368
    Just plain silly to think it will be over then. More than that it is dishonest in promising an end to division on this subject. I believe stopping it is the least damaging at this point, but it will not be without ongoing pain and division .
    As with all wars, this will only be over at the point where both sides agree to a compromise they can live with.
    Not exactly how I'd describe the outcome of most wars
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    DavidL said:

    ab195 said:

    Somewhere there’s a parallel reality in which Remain won and Cameron has just handed over to Osborne. There’s are noises off about a second referendum (because of unpopular EU step A, B, or C) but despite Corbyn’s increasingly eurosceptic line as Leader of the Opposition, and a few electoral wins for the Brexit Party, Osborne is quietly confident of a fourth term.

    Really not sure that the Tory party in anything like its current form would have survived a remain vote. My guess is at the next election the Tories would have lost so many votes to UKIP/TBP that it would have lost office and that quite a number of MPs would have followed their members out the door. Cameron was in a difficult place with a party that was so fractured there were no good options.
    Cameron's best option was to have embraced the possibility of siding with Leave if the EU didn't move on his renegotiation. If he had, he would have won the Brexit vote by at least 60-40, stayed PM and turned many Remainer MPs into Brexiteers in the process.

    Who knows what he must turn over in his mind, in those long days in the shepherd hut.....
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    Foxy said:

    eek said:

    Just a thought: might the Palace have had some involvement in the shape of the prorogation? You can easily imagine that it would prefer MPs to have the opportunity to have a say on the idea beforehand and to take action afterwards.

    It's not beyond the realms of possibility that this was a compromise between Number 10 and Buckingham Palace.

    Even if it was (and remember it seems legal advice was that other approaches wouldn't stand scrutiny) it has brought the Monarchy into the equation.

    And that will probably do it no favours in the medium term.
    I agree. Ironic that Boris Johnson has done more to jeopardise the medium term future of the monarchy than Jeremy Corbyn ever has.
    Yes, as well as the coup de grace for the Union, why not add the Monarchy? This could well be our Whitlam moment that energises republicans.
    When Priti re-legalises the death penalty, perhaps the guillotine will be one of the permitted methods
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    glw said:

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    Love him or hate him Boris has taken the single most important step to bring this disaster to a conclusion

    I have no idea how this pans out but brexit has to be lanced

    Whatever happens next will not be a conclusion of Brexit.
    Repeating a post from earlier today - this is just phase 1.
    https://twitter.com/JackWDart/status/1166384551251386368
    If Brexit is stopped it won't be over either.
    I still think that the thing that would come closest to keeping both sides and the most number of people content is something like EFTA with a customs arrangement. Unfortunately we seem to have gotten into a position where only extreme outcomes are now possible, with all the trouble that they inevitably will cause.
    I largely agree with that.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    DavidL said:

    Does a new session of Parliament following porogation allow May's Shit Deal to be brought back a fourth time, over the obections of the Speaker?

    Yes. But who will bring it?
    Well, whoever they agree as the replacement PM for Boris? :)
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    As a longstanding Republican today has done more for the Republican movement than any other day in my life.

    Thank you Boris Johnson and Brexiteers.

    PS - Has always amused my friends that one of life’s Cavaliers is a Roundhead.

    Yep - I'm not a republican but the ones I know are beyond ecstatic - the Queen was placed in an impossible situation she can't win.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    edited August 2019
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    If MPs want to prevent no deal via an election - they can do it next week. If they want to do it via legislation and/or some VoNC followed by some theoretical GoNU they can do it - post October 14th.

    What does the prorogation prevent them from doing that they couldn’t have done anyway?

    Other than express “outrage” obviously.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    alex. said:

    If MPs want to prevent no deal via an election - they can do it next week. If they want to do it via legislation and/or some VoNC followed by some theoretical GoNU they can do it - post October 14th.

    What does the prorogation prevent them from doing that they couldn’t have done anyway?

    Other than express “outrage” obviously.

    If that is the case then why did Boris do it other than that he wanted the outrage?
  • eek said:

    As a longstanding Republican today has done more for the Republican movement than any other day in my life.

    Thank you Boris Johnson and Brexiteers.

    PS - Has always amused my friends that one of life’s Cavaliers is a Roundhead.

    Yep - I'm not a republican but the ones I know are beyond ecstatic - the Queen was placed in an impossible situation she can't win.
    I was of the position that the best thing for the Republican movement was for Charles to become King but this is even better.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    eek said:

    As a longstanding Republican today has done more for the Republican movement than any other day in my life.

    Thank you Boris Johnson and Brexiteers.

    PS - Has always amused my friends that one of life’s Cavaliers is a Roundhead.

    Yep - I'm not a republican but the ones I know are beyond ecstatic - the Queen was placed in an impossible situation she can't win.
    Pres Johnson would have had more powers than PM Johnson though ?
  • kle4 said:

    alex. said:

    If MPs want to prevent no deal via an election - they can do it next week. If they want to do it via legislation and/or some VoNC followed by some theoretical GoNU they can do it - post October 14th.

    What does the prorogation prevent them from doing that they couldn’t have done anyway?

    Other than express “outrage” obviously.

    If that is the case then why did Boris do it other than that he wanted the outrage?
    You may be right. High stakes gamble IMHO
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Remember the fuss when EU Citizens had to pay a fee in the UK?

    https://twitter.com/SteveBarclay/status/1166734464208293888?s=20
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,751
    Everyone loves an anecdote. I know remainers that are well impressed with Boris after today. They want the issue resolved and they want strong leadership.

    Ignore that snap Yougov poll for now and let’s see the VI polls in the weekend papers.
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    eek said:

    As a longstanding Republican today has done more for the Republican movement than any other day in my life.

    Thank you Boris Johnson and Brexiteers.

    PS - Has always amused my friends that one of life’s Cavaliers is a Roundhead.

    Yep - I'm not a republican but the ones I know are beyond ecstatic - the Queen was placed in an impossible situation she can't win.
    I was of the position that the best thing for the Republican movement was for Charles to become King but this is even better.
    Rather jumping the gun, its literally not been a day.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Nigelb said:

    Charles said:

    justin124 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    justin124 said:

    eek said:

    Another worthwhile what is happening thread for those who may not have seen it

    https://twitter.com/robfordmancs/status/1166712433970503680

    I would have thought that Johnson's action will now make it very difficult for Labour MPs such as Caroline Flint and Gareth Snell to be seen to do anything but oppose him in the Division Lobbies. His contempt for Parliamentary scrutiny will surely override other considerations.
    https://twitter.com/CarolineFlintMP/status/1160191121433214976

    For the moment Flint is still voting for a deal put forward to parliament. No tweets from her thus far wrt prorogation.
    I will be surprised if today's news has no effect on her. The issue now goes way beyond Brexit per se - much more to do with abuse of process and failing to adhere to convention.
    Agreed. That's why we've been calling for Bercow to be sacked for years. The man's unfit to be Speaker
    I don't know who you mean by "we", but whether or not he is fit to be Speaker is entirely at the discretion of Parliament.
    I think the current speaker and the current parliament deserve each other.
  • kle4 said:

    eek said:

    As a longstanding Republican today has done more for the Republican movement than any other day in my life.

    Thank you Boris Johnson and Brexiteers.

    PS - Has always amused my friends that one of life’s Cavaliers is a Roundhead.

    Yep - I'm not a republican but the ones I know are beyond ecstatic - the Queen was placed in an impossible situation she can't win.
    I was of the position that the best thing for the Republican movement was for Charles to become King but this is even better.
    Rather jumping the gun, its literally not been a day.
    It feels longer than a day.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    kle4 said:

    alex. said:

    If MPs want to prevent no deal via an election - they can do it next week. If they want to do it via legislation and/or some VoNC followed by some theoretical GoNU they can do it - post October 14th.

    What does the prorogation prevent them from doing that they couldn’t have done anyway?

    Other than express “outrage” obviously.

    If that is the case then why did Boris do it other than that he wanted the outrage?
    Maybe he wanted to remove the possibility that he would come under pressure from hard Brexiteers to prorogue across October 31st? Because he actually really doesn’t want no deal? Or force Parliament to actually take the whole thing out of his hands before a VoNC actually forces any following election to be post Oct 31st.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    And that hyperbolic story means the death knell of the monarchy?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Crikey - that's only a week's saving from the EU contributions! What value for money.....
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    alex. said:

    If MPs want to prevent no deal via an election - they can do it next week. If they want to do it via legislation and/or some VoNC followed by some theoretical GoNU they can do it - post October 14th.

    What does the prorogation prevent them from doing that they couldn’t have done anyway?

    Other than express “outrage” obviously.

    Its robbed them of 4 days to accomplish something they haven't managed in 3 years.....
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    edited August 2019

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The one thing the Queen has is enormous goodwill in the Country and admiration far beyond any of our useless mps.

    Attacking the Queen will be counter productive in the public at large

    And I say that as a republican who has come to admire the Queen, not so Charles and the rest
  • kle4 said:

    And that hyperbolic story means the death knell of the monarchy?
    Yup.

    We need to talk about the monarchy and their relationship was the Nazis.

    https://twitter.com/derekmeers/status/1166728921053827073?s=21
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    I think we can add 'Prorogation Derangement Syndrome' to 'Brexit Derangement Syndrome'....
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449

    Remember the fuss when EU Citizens had to pay a fee in the UK?

    https://twitter.com/SteveBarclay/status/1166734464208293888?s=20

    It's the UK government's fault that there is a fee
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The one thing the Queen has is enormous goodwill in the Country and admiration far beyond any of our useless mps.

    Attacking the Queen will be counter productive in the public at large

    And I say that as a republican who has come to admire the Queen, not so Charles and the rest
    How come her interventions always help Conservatives ?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    alex. said:

    If MPs want to prevent no deal via an election - they can do it next week. If they want to do it via legislation and/or some VoNC followed by some theoretical GoNU they can do it - post October 14th.

    What does the prorogation prevent them from doing that they couldn’t have done anyway?

    Other than express “outrage” obviously.

    Its robbed them of 4 days to accomplish something they haven't managed in 3 years.....
    On one level I agree but on the PR level - it's far worse than that.
  • From the Guardian no less

    Can MPs vote against prorogation?

    No. Parliament is due to go on a three-week conference recess anyway in the second week of September and there had been suggestions MPs would vote against holding this recess, or any attempt to extend it. However, proroguing parliament is not voted on by MPs so cannot be stopped in this way.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    Remember the fuss when EU Citizens had to pay a fee in the UK?

    https://twitter.com/SteveBarclay/status/1166734464208293888?s=20

    It's the UK government's fault that there is a fee
    It's the UK government's fault that the French government charge a fee?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720

    glw said:

    eek said:

    Scott_P said:

    Love him or hate him Boris has taken the single most important step to bring this disaster to a conclusion

    I have no idea how this pans out but brexit has to be lanced

    Whatever happens next will not be a conclusion of Brexit.
    Repeating a post from earlier today - this is just phase 1.
    https://twitter.com/JackWDart/status/1166384551251386368
    If Brexit is stopped it won't be over either.
    I still think that the thing that would come closest to keeping both sides and the most number of people content is something like EFTA with a customs arrangement. Unfortunately we seem to have gotten into a position where only extreme outcomes are now possible, with all the trouble that they inevitably will cause.
    I largely agree with that.
    I think it’s pretty clear that the option with the best chance of keeping the European issue on the back burner for a while would have been Cameron’s deal. Following an undefined vote to Leave, any specific option was destined to provoke outrage from people who wanted Leave to mean something else.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413
    Boris

    LOL
  • The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The one thing the Queen has is enormous goodwill in the Country and admiration far beyond any of our useless mps.

    Attacking the Queen will be counter productive in the public at large

    And I say that as a republican who has come to admire the Queen, not so Charles and the rest
    How come her interventions always help Conservatives ?
    Judging by this forum it is far from helping the conservatives, but of course time and the polls will tell
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    Yet another complication in respect of tomorrow's hearing will be that it is generally not competent to interdict (grant an injunction against) a completed wrong. If the Queen has already granted the prorogation I think it is arguable that the Courts can't do anything about it. The petitioners may be able to argue that the wrong is not completed until Parliament is actually prorogued but it is a further hurdle, no question.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The queen never overrules a Governor-General though. There have been Governors-General that have done far worse, such as condone the overthrow of elected governments by force and invite another country to military invade, and she has not tried to stop them.
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    Carlotta, how come you are not posting this one:
    https://twitter.com/MattHancock/status/1136610833750994951
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    Carlotta, how come you are not posting this one:
    https://twitter.com/MattHancock/status/1136610833750994951

    It's been posted already?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    edited August 2019
    DavidL said:

    Yet another complication in respect of tomorrow's hearing will be that it is generally not competent to interdict (grant an injunction against) a completed wrong. If the Queen has already granted the prorogation I think it is arguable that the Courts can't do anything about it. The petitioners may be able to argue that the wrong is not completed until Parliament is actually prorogued but it is a further hurdle, no question.

    Are Her Maj courts going to overule err her Maj ?!
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    rpjs said:

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The queen never overrules a Governor-General though. There have been Governors-General that have done far worse, such as condone the overthrow of elected governments by force and invite another country to military invade, and she has not tried to stop them.
    So, why the f**k do we pay her to be there ? She should spend her time finding out what her sons are up to - particularly, one of them.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    I notice you didn't answer my previous question.

    She acted on advice of her Prime Minister. Would you be saying the same thing if she had refused Corbyn's advice?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    Pulpstar said:

    DavidL said:

    Yet another complication in respect of tomorrow's hearing will be that it is generally not competent to interdict (grant an injunction against) a completed wrong. If the Queen has already granted the prorogation I think it is arguable that the Courts can't do anything about it. The petitioners may be able to argue that the wrong is not completed until Parliament is actually prorogued but it is a further hurdle, no question.

    Are Her Maj courts going to overule err her Maj ?!
    I would imagine that the form of the order is going to give the senior counsel involved in the case a fairly sleepless night.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,814

    rpjs said:

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The queen never overrules a Governor-General though. There have been Governors-General that have done far worse, such as condone the overthrow of elected governments by force and invite another country to military invade, and she has not tried to stop them.
    So, why the f**k do we pay her to be there ? She should spend her time finding out what her sons are up to - particularly, one of them.
    We pay her not to interfere.

    That is the point.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,413

    rpjs said:

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The queen never overrules a Governor-General though. There have been Governors-General that have done far worse, such as condone the overthrow of elected governments by force and invite another country to military invade, and she has not tried to stop them.
    So, why the f**k do we pay her to be there ? She should spend her time finding out what her sons are up to - particularly, one of them.
    because its better than paying that useless tosser Prescott to be a President
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,712
    YouGov question is potentially a bit misleading as some people may well get the impression that Parliament will not meet until after Brexit Day.
  • I just get the feeling that Boris, and more likely Cummings, are running rings around their opponents who seem to be in total fury, probably as they cannot be sure how to stop him

    Boris has certainly set the agenda and I just want to see his opponents table a vonc next week and take it from there.

    In the absence of that they are all anger and no plan
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    It might be so that it is all constitutionally above board. It has a chance of success. But it looks very very bad and not just the usual suspects given how some prominent people were against proroguing in this way.

    But enough for one day. Hopefully today has clarified to MPs that half measures are over and to stop hoping the queen or the courts will spare them the hard calls. It's on them and they have more options than they admit, they just want avoid some.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited August 2019
    It’s pretty easy to answer that one - he was clearly discussing this in the context of pro-roguing Parliament across Oct 31st to force no deal Brexit. Nobody was saying having a recess for summer holidays, or a recess for the Party conferences was outrageous even though both caused the loss of far more time for scrutiny than this. And is almost totally concurrent with the latter.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    Scott_P said:
    The suggestions that Boris might prove somewhat cowardly and completely indecisive in office have proven somewhat wide of the mark. Reckless and foolhardy remain open for debate.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Scott_P said:
    The measures were devised by the prime minister’s senior aides who have spent the summer in their Downing Street bunker wargaming how to respond to potential parliamentary manoeuvres by MPs determined to block no-deal. The rebels, by contrast, spent the August holidays debating whether they would back Ken Clarke as a potential caretaker prime minister in an unlikely government of national unity.

    Number 10's prorogation plan was ready to go and put into action on Tuesday evening, just hours after Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn agreed a pact with the so-called Remainer “rebel alliance” seeking to prevent a no-deal Brexit.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,679
    edited August 2019
    The Queen is now seen as an enabler of No Deal.

    If No Deal is as bad as feared then support for the monarchy will collapse whilst the Queen sits in one of her many palaces whilst her people suffer.

    She is our Marie Antoinette, 'let them eat sovereignty' she said today.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,751
    Odds on a successful pre Brexit VONC now? One assumes away from the bluster, the same logic that said last week this would fail still stands?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    The Queen is now seen as an enabler of No Deal.

    By you, an impartial observer?
  • MikeL said:

    YouGov question is potentially a bit misleading as some people may well get the impression that Parliament will not meet until after Brexit Day.

    And it does not mention that parliament is in conference recess for three weeks anyway
  • kle4 said:

    The Queen is now seen as an enabler of No Deal.

    By you, an impartial observer?
    Look at that YouGov poll, she will be seen as complicit.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238

    The Queen has form. She allowed, through her Governor General, Harper [ a Conservative ] to prorogue Parliament so that a VoNC could not be tabled. She allowed her Australian Governor General Kerr to sack a Labor Prime Minister. And now helped a Conservative Prime Minister.
    Coincidences ?
    The one thing the Queen has is enormous goodwill in the Country and admiration far beyond any of our useless mps.

    Attacking the Queen will be counter productive in the public at large

    And I say that as a republican who has come to admire the Queen, not so Charles and the rest
    There is an element of truth in that.

    The constitution requires her to be pro whichever rogue happens to be occupying the office of PM.
    And the current occupant is an absolute pro rogue.
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    moonshine said:

    Odds on a successful pre Brexit VONC now? One assumes away from the bluster, the same logic that said last week this would fail still stands?

    I think the only people saving Johnson from a VoNC are the 5 CHUKies. Ironically, they are supposed to be the most ardent Remainers.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    kle4 said:

    The Queen is now seen as an enabler of No Deal.

    By you, an impartial observer?
    Look at that YouGov poll, she will be seen as complicit.
    In a snap reaction. 5 seconds of thinking if people really want her to overrule her PMS might provoke a different reaction.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,712
    If the Queen has no scope for taking any alternative action / taking any decisions whatsoever it does rather beg the question of what is the point of having her as part of tbe process?

    Let alone all the rest of the Royal Family.

    It's a heck of an expensive operation just to have some people to promote charities and supply "entertainment" for the media.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406
    edited August 2019
This discussion has been closed.